Comparativa de modelos de inmunización financiera para la gestión del riesgo de tipo de interés: contraste empírico en el mercado español de deuda pública

En este trabajo se analiza empíricamente, a partir de información procedente del Mercado Español de Deuda Pública (enero 1993 – marzo 2004), el comportamiento de los modelos de inmunización financiera simple. Entre los modelos analizados incluimos modelos unifactoriales, basados en medidas únicas de duración, modelos basados en la minimización de los flujos de caja de las carteras y modelos multifactoriales, en los que se emplean 2 ó más medidas de duración, con el objetivo de intentar alcanzar mejores coberturas de riesgo. Los mejores resultados para horizontes de inversión de 3 y 5 años se alcanzan construyendo las carteras mediante la aplicación del modelo multifactorial propuesto por Prisman y Shores cuando el número de factores considerado es tres. Para un horizonte de inversión de 2 años los resultados para este modelo de inmunización son muy similares a los de los modelos unifactoriales de duración aditiva y multiplicativa con configuración bullet.

Medición y gestión de riesgos en las entidades financieras a través de la inmunización del riesgo de interés

XVI, 778 p.

Las Tecnologías de la Información y la Comunicación en la gestión de tesorería: modelo explicativo

[ES] En el presente trabajo se analiza el uso de las TIC (Tecnologías de la Información y la Comunicación) en las responsabilidades de la gestión de la tesorería, tomando como referencia para su estudio las empresas de la CAPV (Comunidad Autónoma del País Vasco). Los resultados indican que las TIC más utilizadas por las empresas en operaciones financieras son el software financiero, Internet y la banca electrónica. Además, estos resultados han permitido desarrollar un modelo explicativo del uso de las TIC en las principales funciones del tesorero, como son la gestión de cobros y pagos, gestión de la liquidez, previsiones de tesorería a corto plazo, gestión de saldos bancarios en fecha valor, negociación con entidades financieras, gestión de la financiación del déficit de tesorería, gestión de la colocación de puntas de tesorería y gestión de riesgos de tipo de interés y tipo de cambio.

Análisis de los factores determinantes del precio del activo vivienda

En el presente trabajo se analiza el comportamiento del mercado del activo-vivienda en el periodo 1978-2000 desde la perspectiva de los factores que influyen directamente en la formación de los precios de dicho activo. Los factores que individualmente mejor explican las variaciones en el precio de la vivienda son (por orden decreciente): el IPC corregido, los costes de la construcción, el PIB per capita, el precio de los alquileres, las VPO terminadas, el volumen de crédito disponible, el tipo de interés de referencia, las viviendas libres terminadas y la población en el intervalo 24-35 años. A nivel agregado, el grupo de variables que mejor explican conjuntamente las fluctuaciones del mercado hipotecario son: PIB per capita, el precio del alquiler de la vivienda y los tipos de interés de referencia. Las variables más representativas son tanto de tipo financiero como macroeconómico (estructurales), por lo que se observa que tanto el modelo anglosajón como el germánico explican, parcialmente, el comportamiento inversor en España.

Una aplicación de la Teoría de Posibilidades a las operaciones de amortización de préstamo

En este trabajo veremos como un prestamista, antes de conceder un préstamo, puede determinar la distribución de posibilidad del tipo de interés medio, equivalente a los tipos de interés inciertos que habrá en el mercado durante la duración del préstamo, los cuales supondremos que son estimadores por medio de números borrosos. Una vez determinada la distribución de posibilidad del interés medio, basandonos en la teoría de posibilidades y en los métodos de comparación entre subconjuntos borrosos, veremos como la lógica borrosa puede ayudar al prestamista a adoptar una decisión sobre el tipo de interés constante que debe ofertar en dicho préstamo.

Relación bancaria y racionamiento de crédito : el caso de las pyme de España

497 p.

