Élections expérimentales : la désertion stratégique et la participation sous différents modes de scrutin

Cette thèse s'intéresse au lien qui existe entre le système électoral et deux comportements importants de la vie civique, soit la participation à une élection et la désertion stratégique du candidat préféré vers un autre candidat. Ces thèmes sont abordés dans de nombreux et de très importants ouvrages en science politique. En passant par la théorie (Downs, 1957) jusqu'à des études de terrain par l'entremise de sondages (Abramson, 2010; Blais, 2010), diverses méthodologies ont été employées pour mieux expliquer les choix des électeurs. Ma contribution à l'avancement des connaissances dans ce domaine passe par l'usage de la méthode expérimentale pour mieux saisir les similitudes et différences dans les comportements des électeurs sous le système uninominal à un tour (UT) et la représentation proportionnelle (RP) ainsi que les mécanismes au niveau individuel qui produisent ces similitudes et différences. Le cœur de la thèse est composé des trois articles dont voici les résumés : Article 1. Des élections expérimentales faites à Montréal, Paris et Bruxelles permettent d'estimer l’influence directe du mode de scrutin sur la décision des électeurs de voter ou non, et de voter pour leur parti préféré ou non. En tout, 16 groupes de 21 électeurs votent sous différents systèmes électoraux, soit le UT et la RP. Les préférences sont attribuées aléatoirement et connues de tous les participants. Nos résultats indiquent que le vote n'est pas globalement plus sincère et que la participation électorale n'est pas plus élevée sous le système proportionnel. Toutefois, nous observons moins de désertion d'un petit parti sous le système proportionnel. Article 2. Les expériences permettent également d'expliquer pourquoi les électeurs votent parfois pour un parti autre que leur parti préféré. La conclusion principale est que la décision de voter de façon sincère ou non est influencée par les préférences individuelles, mais aussi par les perceptions des chances de gagner des candidats ainsi que des chances que son propre vote puisse décider le résultat de l'élection. Les électeurs qui désertent leur premier choix prennent en considération quel candidat est le plus près de leurs positions politiques, mais également de la viabilité de cette alternative. De plus, les électeurs qui aiment prendre des risques ont davantage tendance à déserter. Article 3. Le modèle de l'électeur pivot est mis à l'épreuve pour mieux comprendre la décision de voter ou non lors d'une élection. Nos expériences permettent de répliquer, avec un devis expérimental différent, les résultats importants des travaux de Duffy et Tavits (2008). Nos résultats confirment que la perception d'être pivot augmente la participation, que ces perceptions sont sujettes à la surestimation et que cette surestimation ne décline pas complètement dans le temps. Nous allons également plus loin que les recherches de Duffy et Tavits et nous trouvons que la participation n'est pas plus forte sous RP que sous UT et que la probabilité d'être pivot a un impact plus important chez les électeurs évitant de prendre des risques.

On the origins of electoral systems and political parties. The role of elections in multi-member districts

The old, understudied electoral system composed of multi-member districts, open ballot and plurality rule is presented as the most remote scene of the origin of both political parties and new electoral systems. A survey of the uses of this set of electoral rules in different parts of the world during remote and recent periods shows its wide spread. A model of voting by this electoral system demonstrates that, while it can produce varied and pluralistic representation, it also provides incentives to form factional or partisan candidacies. Famous negative reactions to the emergence of factions and political parties during the 18th and 19th centuries are reinterpreted in this context. Many electoral rules and procedures invented since the second half of the 19th century, including the Australian ballot, single-member districts, limited and cumulative ballots, and proportional representation rules, derived from the search to reduce the effects of the originating multi-member district system in favor of a single party sweep. The general relations between political parties and electoral systems are restated to account for the foundational stage here discussed.

