973 resultados para global significance level


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Measuring inconsistency is crucial to effective inconsistency management in software development. A complete measurement of inconsistency should focus on not only the degree but also the significance of inconsistency. However, most of the approaches available only take the degree of inconsistency into account. The significance of inconsistency has not yet been given much needed consideration. This paper presents an approach for measuring the significance of inconsistency arising from different viewpoints in the Viewpoints framework. We call an individual set of requirements belonging to different viewpoints a combined requirements collection in this paper. We argue that the
significance of inconsistency arising in a combined requirements collection is closely associated with global priority levels of requirements involved in the inconsistency. Here we assume that the global priority level of an individual requirement captures the relative importance of every viewpoint including this requirement as well as the local priority level of the requirement within the viewpoint. Then we use the synthesis of global priority levels of all the requirements in a combined collection to measure the significance of the
collection. Following this, we present a scoring matrix function to measure the significance of inconsistency in an inconsistent combined requirements collection, which describes the contribution made by each subset of the requirements collection to the significance of the set of requirements involved in the inconsistency. An ordering relationship between inconsistencies of two combined requirements collections, termed more significant than, is also presented by comparing their significance scoring matrix functions. Finally, these techniques were implemented in a prototype tool called IncMeasurer, which we developed as a proof of concept.

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Considerable progress has been made in understanding the present and future regional and global sea level in the 2 years since the publication of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Here, we evaluate how the new results affect the AR5’s assessment of (i) historical sea level rise, including attribution of that rise and implications for the sea level budget, (ii) projections of the components and of total global mean sea level (GMSL), and (iii) projections of regional variability and emergence of the anthropogenic signal. In each of these cases, new work largely provides additional evidence in support of the AR5 assessment, providing greater confidence in those findings. Recent analyses confirm the twentieth century sea level rise, with some analyses showing a slightly smaller rate before 1990 and some a slightly larger value than reported in the AR5. There is now more evidence of an acceleration in the rate of rise. Ongoing ocean heat uptake and associated thermal expansion have continued since 2000, and are consistent with ocean thermal expansion reported in the AR5. A significant amount of heat is being stored deeper in the water column, with a larger rate of heat uptake since 2000 compared to the previous decades and with the largest storage in the Southern Ocean. The first formal detection studies for ocean thermal expansion and glacier mass loss since the AR5 have confirmed the AR5 finding of a significant anthropogenic contribution to sea level rise over the last 50 years. New projections of glacier loss from two regions suggest smaller contributions to GMSL rise from these regions than in studies assessed by the AR5; additional regional studies are required to further assess whether there are broader implications of these results. Mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet, primarily as a result of increased surface melting, and from the Antarctic Ice Sheet, primarily as a result of increased ice discharge, has accelerated. The largest estimates of acceleration in mass loss from the two ice sheets for 2003–2013 equal or exceed the acceleration of GMSL rise calculated from the satellite altimeter sea level record over the longer period of 1993–2014. However, when increased mass gain in land water storage and parts of East Antarctica, and decreased mass loss from glaciers in Alaska and some other regions are taken into account, the net acceleration in the ocean mass gain is consistent with the satellite altimeter record. New studies suggest that a marine ice sheet instability (MISI) may have been initiated in parts of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS), but that it will affect only a limited number of ice streams in the twenty-first century. New projections of mass loss from the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets by 2100, including a contribution from parts of WAIS undergoing unstable retreat, suggest a contribution that falls largely within the likely range (i.e., two thirds probability) of the AR5. These new results increase confidence in the AR5 likely range, indicating that there is a greater probability that sea level rise by 2100 will lie in this range with a corresponding decrease in the likelihood of an additional contribution of several tens of centimeters above the likely range. In view of the comparatively limited state of knowledge and understanding of rapid ice sheet dynamics, we continue to think that it is not yet possible to make reliable quantitative estimates of future GMSL rise outside the likely range. Projections of twenty-first century GMSL rise published since the AR5 depend on results from expert elicitation, but we have low confidence in conclusions based on these approaches. New work on regional projections and emergence of the anthropogenic signal suggests that the two commonly predicted features of future regional sea level change (the increasing tilt across the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and the dipole in the North Atlantic) are related to regional changes in wind stress and surface heat flux. Moreover, it is expected that sea level change in response to anthropogenic forcing, particularly in regions of relatively low unforced variability such as the low-latitude Atlantic, will be detectable over most of the ocean by 2040. The east-west contrast of sea level trends in the Pacific observed since the early 1990s cannot be satisfactorily accounted for by climate models, nor yet definitively attributed either to unforced variability or forced climate change.

