A new chart based on sample variances for monitoring the covariance matrix of multivariate processes

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

The Synthetic Control Chart Based on Two Sample Variances for Monitoring the Covariance Matrix

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

The double sampling and the EWMA charts based on the sample variances

We propose a new statistic to control the covariance matrix of bivariate processes. This new statistic is based on the sample variances of the two quality characteristics, in short VMAX statistic. The points plotted on the chart correspond to the maximum of the values of these two variances. The reasons to consider the VMAX statistic instead of the generalized variance vertical bar S vertical bar is its faster detection of process changes and its better diagnostic feature; that is, with the VMAX statistic it is easier to identify the out-of-control variable. We study the double sampling (DS) and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts based on the VMAX statistic. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

A control chart based on sample ranges for monitoring the covariance matrix of the multivariate processes

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Monitoring the mean vector and the covariance ­matrix of multivariate processes with sample means and sample ranges

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Estimação e previsão em processos com longa dependência sazonais

Neste trabalho analisamos alguns processos com longa dependência sazonais, denotados por SARFIMA(0,D, 0)s, onde s é a sazonalidade. Os estudos de estimação e previsão estão baseados em simulações de Monte Carlo para diferentes tamanhos amostrais e diferentes sazonalidades. Para estimar o parâmetro D de diferenciação sazonal utilizamos os estimadores propostos por Geweke e Porter-Hudak (1983), Reisen (1994) e Fox e Taqqu (1986). Para os dois primeiros procedimentos de estimação consideramos seis diferentes maneiras de compor o número de regressores necessários na análise de regressão, com o intuito de melhor comparar seus desempenhos. Apresentamos um estudo sobre previsão h-passos à frente utilizando os processos SARFIMA(0,D, 0)s no qual analisamos o erro de previsão, as variâncias teórica e amostral, o vício, o pervício e o erro quadrático médio.

A new chart for monitoring the covariance matrix of bivariate processes

In this article we consider a control chart based on the sample variances of two quality characteristics. The points plotted on the chart correspond to the maximum value of these two statistics. The main reason to consider the proposed chart instead of the generalized variance |S| chart is its better diagnostic feature, that is, with the new chart it is easier to relate an out-of-control signal to the variables whose parameters have moved away from their in-control values. We study the control chart efficiency considering different shifts in the covariance matrix. In this way, we obtain the average run length (ARL) that measures the effectiveness of a control chart in detecting process shifts. The proposed chart always detects process disturbances faster than the generalized variance |S| chart. The same is observed when the size of the samples is variable, except in a few cases in which the size of the samples switches between small size and very large size.

Control charts for monitoring the mean vector and the covariance matrix of bivariate processes

In this article, we propose new control charts for monitoring the mean vector and the covariance matrix of bivariate processes. The traditional tools used for this purpose are the T (2) and the |S| charts. However, these charts have two drawbacks: (1) the T (2) and the |S| statistics are not easy to compute, and (2) after a signal, they do not distinguish the variable affected by the assignable cause. As an alternative to (1), we propose the MVMAX chart, which only requires the computation of sample means and sample variances. As an alternative to (2), we propose the joint use of two charts based on the non-central chi-square statistic (NCS statistic), named as the NCS charts. Once the NCS charts signal, the user can immediately identify the out-of-control variable. In general, the synthetic MVMAX chart is faster than the NCS charts and the joint T (2) and |S| charts in signaling processes disturbances.

Gráfico de controle de VMAX para o monitoramento da matriz de covariâncias

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Gráfico de controle MCMAX para o monitoramento simultâneo do vetor de médias e da matriz de covariâncias

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Joint control charts for monitoring location and dispersion

The T-2 and the generalized variance vertical bar S vertical bar charts are used for monitoring the mean vector and the covariance matrix of multivariate processes. In this article, we propose for bivariate processes the use of the T-2 and the VMAX charts. The points plotted on the VMAX chart correspond to the maximum of the sample variances of the two quality characteristics. The reason to consider the VMAX statistic instead of the generalized variance vertical bar S vertical bar is the user's familiarity with the computation of simple sample variances; we can't say the same with regard to the computation of the generalized variance vertical bar S vertical bar.

Monitoring bivariate processes

The T2 chart and the generalized variance |S| chart are the usual tools for monitoring the mean vector and the covariance matrix of multivariate processes. The main drawback of these charts is the difficulty to obtain and to interpret the values of their monitoring statistics. In this paper, we study control charts for monitoring bivariate processes that only requires the computation of sample means (the ZMAX chart) for monitoring the mean vector, sample variances (the VMAX chart) for monitoring the covariance matrix, or both sample means and sample variances (the MCMAX chart) in the case of the joint control of the mean vector and the covariance matrix.

Gráficos de controle para monitoramento de processos multivariados

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

A Single Statistic for Monitoring the Covariance Matrix of Bivariate Processes

In this article, we present a new control chart for monitoring the covariance matrix in a bivariate process. In this method, n observations of the two variables were considered as if they came from a single variable (as a sample of 2n observations), and a sample variance was calculated. This statistic was used to build a new control chart specifically as a VMIX chart. The performance of the new control chart was compared with its main competitors: the generalized sampled variance chart, the likelihood ratio test, Nagao's test, probability integral transformation (v(t)), and the recently proposed VMAX chart. Among these statistics, only the VMAX chart was competitive with the VMIX chart. For shifts in both variances, the VMIX chart outperformed VMAX; however, VMAX showed better performance for large shifts (higher than 10%) in one variance.

MODIFIED TEST STATISTICS BY INTER-VOXEL VARIANCE SHRINKAGE WITH AN APPLICATION TO fMRI

Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) is a non-invasive technique which is commonly used to quantify changes in blood oxygenation and flow coupled to neuronal activation. One of the primary goals of fMRI studies is to identify localized brain regions where neuronal activation levels vary between groups. Single voxel t-tests have been commonly used to determine whether activation related to the protocol differs across groups. Due to the generally limited number of subjects within each study, accurate estimation of variance at each voxel is difficult. Thus, combining information across voxels in the statistical analysis of fMRI data is desirable in order to improve efficiency. Here we construct a hierarchical model and apply an Empirical Bayes framework on the analysis of group fMRI data, employing techniques used in high throughput genomic studies. The key idea is to shrink residual variances by combining information across voxels, and subsequently to construct an improved test statistic in lieu of the classical t-statistic. This hierarchical model results in a shrinkage of voxel-wise residual sample variances towards a common value. The shrunken estimator for voxelspecific variance components on the group analyses outperforms the classical residual error estimator in terms of mean squared error. Moreover, the shrunken test-statistic decreases false positive rate when testing differences in brain contrast maps across a wide range of simulation studies. This methodology was also applied to experimental data regarding a cognitive activation task.