Mixed-Member Electoral Systems in Constitutional Context : Taiwan, Japan, and Beyond /

After the electoral reform in 1994, Japan saw a gradual evolution from a multi-party system toward a two-party system over the course of five House of Representatives election cycles. In contrast, after Taiwan’s constitutional amendment in 2005, a two-party system emerged in the first post-reform legislative election in 2008. Critically, however, Taiwan’s president is directly elected while Japan’s prime minister is indirectly elected. The contributors conclude that the higher the payoffs of holding the executive office and the greater degree of cross-district coordination required to win it, the stronger the incentives for elites to form and stay in the major parties. In such a context, a country will move rapidly toward a two-party system. In Part II, the contributors apply this theoretical logic to other countries with mixed-member systems to demonstrate its generality. They find the effect of executive competition on legislative electoral rules in countries as disparate as Thailand, the Philippines, New Zealand, Bolivia, and Russia. The findings presented in this book have important implications for political reform. Often, reformers are motivated by high hopes of solving some political problems and enhancing the quality of democracy. But, as this group of scholars demonstrates, electoral reform alone is not a panacea. Whether and to what extent it achieves the advocated goals depends not only on the specification of new electoral rules per se but also on the political context—and especially the constitutional framework—within which such rules are embedded.

Characterization and evolution of the novel gene family FAM90A in primates originated by multiple duplication and rearrangement events

Genomic plasticity of human chromosome 8p23.1 region is highly influenced by two groups of complex segmental duplications (SDs), termed REPD and REPP, that mediate different kinds of rearrangements. Part of the difficulty to explain the wide range of phenotypes associated with 8p23.1 rearrangements is that REPP and REPD are not yet well characterized, probably due to their polymorphic status. Here, we describe a novel primate-specific gene family, named FAM90A (family with sequence similarity 90), found within these SDs. According to the current human reference sequence assembly, the FAM90A family includes 24 members along 8p23.1 region plus a single member on chromosome 12p13.31, showing copy number variation (CNV) between individuals. These genes can be classified into subfamilies I and II, which differ in their upstream and 5′-untranslated region sequences, but both share the same open reading frame and are ubiquitously expressed. Sequence analysis and comparative fluorescence in situ hybridization studies showed that FAM90A subfamily II suffered a big expansion in the hominoid lineage, whereas subfamily I members were likely generated sometime around the divergence of orangutan and African great apes by a fusion process. In addition, the analysis of the Ka/Ks ratios provides evidence of functional constraint of some FAM90A genes in all species. The characterization of the FAM90A gene family contributes to a better understanding of the structural polymorphism of the human 8p23.1 region and constitutes a good example of how SDs, CNVs and rearrangements within themselves can promote the formation of new gene sequences with potential functional consequences.

Capital cities of federations. On the way to analysing the normative base of their asymmetrical status

Federal Capitals often have special statutes. Compared with member states, they often enjoy a lower degree of self-government and a lesser share in the governing of the federation. Why do actors choose such devices, and how can they be justified in a liberal democracy? Surprisingly, the burgeoning literature on asymmetric federalism (to which our research group has contributed significantly) has overlooked this important feature of a de iure asymmetry, perhaps because political theory up to now has concentrated on cases of multicultural and plurinational federations. However, comparative literature is also rare. This paper is the first step to filling in this gap by comparing some federal capitals. The Federal District model (Washington) is compared to capitals organized as member-states (Berlin and Brussels), and capitals that are cities belonging to a single member state (Ottawa in Ontario). The different features of de iure asymmetry will thereby be highlighted. Some light will be shed on the possible motives, reasons and justifications for the choice of each respective status. The paper opens the door to further research on such status questions by analysing public and parliamentary debates, for example. It paves the way for more thorough research. Sicne the author has been awarded a grant by the Institut d’Estudis Autonòmics, this research will be carried out soon.