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The Ankylosing Spondylitis (AS) is a chronic inflammatory disease that primarily affects the axial skeleton, leading to limitation of spine mobility and functional disability. Physical therapy, especially exercise, is an important part in your treatment. The Global Postural Reeducation(GPR),a method that uses stretching based on evaluation of muscular chains, with significant interference in postural changes may be a complementary alternative for the treatment of this disease. The aim was to evaluate the effects of Global Postural Reeducation (GPR) in patients with Ankylosing Spondylitis (AS) and compare GPR with group conventional segmental self-stretching and breathing exercises. This is a controlled interventional study of 38 patients divided into 2 groups: a GPR group (n = 22) and a control group (n = 16). Both groups were treated over four months. With the GPR group patients, positions that stretched the shortened muscle chains were used. With the control group patients, conventional segmental self-stretching and breathing exercises were performed. The variables analyzed were: pain intensity, morning stiffness, spine mobility, chest expansion, functional capacity (Health Assessment Questionnaire - Spondyloarthropathies - HAQ-S), quality of life (Medical Outcome Study Short Form 36 Healthy Survey-SF-36), and disease activity (Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index - BASDAI). Statistical analysis was used with a significance level of p < 0.05. There was a statistically significant difference for all the parameters analyzed between pre and post-treatment in both groups. In the inter-group comparison the GPR group showed a statistically significant improvement in morning stiffness (p = 0.01), spine mobility parameters, except finger-floor distance (p = 0.11), in chest expansion (p = 0.02), and in the physical aspect component of the SF-36 (p = 0.00).Finally, we observed that this sample of patients with AS ,treatment with RPG 60 seems to have a better response in some clinical measures, than the conventional self stretching performed in groups. Further studies are needed to further evaluate this therapeutic alternative in the EA

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Background Lower extremity amputation results in significant global morbidity and mortality. Australia appears to have a paucity of studies investigating lower extremity amputation. The primary aim of this retrospective study was to investigate key conditions associated with lower extremity amputations in an Australian population. Secondary objectives were to determine the influence of age and sex on lower extremity amputations, and the reliability of hospital coded amputations. Methods: Lower extremity amputation cases performed at the Princess Alexandra Hospital (Brisbane, Australia) between July 2006 and June 2007 were identified through the relevant hospital discharge dataset (n = 197). All eligible clinical records were interrogated for age, sex, key condition associated with amputation, amputation site, first ever amputation status and the accuracy of the original hospital coding. Exclusion criteria included records unavailable for audit and cases where the key condition was unable to be determined. Chi-squared, t-tests, ANOVA and post hoc tests were used to determine differences between groups. Kappa statistics were used to measure reliability between coded and audited amputations. A minimum significance level of p < 0.05 was used throughout. Results: One hundred and eighty-six cases were eligible and audited. Overall 69% were male, 56% were first amputations, 54% were major amputations, and mean age was 62 ± 16 years. Key conditions associated included type 2 diabetes (53%), peripheral arterial disease (non-diabetes) (18%), trauma (8%), type 1 diabetes (7%) and malignant tumours (5%). Differences in ages at amputation were associated with trauma 36 ± 10 years, type 1 diabetes 52 ± 12 years and type 2 diabetes 67 ± 10 years (p < 0.01). Reliability of original hospital coding was high with Kappa values over 0.8 for all variables. Conclusions: This study, the first in over 20 years to report on all levels of lower extremity amputations in Australia, found that people undergoing amputation are more likely to be older, male and have diabetes. It is recommended that large prospective studies are implemented and national lower extremity amputation rates are established to address the large preventable burden of lower extremity amputation in Australia.

