Importância da Gestão de Créditos na gestão da Tesouraria das Empresas

A gestão de Crédito é um tema que vem chamando a atenção dos administradores, já que é considerado um instrumento de gestão muito importante no processo competitivo e para o equilíbrio das empresas. O estudo em causa tem como objectivo principal analisar a importância e os impactos da Gestão de Crédito na Tesouraria das empresas, através de um estudo de caso da empresa Electra, SA. Os resultados do estudo mostram que os problemas de tesouraria podem ser de natureza estrutural e conjuntural. A gestão de tesouraria de curto prazo é o mais importante instrumento de gestão financeira que avalia e controla a actividade corrente das empresas, permitindo em tempo oportuno a tomada de decisões, perspectivando uma gestão eficiente, o equilíbrio financeiro e a eficácia organizacional. O tema em estudo pretende realçar a importância que a gestão de créditos tem na gestão da tesouraria de curto prazo, já que este tem como principal função para além da gestão do realizável (créditos), a gestão do disponível, do stock, das dívidas a terceiros a curto prazo. Uma boa gestão de crédito (realizável) permite de uma forma directa ganhos de eficiência a nível da gestão do disponível, na gestão dos stocks e de forma indirecta influencia as decisões a nível da gestão das dívidas a terceiros de curto prazo. Credit management is a subject that has been growing in the administrator’s attention, as it’s considered to be a somewhat important management tool on the competitive process as well as on the company’s balance. The present case study on Electra S.A, aims for the importance and impact analysis of Credit Management on the company’s cashier. The study results demonstrate that the cashier issues can be structure and conjuncture related. The short term cashier management is the most important financial management tool, which assesses and controls the company’s current activity, enabling timely decision making process, foreseeing an efficient management, the financial equilibrium and the organization efficiency. This paper’s main goal is to enhance the credit management importance on the short term cashier management, as the latter’s main goal, apart from the credit management is to administer the availability, the stock and short term third party debts. A good credit management enables a direct efficiency improvement at the availability management level, on the stock management and indirectly influences the decisions taken at the short term third party debt management level.

Liiketoimintatiedon hallinta ja jalostaminen pk-yrityksissä

Diplomityön tavoitteena on tutkia liiketoimintatiedon hallintaa pk-yrityksissä. Tutkimuksen pääkysymys on, miten pk-yritykset voivat parantaa ulkoisen liiketoimintatiedon saatavuutta, hallintaa ja hyödyntämistä. Tutkimuksessa määritellään aluksi liiketoimintatieto ja sen alueet, sekä esitetään kirjallisuuden pohjalta malleja päätöksenteosta ja strategisesta johtamisesta. Nämä mallit vaikuttavat siihen, miten hankittua tietoa hyödynnetään yrityksessä suunnittelun ja päätöksenteon apuna. Tutkimuksessa rakennettiin kirjallisuuden perusteella pk-yrityksille sovellettu viitekehys ulkoisen liiketoimintatiedon hankintaan ja hallintaan, jossa huomioitiin ne vaatimukset, joita pk-yritysten ominaispiirteet, kuten rajalliset resurssit, asettavat liiketoiminnan kehittämiselle. Diplomityön empiirisessä osassa kerättiin teemahaastatteluilla tietoa pk-yritysten nykyisistä tiedon hallinnan käytännöistä, tiedon tarpeista, lähteistä, hankinnasta ja käytöstä päätöksenteossa. Yritysesimerkkien avulla havainnollistetaan, kuinka liiketoimintatietoa käytännössä jalostetaan ja hyödynnetään yritysten kehitystoiminnassa. Tutkimuksen perusteella tiedon hallinta pk-yrityksissä on usein satunnaista, epämuodollista ja epäsystemaattista. Esitetty viitekehys voi auttaa pk-yrityksiä analysoimaan ja kehittämään tiedon hallinnan toimintamalliaan.

