Structural Breaks in the Real Exchange Rate and Real Interest Rate Relationship

In this paper we empirically examine the relationship between the real exchange rate and real interest rate differentials using recent econometric methods robust to potential structural breaks. Generally, our study provides evidence of this relationship in the long-run context. More specifically, we first focus on the UK-US relationship, and interestingly find limited evidence of this long-run relationship using traditional methods. But when an approach robust to endogenously determined structural breaks is employed, we find evidence that the real interest rate differential is an important determinant of the real exchange rate. Secondly, in order to investigate the relevance of structural shifts in a more global context, we carry out multiple country analysis. While providing evidence of this long-run relationship, European data suggest that the presence of structural breaks is not very common across countries and is indeed country-specific.

DNA evidence, probabilistic evaluation and collaborative tests.

Forensic scientists working in 12 state or private laboratories participated in collaborative tests to improve the reliability of the presentation of DNA data at trial. These tests were motivated in response to the growing criticism of the power of DNA evidence. The experts' conclusions in the tests are presented and discussed in the context of the Bayesian approach to interpretation. The use of a Bayesian approach and subjective probabilities in trace evaluation permits, in an easy and intuitive manner, the integration into the decision procedure of any revision of the measure of uncertainty in the light of new information. Such an integration is especially useful with forensic evidence. Furthermore, we believe that this probabilistic model is a useful tool (a) to assist scientists in the assessment of the value of scientific evidence, (b) to help jurists in the interpretation of judicial facts and (c) to clarify the respective roles of scientists and of members of the court. Respondents to the survey were reluctant to apply this methodology in the assessment of DNA evidence.

Atmospheric deposition and migration of artificial radionuclides in Alpine soils (Val Piora, Switzerland) compared to the distribution of selected major and trace elements.

Artificial radionuclides ((137)Cs, (90)Sr, Pu, and (241)Am) are present in soils because of Nuclear Weapon Tests and accidents in nuclear facilities. Their distribution in soil depth varies according to soil characteristics, their own chemical properties, and their deposition history. For this project, we studied the atmospheric deposition of (137)Cs, (90)Sr, Pu, (241)Am, (210)Pb, and stable Pb. We compared the distribution of these elements in soil profiles from different soil types from an alpine Valley (Val Piora, Switzerland) with the distribution of selected major and trace elements in the same soils. Our goals were to explain the distribution of the radioisotopes as a function of soil parameters and to identify stable elements with analogous behaviors. We found that Pu and (241)Am are relatively immobile and accumulate in the topsoil. In all soils, (90)Sr is more mobile and shows some accumulations at depth into Fe-Al rich horizons. This behavior is also observed for Cu and Zn, indicating that these elements may be used as chemical analogues for the migration of (90)Sr into the soil.

Modeling of Pressurizer Using APROS and TRACE Thermal Hydraulic Codes

Diplomityön tavoitteena on paineistimen yksityiskohtainen mallintaminen APROS- ja TRACE- termohydrauliikkaohjelmistoja käyttäen. Rakennetut paineistinmallit testattiin vertaamalla laskentatuloksia paineistimen täyttymistä, tyhjentymistä ja ruiskutusta käsittelevistä erilliskokeista saatuun mittausdataan. Tutkimuksen päätavoitteena on APROSin paineistinmallin validoiminen käyttäen vertailuaineistona PACTEL ATWS-koesarjan sopivia paineistinkokeita sekä MIT Pressurizer- ja Neptunus- erilliskokeita. Lisäksi rakennettiin malli Loviisan ydinvoimalaitoksen paineistimesta, jota käytettiin turbiinitrippitransientin simulointiin tarkoituksena selvittää mahdolliset voimalaitoksen ja koelaitteistojen mittakaavaerosta johtuvat vaikutukset APROSin paineistinlaskentaan. Kokeiden simuloinnissa testattiin erilaisia noodituksia ja mallinnusvaihtoehtoja, kuten entalpian ensimmäisen ja toisen kertaluvun diskretisointia, ja APROSin sekä TRACEn antamia tuloksia vertailtiin kattavasti toisiinsa. APROSin paineistinmallin lämmönsiirtokorrelaatioissa havaittiin merkittävä puute ja laskentatuloksiin saatiin huomattava parannus ottamalla käyttöön uusi seinämälauhtumismalli. Työssä tehdyt TRACE-simulaatiot ovat osa United States Nuclear Regulatory Commissionin kansainvälistä CAMP-koodinkehitys-ja validointiohjelmaa.

