Successões cronológicas e previsão

Neste trabalho tratamos o problema da previsão de sucessões cronológicas. Numa primeira face, percorremos as principias metodologias não causais e causais para a análise e previsão de sucessões cronológicas, indicando para cada uma delas o software que consideramos mais adequado. Em seguida, destacamos três dessas metodologias não causais: modelo de Holt-Winters, modelo linear ARMA, e modelo estrutural. Um exemplo é tratado à luz destas metodologias e são comparados os seus resultados previsionais.

Participatory Surveillance and Mathematical Models in Epidemiologic Research: Successes and Challenges

Theoretical epidemiology aims to understand the dynamics of diseases in populations and communities. Biological and behavioral processes are abstracted into mathematical formulations which aim to reproduce epidemiological observations. In this thesis a new system for the self-reporting of syndromic data — Influenzanet — is introduced and assessed. The system is currently being extended to address greater challenges of monitoring the health and well-being of tropical communities.(...)

Cryopreservation of Cell Sheets of Adipose Stem Cells: Limitations and Successes

Cell Sheets of hASCs (hASCs-CS) have been previously proposed for wound healing applications(1, 2) and despite the concern for production time reduction, the possibility of having these hASCs-CS off-the-shelf is appealing. The goal of this work was to define a cryopreservation methodology allowing to preserve cells viability and the properties CS matrix. hASCs-CS obtained from three different donors were created in UP-cell thermoresponsive dishes(Nunc, Germany) as previously reported(1,2). Different cryopreservation conditions were considered: i)FBS plus DMSO(5% and10%); ii)0.4M of Trehalose plus DMSO (5% and 10%); iii)cryosolution PLL (Akron Biotech, USA); and iv)vitrification. The cryopreservation effect was first assessed for cellular viability by flow cytometry using 7-AAD, and after dissociating the hASCs-CS with collagenase and trypsin-EDTA 0.25%. The expression (RT-PCR) and deposition (western blot and immunocytochemistry) of collagen type I, laminin and fibronectin, and the organization (TEM) of the extracellular matrix was further assessed before and after hASCs-CS cryopreservation to determine a potential effect of the method over matrix composition and integrity. The obtained results confirmed that cell viability is affected by the cryopreservation methodology, as shown before for different CS(3). Interestingly, the matrix properties were not significantly altered and the typical cell sheetâ s easiness of manipulation for transplantation was not lost.

Successes and limitations of targeted therapies in renal cell carcinoma.

Until recently, the standard treatment for metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) was nonspecific immunotherapy based on interleukin-2 or interferon-α. This was associated with a modest survival benefit and with significant clinical toxicities. The understanding of numerous molecular pathways in RCC, including HIF, VEGF, mTOR, and the consecutive use of targeted therapies since the beginning of 2005 have significantly improved outcomes for patients with metastatic RCC with an overall survival greater than 2 years. At present, at least 7 targeted agents are approved for first and consecutive lines of treatment of clear cell metastatic RCC. Long-term benefit and extended survival may be achieved through the optimal use of targeted therapies: optimal dosing, adverse event management and treatment duration and compliance. Advances in the finding of prognostic factors highlight the potential for personalizing treatment for patients with metastatic RCC. Data regarding the best sequencing of targeted therapies, predictive biomarkers, best timing of surgery, patient risk profiles, understanding of resistance mechanisms and safety of targeted therapies are growing and will provide a further step ahead in the management of advanced RCC. In parallel, a new class of therapeutics is emerging in RCC: immunotherapy; in particular check-point blockade antibodies are showing very promising results.

Successes and limitations of targeted cancer therapy in melanoma.

The treatment of stage IV melanoma has witnessed a very impressive pace of innovation in recent years, to a point where the management of these patients has very little in common to what was standard practice 5 years ago. If the gain in overall survival, the high response rates or the induction of a significant fraction of long survivors are all very exciting news for our patients and their families, the path that led to these discoveries is as important. Rather than empirical, the development of these new strategies has been extremely rational, based on state-of-the-art basic biology and immunology, exemplary translational research and, finally, hypothesis-driven targeted trials that led to rapid approval. In this review, we will cover all the new targeted therapies that have emerged as the results of these translational programs, focusing mainly on signaling pathway- and immune checkpoint-targeted therapies. Taken collectively, these new developments set the bar for a new paradigm in future translational and clinical research in both melanoma as well as other tumor types.

The dual divergence: growth successes and collapses in the developing world since 1980

Includes bibliography

Trade policy reform and poverty: successes and failures in Central America

Includes bibliography

Land acquisition, investment, and development in the Lao coffee sector: Successes and failures

Despite the increasing acknowledgment of scholars and practitioners that many large-scale agricultural land acquisitions in developing countries fail or never materialize, empirical evidence about how and why they fail to date is still scarce. Too often, land deals are portrayed as straightforward investments and their success is taken for granted. Looking at the coffee sector in Laos, the authors of this article explore dimensions of the land grab debate that have not yet been sufficiently examined. Coffee concessionaires in southern Laos often fail to use all of the land granted them and fail to produce high yields on the land they do use. Thus, the authors challenge the often-assumed superiority and effectiveness of large-scale versus small-scale production, specifically the argument that they modernize agricultural production and optimize land use. They argue that examining failed investments is as important as studying successful ones for understanding the implications of the land grabbing phenomenon for social, economic, and environmental outcomes. Knowledge about the scale of “failed land deals” provides important motivation for national governments to close the gap between intentions and actual outcomes. This article engages with the current debate on quality of investment and challenges the approach of employing land concessions as a vehicle for economic development in the Lao coffee sector and in other sectors and countries.

Changing Tides and Changing Focus: Mapping the Challenges and Successes of One State's Implementation Of the Adoption and Safe Families Act of 1997

In 1997, the Adoption and Safe Families Act shifted from the preservation of families to an emphasis on safety, permanency, and well-being through expediting the termination of parental rights, establishing exceptions to the reasonable efforts clause of preserving the family, and fiscal incentives for finalizing adoptions. The current project assessed the role of a full service array in achieving the outcomes set forth in ASF A. Concept mapping was utilized to elicit information from participants (both urban and rural) regarding the identified research question. Participants recognized family preservation versus safety, community connections, mandates versus reality, and worker recruitment and retention as critical components for meeting ASFA goals. Perceived importance and level of success in implementing these services was also highlighted. Recommendations supported through the data are also provided.

Successes and failures of digital libraries /

"Papers presented at the 35th annual Clinic on Library Applications of Data Processing, March 22-24, 1998."

In support of children [microform] : many successes but much to be done : hearing before the Select Committee on Hunger, House of Representatives, One Hundredth Congress, second session, hearing held in Washington, DC, March 23, 1988.

"Serial no. 100-23."