Post-breakup tectonics in southeast Brazil from thermochronological data and combined inverse-forward thermal history modeling

The continental margin of southeast Brazil is elevated. Onshore Tertiary basins and Late Cretaceous/Paleogene intrusions are good evidence for post breakup tectono-magmatic activity. To constrain the impact of post-rift reactivation on the geological history of the area, we carried out a new thermochronological study. Apatite fission track ages range from 60.7 +/- 1.9 Ma to 129.3 +/- 4.3 Ma, mean track lengths from 11.41 +/- 0.23 mu m to 14.31 +/- 0.24 mu m and a subset of the (U-Th)/He ages range from 45.1 +/- 1.5 to 122.4 +/- 2.5 Ma. Results of inverse thermal history modeling generally support the conclusions from an earlier study for a Late Cretaceous phase of cooling. Around the onshore Taubate Basin, for a limited number of samples, the first detectable period of cooling occurred during the Early Tertiary. The inferred thermal histories for many samples also imply subsequent reheating followed by Neogene cooling. Given the uncertainty of the inversion results, we did deterministic forward modeling to assess the range of possibilities of this Tertiary part of the thermal history. The evidence for reheating seems to be robust around the Taubate Basin, but elsewhere the data cannot discriminate between this and a less complex thermal history. However, forward modeling results and geological information support the conclusion that the whole area underwent cooling during the Neogene. The synchronicity of the cooling phases with Andean tectonics and those in NE Brazil leads us to assume a plate-wide compressional stress that reactivated inherited structures. The present-day topographic relief of the margin reflects a contribution from post-breakup reactivation and uplift.

Insights into the morphology of the Serra da Cangalha impact structure from geophysical modeling

Forward modeling is commonly applied to gravity field data of impact structures to determine the main gravity anomaly sources. In this context, we have developed 2.5-D gravity models of the Serra da Cangalha impact structure for the purpose of investigating geological bodies/structures underneath the crater. Interpretation of the models was supported by ground magnetic data acquired along profiles, as well as by high resolution aeromagnetic data. Ground magnetic data reveal the presence of short-wavelength anomalies probably related to shallow magnetic sources that could have been emplaced during the cratering process. Aeromagnetic data show that the basement underneath the crater occurs at an average depth of about 1.9 km, whereas in the region beneath the central uplift it is raised to 0.51 km below the current surface. These depths are also supported by 2.5-D gravity models showing a gentle relief for the basement beneath the central uplift area. Geophysical data were used to provide further constraints for numeral modeling of crater formation that provided important information on the structural modification that affected the rocks underneath the crater, as well as on shock-induced modifications of target rocks. The results showed that the morphology is consistent with the current observations of the crater and that Serra da Cangalha was formed by a meteorite of approximately 1.4 km diameter striking at 12 km s-1.

A Surface Displacement Analysis for Volcan Pacaya from October 2001 through March 2013 by Means of 3-D Modeling of Precise Position GPS Data

Volcán Pacaya is one of three currently active volcanoes in Guatemala. Volcanic activity originates from the local tectonic subduction of the Cocos plate beneath the Caribbean plate along the Pacific Guatemalan coast. Pacaya is characterized by generally strombolian type activity with occasional larger vulcanian type eruptions approximately every ten years. One particularly large eruption occurred on May 27, 2010. Using GPS data collected for approximately 8 years before this eruption and data from an additional three years of collection afterwards, surface movement covering the period of the eruption can be measured and used as a tool to help understand activity at the volcano. Initial positions were obtained from raw data using the Automatic Precise Positioning Service provided by the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Forward modeling of observed 3-D displacements for three time periods (before, covering and after the May 2010 eruption) revealed that a plausible source for deformation is related to a vertical dike or planar surface trending NNW-SSE through the cone. For three distinct time periods the best fitting models describe deformation of the volcano: 0.45 right lateral movement and 0.55 m tensile opening along the dike mentioned above from October 2001 through January 2009 (pre-eruption); 0.55 m left lateral slip along the dike mentioned above for the period from January 2009 and January 2011 (covering the eruption); -0.025 m dip slip along the dike for the period from January 2011 through March 2013 (post-eruption). In all bestfit models the dike is oriented with a 75° westward dip. These data have respective RMS misfit values of 5.49 cm, 12.38 cm and 6.90 cm for each modeled period. During the time period that includes the eruption the volcano most likely experienced a combination of slip and inflation below the edifice which created a large scar at the surface down the northern flank of the volcano. All models that a dipping dike may be experiencing a combination of inflation and oblique slip below the edifice which augments the possibility of a westward collapse in the future.