Análisis de los rendimientos del IBEX 35

En el presente trabajo se realiza un estudio econométrico para explicar los rendimientos del IBEX 35 de diciembre de 2006 a febrero de 2014 y contrastar si la crisis es un factor determinante sobre ellos en el período citado. Para ello, en primer lugar se realiza un análisis descriptivo de una serie de variables que se considera que van a tener influencia en los rendimientos, tales como: la prima de riesgo, los tipos de interés y el volumen de contratación. Además, se analiza tanto la estacionalidad diaria como mensual. Posteriormente, se especifica y estima un modelo econométrico inicial y tras una serie de contrastes y restricciones se obtiene un modelo ajustado. El resultado final es el previsto antes de realizar la estimación en lo que corresponde a la prima de riesgo, el tipo de interés, y el volumen de contratación, son relevantes para explicar los rendimientos del IBEX 35. Por el contrario, la crisis, que a priori se espera que tenga influencia en los rendimientos del IBEX 35, resulta no tener influencia significativa en éstos.

Análisis de los rendimientos del IBEX 35

En el presente trabajo se realiza un estudio econométrico para explicar los rendimientos del IBEX 35 de diciembre de 2006 a febrero de 2014 y contrastar si la crisis es un factor determinante sobre ellos en el período citado. Para ello, en primer lugar se realiza un análisis descriptivo de una serie de variables que se considera que van a tener influencia en los rendimientos, tales como: la prima de riesgo, los tipos de interés y el volumen de contratación. Además, se analiza tanto la estacionalidad diaria como mensual. Posteriormente, se especifica y estima un modelo econométrico inicial y tras una serie de contrastes y restricciones se obtiene un modelo ajustado. El resultado final es el previsto antes de realizar la estimación en lo que corresponde a la prima de riesgo, el tipo de interés, y el volumen de contratación, son relevantes para explicar los rendimientos del IBEX 35. Por el contrario, la crisis, que a priori se espera que tenga influencia en los rendimientos del IBEX 35, resulta no tener influencia significativa en éstos.

Desempleo y crisis: análisis econométrico por género en Euskadi

En este trabajo se intenta explicar la tasa de desempleo femenina y masculina de Euskadi del periodo que va desde el primer trimestre del 2000 hasta el último del 2014 a través de un modelo econométrico para cada una de ellas. Ambas series se caracterizan por una disminución continuada del desempleo entre el 2000 y 2008 y un aumento prolongado del mismo desde el 2009 hasta el 2014. Observando los resultados se tiene que ambas tasas dependen de ciertas variables comunes (actividad, demanda interna, salario mínimo y costes laborales), las cuales tienen un efecto bastante similar en ambos casos. Sin embargo, existen otras variables que afectan solamente a una de las tasa, como es el tipo de cambio en el casa masculino o el tipo de interés en el femenino.

Desarrollo de un modelo de calibración de pérdidas por riesgos inherentes a una Hipoteca Inversa. Métrica del riesgo de supervivencia.

391 p.

La contribución de los espacios protegidos al desarrollo socioeconómico de las comunidades rurales. Aplicación al parque natural de Izki (Álava)

399 p.:il.

Diversidad genética de polimorfismos autosómicos en poblaciones africanas

El continente africano es la fuente de todos los seres humanos anatómicamente modernos, que más tarde se dispersaron por todo el planeta. África posee el mayor nivel de variación genética, por lo que es una región de interés a estudiar. En este trabajo se ha analizado como se distribuye la variabilidad genética en África con cada uno de los polimorfismos estudiados, polimorfismos de nucleótido simple (SNP), grupos sanguíneos y microsatélites (STR) y se ha comparado la información que ofrece cada tipo de marcador. Se observa una diferenciación sobre todo de las familias Khoi-San y afroasiáticos pero con diferencias según que tipo de polimorfismo que se ha estudiado. En general la selección natural parece haber afectado de forma similar a SNPs de genes codificantes y a grupos sanguíneos.

Reinterpretación de la nasalización en terena, cubeo y chimila desde la Fonología Natural

106 p.

