The Distribution Dynamics of Output Multipliers in Scotland 1998–2007

In an input-output context the impact of any particular industrial sector is commonly measured in terms of the output multiplier for that industry. Although such measures are routinely calculated and often used to guide regional industrial policy the behaviour of such measures over time is an area that has attracted little academic study. The output multipliers derived from any one table will have a distribution; for some industries the multiplier will be relatively high, for some it will be relatively low. The recentpublication of consistent input-output tables for the Scottish economy makes it possible to examine trends in this mdistribution over the ten year period 1998-2007. This is done by comparing the means and other summary measures of the distributions, the histograms and the cumulative densities. The results indicate a tendency for the multipliers to increase over the period. A Markov chain modelling approach suggests that this drift is a slow but long term phenomenon which appears not to tend to an equilibrium state. The prime reason for the increase in the output multipliers is traced to a decline in the relative importance of imported (both from the rest of the UK and the rest of the world) intermediate inputs used by Scottish industries. This suggests that models calibrated on the set of tables might have to be interpreted with caution.

Recent and future environmental suitability to dengue fever in Brazil using species distribution model

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Orientation to light of juvenile and adult forms of melanic and albino populations of Biomphalaria glabrata (Say, 1818)

The process of light orientation by the snail Biomphalaria glabrata was studied using the selection technique in a Y-shaped aquarium under vertical or horizontal lighting schemes. Snail behavior was measured on the basis of distance (cm) covered per hour, direction of locomotion, and localization of the animal in the aquarium. A comparison was made of the action of the light stimulus on young and adult animals of albino populations from Santa Luzia (State of Minas Gerais, Brazil) and of a melanic population from Touros (State of Rio Grande do Norte) studied in groups and separately. All groups studied were attracted to light. Analysis of the data suggests the exitence of two orientation mechanisms with respect to light in these animals, i.e. high photo-orthokinesia and positive phototaxis, which influence their motion in the environment. This evidence permitted us to discuss features of the distribution dynamics of these mollusks in the environment and their relationship with the larval phases of Schistosoma mansoni, for which they act as intermediated hosts.

Chromosome variability in the Chagas disease vector Rhodnius pallescens (Hemiptera, Reduviidae, Rhodniini)

Rhodnius pallescens is the main vector of Trypanosoma cruzi in Panama and one of the most relevant secondary vectors in Colombia. Despite the importance of this species, there is limited knowledge about the genetic variability along its geographical distribution. In order to evaluate the degree of karyotype variability we analyzed the meiotic behavior and banding pattern of the chromosomes of 112 males of R. pallescens coming from different regions of Colombia and Panama. Using the C-banding technique we identified two chromosomal patterns or cytotypes characterized by differences in the amount, size and distribution of constitutive heterochromatic regions in the chromosome complement (2n = 20 autosomes plus XY in males). The individuals can be easily classified in each cytotype by the analysis of the chromosomes during first meiotic prophase. The frequencies of the cytotypes are variable according to the geographic origin of the populations. This chromosomal divergence together with morphological data supports the existence of three genetically different populations of R. pallescens and provides new information to understand the distribution dynamics of this species.

Developing methodologies to allow the robust prediction dynamic context dominated by perturbations

El principal objectiu del projecte era desenvolupar millores conceptuals i metodològiques que permetessin una millor predicció dels canvis en la distribució de les espècies (a una escala de paisatge) derivats de canvis ambientals en un context dominat per pertorbacions. En un primer estudi, vàrem comparar l'eficàcia de diferents models dinàmics per a predir la distribució de l'hortolà (Emberiza hortulana). Els nostres resultats indiquen que un model híbrid que combini canvis en la qualitat de l'hàbitat, derivats de canvis en el paisatge, amb un model poblacional espacialment explícit és una aproximació adequada per abordar canvis en la distribució d'espècies en contextos de dinàmica ambiental elevada i una capacitat de dispersió limitada de l'espècie objectiu. En un segon estudi abordarem la calibració mitjançant dades de seguiment de models de distribució dinàmics per a 12 espècies amb preferència per hàbitats oberts. Entre les conclusions extretes destaquem: (1) la necessitat de que les dades de seguiment abarquin aquelles àrees on es produeixen els canvis de qualitat; (2) el biaix que es produeix en la estimació dels paràmetres del model d'ocupació quan la hipòtesi de canvi de paisatge o el model de qualitat d'hàbitat són incorrectes. En el darrer treball estudiarem el possible impacte en 67 espècies d’ocells de diferents règims d’incendis, definits a partir de combinacions de nivells de canvi climàtic (portant a un augment esperat de la mida i freqüència d’incendis forestals), i eficiència d’extinció per part dels bombers. Segons els resultats dels nostres models, la combinació de factors antropogènics del regim d’incendis, tals com l’abandonament rural i l’extinció, poden ser més determinants per als canvis de distribució que els efectes derivats del canvi climàtic. Els productes generats inclouen tres publicacions científiques, una pàgina web amb resultats del projecte i una llibreria per a l'entorn estadístic R.

