Predictability Of Share Prices In India: A Study Of The Applicability Of Technical Analysis

In spite of the far longed practices of technical analysis by many participants in Indian stock market, none have arrived at the exact position of technical analysis as a tool for foretelling share prices. There is no evidence supporting that one has established its definite role in predicting the behaviour of share price and also to see the extent of validity (how far reliable) of technical tools in Indian stock market. The problem is the vacuum in the arena of securities market analysis where an unrecognised tool is practised, i.e., whether to hold on to technical analysis or to drop it. Again, as already stated in this chapter, its validity need not continue forever. It may become futile as happened in developed markets. Continuous practice of a tool, which is valid only during discontinuous times is also an error. The efficacy of different market phenomena in terms of their ability to foretell the extent and direction of the price movements and reliability thereof remain as not yet proved in. This requires further study in this area so that this controversy may be settled. A solution to the problem requires enquiring and establishing the applicability of technical analysis, if any, there is in the Indian stock market. The study has the following two broad objectives for the purpose of confirming the applicability, if any, of technical analysis in the Indian stock market. The first objective is to ascertain the current validity of ‘traditional holding with respect to patterns’ and the second objective is to ascertain the ‘consistent superiority’, if any, of technical indicators over non-signal strategies in return generation. The study analyses the five patterns, which are widely known and commonly found in publications. They are: (1) Symmetrical Triangles, (2) Rising Wedges, (3) Falling Wedges, (4) Head and Shoulders Top and (5) Head and Shoulders Bottom.

Winning the phishing war : a strategy for Australia

Phishing, a form of on-line identity theft, is a major problem worldwide, accounting for more than $7.5 Billion in losses in the US alone between 2005 and 2008. Australia was the first country to be targeted by Internet bank phishing in 2003 and continues to have a significant problem in this area. The major cyber crime groups responsible for phishing are based in Eastern Europe. They operate with a large degree of freedom due to the inherent difficulties in cross border law enforcement and the current situation in Eastern Europe, particularly in Russia and the Ukraine. They employ highly sophisticated and efficient technical tools to compromise victims and subvert bank authentication systems. However because it is difficult for them to repatriate the fraudulently obtained funds directly they employ Internet money mules in Australia to transfer the money via Western Union or Money gram. It is proposed a strategy, which firstly places more focus by Australian law enforcement upon transactions via Western Union and Money gram to detect this money laundering, would significantly impact the success of the Phishing attack model. This combined with a technical monitoring of Trojan technology and education of potential Internet money mules to avoid being duped would provide a winning strategy for the war on phishing for Australia.

Topological strings, double affine Hecke algebras, and exceptional knot homology

In this thesis, we consider two main subjects: refined, composite invariants and exceptional knot homologies of torus knots. The main technical tools are double affine Hecke algebras ("DAHA") and various insights from topological string theory.

In particular, we define and study the composite DAHA-superpolynomials of torus knots, which depend on pairs of Young diagrams and generalize the composite HOMFLY-PT polynomials from the full HOMFLY-PT skein of the annulus. We also describe a rich structure of differentials that act on homological knot invariants for exceptional groups. These follow from the physics of BPS states and the adjacencies/spectra of singularities associated with Landau-Ginzburg potentials. At the end, we construct two DAHA-hyperpolynomials which are closely related to the Deligne-Gross exceptional series of root systems.

In addition to these main themes, we also provide new results connecting DAHA-Jones polynomials to quantum torus knot invariants for Cartan types A and D, as well as the first appearance of quantum E6 knot invariants in the literature.

Fotografia e interação no Jardim Botânico: uma abordagem do design de participação em contexto museológico

Em meio à rápida propagação de tecnologias de mídia que tornam possível produzir, arquivar, se apropriar e recircular conteúdo informacional, uma cultura participativa vem emergindo nos dias atuais. Uma lógica de colaboração se faz presente, viabilizada por ferramentas técnicas que estruturam o conhecimento em rede. Nesse contexto, o museu, enquanto agência de representação sociocultural, se esforça no sentido de atualizar-se. Nesta dissertação, sugere-se que a interação participativa de caráter social é um caminho para renovar e ampliar as narrativas culturais elaboradas pelos museus, em sua relação comunicacional com o público. Foi elaborado, então, o sistema Revelar: um modelo preliminar que se propõe a investigar o design de participação em contexto museológico. O sistema, que tem como palco de ações o complexo do Jardim Botânico do Rio de Janeiro, pressupõe a participação de estudantes de Ensino Médio em uma atividade programada pela equipe do Museu do Meio Ambiente. A matéria de contribuição dos alunos participantes é a fotografia produzida a partir do uso de dispositivos móveis

Countering design exclusion

An in-depth understanding of inclusive design can be gained from the investigation of design exclusion. The general assessment methodology and feature-based expert assessment are described in the report, supported by a series of case studies. Research questions based on the industry investigation are raised to show the direction of further study, which focuses on generating effective, practical and accessible design support tools (knowledge tools and technical tools).

