Asymptotically Optimum Estimation of a Probability in Inverse Binomial Sampling under General Loss Functions

The optimum quality that can be asymptotically achieved in the estimation of a probability p using inverse binomial sampling is addressed. A general definition of quality is used in terms of the risk associated with a loss function that satisfies certain assumptions. It is shown that the limit superior of the risk for p asymptotically small has a minimum over all (possibly randomized) estimators. This minimum is achieved by certain non-randomized estimators. The model includes commonly used quality criteria as particular cases. Applications to the non-asymptotic regime are discussed considering specific loss functions, for which minimax estimators are derived.

IFMIF suitability for evaluation of fusion functional materials

The International FusionMaterials Irradiation Facility (IFMIF) is a future neutron source based on the D-Li stripping reaction, planned to test candidate fusionmaterials at relevant fusion irradiation conditions. During the design of IFMIF special attention was paid to the structural materials for the blanket and first wall, because they will be exposed to the most severe irradiation conditions in a fusion reactor. Also the irradiation of candidate materials for solid breeder blankets is planned in the IFMIF reference design. This paper focuses on the assessment of the suitability of IFMIF irradiation conditions for testing functionalmaterials to be used in liquid blankets and diagnostics systems, since they are been also considered within IFMIF objectives. The study has been based on the analysis and comparison of the main expected irradiation parameters in IFMIF and DEMO reactor.

Potential common radiation problems for components and diagnostics in future magnetic and inertial confinement fusion devices

This work aims at identifying commonpotentialproblems that futurefusiondevices will encounter for both magnetic and inertialconfinement approaches in order to promote joint efforts and to avoid duplication of research. Firstly, a comparison of radiation environments found in both fusion reaction chambers will be presented. Then, wall materials, optical components, cables and electronics will be discussed, pointing to possible future areas of common research. Finally, a brief discussion of experimental techniques available to simulate the radiation effect on materials is included

The role of spatial and temporal radiation deposition in inertial fusion chambers: the case of HiPER¿

The first wall armour for the reactor chamber of HiPER will have to face short energy pulses of 5 to 20 MJ mostly in the form of x-rays and charged particles at a repetition rate of 5–10 Hz. Armour material and chamber dimensions have to be chosen to avoid/minimize damage to the chamber, ensuring the proper functioning of the facility during its planned lifetime. The maximum energy fluence that the armour can withstand without risk of failure, is determined by temporal and spatial deposition of the radiation energy inside the material. In this paper, simulations on the thermal effect of the radiation–armour interaction are carried out with an increasing definition of the temporal and spatial deposition of energy to prove their influence on the final results. These calculations will lead us to present the first values of the thermo-mechanical behaviour of the tungsten armour designed for the HiPER project under a shock ignition target of 48 MJ. The results will show that only the crossing of the plasticity limit in the first few micrometres might be a threat after thousands of shots for the survivability of the armour.