Formation and Control of Trace Metal Emissions in Co-Firing of Biomass, Peat, and Wastes in Fluidised Bed Combustors

Environmentally harmful consequences of fossil fuel utilisation andthe landfilling of wastes have increased the interest among the energy producers to consider the use of alternative fuels like wood fuels and Refuse-Derived Fuels, RDFs. The fluidised bed technology that allows the flexible use of a variety of different fuels is commonly used at small- and medium-sized power plants ofmunicipalities and industry in Finland. Since there is only one mass-burn plantcurrently in operation in the country and no intention to build new ones, the co-firing of pre-processed wastes in fluidised bed boilers has become the most generally applied waste-to-energy concept in Finland. The recently validated EU Directive on Incineration of Wastes aims to mitigate environmentally harmful pollutants of waste incineration and co-incineration of wastes with conventional fuels. Apart from gaseous flue gas pollutants and dust, the emissions of toxic tracemetals are limited. The implementation of the Directive's restrictions in the Finnish legislation is assumed to limit the co-firing of waste fuels, due to the insufficient reduction of the regulated air pollutants in the existing flue gas cleaning devices. Trace metals emission formation and reduction in the ESP, the condensing wet scrubber, the fabric filter, and the humidification reactor were studied, experimentally, in full- and pilot-scale combustors utilising the bubbling fluidised bed technology, and, theoretically, by means of reactor model calculations. The core of the model is a thermodynamic equilibrium analysis. The experiments were carried out with wood chips, sawdust, and peat, and their refuse-derived fuel, RDF, blends. In all, ten different fuels or fuel blends were tested. Relatively high concentrations of trace metals in RDFs compared to the concentrations of these metals in wood fuels increased the trace metal concentrations in the flue gas after the boiler ten- to hundred-folds, when RDF was co-fired with sawdust in a full-scale BFB boiler. In the case of peat, lesser increase in trace metal concentrations was observed, due to the higher initial trace metal concentrations of peat compared to sawdust. Despite the high removal rate of most of the trace metals in the ESP, the Directive emission limits for trace metals were exceeded in each of the RDF co-firing tests. The dominat trace metals in fluegas after the ESP were Cu, Pb and Mn. In the condensing wet scrubber, the flue gas trace metal emissions were reduced below the Directive emission limits, whenRDF pellet was used as a co-firing fuel together with sawdust and peat. High chlorine content of the RDFs enhanced the mercuric chloride formation and hence the mercury removal in the ESP and scrubber. Mercury emissions were lower than theDirective emission limit for total Hg, 0.05 mg/Nm3, in all full-scale co-firingtests already in the flue gas after the ESP. The pilot-scale experiments with aBFB combustor equipped with a fabric filter revealed that the fabric filter alone is able to reduce the trace metal concentrations, including mercury, in the flue gas during the RDF co-firing approximately to the same level as they are during the wood chip firing. Lower trace metal emissions than the Directive limits were easily reached even with a 40% thermal share of RDF co-firing with sawdust.Enrichment of trace metals in the submicron fly ash particle fraction because of RDF co-firing was not observed in the test runs where sawdust was used as the main fuel. The combustion of RDF pellets with peat caused an enrichment of As, Cd, Co, Pb, Sb, and V in the submicron particle mode. Accumulation and release oftrace metals in the bed material was examined by means of a bed material analysis, mass balance calculations and a reactor model. Lead, zinc and copper were found to have a tendency to be accumulated in the bed material but also to have a tendency to be released from the bed material into the combustion gases, if the combustion conditions were changed. The concentration of the trace metal in the combustion gases of the bubbling fluidised bed boiler was found to be a summary of trace metal fluxes from three main sources. They were (1) the trace metal flux from the burning fuel particle (2) the trace metal flux from the ash in the bed, and (3) the trace metal flux from the active alkali metal layer on the sand (and ash) particles in the bed. The amount of chlorine in the system, the combustion temperature, the fuel ash composition and the saturation state of the bed material in regard to trace metals were discovered to be key factors affecting therelease process. During the co-firing of waste fuels with variable amounts of e.g. ash and chlorine, it is extremely important to consider the possible ongoingaccumulation and/or release of the trace metals in the bed, when determining the flue gas trace metal emissions. If the state of the combustion process in regard to trace metals accumulation and/or release in the bed material is not known,it may happen that emissions from the bed material rather than the combustion of the fuel in question are measured and reported.

