Os ciclos econômicos eleitorais e o Programa Bolsa-Família

A partir da disseminação do conhecimento sobre voto econômico no meio político, o incremento da renda real criado pelo Bolsa Família pode criar incentivos para que os governantes aumentem o valor dos repasses ou ampliem a base de famílias cadastradas com intuito de aumentar suas chances de reeleição. A hipótese testada nesse trabalho foi de que o governo influencia os gastos do Programa Bolsa Família e os aumentam anormalmente em períodos pré-eleitorais. Para testar essa hipótese, foram usadas as séries temporais de gastos mensais com o programa e de número de famílias beneficiárias desde janeiro de 2004 até dezembro de 2014. Para isso foram utilizados modelos estatísticos para identificar se estes gastos aumentam anormalmente em períodos que antecedem eleições, controlados por outros fatores que podem influenciar os gastos do programa, tais como PIB Nacional, Receitas e Despesas do Tesouro Nacional, Inflação e Desemprego. Os resultados sugerem a ocorrência de ciclos eleitorais nas eleições presidenciais, nos quais há uma aceleração no número de famílias inscritas no Bolsa Família nos três meses anteriores à campanha com a consequente aceleração dos gastos do programa no mesmo período, porém não há redução no número de famílias inscritas após as eleições e, por fim, que não existem efeitos no período das eleições locais.

RP96-11 The Farm Corporation: What It Is, How It Works, How It Is Taxed

A corporation is an artificial person that is created and operated according to state corporation statutes. It is a separate taxpayer subject to specific and detailed federal, state, and local tax laws. The advice and service of your lawyer are indispensable in organizing and operating a farm corporation. There are three basic forms of farm business organization, the sole proprietorship, the partnership, and the corporation. Variations of these forms have resulted in the limited partnership and the "tax option" corporation. These three basic forms are discussed in this research publication.

DOS CABIDES DE EMPREGO AOS CABIDES DO CONHECIMENTO: UM CASO DE PARCERIA ENTRE O INSTITUTO GENERAL MOTORS E A ESCOLAMUNICIPAL DE ENSINO PROFª. ALCINA DANTAS FEIJÃO NO DESENVOLVIMENTO DA RESPONSABILIDADE SOCIAL EMPRESARIAL

O Brasil, até poucos anos atrás, não via em sua agenda de prioridades a educação como foco principal para o crescimento econômico, talvez por não acreditar que com a estabilidade da moeda, abertura da economia e outros fatores necessitassem de pessoal qualificado para poder manter a capacidade produtiva. Assim, o país tenta corrigir esta situação investindo em educação, incorporando novas tecnologias no processo produtivo, necessitando de uma força de trabalho hábil para aprender e desenvolver as novas técnicas. Atualmente o Brasil mantém um dos menores índices de desemprego, no entanto, muitas empresas sofrem com o apagão da qualificação, necessitando realizar treinamentos e por consequência aumento em seus custos. As empresas tentam driblar a falta de pessoal qualificado investindo nos programas de estágio e trainee, realizando contratações de profissionais estrangeiros, criando universidades corporativas, e em alguns casos, as empresas estreitam seus laços junto às redes de ensino, a fim de preparar jovens para o domínio de novas tecnologias, associado ao aprimoramento em sua área de atuação, evitando assim o desequilíbrio entre teoria e prática . As organizações empresariais conscientes de seu papel começam a compreender que a prosperidade tão almejada não se traduz por faturamentos vultosos ou simplesmente pela quantidade de produtos vendidos. Estas despertam para a criação e adaptação de empresas-cidadãs que por meio de suas ações sociais, buscam desenvolver atividades solidárias. Neste contexto, o presente trabalho tem como objetivo geral analisar a Responsabilidade Social Empresarial sob a ótica de parcerias com escolas (parceria entre a General Motors do Brasil, por meio de seu braço social - o Instituto General Motors e a Escola Municipal de Ensino Profª. Alcina Dantas Feijão da Cidade de São Caetano do Sul). A parceria se concretiza, por meio do Programa Jovens Empreendedores ou Fábrica de Cabides . O intuito do Programa é despertar o espírito empreendedor nos estudantes e incentivar a formação de futuros empresários. Com os objetivos específicos determinou-se: a) estudar parcerias entre empresas e escolas no desenvolvimento da RSE; b) entender os motivos que levaram a empresa e a escola a concretizar a parceria e suas expectativas; c) identificar possíveis alterações ocorridas na escola, atribuídas ao processo de parceria. A partir destes objetivos, o procedimento metodológico foi orientado pelo método de estudo de caso, objetivando uma pesquisa mais voltada para abordagem qualitativa, levantando-se referenciais teóricos, bem como, procedimentos de análise de dados por meio de questionário, observação direta e artefatos físicos. A análise compreensiva dos dados foi realizada a partir de dois núcleos temáticos: importância da parceria e mercado de trabalho. Os resultados evidenciam que iniciativas de parcerias podem se reverter em melhoria da qualidade de ensino que permita o desenvolvimento de habilidades e competências necessárias à inserção responsável no mercado de trabalho com uma dimensão cidadã.