Evaluación de un forward modelling de ondas sísmicas : aplicación práctica del efecto source ghost

Se ha utilizado un programa de modelización de ondas sísmicas por métodos finitos en dos dimensiones para analizar el efecto Source Ghost en profundidades de 4, 14, 24 y 34 metros. Este efecto se produce cuando se dispara una fuente enterrada y, debido al contacto suelo-aire, se genera una onda reflejada que, en cierto momento, se superpone con la onda principal, produciéndose una disminución de la amplitud de la onda (Source Ghost). Los resultados teóricos del efecto se han comparado con los resultados prácticos del programa de modelización concluyéndose que es posible determinar el rango de frecuencias afectado por el efecto. Sin embargo, la distancia entre receptor y fuente es una nueva variable que desplaza el efecto hacia frecuencias más altas impidiendo su predicción. La utilización de una técnica de procesamiento básica como la corrección del Normal Move-Out (NMO) en el apilado de las trazas, contrarresta la variable distancia receptor-fuente, y por tanto es posible calcular el rango de frecuencias del efecto Source Ghost. Abstract A seismic wave forward modeling in two dimensions using finite-difference method has been used for analyzing the Source Ghost effect at depths between 4-34 meters. A shot from a buried source generates a down going reflection due to the free surface boundary and, at some point, it interferes with the main wave propagation causing a reduction of wave amplitude at some frequency range (Source Ghost). Theoretical results and experimental results provided by the forward modeling are compared for concluding that the forward modeling is able to identify the frequency range affected by the source ghost. Nevertheless, it has been found that the receiver-source distance (offset) is a new variable that modifies the frequency range to make it unpredictable. A basic seismic processing technique, Normal Move-Out (NMO) correction, has been used for a single twenty fold CMP gather. The final stack shows that the processing technique neutralize the offset effect and therefore the forward modeling is still capable to determine the affected frequency range by the source ghost regardless the distance between receiver and source.

Modeling the impact of large-scale solid mass transfers on the gravity field

The focus of this thesis is to explore and quantify the response of large-scale solid mass transfer events on satellite-based gravity observations. The gravity signature of large-scale solid mass transfers has not been deeply explored yet; mainly due to the lack of significant events during dedicated satellite gravity missions‘ lifespans. In light of the next generation of gravity missions, the feasibility of employing satellite gravity observations to detect submarine and surface mass transfers is of importance for geoscience (improves the understanding of geodynamic processes) and for geodesy (improves the understanding of the dynamic gravity field). The aim of this thesis is twofold and focuses on assessing the feasibility of using satellite gravity observations for detecting large-scale solid mass transfers and on modeling the impact on the gravity field caused by these events. A methodology that employs 3D forward modeling simulations and 2D wavelet multiresolution analysis is suggested to estimate the impact of solid mass transfers on satellite gravity observations. The gravity signature of various submarine and subaerial events that occurred in the past was estimated. Case studies were conducted to assess the sensitivity and resolvability required in order to observe gravity differences caused by solid mass transfers. Simulation studies were also employed in order to assess the expected contribution of the Next Generation of Gravity Missions for this application.

Probabilistic Imaging and Dynamic Modeling of Earthquake Source Processes

Investigation of large, destructive earthquakes is challenged by their infrequent occurrence and the remote nature of geophysical observations. This thesis sheds light on the source processes of large earthquakes from two perspectives: robust and quantitative observational constraints through Bayesian inference for earthquake source models, and physical insights on the interconnections of seismic and aseismic fault behavior from elastodynamic modeling of earthquake ruptures and aseismic processes.