Citrus exocortis viroid and Hop Stunt viroid Doubly infecting grapevines in Brazil

Viroids, non-protein-coding small (246-401 nt) circular single-stranded RNAs with autonomous replication, are currently classified into two families. Within the family Pospiviroidae, Citrus exocortis viroid (CEVd) belongs to the genus Pospiviroid while Hop stunt viroid (HSVd) is the single member of the genus Hostuviroid. These pathogens are distributed worldwide and infect a large number of hosts. In Brazil, isolates of CEVd and HSVd have been detected in both citrus and grapevine. To characterize and study the genetic variability of these viroids, total RNA from leaves of grapevine Vitis vinifera 'Cabernet Sauvignon' and V. labrusca 'Niagara Rosada' from Bento Gonçalves, RS, was used as a template for RT-PCR amplification with specific primers for the five viroids described infecting grapevines [HSVd, CEVd, Grapevine yellow speckle viroid 1 (GYSVd-1), Grapevine yellow speckle viroid 2 (GYSVd-2) and Australian grapevine viroid (AGVd)]. Leaf samples of Citrus medica infected with CEVd from São Paulo were also analyzed. The resulting products were separated by agarose gel electrophoresis and DNA fragments of the expected size were eluted, cloned and sequenced. The grapevine samples analyzed were doubly infected by CEVd and HSVd. A phylogenetic analysis showed that the Brazilian grapevine HSVd variants clustered with other grapevine HSVd variants, forming a specific group separated from citrus variants, whereas the Brazilian CEVd variants clustered with other citrus and grapevine variants.

Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble prediction system

In this paper ensembles of forecasts (of up to six hours) are studied from a convection-permitting model with a representation of model error due to unresolved processes. The ensemble prediction system (EPS) used is an experimental convection-permitting version of the UK Met Office’s 24- member Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System (MOGREPS). The method of representing model error variability, which perturbs parameters within the model’s parameterisation schemes, has been modified and we investigate the impact of applying this scheme in different ways. These are: a control ensemble where all ensemble members have the same parameter values; an ensemble where the parameters are different between members, but fixed in time; and ensembles where the parameters are updated randomly every 30 or 60 min. The choice of parameters and their ranges of variability have been determined from expert opinion and parameter sensitivity tests. A case of frontal rain over the southern UK has been chosen, which has a multi-banded rainfall structure. The consequences of including model error variability in the case studied are mixed and are summarised as follows. The multiple banding, evident in the radar, is not captured for any single member. However, the single band is positioned in some members where a secondary band is present in the radar. This is found for all ensembles studied. Adding model error variability with fixed parameters in time does increase the ensemble spread for near-surface variables like wind and temperature, but can actually decrease the spread of the rainfall. Perturbing the parameters periodically throughout the forecast does not further increase the spread and exhibits “jumpiness” in the spread at times when the parameters are perturbed. Adding model error variability gives an improvement in forecast skill after the first 2–3 h of the forecast for near-surface temperature and relative humidity. For precipitation skill scores, adding model error variability has the effect of improving the skill in the first 1–2 h of the forecast, but then of reducing the skill after that. Complementary experiments were performed where the only difference between members was the set of parameter values (i.e. no initial condition variability). The resulting spread was found to be significantly less than the spread from initial condition variability alone.

Heteropicnotic chromatin and nucleolar activity in meiosis and spermiogenesis of Limnogonus aduncus (Heteroptera, Gerridae): a stained nucleolar organizing region that can serve as a model for studying chromosome behavior.

Males of Limnogonus aduncus were found to have the sex chromosome system X0 and chromosome number 2n = 23 (22A + X0). Testis cells were stained with lacto-acetic orcein and silver nitrate so that changes in the morphology and degree of staining of the heteropicnotic chromatin and the nucleolar material could be observed during meiosis and spermiogenesis. These structures share the same nuclear position and could be seen until almost the end of spermiogenesis. A chromosome region stained with silver nitrate was indicative of a nucleolar organizing region (NOR), which is rarely detected in Heteroptera with this technique. The NOR is located at one end of a single member of an autosome pair. The finding of this stained region enabled us to observe that the telomeric association of sister chromatids that characterizes the Heteroptera does not include the chromosome ends, where NORs are located; we also observed in anaphase that the chromosome end through which it is pulled to the pole is the one containing the NOR. Another observation was that the single nucleolar body present in the cells at anaphase never goes to the cell pole that does not receive the NOR. We conclude that L. aduncus is a good model for cytogenetic studies involving nucleolar activity and also may be useful for studying the mechanisms of activation and inactivation of kinetic activity at the chromosome ends. Although the chromosomes of Heteroptera are known to be holocentric, whether kinetic activity is restricted to one or involves both chromosome ends is still not well understood.