Suunnittelun kehittäminen saatavuudenhallinnan näkökulmasta - Case Metsäteollisuusyritys

Metsäteollisuuden muuttunut toimintaympäristö on saanut kohdeyrityksen pyrkimään asiakaslähtöisempään ja markkinaintegroituneempaan toimintaan. Se, että asiakkaille voidaan luvata, mitä he haluavat ja että lupaukset kyetään pitämään, ovat markkinalähtöisen toiminnan keskeisimpiä tekijöitä. Diplomityön tavoitteena on kuvata metsäteollisuusyrityksen tuotteiden saatavuudenhallinnan nykytilaa tuotannonsuunnittelun, myynnin ja asiakkaiden näkökulmasta. Saatavuudenhallinnalla tarkoitetaan sitä, kuinka myyjä tietää, saako hän myydä asiakkaalle, mitä asiakas haluaa. Työssä käsitellään myös metsäteollisuusyrityksen suunnitteluprosesseja, koska ilman toimivaa myynninsuunnittelua ja operatiivista suunnittelua ei tehokas saatavuudenhallintakaan ole mahdollista. Työssä on esitetty vertailumalleja saatavuudenhallinnan ja suunnitteluprosessien toimivuudesta myös muilta toimialoilta kuten elintarvike- ja metalliteollisuudesta. Työn tuloksena on selkeä kuva saatavuudenhallinnan ja suunnitteluprosessien nykytilasta sekä mihin suuntaan niitä voisi kehittää. Suurimpana ongelmana myyntiprosessissa on pitkän tähtäimen suunnittelun puutteellisuus, minkä johtaa siihen, että asiakastilausten saatavuustarkastelut ovat monimutkaisia ja asiakkaille vastaaminen hidasta. Työssä on esitetty tulevaisuuden tavoitetilamalli, jossa tiedonkulku koko toimitusketjun halki on nopeampaa ja tehokkaampaa sekä toimintatavat yhtenäisiä ja selkeitä. Uusi toimintamalli mahdollistaa nopeammat ja luotettavammat myyntilupaukset sekä ilmoittamisen muutoksista asiakkaalle nykyistä aiemmin ja varmemmin.

O impacto das práticas ITIL na flexibilidade organizacional - evidências empíricas em uma empresa multinacional de TI

The present work has as main objective the identification and impact analysis for the practice ITIL in the organizational flexibility of a multinational IT company, being this study of quali-quantitative and exploratory nature. To achieve this objective, some theoretical studies on bureaucracy, organization flexibility, control, IT governance and ITIL were done, as a form to better understand the research problem. For analysis effect a set of eleven ITIL process was considered in this research ¿ service desk, incident management, problem management, change management, configuration management, release management, service level management, availability management, capacity management, continuity management and finally IT financial services management ¿ grouped in its two core areas ¿ service support and service delivery. Then a scale was constructed and validated, on the basis of theoretical models developed by Volberda (1997), Tenório (2002) and Golden and Powell (1999), to measure the flexibility related to each process comprising the ITIL core. The dimensions adopted to measure flexibility were: organization design task, managerial task, IT impact on work force, HR management, efficiency impact, sensitivity, versatility and robustness. The instrument used in research was a semi-structured interview, which was divided in two parts. The data collection was performed with ten interviewed people from an IT multinational company, based on convenience, some were managers and there were users, some were ITIL certified and others not. The statistic tests of t student and Wilcoxon non-parametric were adopted. The result of the research indicated that the ITIL service support area, for possessing greater operational focus, presents flexibility trend. The opposite was found for the service delivery area, which has greater tactical focus. The results also suggest that the change management discipline was the one that contributed for the most flexibility inside the company, followed by incident management discipline and the service desk function.

