Fuzzy real option analysis in patent related decision making and patent valuation

The shift towards a knowledge-based economy has inevitably prompted the evolution of patent exploitation. Nowadays, patent is more than just a prevention tool for a company to block its competitors from developing rival technologies, but lies at the very heart of its strategy for value creation and is therefore strategically exploited for economic pro t and competitive advantage. Along with the evolution of patent exploitation, the demand for reliable and systematic patent valuation has also reached an unprecedented level. However, most of the quantitative approaches in use to assess patent could arguably fall into four categories and they are based solely on the conventional discounted cash flow analysis, whose usability and reliability in the context of patent valuation are greatly limited by five practical issues: the market illiquidity, the poor data availability, discriminatory cash-flow estimations, and its incapability to account for changing risk and managerial flexibility. This dissertation attempts to overcome these impeding barriers by rationalizing the use of two techniques, namely fuzzy set theory (aiming at the first three issues) and real option analysis (aiming at the last two). It commences with an investigation into the nature of the uncertainties inherent in patent cash flow estimation and claims that two levels of uncertainties must be properly accounted for. Further investigation reveals that both levels of uncertainties fall under the categorization of subjective uncertainty, which differs from objective uncertainty originating from inherent randomness in that uncertainties labelled as subjective are highly related to the behavioural aspects of decision making and are usually witnessed whenever human judgement, evaluation or reasoning is crucial to the system under consideration and there exists a lack of complete knowledge on its variables. Having clarified their nature, the application of fuzzy set theory in modelling patent-related uncertain quantities is effortlessly justified. The application of real option analysis to patent valuation is prompted by the fact that both patent application process and the subsequent patent exploitation (or commercialization) are subject to a wide range of decisions at multiple successive stages. In other words, both patent applicants and patentees are faced with a large variety of courses of action as to how their patent applications and granted patents can be managed. Since they have the right to run their projects actively, this flexibility has value and thus must be properly accounted for. Accordingly, an explicit identification of the types of managerial flexibility inherent in patent-related decision making problems and in patent valuation, and a discussion on how they could be interpreted in terms of real options are provided in this dissertation. Additionally, the use of the proposed techniques in practical applications is demonstrated by three fuzzy real option analysis based models. In particular, the pay-of method and the extended fuzzy Black-Scholes model are employed to investigate the profitability of a patent application project for a new process for the preparation of a gypsum-fibre composite and to justify the subsequent patent commercialization decision, respectively; a fuzzy binomial model is designed to reveal the economic potential of a patent licensing opportunity.

A la recherche d’événements clés susceptibles d’expliquer le passage à l’acte dans le parcours de vie d’hommes uxoricides