A fully adaptive numerical approximation for a two-dimensional epidemic model with nonlinear cross-diffusion

An epidemic model is formulated by a reactionâeuro"diffusion system where the spatial pattern formation is driven by cross-diffusion. The reaction terms describe the local dynamics of susceptible and infected species, whereas the diffusion terms account for the spatial distribution dynamics. For both self-diffusion and cross-diffusion, nonlinear constitutive assumptions are suggested. To simulate the pattern formation two finite volume formulations are proposed, which employ a conservative and a non-conservative discretization, respectively. An efficient simulation is obtained by a fully adaptive multiresolution strategy. Numerical examples illustrate the impact of the cross-diffusion on the pattern formation.

New Estimates of Regional GDP in Spain, 1860-1930

This paper presents a new regional database on GDP in Spain for the years 1860, 1900, 1914 and 1930. Following Geary and Stark (2002), country level GDP estimates are allocated across Spanish provinces. The results are then compared with previous estimates. Further, this new evidence is used to analyze the evolution of regional inequality and convergence in the long run. According to the distribution dynamics approach suggested by Quah (1993, 1996) persistence appears as a main feature in the regional distribution of output. Therefore, in the long run no evidence of regional convergence in the Spanish economy is found.

New Estimates of Regional GDP in Spain, 1860-1930

This paper presents a new regional database on GDP in Spain for the years 1860, 1900, 1914 and 1930. Following Geary and Stark (2002), country level GDP estimates are allocated across Spanish provinces. The results are then compared with previous estimates. Further, this new evidence is used to analyze the evolution of regional inequality and convergence in the long run. According to the distribution dynamics approach suggested by Quah (1993, 1996) persistence appears as a main feature in the regional distribution of output. Therefore, in the long run no evidence of regional convergence in the Spanish economy is found.

Componentes da produtividade total de fatores e sua influência na desigualdade de renda dos países: 1960-2000

O estudo apresenta uma abordagem nova e alternativa dentro da literatura empírica que trata do crescimento econômico e da desigualdade da distribuição de renda. Ao se filiar ao arcabouço teórico e prático da Análise de Fronteira Estocástica ¿ AFS, o estudo analisa, inicialmente, os efeitos de evolução da produtividade total de fatores, PTF, e de suas componentes (eficiência técnica, progresso tecnológico, eficiência de escala e eficiência alocativa) sobre o crescimento econômico. Em específico, avalia em que medida as diferenças de padrões de desenvolvimento tecnológico dos países condicionam o crescimento. Após tratar da evolução da desigualdade da distribuição do produto por trabalhador de dois grupos de países, denominados desenvolvidos e em desenvolvimento, relaciona a medida de desigualdade L de Theil com as componentes da PTF e mostra que não há convergência das rendas per capita desses grupos de países porque o hiato tecnológico entre eles aumentou ao longo do tempo. Por fim, identifica o papel do progresso tecnológico na dinâmica da distribuição de renda dentro dos países, recuperando a idéia fundamental de Kuznets de que ele (o progresso tecnológico) é o motor do desenvolvimento, e conclui que avanços tecnológicos têm efeitos mais gerais sobre as economias: além de promover o crescimento econômico, também têm reflexos diretos sobre a produtividade do trabalho, e conseqüentemente sobre os salários, com resultados mais eqüitativos da distribuição da renda.