Simulation-Based Finite and Large Sample Tests in Multivariate Regressions.

In the context of multivariate linear regression (MLR) models, it is well known that commonly employed asymptotic test criteria are seriously biased towards overrejection. In this paper, we propose a general method for constructing exact tests of possibly nonlinear hypotheses on the coefficients of MLR systems. For the case of uniform linear hypotheses, we present exact distributional invariance results concerning several standard test criteria. These include Wilks' likelihood ratio (LR) criterion as well as trace and maximum root criteria. The normality assumption is not necessary for most of the results to hold. Implications for inference are two-fold. First, invariance to nuisance parameters entails that the technique of Monte Carlo tests can be applied on all these statistics to obtain exact tests of uniform linear hypotheses. Second, the invariance property of the latter statistic is exploited to derive general nuisance-parameter-free bounds on the distribution of the LR statistic for arbitrary hypotheses. Even though it may be difficult to compute these bounds analytically, they can easily be simulated, hence yielding exact bounds Monte Carlo tests. Illustrative simulation experiments show that the bounds are sufficiently tight to provide conclusive results with a high probability. Our findings illustrate the value of the bounds as a tool to be used in conjunction with more traditional simulation-based test methods (e.g., the parametric bootstrap) which may be applied when the bounds are not conclusive.

Investlgations On The Chemical Constituents And Trace Metal Interactions In Some Bivalve Moll.USCS Of The Cochin Backwaters

The subsequent chapters of the Thesis deal with the toxic effects of mercury, copper, zinc und~1ead on these bivalve molluecs, their accumulation and distribution among various organs of the animals and also the motel retention winstica by the three species. Static biousauy tests have been conducted in these studies. It was found that the concentrations of the various metals studied in these organism are well below the permitted level given far ease ahellfienes (crab and ehrimgi and that these maliuscs are very good integrators ef trace metals from their environment and may be used as an indicator organism sf metal pallutaute. The present investigutionsemphaeie the need for a clean coastal water and gives a serious warning regarding the possiblc route of heavy metals in ta human body thraugh marine food chain.

Correlations of trace elements in breast human tissues: Evaluation of spatial distribution using μ-XRF

The aim of this work is to investigate microscopic correlations between trace elements in breast human tissues. A synchrotron X-ray fluorescence microprobe system (μ-XRF) was used to obtain two-dimensional distribution of trace element Ca, Fe, Cu and Zn in normal (6 samples) and malignant (14 samples) breast tissues. The experiment was performed in X-ray Fluorescence beam line at Laboratório Nacional de Luz Síncrotron (LNLS), Campinas, Brazil. The white microbeam was generated with a fine conical capillary with a 20 μm output diameter. The samples were supported on a XYZ table. An optical microscope with motorized zoom was used for sample positioning and choice the area to be scanned. Automatic two-dimensional scans were programmed and performed with steps of 30 μm in each direction (x, y) on the selected area. The fluorescence signals were recorded using a Si(Li) detector, positioned at 90 degrees with respect to the incident beam, with a collection time of 10 s per point. The elemental maps obtained from each sample were overlap to observe correlation between trace elements. Qualitative results showed that the pairs of elements Ca-Zn and Fe-Cu could to be correlated in malignant breast tissues. Quantitative results, achieved by Spearman correlation tests, indicate that there is a spatial correlation between these pairs of elements (p < 0.001) suggesting the importance of these elements in metabolic processes associated with the development of the tumor.