Environmental fiscal reform and unemployment in Spain in the presence of an informal sector

4 p.

Government spending and unemployment : An empirical study on Sweden, 1994-2012

The aim of the study was to see if any relationship between government spending andunemployment could be empirically found. To test if government spending affectsunemployment, a statistical model was applied on data from Sweden. The data was quarterlydata from the year 1994 until 2012, unit-root test were conducted and the variables wheretransformed to its first-difference so ensure stationarity. This transformation changed thevariables to growth rates. This meant that the interpretation deviated a little from the originalgoal. Other studies reviewed indicate that when government spending increases and/or taxesdecreases output increases. Studies show that unemployment decreases when governmentspending/GDP ratio increases. Some studies also indicated that with an already largegovernment sector increasing the spending it could have negative effect on output. The modelwas a VAR-model with unemployment, output, interest rate, taxes and government spending.Also included in the model were a linear and three quarterly dummies. The model used 7lags. The result was not statistically significant for most lags but indicated that as governmentspending growth rate increases holding everything else constant unemployment growth rateincreases. The result for taxes was even less statistically significant and indicates norelationship with unemployment. Post-estimation test indicates that there were problems withnon-normality in the model. So the results should be interpreted with some scepticism.

Growth, migration and unemployment across Swedish municipalities

Fundamental questions in economics are why some regions are richer than others, why their economic growth rates vary, whether their growth tends to converge and the key factors that contribute to the variations. These questions have not yet been fully addressed, but changes in the local tax base are clearly influenced by the average income growth rate, net migration rate, and changes in unemployment rates. Thus, the main aim of this paper is to explore in depth the interactive effects of these factors (and local policy variables) in Swedish municipalities, by estimating a proposed three-equation system. Our main finding is that increases in local public expenditures and income taxes have negative effects on subsequent local income growth. In addition, our results support the conditional convergence hypothesis, i.e. that average income tends to grow more rapidly in relatively poor local jurisdictions than in initially “richer” jurisdictions, conditional on the other explanatory variables.

Unemployment insurance an analysis of optimal mechanisms under aggregate shocks

The purpose of this work is to provide a brief overview of the literature on the optimal design of unemployment insurance systems by analyzing some of the most influential articles published over the last three decades on the subject and extend the main results to a multiple aggregate shocks environment. The properties of optimal contracts are discussed in light of the key assumptions commonly made in theoretical publications on the area. Moreover, the implications of relaxing each of these hypothesis is reckoned as well. The analysis of models of only one unemployment spell starts from the seminal work of Shavell and Weiss (1979). In a simple and common setting, unemployment benefits policies, wage taxes and search effort assignments are covered. Further, the idea that the UI distortion of the relative price of leisure and consumption is the only explanation for the marginal incentives to search for a job is discussed, putting into question the reduction in labor supply caused by social insurance, usually interpreted as solely an evidence of a dynamic moral hazard caused by a substitution effect. In addition, the paper presents one characterization of optimal unemployment insurance contracts in environments in which workers experience multiple unemployment spells. Finally, an extension to multiple aggregate shocks environment is considered. The paper ends with a numerical analysis of the implications of i.i.d. shocks to the optimal unemployment insurance mechanism.