On the lifecycle of aerosol particles : Sources and dispersion over Scandinavia

Aerosol particles are likely important contributors to our future climate. Further, during recent years, effects on human health arising from emissions of particulate material have gained increasing attention. In order to quantify the effect of aerosols on both climate and human health we need to better quantify the interplay between sources and sinks of aerosol particle number and mass on large spatial scales. So far long-term, regional observations of aerosol properties have been scarce, but argued necessary in order to bring the knowledge of regional and global distribution of aerosols further. In this context, regional studies of aerosol properties and aerosol dynamics are truly important areas of investigation. This thesis is devoted to investigations of aerosol number size distribution observations performed through the course of one year encompassing observational data from five stations covering an area from southern parts of Sweden up to northern parts of Finland. This thesis tries to give a description of aerosol size distribution dynamics from both a quantitative and qualitative point of view. The thesis focuses on properties and changes in aerosol size distribution as a function of location, season, source area, transport pathways and links to various meteorological conditions. The investigations performed in this thesis show that although the basic behaviour of the aerosol number size distribution in terms of seasonal and diurnal characteristics is similar at all stations in the measurement network, the aerosol over the Nordic countries is characterised by a typically sharp gradient in aerosol number and mass. This gradient is argued to derive from geographical locations of the stations in relation to the dominant sources and transport pathways. It is clear that the source area significantly determine the aerosol size distribution properties, but it is obvious that transport condition in terms of frequency of precipitation and cloudiness in some cases even more strongly control the evolution of the number size distribution. Aerosol dynamic processes under clear sky transport are however likewise argued to be highly important. Southerly transport of marine air and northerly transport of air from continental sources is studied in detail under clear sky conditions by performing a pseudo-Lagrangian box model evaluation of the two type cases. Results from both modelling and observations suggest that nucleation events contribute to integral number increase during southerly transport of comparably clean marine air, while number depletion dominates the evolution of the size distribution during northerly transport. This difference is largely explained by different concentration of pre-existing aerosol surface associated with the two type cases. Mass is found to be accumulated in many of the individual transport cases studied. This mass increase was argued to be controlled by emission of organic compounds from the boreal forest. This puts the boreal forest in a central position for estimates of aerosol forcing on a regional scale.

Essays on Regional Development and Internationalisation

This collection of essays examines various aspects of regional development and the issues of internationalization. The first essay investigates the implications of the impressive growth of China from a rural-urban perspective and addresses the topic of convergence in China by employing a non-parametrical approach to study the distribution dynamics of per capita income at province, rural and urban levels. To better understand the degree of inequality characterizing China and the long-term predictions of convergence or divergence of its different territorial aggregations, the second essay formulates a composite indicator of Regional Development (RDI) to benchmark development at province and sub-province level. The RDI goes beyond the uni-dimensional concept of development, generally proxied by the GDP per capita, and gives attention to the rural-urban dimension. The third essay “Internationalization and Trade Specialization in Italy. The role of China in the international intra-firm trade of the Italian regions” - deals with another aspect of regional economic development: the progressive de-industrialisation and de-localization of the local production. This essay looks at the trade specialization of selected Italian regions (those regions specialized in manufacturing) and the fragmentation of the local production on a global scale. China represents in this context an important stakeholder and the paper documents the importance of this country in the regional intra-firm trade.

Characterization of design and economic sensitivity of vapor phase carbon adsorption systems to environmental uncertainties

Vapor phase carbon adsorption systems are used to remove aromatics, aliphatics, and halogenated hydrocarbons. The adsorption capacity of granular activated carbon is reduced when environmental parameters (temperature, pressure, and humidity) interfere with homogeneous surface diffusion and pore distribution dynamics. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of parametric uncertainties in adsorption efficiency. ^ Modified versions of the Langmuir isotherm in conjunction with thermodynamic equations described gaseous adsorption of single component influent onto microporous media. Experimental test results derived from Wang et al. (1999) simulated adsorption kinetics while the Myer and monsoon Langmuir constant accounted for isothermal gas compression and energetic heterogeneity under thermodynamic equilibrium conditions. Responsiveness of adsorption capacity to environmental uncertainties was analyzed by statistical sensitivity and modeled by breakthrough curves. Results indicated that extensive fluctuations in adsorption capacity significantly reduced carbon consumption while isothermal variations had a pronounced effect on saturation capacity. ^

Stochastic Modeling of Reversible Biochemical Reaction-Diffusion Systems and High-Resolution Shock-Capturing Methods for Fluid Interfaces

Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Washington, 2016-08

Dinâmica do fósforo em cultivo heterotrófico e produção de compostos celulares por cianobactéria integrado a biorrefinarias agroindustriais