Determination of trace elemental species in periostracum of Cypraea shells

n this work, three Cypraea species (C. talpa, C. tigris and C. zebra) were exhaustively studied. The shells have been separated in the structural layers. The mineralogy, ultra- and micro-structure of each layer were analyzed by Confocal Laser Scanning Microscopy (CLSM), Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM), X-Ray Diffractometry (XRD) and Raman Spectroscopy (RS). The presence of biologically relevant trace metals (Mn, Co, Fe, Zn, Cr, etc.) has been investigated using Instrumental Neutron Activation Analysis (INAA) and Inductively Coupled Plasma – Mass Spectrometry (ICP-MS) as detection tool. A new method has been developed and optimized to extract and analyze the soluble organic matrix (SOM) of the shell. Although the molecular nature of the SOM is not really known, it contains at least large protein fraction, if not only consists of proteins. The extracted matrices were compared between layers and species using Size Exclusion High Performance Liquid Chromatography coupled with Ultra Violet Spectrometry (SE-HPLC-UV), Gel electrophoresis (GE) and protein quantification tests. For the first time to our knowledge the association of trace elements to the protein in the SOM of the shell was studied using hyphenated on line as well as combined off line techniques and validated through inter-comparison tests between the different methods applied. Interesting correlations between the trace element concentration, the microstructure and the protein content were directly and indirectly detected. The metals Cu, Ni, Co and Zn have shown to bind to the SOM extracted from C. talpa, C. tigris and C. zebra shells. Within the conclusions of this work it was demonstrated that these protein-metal-complexes (or metal containing proteins) change from one layer to the other and are different between the three snails analyzed. In addition, the complexes are clearly related only to certain protein fractions of the SOM, and not to the whole SOM observed. These fractions and show not to be very metal-specific (i.e. some of these fractions bind two or three different metals).

The development and deployment of FOTOS: a fast observation of trace organics system

Flüchtige organische Bestandteile (engl.: VOC) sind in der Atmosphäre in Spuren vorhanden, spielen aber trotzdem eine wichtige Rolle in der Luftchemie: sie beeinflussen das Ozon der Troposphäre, städtischen Smog, Oxidationskapazität und haben direkte und indirekte Auswirkungen auf die globale Klimaveränderung. Eine wichtige Klasse der VOC sind die Nicht-Methan-Kohlenwasserstoffe (engl.: NMHC), die überwiegend von anthropogenen Quellen kommen. Aus diesem Grund ist für Luftchemiker ein Messinstrument nötig, das die VOC, die NMHC eingeschlossen, mit einer höheren Zeitauflösung misst, besonders für Echtzeitmessungen an Bord eines Forschungsflugzeuges. Dafür wurde das System zur schnellen Beobachtung von organischen Spuren (engl.: FOTOS) entworfen, gebaut für den Einsatz in einem neuen Wissenschaftlichen Flugzeug, das in großen Höhen und über weite Strecken fliegt, genannt HALO. In der Folge wurde FOTOS in zwei Messkampagnen am Boden getestet. FOTOS wurde entworfen und gebaut mit einem speziell angefertigten, automatisierten, kryogenen Probensystem mit drei Fallen und einem angepassten, erworbenen schnellen GC-MS. Ziel dieses Aufbaus war es, die Vielseitigkeit zu vergrößern und das Störungspotential zu verringern, deshalb wurden keine chemischen Trocknungsmittel oder adsorbierenden Stoffe verwendet. FOTOS erreichte eine Probenfrequenz von 5.5 Minuten, während es mindestens 13 verschiedene C2- bis C5-NMHC maß. Die Drei-Sigma-Detektionsgrenze für n- und iso-Pentan wurde als 2.6 und 2.0 pptv ermittelt, in dieser Reihenfolge. Labortests bestätigten, dass FOTOS ein vielseitiges, robustes, hochautomatisiertes, präzises, genaues, empfindliches Instrument ist, geeignet für Echtzeitmessungen von VOC in Probenfrequenzen, die angemessen sind für ein Forschungsflugzeug wie HALO. Um die Leistung von FOTOS zu bestätigen, wurde vom 26. Januar bis 4. Februar 2010 ein Zwischenvergleich gemacht mit dem GC-FID-System am Meteorologischen Observatorium Hohenpeißenberg, einer WMO-GAW-globalen Station. Dreizehn verschiedene NMHC wurden innerhalb des Rahmens der GWA Data Quality Objectives (DQO) analysiert und verglichen. Mehr als 80% der Messungen von sechs C3- bis C5-NMHC erfüllten diese DQO. Diese erste Messkampagne im Feld hob die Robustheit und Messgenauigkeit von FOTOS hervor, zusätzlich zu dem Vorteil der höheren Probenfrequenz, sogar in einer Messung am Boden. Um die Möglichkeiten dieses Instrumentes im Feld zu zeigen, maß FOTOS ausgewählte leichte NMHC während einer Messkampagne im Borealen Waldgebiet, HUMPPA-COPEC 2010. Vom 12. Juli bis zum 12. August 2010 beteiligte sich eine internationale Gruppe von Instituten und Instrumenten an Messungen physikalischer und chemischer Größen der Gas- und Partikelphasen der Luft über dem Borealen Wald an der SMEAR II-Station nahe Hyyttiälä, Finnland. Es wurden mehrere Hauptpunkte von Interesse im Mischungsverhältnis der Alkane und im Isomerenverhätnis von Pentan identifiziert, insbesondere sehr unterschiedliche Perioden niedriger und hoher Variabilität, drei Rauchschwaden von Biomassen-Verbrennung von russischen Waldbränden und zwei Tage mit extrem sauberer Luft aus der Polarregion. Vergleiche der NMHC mit anderen anthropogenen Indikatoren zeigten mehrere Quellen anthropogener Einflüsse am Ort auf und erlaubten eine Unterscheidung zwischen lokalen und weiter entfernten Quellen. Auf einen minimalen natürlichen Beitrag zum 24h-Kreislauf von NOx wurde geschlussfolgert aus der Korrelation von NOx mit Alkanen. Altersschätzungen der Luftmassen durch das Isomerenverhältnis von Pentan wurden erschwert durch sich verändernde Verhältnisse der Quellen und durch Besonderheiten der Photochemie während des Sommers im hohen Norden. Diese Messungen zeigten den Wert des Messens leichter NMHC, selbst in abgelegenen Regionen, als einen zusätzlichen spezifischen Marker von anthropogenem Einfluss.

