Income risk of EU coal-fired power plants after Kyoto

Coal-fired power plants may enjoy a significant advantage relative to gas plants in terms of cheaper fuel cost. Still, this advantage may erode or even turn into disadvantage depending on CO2 emission allowance price. This price will presumably rise in both the Kyoto Protocol commitment period (2008-2012) and the first post-Kyoto years. Thus, in a carbon-constrained environment, coal plants face financial risks arising in their profit margins, which in turn hinge on their so-called "clean dark spread". These risks are further reinforced when the price of the output electricity is determined by natural gas-fired plants' marginal costs, which differ from coal plants' costs. We aim to assess the risks in coal plants' margins. We adopt parameter values estimated from empirical data. These in turn are derived from natural gas and electricity markets alongside the EU ETS market where emission allowances are traded. Monte Carlo simulation allows to compute the expected value and risk profile of coal-based electricity generation. We focus on the clean dark spread in both time periods under different future scenarios in the allowance market. Specifically, bottom 5% and 10% percentiles are derived. According to our results, certain future paths of the allowance price may impose significant risks on the clean dark spread obtained by coal plants.

Does Immigration Raise Natives’ Income? National and Regional Evidence from Spain

How immigration affects the labor market of the host country is a topic of major concern for many immigrant-receiving nations. Spain is no exception following the rapid increase in immigrant flows experienced over the past decade. We assess the impact of immigration on Spanish natives’ income by estimating the net immigration surplus accruing at the national level and at high immigrant-receiving regions while taking into account the imperfect substitutability of immigrant and native labor. Specifically, using information on the occupational densities of immigrants and natives of different skill levels, we develop a mapping of immigrant-to-native self-reported skills that reveals the combination of natives across skills that would be equivalent to an immigrant of a given self-reported skill level, which we use to account for any differences between immigrant self-reported skill levels and their effective skills according to the Spanish labor market. We find that the immigrant surplus amounts to 0.04 percent of GDP at the national level and it is even higher for some of the main immigrant-receiving regions, such as Cataluña, Valencia, Madrid, and Murcia.

Social Security, Education, Retirement and Growth

In this paper we analyze the effects of social security policies in an unfunded, earnings-related social security system on the incentives to education investment and voluntary retirement, on growth and on income inequality. Growth is endogenously driven by human capital investment, individuals differ in their innate (learning) ability at birth, and the pension scheme includes a minimum pension. More skilled individuals spend more on education, minimum pensions reduce low skill individuals' incentives to invest in human capital, there is no monotonic relationship between per capita growth and income inequality.

Inequality for Wage Earners and Self-Employed: Evidence from Panel Data

Published as an article in: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2009, vol. 71, issue 4, pages 491-518.

Income Taxation and Growth in an OLG Economy: Does Aggregate Uncertainty Play any Role?

We analyze the effects of capital income taxation on long-run growth in a stochastic, two-period overlapping generations economy. Endogenous growth is driven by a positive externality of physical capital in the production sector that makes firms exhibit an aggregate technology in equilibrium. We distinguish between capital income and labor income, and between attitudes towards risk and intertemporal substitution of consumption. We show necessary and sufficient conditions such that i) increments in the capital income taxation lead to higher equilibrium growth rates, and ii) the effect of changes in the capital income tax rate on the equilibrium growth may be of opposite signs in stochastic and in deterministic economies. Such a sign reversal is shown to be more likely depending on i) how the intertemporal elasticity of substitution compares to one, and ii) the size of second- period labor supply. Numerical simulations show that for reasonable values of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution, a sign reversal shows up only for implausibly high values of the second- period’s labor supply. The conclusion is that deterministic OLG economies are a good approximation of the effect of taxes on the equilibrium growth rate as in Smith (1996).

Local and Global Externalities, Environmental Policies and Growth

33 p.

International Support of Climate Change Policies in Developing Countries: Strategic, Moral and Fairness Aspects

33 p.

Trends in Income and Price Elasticities of Transport Demand (1850-2010)

40 p.

Regional IAM: analysis of risk-adjusted costs and benefits of climate policies

23 p.

Local air pollution and global climate change taxes: a distributional analysis

25 p.