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Northern Australia is considered to be one of the last strongholds for three critically endangered sawfishes, Pristis zijsron, Pristis clavata, and Pristis microdon, making these populations of global significance. Population structure and levels of genetic diversity were assessed for each species across northern Australia using a portion of the mitochondrial control region. Statistically significant genetic structure was detected in all three species, although it was higher in P. microdon (F-ST = 0.811; N = 149) than in either P. clavata (F-ST = 0.419; N = 73) or P. zijsron (F-ST = 0.202; N = 49), possibly due to a much higher and/or localized level of female philopatry in P. microdon. The overall levels of haplotype diversity in P. zijsron (h = 0.555), P. clavata (h = 0.489), and P. microdon (h = 0.650) were moderate, although it appears to be reduced in the assemblages of P. zijsron and P. clavata in the Gulf of Carpentaria (h = 0.342 and h = 0.083, respectively). Since female migration (replenishment) between regions is unlikely, conservation plans should strive to maintain current levels of diversity and abundances in the regional assemblages of each species.

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Estima-se que a prevalência global da população mundial com hepatite C é de 3%. Pouco se sabe sobre a resposta ao tratamento com respeito à resistência viral. Algumas mutações no fragmento de 109 aminoácidos da NS5B são associadas com resistência ao interferon (IFN) e ribavirina (RBV). Estudos moleculares e clínicos identificaram fatores associados com o hospedeiro e vírus relacionados associada com a resposta ao tratamento, tal como o gene que codifica a IL-28B. Este estudo foi dividido em duas fases, cujos objetivos foram caracterizar a frequência de mutações que conferem resistência ao HCV e avaliar a relevância das mutações em pacientes Respondedores (R) ou Não Respondedores (NR) ao tratamento e caracterizar geneticamente as populações sobre polimorfismos genéticos nos SNPs da IL-28B em relação ao prognóstico da resposta ao tratamento. As amostras dos pacientes foram submetidas a testes de genotipagem e carga viral. As sequências geradas foram comparadas no BLAST e no banco de dados Los Alamos HCV. Realizamos o alinhamento das sequências homólogas e as mutações identificadas. Com base no genótipo e carga viral determinamos a classificação dos pacientes de acordo com a resposta à terapia. O DNA genômico foi isolado a partir de sangue periférico para a realização da tipagem de SNPs de IL-28B. A metodologia utilizada foi de PCR em tempo real utilizando sondas TaqMan SNP específico. A análise dos dados foi realizada utilizando GraphPad Prism com qui-quadrado, risco relativo (RR), Odds Ratio (OR) e intervalo de confiança de 95%, com um nível de significância de P <0,05. Foi encontrado na primeira fase deste estudo uma taxa significativa mutações associadas ao tratamento nas amostras estudadas. A prevalência de mutações associadas à resistência ao IFN e RBV bem como a novos medicamentos antivirais localizados no fragmento de 109 aminoácidos da NS5B foi examinado em 69 indivíduos infectados naïve no Rio de Janeiro, Brasil. Na segunda fase, as mutações foram clinicamente relevantes. Desde então, procuramos observar as diferenças entre melhor ou pior prognóstico de acordo com a imunogenética que mostrou diferenciação entre os grupos R e NR ao tratamento em relação ao prognóstico da resposta terapêutica. Quando as diferenças entre as sequências da NS5B e a resposta ao tratamento foram consideradas verificou-se que associada a mutação R254K, estava a C316N que poderia conduzir a uma não resposta à terapia no genótipo 1b. Os nossos dados também suportaram forte associação de IL-28B rs12979860, com elevada probabilidade de resposta à terapia de IFN + RBV. Nossos dados evidenciam a presença de pacientes virgens de tratamento que abrigam mutações de resistência previamente descritas na literatura. A análise dos fatores preditores de resposta virológica mostrou que a predição de boa resposta ou não ao tratamento e ainda da progressão da doença é dependente de uma importante interação entre a genética viral e a do hospedeiro. Fato este importante para que no momento de avaliação de diagnóstico e conduta terapêutica, o médico possa tomar medidas apropriadas para o tratamento de cada paciente individualmente independentemente do genótipo do HCV em questão.