Les différentes recherches portant sur les homicides conjugaux, et plus spécialement des uxoricides, plus documentés parce que plus fréquents, apportent de nombreuses informations pertinentes concernant le contexte entourant l'homicide, la relation entre les conjoints et son évolution et même, parfois, sur l’enfance de l’homme qui a posé un tel geste sur sa conjointe ou ex-conjointe. Toutefois, des incohérences ont été relevées dans les écrits sur le sujet faisant qu’il est difficile d’identifier la dynamique qui conduit des hommes à tuer leur conjointe. Le déroulement de la vie des hommes ayant enlevé la vie de leur conjointe, c’est-à-dire les événements qu’ils ont vécus tout au cours de leur vie et qui ont pris un sens particulier pour eux, nous est apparue une avenue qui, à notre connaissance, n’aurait pas été étudiée. Il a dès lors été convenu que l’objectif principal de ce mémoire de maîtrise en criminologie consisterait à explorer s’il est possible d’identifier, dans la vie d’un échantillon d’hommes qui ont tué leur conjointe, un enchaînement d’événements qui pourrait contribuer à la compréhension de la dynamique conduisant à l’homicide conjugal. Plus précisément, il s’agissait d’identifier les perceptions qu’ont ces hommes des différents événements qu’ils considèrent comme ayant été marquants dans leur vie et les réactions qu’ont successivement produites ces perceptions. Le devis de cette étude est qualitatif. Dix hommes incarcérés forment l’échantillon. Tous ont été reconnus coupables du meurtre de leur conjointe ou ex-conjointe. Suite aux entrevues semi-structurées de type rétrospectif et thématique, une reconstitution des lignes de vie inspirée de la théorie de Agnew (2006) ainsi qu’une analyse thématique des récits recueillis ont été effectuées. Bien que les événements de la vie de chacun des hommes leur soient particuliers, il ressort néanmoins une structure commune aux lignes de vie. Cette structure est marquée d’un événement ou de conditions de vie marquants se rapportant à l’enfance, d’un événement porteur d’une remise en question survenue plus tard et d’un événement déclencheur conduisant au meurtre. L’événement porteur d’une remise en question paraît occuper une place centrale dans la vie des hommes participant à notre étude. Cet événement porteur d’une remise en question vient modifier les comportements et attitudes de l’homme manifestés subséquemment. Ainsi, à la lumière des résultats de cette recherche, il apparaît que l’ensemble du développement de la vie des hommes uxoricides, et plus spécialement les événements qu’ils identifient comme étant marquants, leur enchaînement et, surtout, leur façon de percevoir ces événements et d’y réagir doivent être pris en compte dans l’étude de la trajectoire qui a finalement abouti au passage à l’acte homicidaire. Autre fait à considérer, plusieurs des hommes interviewés ont mentionné qu’ils sentaient qu’un événement de la sorte se préparait dans leur vie. Ceci suggère une certaine prévisibilité de l’acte qui pourrait être perceptible dans le récit que font les hommes de leur vie et de leur perception d’eux en relation avec les éléments qu’ils identifient comme ayant été marquants pour eux au cours de celle-ci. Il reste toutefois beaucoup à faire dans cette découverte d’un outil de prévention de l’uxoricide.

Validation d'un outil de prévention des agressions sexuelles s'adressant aux adolescents ayant une déficience intellectuelle

Mémoire numérisé par la Division de la gestion de documents et des archives de l'Université de Montréal

Coneixements dels professionals de la salut de l'atenció primària sobre prevenció del consum de drogues

The aim of this research is to know the training of health professionals in health promotion and disease prevention, and to examine its manifestation among the actions and interventions for prevention of tobacco, alcohol or cannabis consumption. The sample includes 225 professionals. The study used a self-made design of quantitative methodology (survey study). The most important results are: the formative limitations in health education and prevention of substance use and the fact that professionals who have received specific training in substance use tap more health education as a prevention tool in their daily activities. It is also noted that 80% of professionals believe they should improve quality training, and 67% quantity, always in relation to the tobacco, alcohol and cannabis use. Generally, the overload care and the lack of time are cited as factors preventing the health education activities. Finally, the study also shows that secondary prevention activities are the most used, while community interventions are underutilized by professionals.

Acidente com material perfurocortante entre profissionais de enfermagem de um hospital universitário

Os riscos ocupacionais a que os profissionais da equipe de enfermagem estão sujeitos no desempenho de suas funções são consideráveis. Assim estabeleceu-se como objetivo deste estudo analisar os acidentes perfurocortantes no período de 2002 a 2006, envolvendo a equipe de enfermagem de um hospital universitário, para compreender o contexto em que ocorrem. A utilização destas informações pode ser ferramenta de prevenção. Estudo descritivo, retrospectivo quantitativo e qualitativo. Na análise quantitativa foi utilizada estatística descritiva e na qualitativa o discurso do sujeito coletivo. Por meio das fichas de notificação do Núcleo de Vigilância Epidemiológica do Hospital, foi possível identificar acidentes do gênero no período pesquisado. Entrevistas foram direcionadas às vítimas de acidentes que tiveram como paciente-fonte portador de Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/ Vírus da Imunodeficiência Humana, hepatite B e C. Os achados demonstraram que ainda persiste um grau significativo do desconhecimento ou banalização dos acidentes entre profissionais da saúde.