Duplicidades, concurrencias e ineficiencias en el entramado institucional vasco

[ES]El trabajo parte de una clarificación del concepto de duplicidad funcional administrativa distinguiéndolo de las concurrencias y las ineficiencias, y plantea un enfoque selectivo a la hora de afrontarlas. Se analizan los ámbitos críticos para la aparición de duplicidades e ineficiencias y sus posibles causas, para, posteriormente, examinar los instrumentos jurídicos de que disponemos para evitarlas o encauzarlas valorando su efectividad en las políticas de ingreso y de gasto, y finalmente realizar propuestas. El trabajo analiza, asimismo, recientes iniciativas legislativas (ley municipal de Euskadi y ley de administración pública vasca) que prevén cambios significativos en la institucionalización interna y en las relaciones entre Administraciones Públicas, vascas valorando sus novedades e insuficiencias como instrumento para superar las duplicidades.

Comparison of marketing policies applied by the same company in different countries and analysis of the reasons for the differences

The focus of this project is going to be, as the title indicates, on the comparison of marketing policies applied by the same company in different countries and analysis of the reasons for the differences. In order to do that, I have selected the company Nestlé to analyze the marketing decisions it makes across national boundaries to market the brand of Kit Kat and keep it as a leader snack worldwide. After having analyzed the brand in all continents, I can say the execution of the strategy used by Nestlé with Kit Kat really matches the planning of the strategy which is to think globally and act locally. Nestlé uses global brand identity but, from the internal point of view, it uses local ingredients and gives autonomy to its local branches based in different countries to make pricing and distributions decisions and therefore satisfy different consumers’ needs and preferences in local environments where changes happen very rapidly. The “glocal” approach to marketing is an effective way for Nestlé Kit Kat to stay focused on the consumer in worldwide markets.

Financial Futures Markets and Their Impact on the Real Economy in Middle and Low Income Countries

This project analyses the influence of the futures market on middle and low income countries. In it, I attempt to show that investments made by large investment funds in this market, as well as by certain pension plans, bring major consequences whose effects are more evident in less developed countries. The cornerstones of the work are as follows; to attempt to see the existing relationship between the commodity futures market and its underlying assets; analysing products such as wheat, rice and corn in-depth, because these are the most basic foodstuffs at a global level; to determine how an increase in trading in these markets can affect the lives of people in the poorest countries; to analyse investor concern regarding the consequences that their investments may have. Throughout the project we will see how large speculators use production forecasting models to determine the shortage of a commodity in order to take a position in the futures market to profit from it. In addition we will see how an increase in trading in this market causes an increase in the price of the underlying asset in the spot market. As for investor concern, I can say it is negligible, but the idea of running pension plans or investment funds that follow some social criteria has been welcomed by those interviewed, which makes me think that different legislation is possible. This legislation will only come into existence if it is demanded by the people. A fact that now becomes complicated because without a minimum financial basis, they cannot even know how the large investment funds trade with hunger in the world. The day when most people understand how large speculators profit from famine will be the day to put pressure on governments to begin to put limits on speculation. This makes financial awareness necessary in order to achieve a curb in excessive speculation.

Los Gastos Fiscales en España en los últimos años.

En este trabajo se realiza un análisis de los gastos fiscales en España durante los últimos 10 años. Para ello se parte de la definición y características de estos pasando por sus ventajas e inconvenientes, sus tres métodos de estimación del mismo y el utilizado en España, contextualizándolo en el marco legal básico del que emana los Presupuestos Generales del Estado. Continuamos abordando los gastos fiscales a través de tres puntos de vista diferentes: Presupuestario, donde se analizan los gastos fiscales a través de los Beneficios Fiscales y del Presupuesto de Ingresos. Por Políticas de Gasto, donde estos son analizados a través de las políticas a los que son destinados dichos gastos. Y finalmente, desde el punto de vista Impositivo, donde se analizan a través de cada impuesto individualmente en que elemento del impuesto se recogen dichos Beneficios Fiscales relacionándolos con las políticas de gasto a los que son destinados.

La Garantía de Rentas Mínimas en el Estado Español. Especial Referencia al Caso de la RGI vasca

[ESP] En este trabajo se realiza un análisis del surgimiento de las rentas mínimas en la Unión Europea y el Estado español, para centrarnos en el caso del País Vasco, no solo porque es la realidad que mejor conocemos sino también porque representa la experiencia más avanzada en este territorio. En primer lugar, analizaremos la orientación de las políticas europeas en materia de garantía de rentas, así como su influencia en el modelo vasco. En segundo lugar, daremos cuenta de los niveles de protección proporcionados hoy día por la Renta de Garantía de Ingresos vasca así como del perfil de la población beneficiaria. Por último, realizamos una valoración crítica de algunas propuestas de revisión del sistema de garantía de rentas español, tanto por su significado intrínseco, como por su eventual repercusión en el sistema vasco de garantía de ingresos.