Basic statistical concepts, a self-instructional text,

Mode of access: Internet.

Taylor's power law for ecological communities: an explanation on nonextensive/nonlinear statistical grounds

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Sample size estimation and statistical power analyses

The concept of sample size and statistical power estimation is now something that Optometrists that want to perform research, whether it be in practice or in an academic institution, cannot simply hide away from. Ethics committees, journal editors and grant awarding bodies are now increasingly requesting that all research be backed up with sample size and statistical power estimation in order to justify any study and its findings. This article presents a step-by-step guide of the process for determining sample sizeand statistical power. It builds on statistical concepts presented in earlier articles in Optometry Today by Richard Armstrong and Frank Eperjesi.

Correlação entre o ponto de compensação respiratoria e desempenho em corredores de rua

Universidade Estadual de Campinas . Faculdade de Educação Física

Validade científica de conhecimento epidemiológico gerado com base no estudo Saúde Bucal Brasil 2003

Problematiza-se a afirmação de que não são válidas as estimativas sobre as condições de saúde bucal da população brasileira geradas pelo SB Brasil 2003. Criticam-se os elementos que pretendem sustentar esse ponto de vista com base apenas em conceitos estatísticos, sem prova empírica. Identificam-se reduções decorrentes da abordagem epistemocêntrica que recusa peremptoriamente outras formas de conhecimento e não reconhece o caráter multidisciplinar da epidemiologia. Reconstituem-se informações sobre a realização do levantamento e seu impacto na produção de conhecimento. Faz-se uma analogia entre ciência e arte, argumentando-se que, nas imagens obtidas por ambas, os saberes gerados a partir do objeto cognoscível assumem feições variadas e, portanto, o reconhecimento de sua validade requer amplo domínio do objeto e operações com adequados critérios de valor. Conclui-se pela cientificidade, validade e relevância da produção acadêmica desenvolvida a partir da base de dados do levantamento SB Brasil 2003.

A fast Bayesian reconstruction algorithm for emission tomography with entropy prior converging to feasible images

The development and tests of an iterative reconstruction algorithm for emission tomography based on Bayesian statistical concepts are described. The algorithm uses the entropy of the generated image as a prior distribution, can be accelerated by the choice of an exponent, and converges uniformly to feasible images by the choice of one adjustable parameter. A feasible image has been defined as one that is consistent with the initial data (i.e. it is an image that, if truly a source of radiation in a patient, could have generated the initial data by the Poisson process that governs radioactive disintegration). The fundamental ideas of Bayesian reconstruction are discussed, along with the use of an entropy prior with an adjustable contrast parameter, the use of likelihood with data increment parameters as conditional probability, and the development of the new fast maximum a posteriori with entropy (FMAPE) Algorithm by the successive substitution method. It is shown that in the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and FMAPE algorithms, the only correct choice of initial image for the iterative procedure in the absence of a priori knowledge about the image configuration is a uniform field.

Los conceptos de salud financiera, riesgo y epidemiología en los estados financieros de las compañías del sector de extracción de petróleo crudo y gas natural en Colombia

El presente proyecto tiene como objeto identificar cuáles son los conceptos de salud, enfermedad, epidemiología y riesgo aplicables a las empresas del sector de extracción de petróleo y gas natural en Colombia. Dado, el bajo nivel de predicción de los análisis financieros tradicionales y su insuficiencia, en términos de inversión y toma de decisiones a largo plazo, además de no considerar variables como el riesgo y las expectativas de futuro, surge la necesidad de abordar diferentes perspectivas y modelos integradores. Esta apreciación es pertinente dentro del sector de extracción de petróleo y gas natural, debido a la creciente inversión extranjera que ha reportado, US$2.862 millones en el 2010, cifra mayor a diez veces su valor en el año 2003. Así pues, se podrían desarrollar modelos multi-dimensional, con base en los conceptos de salud financiera, epidemiológicos y estadísticos. El termino de salud y su adopción en el sector empresarial, resulta útil y mantiene una coherencia conceptual, evidenciando una presencia de diferentes subsistemas o factores interactuantes e interconectados. Es necesario mencionar también, que un modelo multidimensional (multi-stage) debe tener en cuenta el riesgo y el análisis epidemiológico ha demostrado ser útil al momento de determinarlo e integrarlo en el sistema junto a otros conceptos, como la razón de riesgo y riesgo relativo. Esto se analizará mediante un estudio teórico-conceptual, que complementa un estudio previo, para contribuir al proyecto de finanzas corporativas de la línea de investigación en Gerencia.

Adding a treatment arm to an ongoing clinical trial: a review of methodology and practice

Incorporating an emerging therapy as a new randomisation arm in a clinical trial that is open to recruitment would be desirable to researchers, regulators and patients to ensure that the trial remains current, new treatments are evaluated as quickly as possible, and the time and cost for determining optimal therapies is minimised. It may take many years to run a clinical trial from concept to reporting within a rapidly changing drug development environment; hence, in order for trials to be most useful to inform policy and practice, it is advantageous for them to be able to adapt to emerging therapeutic developments. This paper reports a comprehensive literature review on methodologies for, and practical examples of, amending an ongoing clinical trial by adding a new treatment arm. Relevant methodological literature describing statistical considerations required when making this specific type of amendment is identified, and the key statistical concepts when planning the addition of a new treatment arm are extracted, assessed and summarised. For completeness, this includes an assessment of statistical recommendations within general adaptive design guidance documents. Examples of confirmatory ongoing trials designed within the frequentist framework that have added an arm in practice are reported; and the details of the amendment are reviewed. An assessment is made as to how well the relevant statistical considerations were addressed in practice, and the related implications. The literature review confirmed that there is currently no clear methodological guidance on this topic, but that guidance would be advantageous to help this efficient design amendment to be used more frequently and appropriately in practice. Eight confirmatory trials were identified to have added a treatment arm, suggesting that trials can benefit from this amendment and that it can be practically feasible; however, the trials were not always able to address the key statistical considerations, often leading to uninterpretable or invalid outcomes. If the statistical concepts identified within this review are considered and addressed during the design of a trial amendment, it is possible to effectively assess a new treatment arm within an ongoing trial without compromising the original trial outcomes.