Electromagnetic Instability Studies in Fusion Plasmas Edge

Este trabajo esta dedicado al estudio de las estructuras macroscópicas conocidas en la literatura como filamentos o blobs que han sido observadas de manera universal en el borde de todo tipo de dispositivos de fusión por confinamiento magnético. Estos filamentos, celdas convectivas elongadas a lo largo de las líneas de campo que surgen en el plasma fuertemente turbulento que existe en este tipo de dispositivos, parecen dominar el transporte radial de partículas y energía en la región conocida como Scrape-off Layer, en la que las líneas de campo dejan de estar cerradas y el plasma es dirigido hacia la pared sólida que forma la cámara de vacío. Aunque el comportamiento y las leyes de escala de estas estructuras son relativamente bien conocidos, no existe aún una teoría generalmente aceptada acerca del mecanismo físico responsable de su formación, que constituye una de las principales incógnitas de la teoría de transporte del borde en plasmas de fusión y una cuestión de gran importancia práctica en el desarrollo de la siguiente generación de reactores de fusión (incluyendo dispositivos como ITER y DEMO), puesto que la eficiencia del confinamiento y la cantidad de energía depositadas en la pared dependen directamente de las características del transporte en el borde. El trabajo ha sido realizado desde una perspectiva eminentemente experimental, incluyendo la observación y el análisis de este tipo de estructuras en el stellarator tipo heliotrón LHD (un dispositivo de gran tamaño, capaz de generar plasmas de características cercanas a las necesarias en un reactor de fusión) y en el stellarator tipo heliac TJ-II (un dispositivo de medio tamaño, capaz de generar plasmas relativamente más fríos pero con una accesibilidad y disponibilidad de diagnósticos mayor). En particular, en LHD se observó la generación de filamentos durante las descargas realizadas en configuración de alta _ (alta presión cinética frente a magnética) mediante una cámara visible ultrarrápida, se caracterizó su comportamiento y se investigó, mediante el análisis estadístico y la comparación con modelos teóricos, el posible papel de la Criticalidad Autoorganizada en la formación de este tipo de estructuras. En TJ-II se diseñó y construyó una cabeza de sonda capaz de medir simultáneamente las fluctuaciones electrostáticas y electromagnéticas del plasma. Gracias a este nuevo diagnóstico se pudieron realizar experimentos con el fin de determinar la presencia de corriente paralela a través de los filamentos (un parámetro de gran importancia en su modelización) y relacionar los dos tipos de fluctuaciones por primera vez en un stellarator. Así mismo, también por primera vez en este tipo de dispositivo, fue posible realizar mediciones simultáneas de los tensores viscoso y magnético (Reynolds y Maxwell) de transporte de cantidad de movimiento. ABSTRACT This work has been devoted to the study of the macroscopic structures known in the literature as filaments or blobs, which have been observed universally in the edge of all kind of magnetic confinement fusion devices. These filaments, convective cells stretching along the magnetic field lines, arise from the highly turbulent plasma present in this kind of machines and seem to dominate radial transport of particles and energy in the region known as Scrapeoff Layer, in which field lines become open and plasma is directed towards the solid wall of the vacuum vessel. Although the behavior and scale laws of these structures are relatively well known, there is no generally accepted theory about the physical mechanism involved in their formation yet, which remains one of the main unsolved questions in the fusion plasmas edge transport theory and a matter of great practical importance for the development of the next generation of fusion reactors (including ITER and DEMO), since efficiency of confinement and the energy deposition levels on the wall are directly dependent of the characteristics of edge transport. This work has been realized mainly from an experimental perspective, including the observation and analysis of this kind of structures in the heliotron stellarator LHD (a large device capable of generating reactor-relevant plasma conditions) and in the heliac stellarator TJ-II (a medium-sized device, capable of relatively colder plasmas, but with greater ease of access and diagnostics availability). In particular, in LHD, the generation of filaments during high _ discharges (with high kinetic to magnetic pressure ratio) was observed by means of an ultrafast visible camera, and the behavior of this structures was characterized. Finally, the potential role of Self-Organized Criticality in the generation of filaments was investigated. In TJ-II, a probe head capable of measuring simultaneously electrostatic and electromagnetic fluctuations in the plasma was designed and built. Thanks to this new diagnostic, experiments were carried out in order to determine the presence of parallel current through filaments (one of the most important parameters in their modelization) and to related electromagnetic (EM) and electrostatic (ES) fluctuations for the first time in an stellarator. As well, also for the first time in this kind of device, measurements of the viscous and magnetic momentum transfer tensors (Reynolds and Maxwell) were performed.

A Comparison of different Uncertainty Activation Cross-Section Data Libraries and collapsed values for different neutron spectra: ADS, FISSION and FUSION

PART I:Cross-section uncertainties under differentneutron spectra. PART II: Processing uncertainty libraries

Uncertainty assessment methodologies applied to Tritium production in fusion lithium breeding blankets

- Need of Tritium production - Neutronic objectives - The Frascati experiment - Measurements of Tritium activity

Temperature Evolution and Light Species Diffusion in Armor and Structural Material for Inertial Fusion Reactor Chambers: a Case for HiPER 4a

One of the most advance designs for HiPER fusion reactor is a spherical chamber 10 m in diameter based on dry wall concept. In this system, the first wall will have to withstand short energy pulses of 5 to 20 MJ at a repetition rate of 0.5-10 Hz mostly in form of X-rays and charged particles. To avoid melting of the inner surface, the first wall consists on a thin armor attached to the structural material. Thickness (th) and material of each layer have to be chosen to assure the proper functioning of the facility during its planned lifetime.

