The effects of health changes on projections of health service needs for the elderly population of the United States

The 1982–1994 National Long-Term Care Surveys indicate an accelerating decline in disability among the U.S. elderly population, suggesting that a 1.5% annual decline in chronic disability for elderly persons is achievable. Furthermore, many risk factors for chronic diseases show improvements, many linked to education, from 1910 to the present. Projections indicate the proportion of persons aged 85–89 with less than 8 years of education will decline from 65% in 1980 to 15% in 2015. Health and socioeconomic status trends are not directly represented in Medicare Trust Fund and Social Security Administration beneficiary projections. Thus, they may have different economic implications from projections directly accounting for health trends. A 1.5% annual disability decline keeps the support ratio (ratio of economically active persons aged 20–64 to the number of chronically disabled persons aged 65+) above its 1994 value, 22:1, when the Hospital Insurance Trust Fund was in fiscal balance, to 2070. With no changes in disability, projections indicate a support ratio in 2070 of 8:1—63% below a cash flow balance.

The development of intercultural awareness and changes of beliefs: the effects of studying abroad on learners of English as a second language

The present study examines the development of interculturality and changes of beliefs, by analyzing 106 compositions produced by 53 advanced level university students of translation studies at a university in Spain before and shortly after a stay-abroad (SA) period. The study draws on data collected at two different times: before (T1) and after the SA (T3). In addition, we compared the results with the writings produced by a control group of 10 native English speakers on SA too. Data were collected by means of a composition which tried to elicit the learners’ opinion about cultural habits maintenance. The results reveal significant changes between T1 and T3 in the degree of better attitudes and intercultural acquisition.

The performance effects of composition changes on sector specific stock indices: The case of European listed real estate

This paper examines the impact of changes in the composition of real estate stock indices, considering companies both joining and leaving the indices. Stocks that are newly included not only see a short-term increase in their share price, but trading volumes increase in a permanent fashion following the event. This highlights the importance of indices in not only a benchmarking context but also in enhancing investor awareness and aiding liquidity. By contrast, as anticipated, the share prices of firms removed from indices fall around the time of the index change. The fact that the changes in share prices, either upwards for index inclusions or downwards for deletions, are generally not reversed, would indicate that the movements are not purely due to price pressure, but rather are more consistent with the information content hypothesis. There is no evidence, however, that index changes significantly affect the volatility of price changes or their operating performances as measured by their earnings per share.

A method of estimating the economic effects of planned conservation on an individual farm /

"Soil Conservation Service and Bureau of Agricultural Economics, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, in cooperation with the Iowa Agricultural Experiment Station."

The effects of nitric oxide on the immune response during giardiasis

Nitric oxide (NO) is a free radical synthesized from L-arginine by different isoforms NO-synthases. NO possesses multiple and complex biological functions. NO is an important mediator of homeostasis, and changes in its generation or actions can contribute or not to pathological states. The knowledge of effects of NO has been not only important to our understanding of immune response, but also to new tools for research and treatment of various diseases. Knowing the importance of NO as inflammatory mediator in diverse infectious diseases, we decided to develop a revision that shows the participation/effect of this mediator in immune response induced against Giardia spp. Several studies already demonstrated the participation of NO with microbicidal and microbiostatic activity in giardiasis. On the other hand, some works report that Giardia spp. inhibit NO production by consuming the intermediate metabolite arginine. In fact, studies in vitro showed that G. lamblia infection of human intestinal epithelial cells had reduced NO production. This occurs due to limited offer of the crucial substrate arginine (essential aminoacid for NO production), consequently reducing NO production. Therefore, the balance between giardial arginine consumption and epithelial NO production could contribute to the variability of the duration and severity of infections by this ubiquitous parasite.

Effects of Ultramorphological Changes on Adhesion to Lased Dentin-Scanning Electron Microscopy and Transmission Electron Microscopy Analysis