Interpretación litoestratigráfica y paleogeográfica del Jurásico marino del este Cantabria-oeste de Vizcaya en base a diagrafías de sondeo y su correlación con series tipo

Este trabajo se centra en el estudio del Jurásico marino (Lías y Dogger) de un área de la parte central de La Cuenca Vasco-Cantábrica situada en el este de Cantabria y oeste de Vizcaya donde sus afloramientos son muy escasos pero se dispone de datos de sondeos de exploración petrolífera (Fig 1A y B), poniendo especial interés en la localización y distribución lateral de los niveles de rocas madre de hidrocarburos (black shales) y de potenciales almacenes (unidades carbonatadas fracturadas o dolomitizadas). La sucesión del Jurásico de la Cuenca Vasco-Cantábrica (CVC) está formada por dos unidades diferenciadas por edad y ambiente sedimentario. Por una parte tenemos los materiales del “Jurásico marino” (Robles et al., 1989) que representan la mayor parte de la sucesión (Lías y Dogger) y por otro lado, tenemos los materiales del “Jurásico continental” pertenecientes exclusivamente al Tithoniense Superior y que se engloban en las facies Purbeck que abarcan hasta el Berriasiense (Rat 1962).

Advanced Reaction Systems for Hydrogen Production

[EN] This PhD work started in March 2010 with the support of the University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU) under the program named “Formación de Personal Investigador” at the Chemical and Environmental Engineering Department in the Faculty of Engineering of Bilbao. The major part of the Thesis work was carried out in the mentioned department, as a member of the Sustainable Process Engineering (SuPrEn) research group. In addition, this PhD Thesis includes the research work developed during a period of 6 months at the Institut für Mikrotechnik Mainz GmbH, IMM, in Germany. During the four years of the Thesis, conventional and microreactor systems were tested for several feedstocks renewable and non-renewable, gases and liquids through several reforming processes in order to produce hydrogen. For this purpose, new catalytic formulations which showed high activity, selectivity and stability were design. As a consequence, the PhD work performed allowed the publication of seven scientific articles in peer-reviewed journals. This PhD Thesis is divided into the following six chapters described below. The opportunity of this work is established on the basis of the transition period needed for moving from a petroleum based energy system to a renewable based new one. Consequently, the present global energy scenario was detailed in Chapter 1, and the role of hydrogen as a real alternative in the future energy system was justified based on several outlooks. Therefore, renewable and non-renewable hydrogen production routes were presented, explaining the corresponding benefits and drawbacks. Then, the raw materials used in this Thesis work were described and the most important issues regarding the processes and the characteristics of the catalytic formulations were explained. The introduction chapter finishes by introducing the concepts of decentralized production and process intensification with the use of microreactors. In addition, a small description of these innovative reaction systems and the benefits that entailed their use were also mentioned. In Chapter 2 the main objectives of this Thesis work are summarized. The development of advanced reaction systems for hydrogen rich mixtures production is the main objective. In addition, the use and comparison between two different reaction systems, (fixed bed reactor (FBR) and microreactor), the processing of renewable raw materials, the development of new, active, selective and stable catalytic formulations, and the optimization of the operating conditions were also established as additional partial objectives. Methane and natural gas (NG) steam reforming experimental results obtained when operated with microreactor and FBR systems are presented in Chapter 3. For these experiments nickel-based (Ni/Al2O3 and Ni/MgO) and noble metal-based (Pd/Al2O3 and Pt/Al2O3) catalysts were prepared by wet impregnation and their catalytic activity was measured at several temperatures, from 973 to 1073 K, different S/C ratios, from 1.0 to 2.0, and atmospheric pressure. The Weight Hourly Space Velocity (WHSV) was maintained constant in order to compare the catalytic activity in both reaction systems. The results obtained showed a better performance of the catalysts operating in microreactors. The Ni/MgO catalyst reached the highest hydrogen production yield at 1073 K and steam-to-carbon ratio (S/C) of 1.5 under Steam methane Reforming (SMR) conditions. In addition, this catalyst also showed good activity and stability under