Diffusion Issues of Heat and Light Species in Laser Fusion Devices

There are several heat and mass diffusion problems which affect to the IFC chamber design. New simulation models and experiments are needed to take into account the extreme conditions due to ignition pulses and neutron flux

An overview on armor research for the laser fusion project HiPER

During the current preparatory phase of the European laser fusion project HiPER, an intensive effort has being placed to identify an armour material able to protect the internal walls of the chamber against the high thermal loads and high fluxes of x-rays and ions produced during the fusion explosions. This poster addresses the different threats and limitations of a poly-crystalline Tungsten armour. The analysis is carried out under the conditions of an experimental chamber hypothetically constructed to demonstrate laser fusion in a repetitive mode, subjected to a few thousand 48MJ shock ignition shots during its entire lifetime. If compared to the literature, an extrapolation of the thermomechanical and atomistic effects obtained from the simulations of the experimental chamber to the conditions of a Demo reactor (working 24/7 at hundreds of MW) or a future power plant (producing GW) suggests that “standard” tungsten will not be a suitable armour. Thus, new materials based on nano-structured W and C are being investigated as possible candidates. The research programme launched by the HiPER material team is introduced.

Silica final lenses under HiPER laser fusion reactor operation conditions

We have studied the thermo-mechanical response and atomistic degradation of final lenses in HiPER project. Final silica lenses are squares of 75 × 75 cm2 with a thickness of 5 cm. There are two scenarios where lenses are located at 8 m from the centre: •HiPER 4a, bunches of 100 shots (maximum 5 DT shots <48 MJ at ≈0.1 Hz). No blanket in chamber geometry. •HiPER 4b, continuous mode with shots ≈50 MJ at 10 Hz to generate 0.5 GW. Liquid metal blanket in chamber design.

Multi-scale study of hydrogen isotopes structural properties in solid phase in the context of inertial fusion target manufacturing

Designing the ignition and high-gain targets for inertial confinement fusion (ICF) requires a condensed uniform layer of the hydrogen fuel on the inner surface of a spherical polymer shell. The fuel layers have to be highly uniform in thickness and roughness.

TechnoFusion: new Spanish singular scientific-technical facility for fusion research

Technofusion is the scientific&technical installation for fusion research in Spain, based on three pillars: • It is an open facility to European users. • It is a facility with instrumentation not accesible to small research groups. • It is designed to be closely coordiated with the European Fusion Program. With a budget of 80-100 M€ over five years, several top laboratories will be constructed

Optimized edge appearance probability for cooperative localization based on tree-reweighted nonparametric belief propagation

Nonparametric belief propagation (NBP) is a well-known particle-based method for distributed inference in wireless networks. NBP has a large number of applications, including cooperative localization. However, in loopy networks NBP suffers from similar problems as standard BP, such as over-confident beliefs and possible nonconvergence. Tree-reweighted NBP (TRW-NBP) can mitigate these problems, but does not easily lead to a distributed implementation due to the non-local nature of the required so-called edge appearance probabilities. In this paper, we propose a variation of TRWNBP, suitable for cooperative localization in wireless networks. Our algorithm uses a fixed edge appearance probability for every edge, and can outperform standard NBP in dense wireless networks.

Materials Research for HiPER Laser Fusion Facilities: Chamber Wall, Structural Material and Final Optics

The European HiPER project aims to demonstrate commercial viability of inertial fusion energy within the following two decades. This goal requires an extensive Research &Development program on materials for different applications (e.g., first wall, structural components and final optics). In this paper we will discuss our activities in the framework of HiPER to develop materials studies for the different areas of interest. The chamber first wall will have to withstand explosions of at least 100 MJ at a repetition rate of 5-10 Hz. If direct drive targets are used, a dry wall chamber operated in vacuum is preferable. In this situation the major threat for the wall stems from ions. For reasonably low chamber radius (5-10 m) new materials based on W and C are being investigated, e.g., engineered surfaces and nanostructured materials. Structural materials will be subject to high fluxes of neutrons leading to deleterious effects, such as, swelling. Low activation advanced steels as well as new nanostructured materials are being investigated. The final optics lenses will not survive the extreme ion irradiation pulses originated in the explosions. Therefore, mitigation strategies are being investigated. In addition, efforts are being carried out in understanding optimized conditions to minimize the loss of optical properties by neutron and gamma irradiation