To constrain the shallow deformation during megathrust events, we develop semi-analytical and numerical Bayesian approaches to explore the maximum resolution of the tsunami data, with a focus on incorporating the uncertainty in the forward modeling. These methodologies are then applied to invert for the coseismic seafloor displacement field in the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake using near-field tsunami waveforms and for the coseismic fault slip models in the 2010 Mw 8.8 Maule earthquake with complementary tsunami and geodetic observations. From posterior estimates of model parameters and their uncertainties, we are able to quantitatively constrain the near-trench profiles of seafloor displacement and fault slip. Similar characteristic patterns emerge during both events, featuring the peak of uplift near the edge of the accretionary wedge with a decay toward the trench axis, with implications for fault failure and tsunamigenic mechanisms of megathrust earthquakes.

To understand the behavior of earthquakes at the base of the seismogenic zone on continental strike-slip faults, we simulate the interactions of dynamic earthquake rupture, aseismic slip, and heterogeneity in rate-and-state fault models coupled with shear heating. Our study explains the long-standing enigma of seismic quiescence on major fault segments known to have hosted large earthquakes by deeper penetration of large earthquakes below the seismogenic zone, where mature faults have well-localized creeping extensions. This conclusion is supported by the simulated relationship between seismicity and large earthquakes as well as by observations from recent large events. We also use the modeling to connect the geodetic observables of fault locking with the behavior of seismicity in numerical models, investigating how a combination of interseismic geodetic and seismological estimates could constrain the locked-creeping transition of faults and potentially their co- and post-seismic behavior.

Localization and characterization of an active fault in an urbanized area in central Guatemala by means of geoelectrical imaging

The Polochic and Motagua faults define the active plate boundary between the North American and Caribbean plates in central Guatemala. A splay of the Polochic Fault traverses the rapidly growing city of San Miguel Uspantan that is periodically affected by destructive earthquakes. This fault splay was located using a 2D electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) survey that also characterized the fault damage zone and evaluated the thickness and nature of recent deposits upon which most of the city is built. ERT images show the fault as a similar to 50 m wide, near-vertical low-resistivity anomaly, bounded within a few meters by high resistivity anomalies. Forward modeling reproduces the key aspects of the observed electrical resistivity data with remarkable fidelity thus defining the overall location, geometry, and internal structure of the fault zone as well as the affected lithologies. Our results indicate that the city is constructed on a similar to 20 m thick surficial layer consisting of poorly consolidated, highly porous, water-logged pumice. This soft layer is likely to amplify seismic waves and to liquefy upon moderate to strong ground shaking. The electrical conductivity as well as the major element chemistry of the groundwater provides evidence to suggest that the local aquifer might, at least in part, be fed by water rising along the fault. Therefore, the potential threat posed by this fault splay may not be limited to its seismic activity per se, but could be compounded its potential propensity to enhance seismic site effects by injecting water into the soft surficial sediments. The results of this study provide the basis for a rigorous analysis of seismic hazard and sustainable development of San Miguel Uspantan and illustrate the potential of ERT surveying for paleoseismic studies.

Development of Asphalt Dynamic Modulus Master Curve Using Falling Weight Deflectometer Measurements, TR-659