Dentin irradiation with erbium lasers has been reported to alter the composite resin bond to this treated surface. There is still a lack of studies reporting the effect of erbium lasers on dentin organic content and elucidating how laser treatment could interfere in the quality of the resin-dentin interface. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of erbium laser irradiation on dentin morphology and microtensile bond strength (lTBS) of an adhesive to dentin. Seventy-two dentin disks were divided into nine groups (n = 8): G1-Control (600-grit SiC paper); Er:YAG groups: G2-250 mJ/4 Hz; G3-200 mJ/4 Hz; G4-180 mJ/10 Hz; G5-160 mJ/10 Hz; Er, Cr:YSGG groups: G6-2 W/20 Hz; G7-2.5 W/20 Hz; G8-3 W/20 Hz; G9-4 W/20 Hz. Specimens were processed for cross-sectional analysis by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) (n = 3), transmission electron microscopy (TEM) (n = 2), and adhesive interface (n = 3). Forty-five dentin samples (n = 5) were restored and submitted to lTBS testing. ANOVA (alpha = 5%) revealed that G1 presented the highest lTBS values and irradiated groups did not differ from each other. TEM micrographs showed a superficial layer of denatured collagen fibrils. For SEM micrographs, it was possible to verify the laser effects extending to dentin subsurface presenting a rough aspect. Cross-sectional dentin micrographs of this hybridized surface revealed a pattern of modified tags with ringlike structures around it. This in vitro study showed that erbium laser irradiation interacts with the dental hard tissue resulting in a specific morphological pattern of dentin and collagen fibrils that negatively affected the bond strength to composite resin. Microsc. Res. Tech. 74:720-726, 2011. (C) 2010 Wiley-Liss, Inc.

Policy evaluation and uncertainty about the effects of oil prices on economic activity

This paper addresses the issue of policy evaluation in a context in which policymakers are uncertain about the effects of oil prices on economic performance. I consider models of the economy inspired by Solow (1980), Blanchard and Gali (2007), Kim and Loungani (1992) and Hamilton (1983, 2005), which incorporate different assumptions on the channels through which oil prices have an impact on economic activity. I first study the characteristics of the model space and I analyze the likelihood of the different specifications. I show that the existence of plausible alternative representations of the economy forces the policymaker to face the problem of model uncertainty. Then, I use the Bayesian approach proposed by Brock, Durlauf and West (2003, 2007) and the minimax approach developed by Hansen and Sargent (2008) to integrate this form of uncertainty into policy evaluation. I find that, in the environment under analysis, the standard Taylor rule is outperformed under a number of criteria by alternative simple rules in which policymakers introduce persistence in the policy instrument and respond to changes in the real price of oil.

Cellular and molecular mechanisms underlying the effects of sleep loss on hippocampal synaptic plasticity

