Do retail investors use technical analysis? Evidence from Stuttgart stock exchange.

Tutkielma käyttää automaattista kuviontunnistusalgoritmia ja yleisiä kahden liukuvan keskiarvon leikkauspiste –sääntöjä selittääkseen Stuttgartin pörssissä toimivien yksityissijoittajien myynti-osto –epätasapainoa ja siten vastatakseen kysymykseen ”käyttävätkö yksityissijoittajat teknisen analyysin menetelmiä kaupankäyntipäätöstensä perustana?” Perusolettama sijoittajien käyttäytymisestä ja teknisen analyysin tuottavuudesta tehtyjen tutkimusten perusteella oli, että yksityissijoittajat käyttäisivät teknisen analyysin metodeja. Empiirinen tutkimus, jonka aineistona on DAX30 yhtiöiden data vuosilta 2009 – 2013, ei tuottanut riittävän selkeää vastausta tutkimuskysymykseen. Heikko todistusaineisto näyttää kuitenkin osoittavan, että yksityissijoittajat muuttavat kaupankäyntikäyttäytymistänsä eräiden kuvioiden ja leikkauspistesääntöjen ohjastamaan suuntaan.

Will the PRIPs' KID live up to its promise to protect investors? ECMI Commentary No. 33, 6 July 2012

Unveiled by the European Commission on July 3rd, the proposed Regulation on key information documents (KID) for packaged retail investment products (PRIPs) represents a step forward in enhancing the protection of retail investors and advancing the single market for financial services. While acknowledging in this Commentary that the KID is a commendable effort, ECMI/CEPS researcher Mirzha de Manuel Aramendía observes that pre-contractual disclosure is just one of the pieces in the jigsaw puzzle of investor protection and regrets that other pieces, such as MiFID and the IMD, are not so ambitiously constructed.

The SEC’s retail investor 2.0: Interactive data and the rise of calculative accountability

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States mandated a new digital reporting system for US companies in late 2008. The new generation of information provision has been dubbed by Chairman Cox, ‘interactive data’ (SEC, 2006a). Despite the promise of its name, we find that in the development of the project retail investors are invoked as calculative actors rather than engaged in dialogue. Similarly, the potential for the underlying technology to be applied in ways to encourage new forms of accountability appears to be forfeited in the interests of enrolling company filers. We theorise the activities of the SEC and in particular its chairman at the time, Christopher Cox, over a three year period, both prior to and following the ‘credit crisis’. We argue that individuals and institutions play a central role in advancing the socio-technical project that is constituted by interactive data. We adopt insights from ANT (Callon, 1986; Latour, 1987, 2005b) and governmentality (Miller, 2008; Miller and Rose, 2008) to show how regulators and the proponents of the technology have acted as spokespersons for the interactive data technology and the retail investor. We examine the way in which calculative accountability has been privileged in the SEC’s construction of the retail investor as concerned with atomised, quantitative data (Kamuf, 2007; Roberts, 2009; Tsoukas, 1997). We find that the possibilities for the democratising effects of digital information on the Internet has not been realised in the interactive data project and that it contains risks for the very investors the SEC claims to seek to protect.

Interactive data and retail investor decision-making:an experimental study

The results of an experimental study of retail investors' use of eXtensible Business Reporting Language tagged (interactive) data and PDF format for making investment decisions are reported. The main finding is that data format made no difference to participants' ability to locate and integrate information from statement footnotes to improve investment decisions. Interactive data were perceived by participants as quick and 'accurate', but it failed to facilitate the identification of the adjustment needed to make the ratios accurate for comparison. An important implication is that regulators and software designers should work to reduce user reliance on the comparability of ratios generated automatically using interactive data.