The asphalt concrete (AC) dynamic modulus (|E*|) is a key design parameter in mechanistic-based pavement design methodologies such as the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) MEPDG/Pavement-ME Design. The objective of this feasibility study was to develop frameworks for predicting the AC |E*| master curve from falling weight deflectometer (FWD) deflection-time history data collected by the Iowa Department of Transportation (Iowa DOT). A neural networks (NN) methodology was developed based on a synthetically generated viscoelastic forward solutions database to predict AC relaxation modulus (E(t)) master curve coefficients from FWD deflection-time history data. According to the theory of viscoelasticity, if AC relaxation modulus, E(t), is known, |E*| can be calculated (and vice versa) through numerical inter-conversion procedures. Several case studies focusing on full-depth AC pavements were conducted to isolate potential backcalculation issues that are only related to the modulus master curve of the AC layer. For the proof-of-concept demonstration, a comprehensive full-depth AC analysis was carried out through 10,000 batch simulations using a viscoelastic forward analysis program. Anomalies were detected in the comprehensive raw synthetic database and were eliminated through imposition of certain constraints involving the sigmoid master curve coefficients. The surrogate forward modeling results showed that NNs are able to predict deflection-time histories from E(t) master curve coefficients and other layer properties very well. The NN inverse modeling results demonstrated the potential of NNs to backcalculate the E(t) master curve coefficients from single-drop FWD deflection-time history data, although the current prediction accuracies are not sufficient to recommend these models for practical implementation. Considering the complex nature of the problem investigated with many uncertainties involved, including the possible presence of dynamics during FWD testing (related to the presence and depth of stiff layer, inertial and wave propagation effects, etc.), the limitations of current FWD technology (integration errors, truncation issues, etc.), and the need for a rapid and simplified approach for routine implementation, future research recommendations have been provided making a strong case for an expanded research study.

Sea surface temperature estimation from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite 12 (GOES-12)

This paper describes the techniques used to obtain sea surface temperature (SST) retrievals from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite 12 (GOES-12) at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution. Previous SST retrieval techniques relying on channels at 11 and 12 μm are not applicable because GOES-12 lacks the latter channel. Cloud detection is performed using a Bayesian method exploiting fast-forward modeling of prior clear-sky radiances using numerical weather predictions. The basic retrieval algorithm used at nighttime is based on a linear combination of brightness temperatures at 3.9 and 11 μm. In comparison with traditional split window SSTs (using 11- and 12-μm channels), simulations show that this combination has maximum scatter when observing drier colder scenes, with a comparable overall performance. For daytime retrieval, the same algorithm is applied after estimating and removing the contribution to brightness temperature in the 3.9-μm channel from solar irradiance. The correction is based on radiative transfer simulations and comprises a parameterization for atmospheric scattering and a calculation of ocean surface reflected radiance. Potential use of the 13-μm channel for SST is shown in a simulation study: in conjunction with the 3.9-μm channel, it can reduce the retrieval error by 30%. Some validation results are shown while a companion paper by Maturi et al. shows a detailed analysis of the validation results for the operational algorithms described in this present article.

Educação estatística crítica: uma possibilidade?

Pós-graduação em Educação Matemática - IGCE

Empilhamento sísmico por superfície de reflexão comum: um novo algoritmo usando otimização global e local

