Population assessment of two stocks of white grunt, Haemulon plumieri, from the southeastern coast of the United States

Changes in the age structure and population size of white grunt, Haemulon plumieri, from North Carolina through the Florida Keys were examined using records of landings and size frequencies of fish from commercial, re~reational, and headboat fisheries from 1986-1998. Data were stratified into two geographical areas: North Carolina and South Carolina; and southeast Florida. Population size in numbers at age was estimated for each year and geographical area by applying an uncalibrated separable virtual population analysis (SVPA) to the landings in numbers at age. A calibrated virtual population analysis, FADAPT, was also run for data from North Carolina and South Carolina. SVPA and FADAPT were used to estimate annual, age-specific fishing mortality (F) for four levels of natural mortality (M = 0.20, 0.25, 0.30, and 0.35). The best estimate of M for white grunt is 0.30. Landings of white grunt in the Carolinas for the three fisheries have generally decreased in recent years, but have held fairly steady for the species in southeast Florida. Age at entry and age at full recruitment were age-1 and age-4 for the Carolinas, and age-l and age-3 for southeast Florida. With M = 0.30, levels of fishing mortality (F) on the fully-recruited ages were 0.23 for the Carolinas and 0.33 for southeast Florida. Spawning potential ratio (SPR) at M = 0.30 was 57% for the Carolinas and 61% for southeast Florida, which indicates that the species, by definition, has not been over-exploited by fishing. The results of this assessment of the white grunt population off the Carolinas agree with the recent F/FMSY analysis of white grunt (Anonymous, 1999). (PDF contaons 72 pages)

Population assessment of the vermilion snapper, Rhomboplites aurorubens, from the Southeastern United States

Changes in the age structure and population size of vermilion snapper, Rhornboplites aurorubens, from North Carolina through the Florida Keys were examined using records of landings and size frequencies of fish from commercial, recreational, and headboat fisheries from 1986-1996. Population size in numbers at age was estimated for each year by applying separable virtual population analysis (SVPA) to the landings in numbers at age. SVPA was used to estimate annual, age-specific fishing mortality (F) for four levels of natural mortality (M = 0.20, 0.25, 0.30, and 0.35). Although landings of vermilion snapper for the three fisheries have declined, minimum fish size regulations have resulted in an increase in the mean size of fish landed. Age at entry and age at full recruitment were age-1 andage-3 fDr 1986-1991, compared with age-1 and age-4, respectively, for 1992-1996. Levels of mortality from fishing (F) ranged from 0.38 - 0.61 for the entire period. Current spawning potential ratio (SPR) is 21% or 27% depending on the natural mortality estimate. SPR could be raised to 30% or 40% with a reduction in F, or by increasing the age at entry to the fisheries. The latter could be enhanced now if fishermen, particularly recreational, comply with minimum size regulations. However, released fish mortality, modeled in the assessment at 27%, will continue to make the achievement of 30% and 40% SPR more difficult. (PDF contains 63 pages)

Population Assessment of an Endangered Shorebird: the Piping Plover (Charadrius melodus melodus) in Eastern Canada

Small, at-risk populations are those for which accurate demographic information is most crucial to conservation and recovery, but also where data collection is constrained by logistical challenges and small sample sizes. Migratory animals in particular may experience a wide range of threats to survival and reproduction throughout each annual cycle, and identification of life stages most critical to persistence may be especially difficult for these populations. The endangered eastern Canadian breeding population of Piping Plover (Charadrius melodus melodus) was estimated at only 444 adults in 2005, and extensive effort has been invested in conservation activities, reproductive monitoring, and marking of individual birds, providing a comprehensive data set on population dynamics since 1998. We used these data to build a matrix projection model for two Piping Plover population segments that nest in eastern Canada in order to estimate both deterministic and stochastic rates of population growth (λd and λs, respectively). Annual population censuses suggested moderate growth in abundance between 1998–2003, but vital rate estimates indicated that this temporary growth may be replaced by declines in the long term, both in southern Nova Scotia (λd = 1.0043, λs = 0.9263) and in the Gulf of St. Lawrence (λd = 0.9651, λs = 0.8214). Nonetheless, confidence intervals on λ estimates were relatively wide, highlighting remaining uncertainty in future population trajectories. Differences in projected growth between regions appear to be driven by low estimated juvenile post-fledging survival in the Gulf, but threats to juveniles of both population segments following departure from nesting beaches remain unidentified. Similarly, λ in both population segments was particularly sensitive to changes in adult survival as expected for most migratory birds, but very little is understood about the threats to Piping Plover survival during migration and overwintering. Consequently, we suggest that future recovery efforts for these and other vulnerable migrants should quantify and manage the largely unknown sources of both adult and juvenile mortality during non-breeding seasons while maintaining current levels of nesting habitat protection.