Rahoitusvälineiden markkinat -direktiivin (MiFID) vaikutukset sijoituspalvelun tarjoajan velvollisuuksiin ja sijoittajansuojaan

Tutkielmassa selvitetään rahoitusvälineiden markkinat -direktiivin vaikutuksia sijoituspalvelun tarjoajan velvollisuuksiin ja sijoittajansuojaan oikeusdogmaattisen metodin avulla. Tutkielmassa pyritään vastaamaan seuraaviin kysymyksiin: 1) Millainen merkitys MIFID-direktiivillä on Euroopan unionin rahoitusmarkkinoiden integraatiolle? 2) Mitä velvollisuuksia sijoituspalvelun tarjoajalla on MiFID-direktiivin implementoinnin jälkeen? 3) Millainen sijoittajansuoja on MiFID-direktiivin seurauksena? 4) Mitä mahdollisia puutteita sijoittajansuojassa on, ja miten säädäntöä tulisi kehittää? MiFID-direktiivi edistää merkittävästi EU:n rahoitusmarkkinoiden integrointia. MiFID helpottaa pääomien ja sijoituspalvelujen liikkuvuutta jäsenvaltioiden rajojen yli. Sijoituspalvelun tarjoajan menettelytapavelvollisuudet ovat lisääntyneet, minkä johdosta sijoittajansuoja on parantunut. Etenkin direktiivin selonotto- ja tiedonantovelvollisuus aiheuttavat transaktiokustannuksia, mutta vähentävät toisaalta palvelun tarjoajan ja asiakkaan välistä neoklassista oikeustaloustieteellistä informaation epäsymmetriaa. Selonottovelvollisuuden sääntelyä EU:ssa kehitettäessä tulee kansallisia menettelytapoja yhdenmukaistaa. Kun palvelun tarjoajat täyttävät tiedonantovelvollisuuttaan, ei-ammattimaiset asiakkaat saattavat joutua informaatiotulvaan, josta jotkut eivät kykene erottamaan merkityksellisiä tietoja. Menettelytapojen nykyinen paras toteutus -velvollisuus on tulkinnanvarainen. Sijoitusneuvontaa koskee päämies–agentti-teorian mukainen valvontaongelma, minkä takia palvelun tarjoajan ja sijoittajan intressit tulisi säädännön avulla saada nykyistä yhteneväisemmiksi. MiFIDin säädökset eivät välttämättä johda ei-ammattimaisten asiakkaiden saaman informaation optimaaliseen allokointiin eivätkä informaatiokustannusten tehokkaaseen kohdistumiseen. Monimutkaisten rahoitusinstrumenttien käsitettä tulisi tarkentaa ja kyseisiä tuotteita tarjota ainoastaan ammattimaisille asiakkaille ja hyväksyttäville vastapuolille. Sijoittajansuojaa lisäisi heterogeenisen ei-ammattimaisten asiakkaiden ryhmän jako informaatiotarpeeseen perustuviin alaryhmiin, jotta eri asiakasryhmille voitaisiin tarjota heidän tarvitsemansa palvelu nykyistäkin kohdentuvammin. Tulisi selvittää, pitäisikö varoitus pääoman menettämisestä merkitä niihin sijoitustuotteisiin, joita riski koskee. Yhteinen eurooppalainen valvontaorganisaatio ilmeisesti voimistaisi rahoitusmarkkinoiden transparenssia, toimivuutta ja sijoittajansuojaa.

Saving for Retirement and Investing for Growth. Report of the CEPS-RCMI Task Force on Long-term Investing and Retirement Savings. CEPS Task Force Report, September 2013

Europe is facing a double challenge: a significant need for long-term investments – crucial levers for economic growth – and a growing pension gap, both of which call for resolute action. Crucially, at a time when low interest rates and revised prudential standards strain the ability of life insurers and pension funds to offer guaranteed returns, Europe lacks a framework ensuring the quality and accessibility of long-term investment solutions for small retail investors and defined contribution pension plans. This report considers the potential to steer household financial wealth – accounting for over 60% of total financial wealth in Europe – towards long-term investing, which would achieve two goals at once: higher growth and higher pensions. It follows a holistic approach that considers both solution design – how to gear product structuring towards long-term investing – and market structure – how to engineer a competitive market setting that is able to deliver high-quality and cost-efficient solutions. The report also considers prudential rules for insurers and pension funds and the potential to build a single market for less-liquid funds, occupational and personal pensions, with improved investor protection. It urges policy-makers to act aggressively to deliver more inclusive, efficient and resilient retail investment markets that are better equipped and more committed to deliver value over the long-term for beneficiaries.