O método de empilhamento sísmico por Superfície de Reflexão Comum (ou empilhamento SRC) produz a simulação de seções com afastamento nulo (NA) a partir dos dados de cobertura múltipla. Para meios 2D, o operador de empilhamento SRC depende de três parâmetros que são: o ângulo de emergência do raio central com fonte-receptor nulo (β₀), o raio de curvatura da onda ponto de incidência normal (R_NIP) e o raio de curvatura da onda normal (R_N). O problema crucial para a implementação do método de empilhamento SRC consiste na determinação, a partir dos dados sísmicos, dos três parâmetros ótimos associados a cada ponto de amostragem da seção AN a ser simulada. No presente trabalho foi desenvolvido uma nova sequência de processamento para a simulação de seções AN por meio do método de empilhamento SRC. Neste novo algoritmo, a determinação dos três parâmetros ótimos que definem o operador de empilhamento SRC é realizada em três etapas: na primeira etapa são estimados dois parâmetros (β°₀ e R°_NIP) por meio de uma busca global bidimensional nos dados de cobertura múltipla. Na segunda etapa é usado o valor de β°₀ estimado para determinar-se o terceiro parâmetro (R°_N) através de uma busca global unidimensional na seção AN resultante da primeira etapa. Em ambas etapas as buscas globais são realizadas aplicando o método de otimização Simulated Annealing (SA). Na terceira etapa são determinados os três parâmetros finais (β₀, R_NIP e R_N) através uma busca local tridimensional aplicando o método de otimização Variable Metric (VM) nos dados de cobertura múltipla. Nesta última etapa é usado o trio de parâmetros (β°₀, R°_NIP, R°_N) estimado nas duas etapas anteriores como aproximação inicial. Com o propósito de simular corretamente os eventos com mergulhos conflitantes, este novo algoritmo prevê a determinação de dois trios de parâmetros associados a pontos de amostragem da seção AN onde há intersecção de eventos. Em outras palavras, nos pontos da seção AN onde dois eventos sísmicos se cruzam são determinados dois trios de parâmetros SRC, os quais serão usados conjuntamente na simulação dos eventos com mergulhos conflitantes. Para avaliar a precisão e eficiência do novo algoritmo, este foi aplicado em dados sintéticos de dois modelos: um com interfaces contínuas e outro com uma interface descontinua. As seções AN simuladas têm elevada razão sinal-ruído e mostram uma clara definição dos eventos refletidos e difratados. A comparação das seções AN simuladas com as suas similares obtidas por modelamento direto mostra uma correta simulação de reflexões e difrações. Além disso, a comparação dos valores dos três parâmetros otimizados com os seus correspondentes valores exatos calculados por modelamento direto revela também um alto grau de precisão. Usando a aproximação hiperbólica dos tempos de trânsito, porém sob a condição de R_NIP = R_N, foi desenvolvido um novo algoritmo para a simulação de seções AN contendo predominantemente campos de ondas difratados. De forma similar ao algoritmo de empilhamento SRC, este algoritmo denominado empilhamento por Superfícies de Difração Comum (SDC) também usa os métodos de otimização SA e VM para determinar a dupla de parâmetros ótimos (β₀, R_NIP) que definem o melhor operador de empilhamento SDC. Na primeira etapa utiliza-se o método de otimização SA para determinar os parâmetros iniciais β°₀ e R°_NIP usando o operador de empilhamento com grande abertura. Na segunda etapa, usando os valores estimados de β°₀ e R°_NIP, são melhorados as estimativas do parâmetro R_NIP por meio da aplicação do algoritmo VM na seção AN resultante da primeira etapa. Na terceira etapa são determinados os melhores valores de β°₀ e R°_NIP por meio da aplicação do algoritmo VM nos dados de cobertura múltipla. Vale salientar que a aparente repetição de processos tem como efeito a atenuação progressiva dos eventos refletidos. A aplicação do algoritmo de empilhamento SDC em dados sintéticos contendo campos de ondas refletidos e difratados, produz como resultado principal uma seção AN simulada contendo eventos difratados claramente definidos. Como uma aplicação direta deste resultado na interpretação de dados sísmicos, a migração pós-empilhamento em profundidade da seção AN simulada produz uma seção com a localização correta dos pontos difratores associados às descontinuidades do modelo.

Estudo das feições lineares observadas em dados aeromagnéticos da Bacia do Solimões a partir de imagens digitais de sombreamento do relevo anômalo total