Compreensão X memorização automática no processo ensino-aprendizagem da disciplina estatística

O presente trabalho relata um estudo sobre a aplicação de duas metodologias diferentes do processo ensino-aprendizagem da disciplina Estatística no curso de Formação de Psicologia da Faculdade de Humanidades Pedro II. O estudo empírico realizou-se no primeiro semestre letivo de 1984. Utilizou-se um plano de pesquisa quase-experimental, com o modelo pré-teste/pós-teste. Formaram-se dois grupos intactos. O primeiro grupo constava de 64 sujeitos e o segundo de 66 sujeitos. Foram aplicadas, respectivamente, a metodologia Renovadora, que tinha por objetivo a aprendizagem através da compreensão e da aplicabilidade de conceitos e princípios estatísticos, e a metodologia Tradicional que implicava na aprendizagem por memorização dos princípios e automatização na execução dos cálculos. Os resultados do tratamento estatístico, considerando-se o nível de significância de 0,05, evidenciou não haver diferença estatisticamente significativa entre as duas metodologias de ensino da disciplina Estatística, tanto no que se refere à atitude quanto no que se refere ao aproveitamento.

Validade científica de conhecimento epidemiológico gerado com base no estudo Saúde Bucal Brasil 2003

NARVAI, Paulo Capel et al. Validade científi ca de conhecimento epidemiológico gerado com base no estudo Saúde Bucal Brasil 2003. Caderno de saúde pública, Rio de Janeiro, v. 26, n. 4, p. 647-670, abr. 2010.

Predição de dados espaciais e temporais: uma ferramenta on-line baseada em recursos georreferenciados

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Análise de risco em carteiras

The work consists of analyzing the risk management of investments by applying statistical concepts, economic and mathematical models considering the assets on the market on renowned financial institution. The assessment of these risks becomes increasingly interesting in view of minimizing your losses thus maximizing your chances of gains in both markets boom as extreme uncertainty, even with the sudden changes of scenery. Introducing concepts of investment funds, as well as the classification of the types of funds as funds management and equity, its guidelines, the concept of market investment funds. The types of assets comprising the investment funds, their taxation rules beyond the incidents that market widely used by investors and skilled people, both physical and legal, who keep their resources in this modality. With the historical data collected yields of investment funds of the Bank of Brazil, is an accomplished inflation adjustment and calculated the mean and variance for the verification of the model of Markowitz efficient frontier, a method used as investment analysis. This scan is used Matlab to obtain the set (or border) efficient portfolios. Once verified such data, there will be a critique of the Markowitz model as a quadratic programming and more coherent risk measures currently studied as VaR and CVaR minimizing the expected error, approaching our studies of current research. It is found that such studies have much to be explored, since there are many discussions about how effectively measure risk investments such as its characteristic and behavior, using a time series and volatility

Avaliação de desempenho no processo de lixamento de madeiras das espécies Pinus elliottii e Corymbia citriodora

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

A laboratory experiment, based on the maillard reaction, conducted as a project in introductory statistics

A simple laboratory experiment, based on the Maillard reaction, served as a project in Introductory Statistics for undergraduates in Food Science and Technology. By using the principles of randomization and replication and reflecting on the sources of variation in the experimental data, students reinforced the statistical concepts and techniques introduced to them in lectures before the experiment. The experiment was run simultaneously by several student groups, using the same materials. Comparing the results of their analyses of variance, students became aware of the difference between P values and significance levels in making statistical decisions. In the experiment, the complete randomized design was applied; however, it is easy to adjust the experiment to teach students simple regression and randomized block designs.

Content-based VLE designs improve learning efficiency in constructivist statistics education

Background: We introduced a series of computer-supported workshops in our undergraduate statistics courses, in the hope that it would help students to gain a deeper understanding of statistical concepts. This raised questions about the appropriate design of the Virtual Learning Environment (VLE) in which such an approach had to be implemented. Therefore, we investigated two competing software design models for VLEs. In the first system, all learning features were a function of the classical VLE. The second system was designed from the perspective that learning features should be a function of the course's core content (statistical analyses), which required us to develop a specific-purpose Statistical Learning Environment (SLE) based on Reproducible Computing and newly developed Peer Review (PR) technology. Objectives: The main research question is whether the second VLE design improved learning efficiency as compared to the standard type of VLE design that is commonly used in education. As a secondary objective we provide empirical evidence about the usefulness of PR as a constructivist learning activity which supports non-rote learning. Finally, this paper illustrates that it is possible to introduce a constructivist learning approach in large student populations, based on adequately designed educational technology, without subsuming educational content to technological convenience. Methods: Both VLE systems were tested within a two-year quasi-experiment based on a Reliable Nonequivalent Group Design. This approach allowed us to draw valid conclusions about the treatment effect of the changed VLE design, even though the systems were implemented in successive years. The methodological aspects about the experiment's internal validity are explained extensively. Results: The effect of the design change is shown to have substantially increased the efficiency of constructivist, computer-assisted learning activities for all cohorts of the student population under investigation. The findings demonstrate that a content-based design outperforms the traditional VLE-based design. © 2011 Wessa et al.