A theory of hypoellipticity and unique ergodicity for semilinear stochastic PDEs

We present a theory of hypoellipticity and unique ergodicity for semilinear parabolic stochastic PDEs with "polynomial" nonlinearities and additive noise, considered as abstract evolution equations in some Hilbert space. It is shown that if Hörmander's bracket condition holds at every point of this Hilbert space, then a lower bound on the Malliavin covariance operatorμt can be obtained. Informally, this bound can be read as "Fix any finite-dimensional projection on a subspace of sufficiently regular functions. Then the eigenfunctions of μt with small eigenvalues have only a very small component in the image of Π." We also show how to use a priori bounds on the solutions to the equation to obtain good control on the dependency of the bounds on the Malliavin matrix on the initial condition. These bounds are sufficient in many cases to obtain the asymptotic strong Feller property introduced in [HM06]. One of the main novel technical tools is an almost sure bound from below on the size of "Wiener polynomials," where the coefficients are possibly non-adapted stochastic processes satisfying a Lips chitz condition. By exploiting the polynomial structure of the equations, this result can be used to replace Norris' lemma, which is unavailable in the present context. We conclude by showing that the two-dimensional stochastic Navier-Stokes equations and a large class of reaction-diffusion equations fit the framework of our theory.

Utilisation du concept de connectivité en hydrologie : définitions, approches expérimentales et éléments de modélisation

Alors que certains mécanismes pourtant jugés cruciaux pour la transformation de la pluie en débit restent peu ou mal compris, le concept de connectivité hydrologique a récemment été proposé pour expliquer pourquoi certains processus sont déclenchés de manière épisodique en fonction des caractéristiques des événements de pluie et de la teneur en eau des sols avant l’événement. L’adoption de ce nouveau concept en hydrologie reste cependant difficile puisqu’il n’y a pas de consensus sur la définition de la connectivité, sa mesure, son intégration dans les modèles hydrologiques et son comportement lors des transferts d’échelles spatiales et temporelles. Le but de ce travail doctoral est donc de préciser la définition, la mesure, l’agrégation et la prédiction des processus liés à la connectivité hydrologique en s’attardant aux questions suivantes : 1) Quel cadre méthodologique adopter pour une étude sur la connectivité hydrologique ?, 2) Comment évaluer le degré de connectivité hydrologique des bassins versants à partir de données de terrain ?, et 3) Dans quelle mesure nos connaissances sur la connectivité hydrologique doivent-elles conduire à la modification des postulats de modélisation hydrologique ? Trois approches d’étude sont différenciées, soit i) une approche de type « boite noire », basée uniquement sur l’exploitation des données de pluie et de débits sans examiner le fonctionnement interne du bassin versant ; ii) une approche de type « boite grise » reposant sur l’étude de données géochimiques ponctuelles illustrant la dynamique interne du bassin versant ; et iii) une approche de type « boite blanche » axée sur l’analyse de patrons spatiaux exhaustifs de la topographie de surface, la topographie de subsurface et l’humidité du sol. Ces trois approches sont ensuite validées expérimentalement dans le bassin versant de l’Hermine (Basses Laurentides, Québec). Quatre types de réponses hydrologiques sont distingués en fonction de leur magnitude et de leur synchronisme, sachant que leur présence relative dépend des conditions antécédentes. Les forts débits enregistrés à l’exutoire du bassin versant sont associés à une contribution accrue de certaines sources de ruissellement, ce qui témoigne d’un lien hydraulique accru et donc d’un fort degré de connectivité hydrologique entre les sources concernées et le cours d’eau. Les aires saturées couvrant des superficies supérieures à 0,85 ha sont jugées critiques pour la genèse de forts débits de crue. La preuve est aussi faite que les propriétés statistiques des patrons d’humidité du sol en milieu forestier tempéré humide sont nettement différentes de celles observées en milieu de prairie tempéré sec, d’où la nécessité d’utiliser des méthodes de calcul différentes pour dériver des métriques spatiales de connectivité dans les deux types de milieux. Enfin, la double existence de sources contributives « linéaires » et « non linéaires » est mise en évidence à l’Hermine. Ces résultats suggèrent la révision de concepts qui sous-tendent l’élaboration et l’exécution des modèles hydrologiques. L’originalité de cette thèse est le fait même de son sujet. En effet, les objectifs de recherche poursuivis sont conformes à la théorie hydrologique renouvelée qui prône l’arrêt des études de particularismes de petite échelle au profit de l’examen des propriétés émergentes des bassins versants telles que la connectivité hydrologique. La contribution majeure de cette thèse consiste ainsi en la proposition d’une définition unifiée de la connectivité, d’un cadre méthodologique, d’approches de mesure sur le terrain, d’outils techniques et de pistes de solution pour la modélisation des systèmes hydrologiques.