Contribución a los modelos de gestión de las redes móviles ad hoc

La capacidad de comunicación de los seres humanos ha crecido gracias a la evolución de dispositivos móviles cada vez más pequeños, manejables, potentes, de mayor autonomía y más asequibles. Esta tendencia muestra que en un futuro próximo cercano cada persona llevaría consigo por lo menos un dispositivo de altas prestaciones. Estos dispositivos tienen incorporados algunas formas de comunicación: red de telefonía, redes inalámbricas, bluetooth, entre otras. Lo que les permite también ser empleados para la configuración de redes móviles Ad Hoc. Las redes móviles Ad Hoc, son redes temporales y autoconfigurables, no necesitan un punto de acceso para que los nodos intercambien información entre sí. Cada nodo realiza las tareas de encaminador cuando sea requerido. Los nodos se pueden mover, cambiando de ubicación a discreción. La autonomía de estos dispositivos depende de las estrategias de como sus recursos son utilizados. De tal forma que los protocolos, algoritmos o modelos deben ser diseñados de forma eficiente para no impactar el rendimiento del dispositivo, siempre buscando un equilibrio entre sobrecarga y usabilidad. Es importante definir una gestión adecuada de estas redes especialmente cuando estén siendo utilizados en escenarios críticos como los de emergencias, desastres naturales, conflictos bélicos. La presente tesis doctoral muestra una solución eficiente para la gestión de redes móviles Ad Hoc. La solución contempla dos componentes principales: la definición de un modelo de gestión para redes móviles de alta disponibilidad y la creación de un protocolo de enrutamiento jerárquico asociado al modelo. El modelo de gestión propuesto, denominado High Availability Management Ad Hoc Network (HAMAN), es definido en una estructura de cuatro niveles, acceso, distribución, inteligencia e infraestructura. Además se describen los componentes de cada nivel: tipos de nodos, protocolos y funcionamiento. Se estudian también las interfaces de comunicación entre cada componente y la relación de estas con los niveles definidos. Como parte del modelo se diseña el protocolo de enrutamiento Ad Hoc, denominado Backup Cluster Head Protocol (BCHP), que utiliza como estrategia de encaminamiento el empleo de cluster y jerarquías. Cada cluster tiene un Jefe de Cluster que concentra la información de enrutamiento y de gestión y la envía al destino cuando esta fuera de su área de cobertura. Para mejorar la disponibilidad de la red el protocolo utiliza un Jefe de Cluster de Respaldo el que asume las funciones del nodo principal del cluster cuando este tiene un problema. El modelo HAMAN es validado a través de un proceso la simulación del protocolo BCHP. El protocolo BCHP se implementa en la herramienta Network Simulator 2 (NS2) para ser simulado, comparado y contrastado con el protocolo de enrutamiento jerárquico Cluster Based Routing Protocol (CBRP) y con el protocolo de enrutamiento Ad Hoc reactivo denominado Ad Hoc On Demand Distance Vector Routing (AODV). Abstract The communication skills of humans has grown thanks to the evolution of mobile devices become smaller, manageable, powerful, more autonomy and more affordable. This trend shows that in the near future each person will carry at least one high-performance device. These high-performance devices have some forms of communication incorporated: telephony network, wireless networks, bluetooth, among others. What can also be used for configuring mobile Ad Hoc networks. Ad Hoc mobile networks, are temporary and self-configuring networks, do not need an access point for exchange information between their nodes. Each node performs the router tasks as required. The nodes can move, change location at will. The autonomy of these devices depends on the strategies of how its resources are used. So that the protocols, algorithms or models should be designed to efficiently without impacting device performance seeking a balance between overhead and usability. It is important to define appropriate management of these networks, especially when being used in critical scenarios such as emergencies, natural disasters, wars. The present research shows an efficient solution for managing mobile ad hoc networks. The solution comprises two main components: the definition of a management model for highly available mobile networks and the creation of a hierarchical routing protocol associated with the model. The proposed management model, called High Availability Management Ad Hoc Network (HAMAN) is defined in a four-level structure: access, distribution, intelligence and infrastructure. The components of each level: types of nodes, protocols, structure of a node are shown and detailed. It also explores the communication interfaces between each component and the relationship of these with the levels defined. The Ad Hoc routing protocol proposed, called Backup Cluster Head Protocol( BCHP), use of cluster and hierarchies like strategies. Each cluster has a cluster head which concentrates the routing information and management and sent to the destination when out of cluster coverage area. To improve the availability of the network protocol uses a Backup Cluster Head who assumes the functions of the node of the cluster when it has a problem. The HAMAN model is validated accross the simulation of their BCHP routing protocol. BCHP protocol has been implemented in the simulation tool Network Simulator 2 (NS2) to be simulated, compared and contrasted with a hierarchical routing protocol Cluster Based Routing Protocol (CBRP) and a routing protocol called Reactive Ad Hoc On Demand Distance Vector Routing (AODV).

Manutenção de sistemas produtivos: um estudo sobre a gestão da disponibilidade de equipamentos.