NG reforming at S/C=1.0 and 2.0. The Ni/Al2O3 catalyst also showed high activity and good stability and it was the catalyst reaching the highest methane conversion (72.9 %) and H2out/CH4in ratio (2.4) under SMR conditions at 1073 K and S/C=1.0. However, this catalyst suffered from deactivation when it was tested under NG reforming conditions. Regarding the activity measurements carried out with the noble metal-based catalysts in the microreactor systems, they suffered a very quick deactivation, probably because of the effects attributed to carbon deposition, which was detected by Scanning Electron Microscope (SEM). When the FBR was used no catalytic activity was measured with the catalysts under investigation, probably because they were operated at the same WHSV than the microreactors and these WHSVs were too high for FBR system. In Chapter 4 biogas reforming processes were studied. This chapter starts with an introduction explaining the properties of the biogas and the main production routes. Then, the experimental procedure carried out is detailed giving concrete information about the experimental set-up, defining the parameters measured, specifying the characteristics of the reactors used and describing the characterization techniques utilized. Each following section describes the results obtained from activity testing with the different catalysts prepared, which is subsequently summarized: Section 4.3: Biogas reforming processes using γ-Al2O3 based catalysts The activity results obtained by several Ni-based catalysts and a bimetallic Rh-Ni catalyst supported on magnesia or alumina modified with oxides like CeO2 and ZrO2 are presented in this section. In addition, an alumina-based commercial catalyst was tested in order to compare the activity results measured. Four different biogas reforming processes were studied using a FBR: dry reforming (DR), biogas steam reforming (BSR), biogas oxidative reforming (BOR) and tri-reforming (TR). For the BSR process different steam to carbon ratios (S/C) from 1.0 to 3.0, were tested. In the case of BOR process the oxygen-to-methane (O2/CH4) ratio was varied from 0.125 to 0.50. Finally, for TR processes different S/C ratios from 1.0 to 3.0, and O2/CH4 ratios of 0.25 and 0.50 were studied. Then, the catalysts which achieved high activity and stability were impregnated in a microreactor to explore the viability of process intensification. The operation with microreactors was carried out under the best experimental conditions measured in the FBR. In addition, the physicochemical characterization of the fresh and spent catalysts was carried out by Inductively Coupled Plasma Atomic Emission Spectroscopy (ICP-AES), N2 physisorption, H2 chemisorption, Temperature Programmed Reduction (TPR), SEM, X-ray Photoelectron Spectroscopy (XPS) and X-ray powder Diffraction (XRD). Operating with the FBR, conversions close to the ones predicted by thermodynamic calculations were obtained by most of the catalysts tested. The Rh-Ni/Ce-Al2O3 catalyst obtained the highest hydrogen production yield in DR. In BSR process, the Ni/Ce-Al2O3 catalyst achieved the best activity results operating at S/C=1.0. In the case of BOR process, the Ni/Ce-Zr-Al2O3 catalyst showed the highest reactants conversion values operating at O2/CH4=0.25. Finally, in the TR process the Rh-Ni/Ce-Al2O3 catalyst obtained the best results operating at S/C=1.0 and O2/CH4=0.25. Therefore, these three catalysts were selected to be coated onto microchannels in order to test its performance under BOR and TR processes conditions. Although the operation using microreactors was carried out under considerably higher WHSV, similar conversions and yields as the ones measured in FBR were measured. Furthermore, attending to other measurements like Turnover Frequency (TOF) and Hydrogen Productivity (PROD), the values calculated for the catalysts tested in microreactors were one order of magnitude higher. Thus, due to the low dispersion degree measured by H2-chemisorption, the Ni/Ce-Al2O3 catalyst reached the highest TOF and PROD values. Section 4.4: Biogas reforming processes using Zeolites L based catalysts In this section three type of L zeolites, with different morphology and size, were synthesized and used as catalyst support. Then, for each type of L zeolite three nickel monometallic and their homologous Rh-Ni bimetallic catalysts were prepared by the wetness impregnation method. These catalysts were tested using the FBR under DR process and different conditions of BSR (S/C ratio of 1.0 and 2.0), BOR (O2/CH4 ratio of 0.25 and 0.50) and TR processes (at S/C=1.0 and O2/CH4=0.25). The characterization of these catalysts was also carried out by using the same techniques mentioned in the previous