Vie privée et bon usage des NTIC au travail : risques et responsabilités

Un nombre croissant de salariés ont aujourd’hui accès à l’Internet et à la messagerie électronique sur leur lieu de travail. Ils sont parfois tentés d’utiliser ces outils à des fins autres que professionnelles, ce qui constitue une source potentielle de conflits. En effet, sous prétexte d’assurer la protection de leurs biens et équipements, de vérifier que les salariés exécutent leurs obligations et de prévenir les risques de responsabilité, les entreprises contrôlent de plus en plus souvent – et parfois subrepticement – l’utilisation qui est faite des ressources ainsi fournies. Les employés, de leur côté, revendiquent leur droit à ce que leurs activités personnelles en ligne demeurent privées, même lorsqu’elles sont réalisées durant leur temps de travail et avec le matériel de l’employeur. Peuvent-ils raisonnablement voir leurs droits protégés, bien que le droit à la vie privée soit traditionnellement atténué en milieu de travail et que les entreprises aient accès à des technologies offrant des possibilités d’espionnage toujours plus intrusives? Comment trouver un équilibre viable entre le pouvoir de direction et de contrôle de l’employeur et les droits des salariés? Il s’agit d’une problématique à laquelle les tribunaux sont de plus en plus souvent confrontés et qui les amène régulièrement à réinterpréter les balises établies en matière de surveillance patronale, au regard des spécificités des technologies de l’information. Ce contexte conflictuel a également entraîné une évolution des pratiques patronales, dans la mesure où un nombre grandissant d’employeurs se dotent d’outils techniques et juridiques leur permettant de se protéger contre les risques, tout en s’aménageant un droit d’intrusion très large dans la vie privée des salariés.

Creación de una empresa virtual de servicios informativos para la industria musical de Bogotá

El presente trabajo describe el proceso de conformación de la empresa “C Music”, la cual tiene como meta posicionarse como líder en la consolidación, promoción y distribución de información relacionada con la industria de la música inicialmente en Bogotá. En el presente trabajo se plantea tanto el problema como la justificación que llevaron al autor a desarrollar la empresa, así como los objetivos y metas trazadas en el corto, mediano y largo plazo. En él se realiza una investigación de mercado, y se referencian las empresas que prestan servicios similares tanto en Colombia como en América Latina y España. Finalmente se definen las herramientas técnicas con las que se realizó la planificación de la empresa. El trabajo de grado tiene como soporte una fuerte labor investigativa que se realizó a través de visitas de campo, en las cuales se diligenciaba una encuesta que facilitó el proceso de sistematización de la información, ésta fue posteriormente condensada en una base de datos que estará a disposición del público, a través de un portal Web, que es el medio por el cual funcionará la empresa.

Plataformas de aprendizaje sustentadas en las nuevas tecnologías de la información y comunicación.

En el documento se abordan algunos principios de diseño instruccional vinculados con el constructivismo sociocultural y la cognición situada referidos al diseño de entornos de aprendizaje apoyados con tecnologías de la información y comunicación (TIC). Se analizan las potencialidades educativas de dichas TIC en su carácter de signos o instrumentos psicológicos en contraste con su empleo restringido como herramientas técnicas. Se destacan algunas características de los entornos apoyados con las TIC que potencian el aprendizaje y se concluye remarcando la necesidad de conducir investigación sobre los mecanismos de influencia educativa y las prácticas educativas reales que ocurren en diversas experiencias escolares y autoiniciadas mediadas por la tecnología.

Efeitos do manejo comportamental de incontinência fecal em adolescente

A incontinência fecal, também conhecida como encoprese, é um transtorno de evacuação que acarreta prejuízos ao desenvolvimento psicossocial e orgânico da criança e do adolescente, e que demanda atenção e cuidado de pais e profissionais de saúde. No amplo contexto de tratamento da encoprese, a psicoterapia constitui importante recurso, sendo a terapia comportamental apontada como uma das modalidades mais promissoras e eficazes para o tratamento dessa dificuldade de eliminação. Este artigo apresenta o estudo dos efeitos do manejo comportamental de quadro de incontinência fecal em um adolescente de 14 anos, atendido em clínica-escola de Psicologia do interior do Estado de São Paulo durante 14 meses. A partir do referencial teórico da análise do comportamento, foi desenvolvido, em contexto psicoterápico, um conjunto de estratégias comportamentais com o cliente, bem como orientações aos pais, visando à gradativa extinção encoprética. No decorrer desse processo, o cliente apresentou significativas aquisições comportamentais de uso regular do banheiro e adequado controle esfincteriano, monitoradas semanalmente, que possibilitaram a plena extinção das ocorrências de sujidade, sendo avaliado o efeito em follow-up realizado três meses após o encerramento dessa intervenção.