Expressions- und Funktionsanalysen von "Tetraspan Vesicle Membrane Proteins" in Caenorhabditis elegans

Tetraspan vesicle membrane proteins (TVPs) sind ubiquitäre Komponenten von Transportvesikeln. Bei den Säugetieren unterscheidet man drei Familien, die Physine, Gyrine und SCAMPs (secretory carrier-associated membrane proteins). Ihre Funktion ist weitgehend unbekannt, es wird jedoch vermutet, dass sie eine Rolle bei der Vesikelbildung und der Vesikelrezirkulierung spielen. In Caenorhabditis elegans existiert von jeder Familie jeweils nur ein einziges Polypeptid: für die Physine Synaptophysin (SPH-1), für die Gyrine Synaptogyrin (SNG-1) und für die SCAMPs SCAMP (SCM-1). Ziel der Arbeit war es die Verteilung der C. elegans TVPs zu untersuchen und ihre Funktion unter besonderer Berücksichtigung der vesikelvermittelten synaptischen Kopplung zu bestimmen. Wenn die C. elegans TVPs in humanen Epithelzellen synthetisiert werden, lokalisieren sie in zytoplasmatischen Vesikeln. In Kotransfektionsexperimenten wurde gezeigt, dass sie größtenteils in den gleichen Strukturen enthalten sind. In C. elegans synthetisierte TVP-Reporterkonstrukte können in unterschiedlichen Geweben nachgewiesen werden. Dabei ist SNG-1 fast ausschließlich in Neuronen zu finden. SPH-1 und SCM-1 hingegen weisen komplexe und teilweise überlappende Verteilungsmuster auf. Während für SPH-1 eine starke Fluoreszenz im Pharynx, auf der apikalen Seite der Darmzellen oberhalb des sog. terminal webs und in adluminalen Regionen von exkretorischen Geweben gefunden wurde, war SCM-1 stark in der Muskulatur und den Coelomozyten vertreten. Die Expression von SCM-1 in Pharynx und Darm war deutlich schwächer. Die C. elegans TVPs werden früh in der Entwicklung ab der Gastrulation (SPH-1 und SCM-1) bzw. ab der Neurulation im sog. Komma-Stadium (SNG-1) produziert. Um die Funktion der TVPs in C. elegans zu untersuchen, wurden TVP-Mutanten analysiert. Durch Kombination aller drei TVP-Gen-Mutanten wurden TVP-Dreifachmutanten generiert. Diese wiesen keinen offensichtlichen Defekt im Bewegungsmuster auf, entwickelten sich normal und bildeten ein normales Nervensystem aus. Auch auf unterschiedliche chemische und physikalische Reize in sensorischen Tests reagierten die TVP-Dreifachmutanten in gleicher Weise wie Wildtyptiere. Ebenso zeigen die TVP-Dreifachmutanten elektrophysiologisch unter normalen Bedingungen keine anormalen Reaktionsmuster. In ultrastrukturellen Untersuchungen wurde lediglich eine signifikant erhöhte Anzahl Clathrin-ummantelter Vesikel in cholinergen Synapsen gefunden. Erst unter Stressbedingungen, hervorgerufen durch den GABA-Antagonisten Pentylentetrazol (PTZ), wiesen sowohl die TVP-Dreifach- als auch die TVP-Einzelmutanten eine deutlich erhöhte Krampfbereitschaft auf. Zusammengenommen zeigen die Analysen, dass TVPs zwar für grundlegende neuronale Prozesse nicht notwendig sind, dass sie aber auf der anderen Seite vermutlich an alternativen redundanten Wegen der Neurotransmitterfreisetzung beteiligt sind.