section. Very high methane and carbon dioxide conversion values were measured for almost all the catalysts under investigation. The experimental results evidenced the better catalytic behavior of the bimetallic catalysts as compared to the monometallic ones. Comparing the catalysts behavior with regards to their morphology, for the BSR process the Disc catalysts were the most active ones at the lowest S/C ratio tested. On the contrary, the Cylindrical (30–60 nm) catalysts were more active under BOR conditions at O2/CH4=0.25 and TR processes. By the contrary, the Cylindrical (1–3 µm) catalysts showed the worst activity results for both processes. Section 4.5: Biogas reforming processes using Na+ and Cs+ doped Zeolites LTL based catalysts A method for the synthesis of Linde Type L (LTL) zeolite under microwave-assisted hydrothermal conditions and its behavior as a support for heterogeneously catalyzed hydrogen production is described in this section. Then, rhodium and nickel-based bimetallic catalysts were prepared in order to be tested by DR process and BOR process at O2/CH4=0.25. Moreover, the characterization of the catalysts under investigation was also carried out. Higher activities were achieved by the catalysts prepared from the non-doped zeolites, Rh-Ni/D and Rh-Ni/N, as compared to the ones supported on Na+ and Cs+ exchanged supports. However, the differences between them were not very significant. In addition, the Na+ and Cs+ incorporation affected mainly to the Disc catalysts. Comparing the results obtained by these catalysts with the ones studied in the section 4.4, in general worst results were achieved under DR conditions and almost the same results when operated under BOR conditions. In Chapter 5 the ethylene glycol (EG) as feed for syngas production by steam reforming (SR) and oxidative steam reforming (OSR) was studied by using microchannel reactors. The product composition was determined at a S/C of 4.0, reaction temperatures between 625°C and 725°C, atmospheric pressure and Volume Hourly Space Velocities (VHSV) between 100 and 300 NL/(gcath). This work was divided in two sections. The first one corresponds to the introduction of the main and most promising EG production routes. Then, the new experimental procedure is detailed and the information about the experimental set-up and the measured parameters is described. The characterization was carried out using the same techniques as for the previous chapter. Then, the next sections correspond to the catalytic activity and catalysts characterization results. Section 5.3: xRh-cm and xRh-np catalysts for ethylene glycol reforming Initially, catalysts with different rhodium loading, from 1.0 to 5.0 wt. %, and supported on α-Al2O3 were prepared by two different preparation methods (conventional impregnation and separate nanoparticle synthesis). Then, the catalysts were compared regarding their measured activity and selectivity, as well as the characterization results obtained before and after the activity tests carried out. The samples prepared by a conventional impregnation method showed generally higher activity compared to catalysts prepared from Rh nanoparticles. By-product formation of species such as acetaldehyde, ethane and ethylene was detected, regardless if oxygen was added to the feed or not. Among the catalysts tested, the 2.5Rh-cm catalyst was considered the best one. Section 5.4: 2.5Rh-cm catalyst support modification with CeO2 and La2O3 In this part of the Chapter 5, the catalyst showing the best performance in the previous section, the 2.5Rh-Al2O3 catalyst, was selected in order to be improved. Therefore, new Rh based catalysts were designed using α-Al2O3 and being modified this support with different contents of CeO2 or La2O3 oxides. All the catalysts containing additives showed complete conversion and selectivities close to the equilibrium in both SR and OSR processes. In addition, for these catalysts the concentrations measured for the C2H4, CH4, CH3CHO and C2H6 by-products were very low. Finally, the 2.5Rh-20Ce catalyst was selected according to its catalytic activity and characterization results in order to run a stability test, which lasted more than 115 hours under stable operation. The last chapter, Chapter 6, summarizes the main conclusions achieved throughout this Thesis work. Although very high reactant conversions and rich hydrogen mixtures were obtained using a fixed bed reaction system, the use of microreactors improves the key issues, heat and mass transfer limitations, through which the reforming reactions are intensified. Therefore, they seem to be a very interesting and promising alternative for process intensification and decentralized production for remote application.