Essays in dynamic optimal taxation: working experience, unemployment scarring and poverty

This thesis investigates the design of optimal tax systems in dynamic environments. The first essay characterizes the optimal tax system where wages depend on stochastic shocks and work experience. In addition to redistributive and efficiency motives, the taxation of inexperienced workers depends on a second-best requirement that encourages work experience, a social insurance motive and incentive effects. Calibrations using U.S. data yield higher expected optimal marginal income tax rates for experienced workers for most of the inexperienced workers. They confirm that the average marginal income tax rate increases (decreases) with age when shocks and work experience are substitutes (complements). Finally, more variability in experienced workers' earnings prospects leads to increasing tax rates since income taxation acts as a social insurance mechanism. In the second essay, the properties of an optimal tax system are investigated in a dynamic private information economy where labor market frictions create unemployment that destroys workers' human capital. A two-skill type model is considered where wages and employment are endogenous. I find that the optimal tax system distorts the first-period wages of all workers below their efficient levels which leads to more employment. The standard no-distortion-at-the-top result no longer holds due to the combination of private information and the destruction of human capital. I show this result analytically under the Maximin social welfare function and confirm it numerically for a general social welfare function. I also investigate the use of a training program and job creation subsidies. The final essay analyzes the optimal linear tax system when there is a population of individuals whose perceptions of savings are linked to their disposable income and their family background through family cultural transmission. Aside from the standard equity/efficiency trade-off, taxes account for the endogeneity of perceptions through two channels. First, taxing labor decreases income, which decreases the perception of savings through time. Second, taxation on savings corrects for the misperceptions of workers and thus savings and labor decisions. Numerical simulations confirm that behavioral issues push labor income taxes upward to finance saving subsidies. Government transfers to individuals are also decreased to finance those same subsidies.

Suggested draft amendments to state unemployment compensation laws occasioned by enactment of the "Social Security Act Amendments of 1939" /

Mode of access: Internet.

The tax base of the U.S. unemployment insurance tax : an empirical analysis /

Bibliography: p. 20.

Essays in dynamic optimal taxation: working experience, unemployment scarring and poverty

This thesis investigates the design of optimal tax systems in dynamic environments. The first essay characterizes the optimal tax system where wages depend on stochastic shocks and work experience. In addition to redistributive and efficiency motives, the taxation of inexperienced workers depends on a second-best requirement that encourages work experience, a social insurance motive and incentive effects. Calibrations using U.S. data yield higher expected optimal marginal income tax rates for experienced workers for most of the inexperienced workers. They confirm that the average marginal income tax rate increases (decreases) with age when shocks and work experience are substitutes (complements). Finally, more variability in experienced workers' earnings prospects leads to increasing tax rates since income taxation acts as a social insurance mechanism. In the second essay, the properties of an optimal tax system are investigated in a dynamic private information economy where labor market frictions create unemployment that destroys workers' human capital. A two-skill type model is considered where wages and employment are endogenous. I find that the optimal tax system distorts the first-period wages of all workers below their efficient levels which leads to more employment. The standard no-distortion-at-the-top result no longer holds due to the combination of private information and the destruction of human capital. I show this result analytically under the Maximin social welfare function and confirm it numerically for a general social welfare function. I also investigate the use of a training program and job creation subsidies. The final essay analyzes the optimal linear tax system when there is a population of individuals whose perceptions of savings are linked to their disposable income and their family background through family cultural transmission. Aside from the standard equity/efficiency trade-off, taxes account for the endogeneity of perceptions through two channels. First, taxing labor decreases income, which decreases the perception of savings through time. Second, taxation on savings corrects for the misperceptions of workers and thus savings and labor decisions. Numerical simulations confirm that behavioral issues push labor income taxes upward to finance saving subsidies. Government transfers to individuals are also decreased to finance those same subsidies.