Genetische und funktionelle Analyse von Vesikelmembranprotein-Mutanten in Maus und Caenorhabditis elegans

Tetraspan vesicle membrane proteins (TVPs) sind konservierte, ubiquitär vorkommende Membranproteine synaptischer Vesikel und zytoplasmatischer Transportvesikel. Bei Säugetieren lassen sie sich in die Physine, Gyrine und SCAMPs (secretory carrier-associated membrane proteins) unterteilen, die im Nematoden C. elegans jeweils nur durch ein einzelnes Polypeptid vertreten sind (Synaptophysin-1 [SPH-1], Synaptogyrin-1 [SNG-1] und SCAMP-1 [SCM-1]). Obwohl den TVPs eine Beteiligung bei der Regulation des Vesikelzyklus zugesprochen wurde, sind Synaptophysin-1-Knockout-Mäuse und vollständig TVP-defiziente Würmer gesund und weisen nur geringgradige Veränderungen auf. In dieser Arbeit sollten daher zum einen genomweite komparative Transkriptomanalysen durchgeführt werden, um mögliche Kompensationsmechanismen in der Maus und C. elegans zu finden, zum anderen sollten mit Hilfe pharmakologischer Stressassays und genetischer Verfahren Schwachstellen und Redundanzen identifiziert werden. Erstaunlicherweise konnten durch Affymetrix GeneChip-Analysen der RNA in der Retina von Synaptophysin-1-/--Mäusen keine differenziell exprimierten Gene gefunden werden. Bei der Untersuchung der C. elegans-TVP-Dreifachmutante wurden hingegen 17 Gene mit erhöhter und 3 mit erniedrigter Transkription identifiziert. Die Befunde für 12 hochregulierte Gene wurden durch quantitative Real-Time RT-PCR bestätigt. Das am stärksten hochregulierte Gen arf-1.1 kodiert für eine GTPase, die vermutlich an der Regulation der Vesikelbildung beteiligt ist. Von den ebenso identifizierten Genen cdr-2, cdr-4 und pgp-9 ist bekannt, dass sie in Stresssituationen, z. B. in Gegenwart von Cadmium, verstärkt transkribiert werden. ugt-62 und ugt-19 kodieren für Glucuronosyltransferasen. Für arf-1.1, cdr-2, ugt-62 sowie für das Gen T16G1.6, das für eine coiled-coil-Domäne kodiert, wurden im Folgenden fluoreszierende Promoterkonstrukte hergestellt, um Koexpressionsmuster mit TVPs zu bestimmen. Es stellte sich heraus, dass alle vier Promoterkonstrukte im Darm zusammen mit SPH-1 und SCM-1 im Darm transkribiert werden. Mit fluoreszierenden Translationschimären konnte weiterhin gezeigt werden, dass ARF-1.1 und CDR-2 mit den Darm-spezifischen TVPs im apikalen Bereich der Darmzellen kolokalisieren. Um mehr über die Funktion von TVPs im Vesikelzyklus zu erfahren, wurden pharmakologische und genetische Analysen von Würmern durchgeführt, in denen die Expression des Neuronen-spezifischen SNG-1 verändert ist. Deletion oder Überexpression führte zu einer Resistenz gegenüber dem Acetylcholinesterase-Inhibitor Aldicarb und zu erhöhter Empfindlichkeit gegenüber dem GABA-Rezeptor-Antagonisten Pentylentetrazol. Auf genetischer Ebene zeigte sich, dass sng-1 synthetisch mit den Genen für Synaptotagmin-1, Endophilin A sowie Synaptojanin wirkt. Die beobachteten Effekte weisen auf alternative Funktionen in der synaptischen Übertragung hin und unterstützen zugleich die Hypothese, dass SNG-1 im synaptischen Vesikelzyklus eine wichtige Funktion erfüllt, die möglicherweise einem noch unbekannten redundanten Kompartiment-spezifischen Signalweg der synaptischen Transmission zuzuordnen ist.