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Resinas macias para reembasamento de próteses são largamente utilizadas após cirurgias para estabilizarem a prótese e condicionarem o tecido, aguardando a completa cicatrização. É importante que o material não seja facilmente colonizado por biofilme oral e se possível, evite a contaminação do sítio cirúrgico. Objetivou-se avaliar o efeito da incorporação de clorexidina às resinas acrílicas macias para o reembasamento de próteses totais, através de análises de liberação, citotoxicidade e efeito inibitório de um biofilme de C. albicans. Foram confeccionados corpos de provas (CDPs) com as resinas Trusoft e Coe-soft, com incorporação de 0%, 0,5%, 1,0% e 2,0% de clorexidina, totalizando 8 grupos. A liberação de clorexidina foi avaliada através da mensuração da mudança na densidade óptica da solução de armazenamento, na qual ficaram imersos os CDPs, por espectrometria UV, a cada 48 horas, durante 40 dias. A citotoxicidade celular foi avaliada em fibroblastos (linhagem L929), que ficaram 24 horas em contato com meio de cultura no qual os CDPs ficaram previamente imersos, pela técnica de absorção de corante vermelho neutro após 24, 48 e 72 horas e semanalmente até o 28 dia. E, por fim, a atividade antifúngica contra a C. albicans (ATCC 10231) foi avaliada de duas maneiras: (1) teste de difusão em ágar, no qual os CDPs foram colocados em placas de BHI previamente inoculadas com C. albicans, com medição do halo de inibição após 48 horas de incubação a 37C; (2) a avaliação da inibição da formação de um biofilme de C. albicans sobre a superfície dos CDPs pela quantificação por metil tetrazólio (MTT) a cada 48 horas, durante 22 dias, com leitura feita em espectrofotômetro de UV. Os dados obtidos foram inseridos no programa SigmaStat (versão 3.1, USA) para realizar as análises estatísticas. As diferenças estatísticas foram determinadas por análises de variâncias do tipo ANOVA e todos os procedimentos para comparações múltiplas pareadas foram feitos utilizando-se o método Holm-Sidak, com nível de significância global igual a 0,05. A clorexidina adicionada às resinas testadas foi capaz de ser liberada para o meio de armazenagem, proporcionalmente à quantidade de clorexidina incorporada, porém com diferentes cinéticas de liberação entre as resinas, visto que a Trusoft libera até 71% do total de clorexidina liberada nas primeiras 48 horas e a Coe-soft, até 44%. Ambas as resinas com incorporação de clorexidina apresentaram efeito citotóxico adicional, se comparadas às resinas sem clorexidina, porém para a Coe-soft não houve diferença estatística dos valores, apenas para a Trusoft (p<0,001). Ocorreu formação de halo de inibição proporcionalmente às concentrações de resinas adicionadas, com maiores halos para a resina Trusoft (p<0,001), e sem formação de halo para as resinas sem clorexidina; a inibição da formação de biofilme, realizada somente com a resina Coe-soft, mostrou total inibição durante 8, 12 e 16 dias, para a incorporação de 0,5%, 1,0% e 2,0% respectivamente, sendo uma diminuição estatisticamente significativa (p<0,001) em relação à resina sem incorporação de clorexidina, que não apresentou inibição do biofilme.