I servizi di investimento nella disciplina dell'imposta sul valore aggiunto: il quadro normativo europeo e la sua attuazione nazionale

Il presente lavoro di ricerca ha ad oggetto i profili fiscali IVA dei servizi di investimento, in ambito sia europeo che nazionale, prestati dalle banche, dalle Sim e da consulenti/società di consulenza finanziaria nei confronti della clientela al dettaglio. Ciò al fine di individuarne il corretto trattamento fiscale nonché le possibili soluzioni agli interrogativi che ancora oggi rimangono aperti, anche alla luce delle indicazioni fornite nel tempo dalla Corte di Giustizia europea. Constatata la profonda differenza esistente tra la classificazione MiFID dei servizi di investimento e quella fiscale delle operazioni finanziarie, oltre alla mancanza di coordinamento tra le relative normative europee, che non si incontrano neanche nell’attività ermeneutica della Corte di giustizia, si è cercato di interpretare la Direttiva IVA alla luce della normativa di settore (MIFID). L’analisi della Direttiva IVA e, più in particolare, del trattamento da essa riservato alle operazioni finanziarie è stata, quindi, svolta cercando di ricondurre queste ultime ai (singoli) servizi di investimento (e, quindi, alla Direttiva MiFID) al fine di tracciare un collegamento che né il legislatore comunitario né la CGE hanno individuato. È, tuttavia, apparso evidente come l’intero sistema dell’IVA, con particolare riferimento alle operazioni finanziarie, si sia ormai consolidato sulle interpretazioni della Corte di giustizia le quali hanno mostrato una elevata resilienza intrinseca. È, pertanto, auspicabile un intervento legislativo, a livello comunitario, finalizzato a rimettere mano alla Direttiva IVA al fine di fornire criteri più chiari e stringenti per l’applicazione delle disposizioni in essa contenute, con particolare riferimento a quelle relative alle operazioni finanziarie.

Spatial concentration in institutional investment in the UK: some comparisons between the retail and office sectors

Geographic diversity is a fundamental tenet in portfolio management. Yet there is evidence from the US that institutional investors prefer to concentrate their real estate investments in favoured and specific areas as primary locations for the properties that occupy their portfolios. The little work done in the UK draws similar conclusions, but has so far focused only on the office sector; no work has examined this issue for the retail sector. This paper therefore examines the extent of real estate investment concentration in institutional Retail portfolios in the UK at two points in time; 1998 and 2003, and presents some comparisons with equivalent concentrations in the office sector. The findings indicate that retail investment correlates more closely with the UK urban hierarchy than that for offices when measured against employment, and is focused on urban areas with high populations and large population densities which have larger numbers of retail units in which to invest.

eRPUK 2003: eCommerce and Retail Property in the UK: third annual benchmarking survey

This new survey, which has just been completed and includes brand new data, has been funded by the RICS Education Trust and the European Shopping Centre Trust. It follows up our 2000 survey of UK retailers, investors and developers. The report presents results from our new 2001 survey. This continuing benchmark series of studies includes an extensive review of developments in ecommerce and retail in Europe and the USA. The survey reveals a cooling in attitude towards ecommerce in the UK, but there is rapid growth in some sectors and polarisation and marginalisation of secondary centres are likely to increase. In Europe the growth of a three tier system of ecommerce 'pioneers', 'followers' and 'laggards' is becoming established, and the research also reveals results from a recent joint survey on US and UK retailers conducted with Colorado State University. There is a danger of complacency as UK online sales (in percentage terms) now outstrip USA.