Este trabalho traduz um estudo de casos, que procura pesquisar e sistematizar o conhecimento sobre a gestão do estado dos equipamentos para atender às suas funções produtivas, isto é, uma gestão orientada para resultados. A função manutenção tem sido considerada como aquela que agrega conhecimentos e atividades para assegurar a disponibilidade operacional dos sistemas produtivos, dentro de padrões de desempenho antecipadamente especificados, ao menor custo possível e atendendo a requisitos pertinentes de segurança. Nesse contexto, pretende-se caracterizar de que modo abordagens ou políticas, adotadas por empresas selecionadas, que requerem o exercício da função manutenção, se vinculam a indicadores de disponibilidade. Ao longo do trabalho, a disponibilidade é tratada como um \"indicador de resultado\" das atividades de manutenção. Transparece da literatura que a análise da tendência desse indicador deve orientar as tomadas de decisão referentes às ações sobre o equipamento. Desse modo, compete verificar se, e como, é feito o vínculo entre esse indicador e decisões relativas à manutenção, sem perder de vista a produtividade da empresa. Assim, descreve-se o contexto em que se inserem a manutenção e a disponibilidade e são identificados elementos que, interferindo na disponibilidade, permitem desdobrá-la e associá-la a uma estrutura analítica que auxilie o levantamento e encaminhamento de análises sobre os dados obtidos no campo, para melhor percepção do tratamento dado à disponibilidade. Para possibilitar o encaminhamento do estudo de casos e a definição das proposições de pesquisa, a função manutenção é associada a um processo, em que se usa o indicador de disponibilidade como feedback, para a otimização do próprio processo de operação da função manutenção, bem como da especificação dos recursos de entrada desse processo. Três proposições são estruturadas e verificadas em quatro empresas que tipificam dois grupos distintos de operações, focalizando o tratamento dado à disponibilidade, e, no seu âmbito, o tratamento de compromissos de gestão e do estudo do ciclo de vida do equipamento. Para possibilitar uma avaliação objetiva das variáveis das proposições da pesquisa, que são de natureza essencialmente qualitativa, encontrou-se, no Capability Maturity Model (CMM), um modelo conceitual que, por suas características evolutivas, forneceu inspiração para estruturar o necessário instrumento de avaliação. A conclusão da pesquisa revela que as proposições de estudo não se confirmaram de forma plena, apontando sensível diferença de seu atendimento quando se faz a comparação entre os dois grupos de empresas, deixando, assim, um espaço em aberto para novas pesquisas.

Availability of soil water under tillage systems, mulch management and citrus rootstocks

The increased availability of soil water is important for the management of non-irrigated orange orchards. The objective of this study was to evaluate the availability of soil water in a Haplorthox (Rhodic Ferralsol) under different tillage systems used for orchard plantation, mulch management and rootstocks in a "Pêra" orange orchard in northwest Paraná, Brazil. An experiment in a split-split-plot design was established in 2002, in an area cultivated with Brachiaria brizantha grass in which three tillage systems (no tillage, conventional tillage and strip-tillage) were used for orchard plantation. This grass was mowed twice a year between the rows, representing two mulch managements in the split plots (no mulching and mulching in the plant rows). The split-split-plots were represented by two rootstocks ("Rangpur" lime and "Cleopatra" mandarin). The soil water content in the plant rows was evaluated in the 0-20 cm layer in 2007 and at 0-20 and 20-40 cm in 2008-2009. The effect of soil tillage systems prior to implantation of orange orchards on soil water availability was less pronounced than mulching and the rootstocks. The soil water availability was lower when "Pêra" orange trees were grafted on "Cleopatra" mandarin than on "Rangpur" lime rootstocks. Mulching had a positive influence on soil water availability in the sandy surface layer (0-20 cm) and sandy clay loam subsurface (20-40 cm) of the soil in the spring. The production of B. brizantha between the rows and residue disposal in the plant rows as mulch increased water availability to the "Pêra" orange trees.

Availability of soil water under tillage systems, mulch management and citrus rootstocks

The increased availability of soil water is important for the management of non-irrigated orange orchards. The objective of this study was to evaluate the availability of soil water in a Haplorthox (Rhodic Ferralsol) under different tillage systems used for orchard plantation, mulch management and rootstocks in a "Pera" orange orchard in northwest Parana, Brazil. An experiment in a split-split-plot design was established in 2002, in an area cultivated with Brachiaria brizantha grass in which three tillage systems (no tillage, conventional tillage and strip-tillage) were used for orchard plantation. This grass was mowed twice a year between the rows, representing two mulch managements in the split plots (no mulching and mulching in the plant rows). The split-split-plots were represented by two rootstocks ("Rangpur" lime and "Cleopatra" mandarin). The soil water content in the plant rows was evaluated in the 0-20 cm layer in 2007 and at 0-20 and 20-40 cm in 2008-2009. The effect of soil tillage systems prior to implantation of orange orchards on soil water availability was less pronounced than mulching and the rootstocks. The soil water availability was lower when "Pera" orange trees were grafted on "Cleopatra" mandarin than on "Rangpur" lime rootstocks. Mulching had a positive influence on soil water availability in the sandy surface layer (020 cm) and sandy clay loam subsurface (20-40 cm) of the soil in the spring. The production of B. brizantha between the rows and residue disposal in the plant rows as mulch increased water availability to the "Pera" orange trees.