SUMMARY : The function of sleep for the organism is one of the most persistent and perplexing questions in biology. Current findings lead to the conclusion that sleep is primarily for the brain. In particular, a role for sleep in cognitive aspects of brain function is supported by behavioral evidence both in humans and animals. However, in spite of remarkable advancement in the understanding of the mechanisms underlying sleep generation and regulation, it has been proven difficult to determine the neurobiological mechanisms underlying the beneficial effect of sleep, and the detrimental impact of sleep loss, on learning and memory processes. In my thesis, I present results that lead to several critical steps forward in the link between sleep and cognitive function. My major result is the molecular identification and physiological analysis of a protein, the NR2A subunit of NMDA receptor (NMDAR), that confers sensitivity to sleep loss to the hippocampus, a brain structure classically involved in mnemonic processes. Specifically, I used a novel behavioral approach to achieve sleep deprivation in adult C57BL6/J mice, yet minimizing the impact of secondary factors associated with the procedure,.such as stress. By using in vitro electrophysiological analysis, I show, for the first time, that sleep loss dramatically affects bidirectional plasticity at CA3 to CA1 synapses in the hippocampus, a well established cellular model of learning and memory. 4-6 hours of sleep loss elevate the modification threshold for bidirectional synaptic plasticity (MT), thereby promoting long-term depression of CA3 to CA 1 synaptic strength after stimulation in the theta frequency range (5 Hz), and rendering long-term potentiation induction.more difficult. Remarkably, 3 hours of recovery sleep, after the deprivation, reset the MT at control values, thus re-establishing the normal proneness of synapses to undergo long-term plastic changes. At the molecular level, these functional changes are paralleled by a change in the NMDAR subunit composition. In particular, the expression of the NR2A subunit protein of NMDAR at CA3 to CA1 synapses is selectively and rapidly increased by sleep deprivation, whereas recovery sleep reset NR2A synaptic content to control levels. By using an array of genetic, pharmacological and computational approaches, I demonstrate here an obligatory role for NR2A-containing NMDARs in conveying the effect of sleep loss on CA3 to CAl MT. Moreover, I show that a genetic deletion of the NR2A subunit fully preserves hippocampal plasticity from the impact of sleep loss, whereas it does not alter sleepwake behavior and homeostatic response to sleep deprivation. As to the mechanism underlying the effects of the NR2A subunit on hippocampal synaptic plasticity, I show that the increased NR2A expression after sleep loss distinctly affects the contribution of synaptic and more slowly recruited NMDAR pools activated during plasticity-induction protocols. This study represents a major step forward in understanding the mechanistic basis underlying sleep's role for the brain. By showing that sleep and sleep loss affect neuronal plasticity by regulating the expression and function of a synaptic neurotransmitter receptor, I propose that an important aspect of sleep function could consist in maintaining and regulating protein redistribution and ion channel trafficking at central synapses. These findings provide a novel starting point for investigations into the connections between sleep and learning, and they may open novel ways for pharmacological control over hippocampal .function during periods of sleep restriction. RÉSUMÉ DU PROJET La fonction du sommeil pour l'organisme est une des questions les plus persistantes et difficiles dans la biologie. Les découvertes actuelles mènent à la conclusion que le sommeil est essentiel pour le cerveau. En particulier, le rôle du sommeil dans les aspects cognitifs est soutenu par des études comportementales tant chez les humains que chez les animaux. Cependant, malgré l'avancement remarquable dans la compréhension des mécanismes sous-tendant la génération et la régulation du sommeil, les mécanismes neurobiologiques qui pourraient expliquer l'effet favorable du sommeil sur l'apprentissage et la mémoire ne sont pas encore clairs. Dans ma thèse, je présente des résultats qui aident à clarifier le lien entre le sommeil et la fonction cognitive. Mon résultat le plus significatif est l'identification moléculaire et l'analyse physiologique d'une protéine, la sous-unité NR2A du récepteur NMDA, qui rend l'hippocampe sensible à la perte de sommeil. Dans cette étude, nous avons utilisé une nouvelle approche expérimentale qui nous a permis d'induire une privation de sommeil chez les souris C57BL6/J adultes, en minimisant l'impact de facteurs confondants comme, par exemple, le stress. En utilisant les techniques de l'électrophysiologie in vitro, j'ai démontré, pour la première fois, que la perte de sommeil est responsable d'affecter radicalement la plasticité bidirectionnelle au niveau des synapses CA3-CA1 de l'hippocampe. Cela correspond à un mécanisme cellulaire de l'apprentissage et de la mémoire bien établi. En particulier, 4-6 heures de privation de sommeil élèvent le seuil de modification pour la plasticité synaptique bidirectionnelle (SM). Comme conséquence, la dépression à long terme de la transmission synaptique est induite par la stimulation des fibres afférentes dans la bande de fréquences thêta (5 Hz), alors que la potentialisation à long terme devient plus difficile. D'autre part, 3 heures de sommeil de récupération sont suffisant pour rétablir le SM aux valeurs contrôles. Au niveau moléculaire, les changements de la plasticité synaptiques sont associés à une altération de la composition du récepteur NMDA. En particulier, l'expression synaptique de la protéine NR2A du récepteur NMDA est rapidement augmentée de manière sélective par la privation de sommeil, alors que le sommeil de récupération rétablit l'expression de la protéine au niveau contrôle. En utilisant des approches génétiques, pharmacologiques et computationnelles, j'ai démontré que les récepteurs NMDA qui expriment la sous-unité NR2A sont responsables de l'effet de la privation de sommeil sur le SM. De plus, nous avons prouvé qu'une délétion génétique de la sous-unité NR2A préserve complètement la plasticité synaptique hippocampale de l'impact de la perte de sommeil, alors que cette manipulation ne change pas les mécanismes de régulation homéostatique du sommeil. En ce qui concerne les mécanismes, j'ai .découvert que l'augmentation de l'expression de la sous-unité NR2A au niveau synaptique modifie les propriétés de la réponse du récepteur NMDA aux protocoles de stimulations utilisés pour induire la plasticité. Cette étude représente un pas en avant important dans la compréhension de la base mécaniste sous-tendant le rôle du sommeil pour le cerveau. En montrant que le sommeil et la perte de sommeil affectent la plasticité neuronale en régulant l'expression et la fonction d'un récepteur de la neurotransmission, je propose qu'un aspect important de la fonction du sommeil puisse être finalisé au règlement de la redistribution des protéines et du tracking des récepteurs aux synapses centraux. Ces découvertes fournissent un point de départ pour mieux comprendre les liens entre le sommeil et l'apprentissage, et d'ailleurs, ils peuvent ouvrir des voies pour des traitements pharmacologiques dans le .but de préserver la fonction hippocampale pendant les périodes de restriction de sommeil.

Flowering date of taxonomic families predicts phenological sensitivity to temperature: Implications for forecasting the effects of climate change on unstudied taxa.