Nuclear and mitochondrial DNA markers in traceability of retail beef samples

Several characteristics are important in a traceability system of animal products, such as age at slaughter, breed composition, besides information of the productive chain. In general, the certification agent records information about the animals and the system which it came from, although cannot guarantee that the slaughtering, meat processing and distribution are error proof. Besides, there is a differential price, at least at the international market, based on sex and breed composition of the animals. Genetic markers allow identification of characteristics controlled in the beef cattle traceability program, as sex and breed composition, in order to correctly identify and appraise the final product for the consumer. The hypothesis of this study was that the majority beef samples retailed in the local market originate from female with a great participation of zebu breeds. Therefore, the objective of this work was to characterize retail beef samples with DNA markers that identify cattle sex and breed composition. Within 10 beef shops localized in Pirassununga, SP, Brazil, 61 samples were collected, all were genotyped as harboring Bos taurus mitochondrial DNA and 18 were positive for the Y chromosome amplification (male). For the marker sat1711b-Msp I the frequency of the allele A was 0.278 and for the marker Lhr-Hha I the frequency of the allele T was 0.417. The results of sat1711b-Msp I and Lhr-Hha I allelic frequencies are suggestive that the proportion of indicus genome compared with the taurine genome in the market meat is smaller than the observed in the Nellore breed. The procedure described in this study identified sex and subspecies characteristics of beef meat samples, with potential application in meat products certification in special as an auxiliary tool in beef cattle traceability programs.

Collaboration intensity in the Brazilian supermarket retail chain

Purpose - This paper seeks to identify collaboration elements and evaluate their intensity in the Brazilian supermarket retail chain, especially the manufacturer-retailer channel. Design/methodology/approach - A structured questionnaire was elaborated and applied to 125 representatives from suppliers of large supermarket chains. Statistical methods including multivariate analysis were employed. Variables were grouped and composed into five indicators (joint actions, information sharing, interpersonal integration, gains and cost sharing, and strategic integration) to assess the degree of collaboration. Findings - The analyses showed that the interviewees considered interpersonal integration to be of greater importance to collaboration intensity than the other integration factors, such as gain or cost sharing or even strategic integration. Research limitations/implications - The research was conducted solely from the point of view of the industries that supply the large retail networks. The interviews were not conducted in pairs; that is, there was no application of one questionnaire to the retail network and another to the partner industry. Practical implications - Companies should invest in conducting periodic meetings with their partners to increase collaboration intensity, and should carry out technical visits to learn about their partners` logistic reality and thus make better operational decisions. Originality/value - The paper reveals which indicators produce greater collaboration intensity, and thus those that are more relevant to more efficient logistics management.

Phenolic composition of South American red wines classified according to their antioxidant activity, retail price and sensory quality

In this study, 73 South American red wines (Vitis vinifera) from 5 varietals were classified based on sensory quality, retail price and antioxidant activity and characterised in relation to their phenolic composition. ORAC and DPPH assays were assessed to determine the antioxidant activity, and sensory analysis was conducted by seven professional tasters using the Wine Spirits Education Trust`s structured scales. The use of multivariate statistical techniques allowed the identification of wines with the best combination of sensory characteristics, price and antioxidant activity. The most favourable varieties were Malbec, Cabernet Sauvignon, and Syrah produced in Chile and Argentina. Conversely, Pinot Noir wines displayed the lowest sensory characteristics and antioxidant activity. These results suggest that the volatile compounds may be the main substances responsible for differentiating red wines on the basis of sensory evaluation. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Occurrence and distribution of Vibrio parahaemolyticus in retail oysters in Sao Paulo State, Brazil

Vibrio parahaemolyticus is a potentially pathogenic bacterium that occurs naturally in estuarine environments worldwide, and is often associated with gastroenteritis in humans following consumption of raw bivalve mollusks, especially raw oysters. The occurrence of total and pathogenic V. parahaemolyticus in 74 samples of raw oysters collected in restaurants, supermarkets, groceries and beach huts in Sao Paulo State, was monitored between February 2006 and January 2007. Enumeration of V. parahaemolyticus was performed according to the most probable number (MPN) procedure. Five to ten typical colonies were selected from thiosulfate-citrate-bile salts-sucrose (TCBS) agar plates for confirmation by the presence of the species-specific gene tlh and the virulence genes tdh and trh by multiplex PCR. V. parahaemolyticus was detected in 100% of samples. The densities of total V. parahaemolyticus varied from 1.78 to 6.04 logio (MPN/g), with higher densities being detected in fall and summer, and lower densities in winter (P < 0.05). There was no statistical difference among densities of V parahaemolyticus regarding the site of collection. None of the 1943 V parahaemolyticus isolates contained tdh and/or trh. These data provide information for the assessment of exposure to V. parahaemolyticus in oysters consumed in Sao Paulo, State, Brazil. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.