A framework for adapting survey design through time for wildlife population assessment

Sampling strategies for monitoring the status and trends in wildlife populations are often determined before the first survey is undertaken. However, there may be little information about the distribution of the population and so the sample design may be inefficient. Through time, as data are collected, more information about the distribution of animals in the survey region is obtained but it can be difficult to incorporate this information in the survey design. This paper introduces a framework for monitoring motile wildlife populations within which the design of future surveys can be adapted using data from past surveys whilst ensuring consistency in design-based estimates of status and trends through time. In each survey, part of the sample is selected from the previous survey sample using simple random sampling. The rest is selected with inclusion probability proportional to predicted abundance. Abundance is predicted using a model constructed from previous survey data and covariates for the whole survey region. Unbiased design-based estimators of status and trends and their variances are derived from two-phase sampling theory. Simulations over the short and long-term indicate that in general more precise estimates of status and trends are obtained using this mixed strategy than a strategy in which all of the sample is retained or all selected with probability proportional to predicted abundance. Furthermore the mixed strategy is robust to poor predictions of abundance. Estimates of status are more precise than those obtained from a rotating panel design.

Yellow perch population assessment in southwestern Lake Michigan, including the identification of factors that determine yellow perch year-class strength April 1, 2001 - March 31, 2002

Issued June 2002 F-123-R-8; NOTE: Two different reports numbered 02/06 were issued from the CAE.

Yellow Perch Population Assessment in Southwestern Lake Michigan, Including Evaluation of Sampling Techniques and the Identification Factors that Determine Yellow Perch Year-Class Strength April 1, 1996 - March 31, 1997

F-123-R; issued June 1, 1997; two different reports were issued from the Center for Aquatic Ecology with report number 1997 (9)

Yellow Perch Population Assessment in Southwestern Lake Michigan, Including the Identification Factors that Determine Yellow Perch Year-Class Strength April 1, 2000 - March 31, 2001

issued June 2001

Yellow Perch Population Assessment in Southwestern Lake Michigan, Including Identification of Factors that Determine Yellow Perch Year-Class Strength April 1, 2002 - March 31, 2003

INHS Technical Report prepared for unspecified recipient

Yellow Perch Population Assessment in Southwestern Lake Michigan, Including the Identification of Factors that Determine Yellow Perch Year-Class Strength April 1, 2003 - March 31, 2004

Annual Report to Division of Fisheries, Illinois Department of Natural Resources. F-123-R-10

Yellow Perch population assessment in Southwestern Lake Michigan, including evaluation of sampling techniques and identification of the factors that determine Yellow Perch year-class strength April 1, 2004 - March 31, 2005

ID: 8528; Annual Report to Division of Fisheries, Illinois Department of Natural Resources; F-123-R-11

Yellow Perch Population Assessment in Southwestern Lake Michigan, Including Evaluation of Sampling Techniques and Identification of factors that Determine Yellow Perch Year-Class Strength April 1, 2005 - March 31, 2006

Annual Report, Federal Aid Project F-123-R-12, April 1, 2005 - March 31, 2006

Yellow Perch Population Assessment in Southwestern Lake Michigan, Including Evaluation of Sampling Techniques and the Identification Factors that Determine Yellow Perch Year-Class Strength April 1,1997 - March 31, 1998

ID: 8827; issued June 1, 1998

Yellow Perch Population Assessment in Southwestern Lake Michigan, Including Evaluation of Sampling Techniques April 1, 1995 - March 31, 1996

issued June 1996

Yellow Perch Population Assessment in Southwestern Lake Michigan, Including Evaluation of Sampling Techniques and the identification Factors that Determine Yellow Perch Year-Class Strength April 1, 1998 - March 31, 1999

ID: 8863; issued June 1, 1999