Tillage and phosphorus management effects on enzyme-labile bioactive phosphorus availability in Cerrado Oxisols

Phosphorus (P) is an essential element in crop nutrition, which can be growth limiting or an environmental contaminant, if present in excess. Tillage practices have a direct effect on the behavior and availability of soil P. Sorption and availability of various P forms were evaluated in an incubation-fractionation study of three soils, a Typic Paleudults (CR soil) and two Cerrado Oxisols (Latossolo Vermelho-Amarelo [LVA] and Latossolo Vermelho [LV]) with distinct biogeochemical characteristics and tillage management history. Phosphate and myo-inositol hexakisphosphate (mIPH) were strongly sorbed by the soils. Maximum adsorption capacities (S(max)) were 2.2-6.9, 3.3-7.8, and 1.6-19.8 mmol kg(-1) for phosphate in the 0-40 cm depths of the CR, LV, and LVA soils, respectively. For mIPH, S. were 1.2-3.7, 3.7-5.5, and 4.6-5.2 mmol kg(-1). Saturation indices reflected the long-term effect of repeated manure applications on the Paleudults and the near saturation of its P holding capacity, in contrast to the recently cultivated Cerrado soils. Tillage method appeared to have altered P retention characteristics of the near-surface zone very slightly, while increases in ligand-exchangeable (EEP;) and enzyme-labile organic P (EDTA-PHP) forms were observed in no-till Oxisols. In the Paleudults, added manure P increased bioactive P fractions and P saturation of no-till near-surface soil zone. Estimates of all bioactive P fractions using the ligand-based enzymatic assay showed it to be an effective method for assessing P availability in soil and developing sustainable P management strategies, particularly in Cerrado Oxisols that were low in organic matter while having an extensive P-fixing capacity. Published by Elsevier B.V.

Evaluating watershed service availability under future management and climate change scenarios in the Pangani Basin

Watershed services are the benefits people obtain from the flow of water through a watershed. While demand for such services is increasing in most parts of the world, supply is getting more insecure due to human impacts on ecosystems such as climate or land use change. Population and water management authorities therefore require information on the potential availability of watershed services in the future and the trade-offs involved. In this study, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is used to model watershed service availability for future management and climate change scenarios in the East African Pangani Basin. In order to quantify actual “benefits”, SWAT2005 was slightly modified, calibrated and configured at the required spatial and temporal resolution so that simulated water resources and processes could be characterized based on their valuation by stakeholders and their accessibility. The calibrated model was then used to evaluate three management and three climate scenarios. The results show that by the year 2025, not primarily the physical availability of water, but access to water resources and efficiency of use represent the greatest challenges. Water to cover basic human needs is available at least 95% of time but must be made accessible to the population through investments in distribution infrastructure. Concerning the trade-off between agricultural use and hydropower production, there is virtually no potential for an increase in hydropower even if it is given priority. Agriculture will necessarily expand spatially as a result of population growth, and can even benefit from higher irrigation water availability per area unit, given improved irrigation efficiency and enforced regulation to ensure equitable distribution of available water. The decline in services from natural terrestrial ecosystems (e.g. charcoal, food), due to the expansion of agriculture, increases the vulnerability of residents who depend on such services mostly in times of drought. The expected impacts of climate change may contribute to an increase or decrease in watershed service availability, but are only marginal and much lower than management impacts up to the year 2025.

Availability estimation and management for complex processing systems

“Availability” is the terminology used in asset intensive industries such as petrochemical and hydrocarbons processing to describe the readiness of equipment, systems or plants to perform their designed functions. It is a measure to suggest a facility’s capability of meeting targeted production in a safe working environment. Availability is also vital as it encompasses reliability and maintainability, allowing engineers to manage and operate facilities by focusing on one performance indicator. These benefits make availability a very demanding and highly desired area of interest and research for both industry and academia. In this dissertation, new models, approaches and algorithms have been explored to estimate and manage the availability of complex hydrocarbon processing systems. The risk of equipment failure and its effect on availability is vital in the hydrocarbon industry, and is also explored in this research. The importance of availability encouraged companies to invest in this domain by putting efforts and resources to develop novel techniques for system availability enhancement. Most of the work in this area is focused on individual equipment compared to facility or system level availability assessment and management. This research is focused on developing an new systematic methods to estimate system availability. The main focus areas in this research are to address availability estimation and management through physical asset management, risk-based availability estimation strategies, availability and safety using a failure assessment framework, and availability enhancement using early equipment fault detection and maintenance scheduling optimization.