Ste6p Mutants Defective in Exit from the Endoplasmic Reticulum (ER) Reveal Aspects of an ER Quality Control Pathway in Saccharomyces cerevisiae

We are studying the intracellular trafficking of the multispanning membrane protein Ste6p, the a-factor transporter in Saccharomyces cerevisiae and a member of the ATP-binding cassette superfamily of proteins. In the present study, we have used Ste6p as model for studying the process of endoplasmic reticulum (ER) quality control, about which relatively little is known in yeast. We have identified three mutant forms of Ste6p that are aberrantly ER retained, as determined by immunofluorescence and subcellular fractionation. By pulse-chase metabolic labeling, we demonstrate that these mutants define two distinct classes. The single member of Class I, Ste6–166p, is highly unstable. We show that its degradation involves the ubiquitin–proteasome system, as indicated by its in vivo stabilization in certain ubiquitin–proteasome mutants or when cells are treated with the proteasome inhibitor drug MG132. The two Class II mutant proteins, Ste6–13p and Ste6–90p, are hyperstable relative to wild-type Ste6p and accumulate in the ER membrane. This represents the first report of a single protein in yeast for which distinct mutant forms can be channeled to different outcomes by the ER quality control system. We propose that these two classes of ER-retained Ste6p mutants may define distinct checkpoint steps in a linear pathway of ER quality control in yeast. In addition, a screen for high-copy suppressors of the mating defect of one of the ER-retained ste6 mutants has identified a proteasome subunit, Hrd2p/p97, previously implicated in the regulated degradation of wild-type hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA reductase in the ER membrane.

Selective activation of JNK1 is necessary for the anti-apoptotic activity of hILP

The balance between the inductive signals and endogenous anti-apoptotic mechanisms determines whether or not programmed cell death occurs. The widely expressed inhibitor of apoptosis gene family includes three closely related mammalian proteins: c-IAP1, c-IAP2, and hILP. The anti-apoptotic properties of these proteins have been linked to caspase inhibition. Here we show that one member of this group, hILP, inhibits interleukin-1β-converting enzyme-induced apoptosis via a mechanism dependent on the selective activation of c-Jun N-terminal kinase 1. These data demonstrate that apoptosis can be inhibited by an endogenous cellular protein by a mechanism that requires the activation of a single member of the mitogen-activating protein kinase family.

PALI—a database of Phylogeny and ALIgnment of homologous protein structures

PALI (release 1.2) contains three-dimensional (3-D) structure-dependent sequence alignments as well as structure-based phylogenetic trees of homologous protein domains in various families. The data set of homologous protein structures has been derived by consulting the SCOP database (release 1.50) and the data set comprises 604 families of homologous proteins involving 2739 protein domain structures with each family made up of at least two members. Each member in a family has been structurally aligned with every other member in the same family (pairwise alignment) and all the members in the family are also aligned using simultaneous super­position (multiple alignment). The structural alignments are performed largely automatically, with manual interventions especially in the cases of distantly related proteins, using the program STAMP (version 4.2). Every family is also associated with two dendrograms, calculated using PHYLIP (version 3.5), one based on a structural dissimilarity metric defined for every pairwise alignment and the other based on similarity of topologically equivalent residues. These dendrograms enable easy comparison of sequence and structure-based relationships among the members in a family. Structure-based alignments with the details of structural and sequence similarities, superposed coordinate sets and dendrograms can be accessed conveniently using a web interface. The database can be queried for protein pairs with sequence or structural similarities falling within a specified range. Thus PALI forms a useful resource to help in analysing the relationship between sequence and structure variation at a given level of sequence similarity. PALI also contains over 653 ‘orphans’ (single member families). Using the web interface involving PSI_BLAST and PHYLIP it is possible to associate the sequence of a new protein with one of the families in PALI and generate a phylogenetic tree combining the query sequence and proteins of known 3-D structure. The database with the web interfaced search and dendrogram generation tools can be accessed at http://pa uling.mbu.iisc.ernet.in/~pali.