PREMISE OF THE STUDY: Numerous long-term studies in seasonal habitats have tracked interannual variation in first flowering date (FFD) in relation to climate, documenting the effect of warming on the FFD of many species. Despite these efforts, long-term phenological observations are still lacking for many species. If we could forecast responses based on taxonomic affinity, however, then we could leverage existing data to predict the climate-related phenological shifts of many taxa not yet studied. METHODS: We examined phenological time series of 1226 species occurrences (1031 unique species in 119 families) across seven sites in North America and England to determine whether family membership (or family mean FFD) predicts the sensitivity of FFD to standardized interannual changes in temperature and precipitation during seasonal periods before flowering and whether families differ significantly in the direction of their phenological shifts. KEY RESULTS: Patterns observed among species within and across sites are mirrored among family means across sites; early-flowering families advance their FFD in response to warming more than late-flowering families. By contrast, we found no consistent relationships among taxa between mean FFD and sensitivity to precipitation as measured here. CONCLUSIONS: Family membership can be used to identify taxa of high and low sensitivity to temperature within the seasonal, temperate zone plant communities analyzed here. The high sensitivity of early-flowering families (and the absence of early-flowering families not sensitive to temperature) may reflect plasticity in flowering time, which may be adaptive in environments where early-season conditions are highly variable among years.

The effects of potentiallydisruptive technology on business model - a case study of new technologies in ICT industry

This study examines how firms interpret new, potentially disruptive technologies in their own strategic context. The work presents a cross-case analysis of four potentially disruptive technologies or technical operating models: Bluetooth, WLAN, Grid computing and Mobile Peer-to-peer paradigm. The technologies were investigated from the perspective of three mobile operators, a device manufacturer and a software company in the ICT industry. The theoretical background for the study consists of the resource-based view of the firm with dynamic perspective, the theories on the nature of technology and innovations, and the concept of business model. The literature review builds up a propositional framework for estimating the amount of radical change in the companies' business model with two middle variables, the disruptiveness potential of a new technology, and the strategic importance of a new technology to a firm. The data was gathered in group discussion sessions in each company. The results of each case analysis were brought together to evaluate, how firms interpret the potential disruptiveness in terms of changes in product characteristics and added value, technology and market uncertainty, changes in product-market positions, possible competence disruption and changes in value network positions. The results indicate that the perceived disruptiveness in terms ofproduct characteristics does not necessarily translate into strategic importance. In addition, firms did not see the new technologies as a threat in terms of potential competence disruption.

The Effects of Endocrine Disrupters on Fetal Male Rat Testicular and Adrenal Development

Many of the reproductive disorders that emerge in adulthood have their origin during fetal development. Numerous studies have demonstrated that exposure to endocrine disrupting chemicals can permanently affect the reproductive health of experimental animals. In mammals, male sexual differentiation and development are androgen-dependent processes. In rat, the critical programming window for masculinization occurs between embryonic days (EDs) 15.5 and 19.5. Disorders in sex steroid balance during fetal life can disturb the development of the male reproductive tract. In addition to the fetal testis, the adrenal cortex starts to produce steroid hormones before birth. Glucocorticoids produced by the adrenal cortex are essential for preparing the fetus for birth. In the present study, the effects of exposure to endocrine disrupters on fetal male rat testicular and adrenal development were investigated. To differentiate the systemic and direct testicular effects of endocrine disrupters, both in vivo and in vitro experiments were performed. The present study also clarified the role of desert hedgehog signalling (Dhh) in the development of the testis. The results indicate that endocrine disrupters, diethylstilbestrol (DES) and flutamide, are able to induce rapid steroidogenic changes in fetal rat testis under in vitro conditions. Although in utero exposure to these chemicals did not show overt effects in fetal testis, they can induce permanent changes in the developing testis and accessory sex organs later in life. We also reported that exposure to antiandrogens can interfere with testicular Dhh signalling and result in impaired differentiation of the fetal Leydig cells and subsequently lead to abnormal testicular development and sexual differentiation. In utero exposure to tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) caused direct testicular and pituitary effects on the fetal male rat but with different dose responses. In a study in which the effects of developmental exposure to environmental antiandrogens, di-isononylphthalate and 1,1-dichloro-2,2-bis(p-chlorophenyl)ethylene (p,p^’-DDE), on fetal male rat steroidogenesis were investigated, chemicals did not down-regulate testicular or adrenal steroid hormone synthesis or production in 19.5-day-old fetal rats. However, p,p^’-DDE-treatment caused clear histological and ultrastructural changes in the prenatal testis and adrenal gland. These structural alterations can disturb the development and function of fetal testis and adrenal gland that may become evident later in life. Exposure to endocrine disrupters during fetal life can cause morphological abnormalities and alter steroid hormone production by fetal rat Leydig cells and adrenocortical cells. These changes may contribute to the maldevelopment of the testis and the adrenal gland. The present study highlights the importance of the fetal period as a sensitive window for endocrine disruption.