Object-Oriented Legacy System Trace-based Logic Testing

When reengineering legacy systems, it is crucial to assess if the legacy behavior has been preserved or how it changed due to the reengineering effort. Ideally if a legacy system is covered by tests, running the tests on the new version can identify potential differences or discrepancies. However, writing tests for an unknown and large system is difficult due to the lack of internal knowledge. It is especially difficult to bring the system to an appropriate state. Our solution is based on the acknowledgment that one of the few trustable piece of information available when approaching a legacy system is the running system itself. Our approach reifies the execution traces and uses logic programming to express tests on them. Thereby it eliminates the need to programatically bring the system in a particular state, and handles the test-writer a high-level abstraction mechanism to query the trace. The resulting system, called TESTLOG, was used on several real-world case studies to validate our claims.

Microwave remote sensing of stratospheric trace gases using digital Fast Fourier Transform spectrometers

The Institute of Applied Physics observes middle atmospheric trace gases, such as ozone and water vapour, by microwave radiometry. We report on the comparison of measurements using a novel digital Fast Fourier Transform and accousto optical spectrometers. First tests made on ground are presented as well as first experience about the use of such spectrometers under aircraft conditions.

Forebrain-cerebellum interactions revealed by trace eyelid conditioning

While it is commonly assumed that brain systems receive and process information from other brain systems, there are few examples of tractable behaviors that allow such interactions to be studied. With the experiments presented in this dissertation we provide evidence that trace eyelid conditioning, a simple form of associative learning, is mediated by cerebellar learning in response to the output of persistent neural activity in the prefrontal cortex (PFC) and thus may be useful in analyses of PFC-cerebellar interactions. In a series of stimulation and reversible inactivation experiments we provide evidence that trace eyelid conditioning is mediated by cerebellar learning in response to a learned forebrain-driven input. Specifically, we provide evidence that this input is driven by the medial PFC and persists through the stimulus free trace interval of trace eyelid conditioning. In the next set of experiments we show that directly presenting the cerebellum with a pattern of input that mimics the classic persistent activity of PFC neurons reconstitutes trace eyelid conditioning, as assessed by a number of stringent tests. Finally, in set of reversible inactivation experiments, we provide evidence that bidirectional learning during trace eyelid conditioning involves the omission of the persistent, PFC-driven input that the cerebellum learns and responds to during trace eyelid conditioning. Given that persistent activity in PFC is often associated with working memory, these experiments suggest that trace eyelid conditioning may be useful in analyses of working memory mechanisms, cerebellar information processing and their interaction. To facilitate future analyses, we conclude with a working hypothesis of forebrain-cerebellum interactions during trace eyelid conditioning that addresses how persistent activity in PFC is induced and how the cerebellum decodes and uses PFC-driven input. ^

The Wedgwood handbook. : A manual for collectors. Treating of the marks, monograms, and other tests of the old period of manufacture /

"First published London, 1875. Reprinted, 1963."