Risk Assessment of the Introduction of H5N1 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza as a Tool to be Applied in Prevention Strategy Plan

Risks of the introduction of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 through migratory birds to the main wintering site for wild birds in southern Brazil and its consequences were assessed. Likelihoods were estimated by a qualitative scale ranging from negligible to high. Northern migrants that breed in Alaska and regularly migrate to South America (primary Charadriiformes) can have contact with birds from affected areas in Asia. The likelihood of the introduction of HPAI H5N1 through migratory birds was found to be very low as it is a probability conditioned to successful transmission in breeding areas and the probabilities of an infected bird migrating and shedding the virus as far as southern Brazil. The probability of wild species becoming exposed to H5N1-infected birds is high as they nest with northern migrants from Alaska, whereas for backyard poultry it is moderate to high depending on proximity to wetlands and the presence of species that could increase the likelihood of contact with wild birds such as domestic duck. The magnitude of the biological and economic consequences of successful transmission to poultry or wild birds would be low to severe depending on the probability of the occurrence of outbreak scenarios described. As a result, the risk estimate is greater than negligible, and HPAI H5N1 prevention strategy in the region should always be carefully considered by the veterinary services in Brazil.

Using Risk Management as a Tool for Accident Prevention in the Resort Golf Area

Risk Management can be an effective preventative measure to optimize accident prevention in the resort golf arena. This article explores known risks, identifies other potential areas of risk, and offers solutions that may be adopted by Resort Facilities to minimize risk in the golf sector.

Influence of food components on lipid metabolism: scenarios and perspective on the control and prevention of dyslipidemias

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the main causes of death in the Western world. Among the risk factors that are modifiable by diet, for reducing cardiovascular disease risks, the total plasma concentrations of cholesterol, triglycerides, LDL-C, and HDL-C are the most important. Dietary measures can balance these components of the lipid profile thus reducing the risk of cardiovascular diseases. The main food components that affect the lipid profile and can be modified by diet are the saturated and trans fats, unsaturated fats, cholesterol, phytosterols, plant protein, and soluble fiber. A wealth of evidence suggests that saturated and trans fats and cholesterol in the diet raise the total plasma cholesterol and LDL-C. Trans fats also reduce HDL-C, an important lipoprotein for mediating the reverse cholesterol transport. On the other hand, phytosterols, plant proteins, isoflavones, and soluble fiber are protective diet factors against cardiovascular diseases by modulating plasma lipoprotein levels. These food components at certain concentrations are able to reduce the total cholesterol, TG, and LDL-C and raise the plasma levels of HDL-C. Therefore, diet is an important tool for the prevention and control of cardiovascular diseases, and should be taken into account as a whole, i.e., not only the food components that modulate plasma concentrations of lipoproteins, but also the diet content of macro nutrients and micronutrients should be considered.

Neonatal anthropometry: a tool to evaluate the nutritional status and predict early and late risks

Neonatal anthropometry is an inexpensive, noninvasive and convenient tool for bedside evaluation, especially in sick and fragile neonates. Anthropometry can be used in neonates as a tool for several purposes: diagnosis of foetal malnutrition and prediction of early postnatal complications; postnatal assessment of growth, body composition and nutritional status; prediction of long-term complications including metabolic syndrome; assessment of dysmorphology; and estimation of body surface. However, in this age group anthropometry has been notorious for its inaccuracy and the main concern is to make validated indices available. Direct measurements, such as body weight, length and body circumferences are the most commonly used measurements for nutritional assessment in clinical practice and in field studies. Body weight is the most reliable anthropometric measurement and therefore is often used alone in the assessment of the nutritional status, despite not reflecting body composition. Derived indices from direct measurements have been proposed to improve the accuracy of anthropometry. Equations based on body weight and length, mid-arm circumference/head circumference ratio, and upper-arm cross-sectional areas are among the most used derived indices to assess nutritional status and body proportionality, even though these indices require further validation for the estimation of body composition in neonates.