The effects of maternal hyperglycemia on human umbilical vascular gene expression and neonatal rat lung development

Background: Maternal diabetes affects many fetal organ systems, including the vasculature and the lungs. The offspring of diabetic mothers have respiratory adaptation problems after birth. The mechanisms are multifactorial and the effects are prolonged during the postnatal period. An increasing incidence of diabetic pregnancies accentuates the importance of identifying the pathological mechanisms, which cause the metabolic and genetic changes that occur in offspring, born to diabetic mothers. Aims and methods: The aim of this thesis was to determine changes both in human umbilical cord exposed to maternal type 1 diabetes and in neonatal rat lungs after streptozotocin-induced maternal hyperglycemia, during pregnancy. Rat lungs were used as a model for the potential disease mechanisms. Gene expression alterations were determined in human umbilical cords at birth and in rat pup lungs at two week of age. During the first two postnatal weeks, rat lung development was studied morphologically and histologically. Further, the effect of postnatal hyperoxia on hyperglycemia-primed rat lungs was investigated at one week of age to mimic the clinical situation of supplemental oxygen treatment. Results: In the umbilical cord, maternal diabetes had a major negative effect on the expression of genes involved in blood vessel development. The genes regulating vascular tone were also affected. In neonatal rat lungs, intrauterine hyperglycemia had a prolonged effect on gene expression during late alveolarization. The most affected pathway was the upregulation of extracellular matrix proteins. Newborn rat lungs exposed to intrauterine hyperglycemia had thinner saccular walls without changes in airspace size, a smaller relative lung weight and lung total tissue area, and increased cellular apoptosis and proliferation compared to control lungs, possibly reflecting an aberrant maturational adaptation. At one and two weeks of age, cell proliferation and secondary crest formation were accelerated in hyperglycemia-exposed lungs. Postnatal hyperoxic exposure, alone caused arrested alveolarization with thin-walled and enlarged alveoli. In contrast, the dual exposure of intrauterine hyperglycemia and postnatal hyperoxia resulted in the phenotype of thick septa together with arrested alveolarization and decreased number of small pulmonary arteries. Conclusions: Maternal diabetic environment seems to alter the umbilical cord gene expression profile of the regulation of vascular development and function. Fetal hyperglycemia may additionally affect the genetic regulation of the postnatal lung development and may actually induce prolonged structural alterations in neonatal lungs together with a modifying effect on the deleterious pulmonary exposure of postnatal hyperoxia. This, combined with the novel human umbilical cord gene data could serve as stepping stones for future therapies to curb developmental aberrations.

The effects of athletic scholarships on motivation in sport

The presence of rewards has been found to undermine intrinsic motivation (Deci & Ryan, 1999). This conclusion is primarily based on research conducted in non-sporting environments. The purpose of this study was to examine perceived motivational changes resulting from the hypothetical manipulation of a reward (i.e., athletic scholarships). Differences in "present" motivation between scholarship and non-scholarship athletes were also assessed. Gender, life roles, and sport experience were also examined in relation to scholarship status. Basketball players from four Ontario (n = 70) and seven U.S. Division I universities (n = 46) were examined. All athletes completed a set of demographic questions, as well as questions from the Sport Motivation Scale (SMS; Pelletier, Fortier, Vallerand, Tuson, Briere, & Blais, 1995) which assessed their "present" motivation. Athletes also completed the SMS to evaluate their "perceived future" motivation based on a hypothetical manipulation of the scholarship status. For Ontario non-scholarship athletes, extrinsic regulation (an extrinsic motive) increased with the introduction of a scholarship and the intrinsic motive to experience stimulation decreased. For U.S. scholarship athletes, the intrinsic motive to accomplish things decreased when scholarships were removed. When the two scholarship status groups were compared across "present" levels of motivation, U.S. scholarship males reported significantly higher levels of introjected regulation compared to Ontario non-scholarship males. Ontario non-scholarship females reported significantly higher levels of introjected regulation compared to U.S. scholarship females. U.S. scholarship athletes reported significantly higher levels of external regulation compared to Ontario non-scholarship athletes. Results offer partial support for self-determination theory. Implications for future research are discussed.