Soil management system effects on N availability and tree productivity in chestnut planatations under Mediterranean conditions

Soil tillage with chisel ploughing is the conventional soil management system in chestnut stands for fruit production in Northern Portugal. A study was developed to assess the effects of three soil management systems on in situ soil N mineralization dynamics, tree nutrition status and fruit productivity, in a 50-yr old chestnut stand. The treatments were: conventional tillage with a chisel ploughing twice a year (CT), no-tillage with rainfed improved pasture with leguminous and grasses plants (NIP), and no-tillage with spontaneous herbaceous vegetation - natural pasture (NP). The CT treatment showed a strong increase of the soil N mineral concentration following soil disturbance by tillage, but the cumulative net N mineralized along the year was significantly lower (51.8 kg ha-1) than in the NIP (85.1 kg ha-1) treatment. The NP treatment (65.9 kg ha-1) did not cause a reduction in the soil N mineralization when compared to the CT treatment. The mineralization rate (g mineralized N kg-1 total N) in 2004 was about 26, 30 and 38 in the treatments CT, NP and NIP, respectively. Treatments showed different soil N dynamics, the proportion of mineralized NO3--N being lower in the NP (10-48%) than in CT and NIP treatments (53-74%). Our study indicates that no-tillage systems improve the tree nutrition status and enhance productivity

Limiting factors for phytoplankton growth in subtropical reservoirs: the effect of light and nutrient availability in different longitudinal compartments

Limited information is available on the interactions between environmental factors and algal growth in tropical and subtropical aquatic systems. We investigated the relationships between algal biomass (measured as chlorophyll, Chl-a) and light, total phosphorus (TP) and total nitrogen (TN) in longitudinal zones of subtropical reservoirs. We studied the seasonal variation of water variables in Itupararanga Reservoir (Brazil) and compared the results with 16 other subtropical lakes and reservoirs. The longitudinal zones in Itupararanga Reservoir were considered statistically different (p 0.05, MANOVA). From the riverine zone to the dam region of the reservoir, Spearman Correlation Test suggested that light limitation and TP limitation tended to decrease and increase, respectively. Although nitrate concentrations were high (400 g/L), the Spearman coefficients between Chl-a and TN and the TN:TP ratios (11:1 TN:TP 35:1) indicated that nitrogen may be co-limiting algal growth in the studied water body. Putting Itupararanga in a regional context allowed assessment of potential influences of land use on trophic state. Within the subtropical dataset, TP explained a greater percentage of variance in Chl-a (R2 = 0.70) than TN (R2 = 0.17). The main land use type within the reservoirs drainage area significantly influenced the concentrations of TP, TN, and Chl-a (p 0.05, MANOVA), with different relationships between nutrients and chlorophyll in forested (R2 = 0.12-0.33), agricultural (R2 = 0.50-0.68) and urban (R2 = 0.09-0.64) watersheds. Comparisons with literature values and those from reservoirs with less altered watersheds indicated that Itupararanga Reservoir is reaching the mesotrophic-eutrophic boundary, and further nutrient enrichment could cause water quality degradation.

PCJ River Basins` Water Availability Caused by Water Diversion Scenarios to Supply Metropolitan Areas of So Paulo

A dynamic systems simulation model of water resources was developed as a tool to help analyze alternatives to water resources management for the Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiai River Water Basins (RB-PCJ), and used to run six 50-year simulations from 2004 to 2054. The model estimates water supply and demand, as well as contamination load by several consumers. Six runs were performed using a constant mean precipitation value, changing water supply and demand and different volumes diverted from RB-PCJ to RB-Alto Tiet. For the Business as Usual scenario, the Sustainability Index went from 0.44 in 2004 to 0.20 by 2054. The Water Sustainability Index changed from 74% in 2004 to 131% by 2054. The Falkenmark Index changed from 1,403 m(3) person (-aEuro parts per thousand 1) year (-aEuro parts per thousand 1) in 2004 to 734 m(3) person (-aEuro parts per thousand 1) year (-aEuro parts per thousand 1) by 2054. We concluded that sanitation is one of the major problems for the PCJ River Basins.