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Based on the analyses of foraminifer and accelerator mass spectrometer radiocarbon dating in DGKS9603 core from mid-Okinawa Trough close to bottom, oscillation curve, which expressed the relation between the surface water temperature and the depth, has been obtained by using foraminifer analysis and calculation of FP-12E transfer function. The whole core indicated seven cold phases and eight warm phases. Obvious expression of low temperature event during Middle and Late Holocene, YD,H1,H2,H3 and H4 events, as well as the short cold phase during the middle last glacial period, implied that short shifts since 50 kaBP would have been global significance. Sedimentation rate during cold phases is usually faster than that in warm stages, with the lowest rate in Holocene, which may be connected with rising sea level and principal axial of Kuroshio Current moving to west. Volcanic activities highly developed in Okinawa Trough during the Quaternary period, thus abundant volcanic glass and pumice were well preserved.

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Positive deviations from linear sea-level trends represent important climate signals if they are persistent and geographically widespread. This paper documents rapid sea-level rise reconstructed from sedimentary records obtained from salt marshes in the Southwest Pacific region (Tasmania and New Zealand). A new late Holocene relative sea-level record from eastern Tasmania was dated by AMS(14)C (conventional, high precision and bomb-spike), Cs-137, Pb-210, stable Pb isotopic ratios, trace metals, pollen and charcoal analyses. Palaeosea-level positions were determined by foraminiferal analyses. Relative sea level in Tasmania was within half a metre of present sea level for much of the last 6000 yr. Between 1900 and 1950 relative sea level rose at an average rate of 4.2 +/- 0.1 mm/yr. During the latter half of the 20th century the reconstructed rate of relative sea-level rise was 0.7 +/- 0.6 mm/yr. Our study is consistent with a similar pattern of relative sea-level change recently reconstructed for southern New Zealand. The change in the rate of sea-level rise in the SW Pacific during the early 20th century was larger than in the North Atlantic and could suggest that northern hemisphere land-based ice was the most significant melt source for global sea-level rise. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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Crop production is inherently sensitive to fluctuations in weather and climate and is expected to be impacted by climate change. To understand how this impact may vary across the globe many studies have been conducted to determine the change in yield of several crops to expected changes in climate. Changes in climate are typically derived from a single to no more than a few General Circulation Models (GCMs). This study examines the uncertainty introduced to a crop impact assessment when 14 GCMs are used to determine future climate. The General Large Area Model for annual crops (GLAM) was applied over a global domain to simulate the productivity of soybean and spring wheat under baseline climate conditions and under climate conditions consistent with the 2050s under the A1B SRES emissions scenario as simulated by 14 GCMs. Baseline yield simulations were evaluated against global country-level yield statistics to determine the model's ability to capture observed variability in production. The impact of climate change varied between crops, regions, and by GCM. The spread in yield projections due to GCM varied between no change and a reduction of 50%. Without adaptation yield response was linearly related to the magnitude of local temperature change. Therefore, impacts were greatest for countries at northernmost latitudes where warming is predicted to be greatest. However, these countries also exhibited the greatest potential for adaptation to offset yield losses by shifting the crop growing season to a cooler part of the year and/or switching crop variety to take advantage of an extended growing season. The relative magnitude of impacts as simulated by each GCM was not consistent across countries and between crops. It is important, therefore, for crop impact assessments to fully account for GCM uncertainty in estimating future climates and to be explicit about assumptions regarding adaptation.

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Maine's 3,500 miles of coastline is the longest coastline in the continental US. The goal of our study was to use GIS to estimate the impact future global sea level rise could potentially have on our state. We show the area of coastline and some of the economic and social impacts that would result from a rise of one meter and six meters. We used roads to estimate the impact on infrastructure and public building, including schools, libraries, hospitals, police and fire stations, as a measure of social impact. A sea level rise of six meters would result in a loss of over 650 km¬2 from coastal communities and cost the state of Maine over 3 million in repaving costs. Through our study, we hope coastal communities will be able to prepare for and react to the predicted changes in global sea level.

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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)