A Bacia do Solimões é caracterizada por um padrão magnético complexo, expresso ao longo de toda sua extensão, e produzido pela superposição de anomalias magnéticas que se apresentam sob a forma de feições lineares. Tais feições refletem as diferentes atividades tectônicas que atuaram na Região Amazônica através do Pré-Cambriano e Fanerozóico. Neste trabalho, foi aplicado nos dados aeromagnéticos da Bacia do Solimões um método de processamento de imagens digitais de sombreamento do relevo magnético anômalo total que, dadas suas características metodológicas, permitindo utilizá-lo como um filtro direcional, possibilitou a definição de aspectos relevantes no contexto das relações entre os lineamentos magnéticos E/W, NE/SW, e NW/SE. Nesse sentido, foram identificados padrões de lineamentos magnéticos que refletem a existência de zonas de cisalhamento transcorrentes dextrais, orientadas preferencialmente na direção E/W. A interação entre os diversos segmentos transcorrentes promoveu o desenvolvimento de um regime predominantemente transpressivo, representado por falhas reversas associadas aos lineamentos magnéticos E/W e NE/SW; e duplexes direcionais formando falhas em flor positivas e negativas associadas, respectivamente, aos lineamentos magnéticos orientados na direção N70-80E e N70-80W. A análise quantitativa permitiu explicar dois aspectos importantes em relação às feições lineares observadas nas imagens digitais. O primeiro mostra, através de modelamentos baseados na superposição de prismas bidimensionais, que estas feições lineares magnéticas podem ser explicadas pela superposição de fontes profundas intraembasamento altamente magnéticas, e fontes rasas de alta frequência, sendo estas associadas a falhas reversas ao longo dos níveis de diabásio, presentes em forma de intrusões nos sedimentos paleozóicos da Bacia do Solimões. O segundo aspecto, baseado na utilização dos conceitos da cross-covariância, constata a presença de 'offsets' dextrais, associados aos lineamentos magnéticos NE—SW, ao longo da direção E—W. Este fato mostra, quantitativamente, que o padrão magnético desta região pode ser explicado pela presença de zonas de cisalhamento transcorrestes dextrais, cujos processos tectônicos associados foram fortemente condicionados por zonas de fraquezas pré-existentes (Pré-Cambrianas, Paleozóicas) durante o Mesozóico e Cenozóico.

Estudo da hidrogeologia no município de Palestina do Pará usando o método de eletroresistividade

Esse trabalho de geofísica aplicada à hidrogeologia, foi realizado numa área localizada na porção sudeste do estado do Pará, mas precisamente na cidade de Palestina à margem esquerda do rio Araguaia. Ironicamente existem problemas de abastecimento de água potável para a população da cidade. Esse problema deve-se ao fato que, no momento, é antieconômico o tratamento e transporte de água do rio para a cidade. Considerando que a extração de água subterrânea é economicamente mais viável para a solução desse problema, o Departamento de Geofísica e o curso de Pós-graduação de Geofísica da Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPa), por solicitação da prefeitura daquele município e da Fundação Nacional de Saúde (FNS), participaram no levantamento geofísico de eletroresistividade para investigar os possíveis locais de ocorrência de água subterrânea. Foram realizadas, na área, 21 Sondagens Elétricas Verticais (SEVs) medidas na superfície, utilizando o arranjo Schlumberger com abertura máxima dos eletrodos AB e MN de 500m e 50m, respectivamente. Para a sua interpretação foram usados os programas de modelagem direta (EGSLIB/SEV1D) e inversa (EGSLIB/SEV1DIN) de RIJO (1994), de modelos de n camadas horizontais, homogêneas e isotrópicas. Com base nos resultados da interpretação das 21 SEVs, e também das informações da geologia local foram confeccionadas três mapas de contorno e seis secções geoelétricas. Dos seis horizontes que aparecem nessas secções, o mais favorável para a exploração hidrogeológica é o quarto, com espessura variando de 10 a 79 m, estando a uma profundidade média de 50m e com valores de resistividade variando de 150 — 850 Ωm, sendo correlacionavel com a Formação Potí. A analise final dos mapas e das secções geoelétricas, indicou que o local mais apropriado para a perfuração de poços, é uma área próximo à atual área de captação.

Potential fields study of Marsili basin and Palinuro volcanic complex

In this thesis Marsili back-arc basin and Palinuro Volcanic Complex (Southern Tyrrhenian Sea) have been investigated by using magnetic, bathymetric and gravimetric data. A new velocity model of opening of the Marsili basin has been proposed, highlighting the transition from the horizontal spreading of the back-arc to the vertical accretion of the Marsili seamount. Introducing gravity data, Marsili's internal structure has been modeled and a huge portion of the volcano with low density and vanishing magnetization has been detected. Forward modeling of Palinuro Volcanic Complex showed as Palinuro represents the shallowest evidence of a deep tectonic discontinuity and the possible transition domain between the oceanic crust of Marsili Basin and the continental crust related to the Appenninic chain.