O objetivo desta tese foi avaliar a dinâmica do fósforo em cultivo heterotrófico e produção de compostos celulares por Aphanothece microscopica Nägeli visando avaliar a perspectiva de implementação de uma biorrefinaria microalgal. Desta forma, foi avaliado o comportamento do micro-organismo em estudo no cultivo heterotrófico, utilizando como meio de cultivo o efluente de laticínios. O trabalho foi desenvolvido em 3 etapas. Em um primeiro momento foi avaliada a influência da temperatura (20 e 30°C) e os valores máximos e mínimos de nutrientes, em especial do fósforo dissolvido reativo (PDR), disponíveis no efluente de laticínio, na remoção de nutrientes. Os resultados demonstraram que a concentração inicial de fósforo dissolvido e a temperatura exerceram influência no crescimento celular e na eficiência de remoção de nutrientes. Em termos de otimização de processo os cultivos conduzidos a 20°C e maiores concentrações de PDR (5,5 mg.L-1 ) no efluente de laticínio, foram os mais eficientes na conversão de poluentes em biomassa e remoção de nutrientes. A segunda etapa foi desenvolvida com o objetivo de avaliar a dinâmica de distribuição de fósforo na fase líquida e sólida do reator heterotrófico, quando o efluente de laticínio foi tratado pela Aphanothece microscopica Nägeli, a 20°C e nas máximas concentrações de fósforo dissolvido encontradas no efluente. Foi demonstrado que as formas fosforadas na fase líquida do reator se caracterizam pela predominância da fração dissolvida em comparação à particulada e por apresentar como fração predominante a de fósforo orgânico. No que se refere à fase sólida, ficou demonstrado que a Aphanothece microscopica Nägeli, quando cultivada heterotroficamente apresenta 3,8 vezes mais fósforo que o requerido para o crescimento celular. Ficando demonstrado ainda que a remoção biológica de fósforo por Aphanothece microscopica Nägeli pode resultar em substanciais aportes financeiros para as estações de tratamento de efluentes. Uma terceira etapa foi desenvolvida, a qual teve como objetivo avaliar a estimativa de produção de compostos celulares por Aphanothece microscopica Nägeli, a partir do efluente de laticínio, bem como o efeito da redução de temperatura de cultivo no teor de lipídios , no momento em que é obtida a máxima concentração deste componente celular, nas condições otimizadas.Foi obtido na fase logarítmica de crescimento, concentrações de 41,8 % de proteinas, carboidratos 28,5 %, lipídios 10,4 % e minerais 10,8 %. O maior teor de lipídio registrado a 20°C correspondeu a biomassa analisada na fase logarítmica.Com a redução da temperatura para 5°C por um período de 30 h é possível obter concentrações de lipídios 2,4 vezes superior ao registrado na fase logarítmica a 20 °C. No entanto, não foram indicadas diferenças significativas (p≤0,05) em função da temperatura entre as concentrações de lipídios obtidas para a biomassa a 10°C em 40 h. O perfil de ácidos graxos da biomassa gerada a 20°C, apresentou como ácidos graxos majoritários, os ácidos graxos: palmítico, oléico, γ-linolênico, palmitoleico e esteárico, resultando um aumento na concentração de ácidos graxos saturados as espensa dos insaturados, quando a temperatura é reduzida. Em paralelo,um reator heterotrófico descontinuo foi definido, ficando demonstrado que a extrapolação da operação em batelada para contínua requer um biorreator heterotrófico com volume útil de trabalho de 240,51 m 3 , permitindo tratar 950 m3 diários de efluente, gerando 11,8 kg.d-1 de biomassa útil para produção de compostos celulares por Aphanothece microscopica Nägeli, visando à simultânea remoção de matéria orgânica, nitrogênio total e fósforo total, gerando insumos que podem suportar a implementação de uma biorrefinaria microalgal.

Landscape structure shapes carnivore-mediated seed dispersal kernels

Context Seed dispersal is recognized as having profound effects on the distribution, dynamics and structure of plant populations and communities. However, knowledge of how landscape structure shapes carnivore-mediated seed dispersal patterns is still scarce, thereby limiting our understanding of large-scale plant population processes. Objectives We aim to determine how the amount and spatial configuration of forest cover impacted the relative abundance of carnivorous mammals, and how these effects cascaded through the seed dispersal kernels they generated. Methods Camera traps activated by animal movement were used for carnivore sampling. Colour-coded seed mimics embedded in common figs were used to know the exact origin of the dispersed seed mimics later found in carnivore scats. We applied this procedure in two sites differing in landscape structure. Results We did not find between-site differences in the relative abundance of the principal carnivore species contributing to seed dispersal patterns, Martes foina. Mean dispersal distance and the probability of long dispersal events were higher in the site with spatially continuous and abundant forest cover, compared to the site with spatially aggregated and scarcer forest cover. Seed deposition closely matched the spatial patterning of forest cover in both study sites, suggesting behaviour-based mechanisms underpinning seed dispersal patterns generated by individual frugivore species. Conclusions Our results provide the first empirical evidence of the impact of landscape structure on carnivore-mediated seed dispersal kernels. They also indicate that seed dispersal kernels generated strongly depend on the effect that landscape structure exerts on carnivore populations, particularly on habitat-use preferences.