Virtues and limitations of census maps for identifying critical deficiencies

Includes bibliography

Intervenção profissional em serviço social na área da assistência social: estudo da dimensão técnico-operativa na ação de assistentes sociais em CRAS na região metropolitana de Belém-(PA)

A dissertação ora apresentada, se propõe ao estudo crítico da intervenção profissional, no campo particular da política de Assistência Social, no interior da concepção da dimensão técnico-operativa, ao qual participaram 05 assistentes sociais que trabalham nos Centros de Referência da Assistência Social –CRAS, localizados geograficamente na Região Metropolitana de Belém-Pa, dimensão técnico-operativa essa, situada dentro da Política Nacional de Assistência Social –PNAS/2004, haja vista que, esse estudo foi viabilizado a partir da compreensão desses assistentes sociais sobre o uso dos instrumentos técnicos que mais apareceram na fala desses sujeitos, ou seja, durante suas intervenções profissionais no ano de 2013, com vista a identificar, possíveis dificuldades de compreensão teórica e a sua relação com a prática profissional, na perspectiva de compreender como se dá o uso dessa instrumentação técnica dentro da articulação orgânica entre a relação teórico-metodológica, ético-política e técnico-operativa. Tem como base de análise a teoria Dialética e o método adotado, foi a técnica de Analise de Discurso, com vista a qualificar mais a pesquisa, bem como, a consulta em bibliografias, artigos e revistas da área do Serviço Social; a pesquisa se deu por meio de entrevistas semi-estruturadas, orientadas pelo instrumento denominado de roteiro de entrevista. Buscou-se evidencias a partir da compreensão desses sujeitos expressos através das falas analisadas, de como essa dimensão técnico-operativa, assim como os instrumentos utilizados, comparecem nas ações práticas dos assistentes sociais no momento das intervenções profissionais, bem como, saber o porquê da dificuldade de compreensão da relação teoria e prática nesses espaços sócio-ocupacionais. Como resultados preliminares, verificou-se que nas intervenções profissionais, os assistentes sociais vêm apresentando dificuldades de compreensão a cerca da teoria social crítica, impactando dessa forma, no uso da instrumentação técnica, ora tendendo para a concepção tecnicista, ora tendendo para a concepção teoricista, reproduzindo-se assim, a polêmica histórica no interior do Serviço Social.

Convivendo com o lixo: a vulnerabilidade socioambiental no bairro Jardim Graminha, Leme, Sao Paulo

Urban space occupation occurs in an extremely disordered way. Political, economical and social aspects converge to create a problem that affects mostly poor people who are impelled to occupy areas where social and environmental problems are likely to emerge. Floods, landslides and different forms of pollution have more effects on the most vulnerable groups. In many cases, actions taken by the government legitimate this structure and reinforce its reproduction. This work seeks to confirm both that poor people are vulnerable to social and environmental problems resulting from inappropriate urban solid waste disposal and that the local government contributes to this situation. It is assumed that the issue is related first to the government’s disregard for poor people who live in unhealthy places and, second, to the inability of such people to demand for better living conditions. In this study, a waste disposal area within Jardim Graminha neighborhood in Leme (São Paulo) was selected to be analyzed by means of systematic observation. The study clearly shows that poor people living near that area where different types of garbage are disposed are vulnerable and the government does not control the situation. It is also pointed out that governmental intervention and the use of political and technical tools are necessary for planning and managing the area to mitigate these problems and to decrease poor people’s social and environmental vulnerability.

Knowledge: custody & access

The University of São Paulo celebrates its Integrated Library System 30th anniversary with an exhibition, discussing the problems of retrieval, preservation and access to knowledge resulting from the exceptional changes ICTs produce in contemporary society. It opens up discussions on the main function of the ancient library institution, reinforces its relevance and reflects on technical tools and social practices that make information and basic raw material accessible, generating new forms of knowledge. About the future library, it´s a call for reflection on how the brilliant minds of the past projected into the future, which for us are the achievements of the present. The future has already started and expects each one to exercise inventiveness and determination to build it in a human and collaborative sense.