ISO 14001:2015: An Improved Tool for Sustainability

ISO 14001 is an International Standard of worldwide acceptance based on the concept that better environmental performance can be achieved when environmental aspects are systematically identified and managed giving a major contribution to Sustainability, through pollution prevention, improved environmental performance and complying with applicable laws. This paper aims to discuss the Sustainability approach through the use of Environmental Management Standards (EMS), the results achieved by organizations that implement and certify those EMS and a special focus on the current process of ISO 14001:2015 revision and the logic behind it.

The Barcelona Forum: on decentralized governance and conflict prevention 6-8 july 2009

The Barcelona Forum aimed to generate both a theoretical and practical discussion on decentralized governance and its capacity to promote peace, prevent conflict, advance human security and ensure greater governmental accountability. The Forum intended to review the theoretical strength of decentralization as a political tool and discuss how it can be properly implemented. Eight case studies were selected to be covered during the two days in order to draw conclusions and offer proposals for the future implementation of decentralization. The case of Catalonia and the decentralized experience of Spain was given special attention, as an example of successful decentralization. The other cases presented achievements and challenges and prompted discussions on both the validity and universality of decentralization as a way to promote and preserve peace. Topics such as ethnic and territorial divisions, democratic accountability, financial decentralization and distribution, resource sharing, and external implementation of decentralization through peace processes were discussed.

Chronic delivery of antibody fragments using immunoisolated cell implants as a passive vaccination tool.

BACKGROUND: Monoclonal antibodies and antibody fragments are powerful biotherapeutics for various debilitating diseases. However, high production costs, functional limitations such as inadequate pharmacokinetics and tissue accessibility are the current principal disadvantages for broadening their use in clinic. METHODOLOGY AND PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We report a novel method for the long-term delivery of antibody fragments. We designed an allogenous immunoisolated implant consisting of polymer encapsulated myoblasts engineered to chronically release scFv antibodies targeted against the N-terminus of the Aβ peptide. Following a 6-month intracerebral therapy we observed a significant reduction of the production and aggregation of the Aβ peptide in the APP23 transgenic mouse model of Alzheimer's disease. In addition, functional assessment showed prevention of behavioral deficits related to anxiety and memory traits. CONCLUSIONS AND SIGNIFICANCE: The chronic local release of antibodies using immunoisolated polymer cell implants represents an alternative passive vaccination strategy in Alzheimer's disease. This novel technique could potentially benefit other diseases presently treated by local and systemic antibody administration.

Prevention of Venous Thromboembolism: A Key Patient Safety Priority

Prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is an important part of our strategy to improve patient safety.The Northern Ireland HSC Safety Forum established and facilitated a regional collaborative which developed a single VTE Risk Assessment Tool for N.Ireland.

The Prenatal Lausanne Trilogue Play: A New Observational Assessment Tool of the Prenatal Co-Parenting Alliance

The goal of this study is to present a new observational assessment tool, the prenatal Lausanne Trilogue Play situation (LTP). Expectant parents were asked to role play their first meeting with their baby using a doll, and the videotaped interaction was subsequently coded. Scores were correlated with measures of the couples' marital satisfaction as well as the postnatal family alliance 3 months after the baby's birth. Results showed that the prenatal co-parenting alliance was positively linked to both fathers' marital satisfaction as well as to the postnatal family alliance at 3 months. Thus, the prenatal LTP allows for assessment of the prenatal co-parenting alliance at the interactional level. It predicts the place the parents will afford their baby after birth and can contribute to methods of clinical assessment and prevention.