Analysts' Accuracy of Estimation and the Relative Trading Volume


Autoria(s): Nandelstadh von, Alexander
Contribuinte(s)

Swedish School of Economics and Business Administration, Department of Finance and Statistics, Finance

Svenska handelshögskolan, institutionen för finansiell ekonomi och ekonomisk statistik, finansiell ekonomi

Data(s)

2002

Resumo

This study contributes to the neglect effect literature by looking at the relative trading volume in terms of value. The results for the Swedish market show a significant positive relationship between the accuracy of estimation and the relative trading volume. Market capitalisation and analyst coverage have in prior studies been used as proxies for neglect. These measures however, do not take into account the effort analysts put in when estimating corporate pre-tax profits. I also find evidence that the industry of the firm influence the accuracy of estimation. In addition, supporting earlier findings, loss making firms are associated with larger forecasting errors. Further, I find that the average forecast error increased in the year 2000 – in Sweden.

This study contributes to the neglect effect literature by looking at the relative trading volume in terms of value. The results for the Swedish market show a significant positive relationship between the accuracy of estimation and the relative trading volume. Market capitalisation and analyst coverage have in prior studies been used as proxies for neglect. These measures however, do not take into account the effort analysts put in when estimating corporate pre-tax profits. I also find evidence that the industry of the firm influence the accuracy of estimation. In addition, supporting earlier findings, loss making firms are associated with larger forecasting errors. Further, I find that the average forecast error increased in the year 2000 – in Sweden.

Formato

1837 bytes

75052 bytes

application/pdf

text/plain

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10227/162

URN:ISBN:951-555-717-8

951-555-717-8

0357-4598

Idioma(s)

en

Publicador

Swedish School of Economics and Business Administration

Svenska handelshögskolan

Relação

Working Papers

468

Direitos

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Palavras-Chave #financial analysts' estimates #accuracy of estimation #neglect effect #Finance
Tipo

Text