Ki-67 expression in CRC lymph node metastasis does not predict survival

Colorectal cancer is one of the most common malignancies and a leading cause of cancer death worldwide. Molecular markers may improve clinicopathologic staging and provide a basis to guide novel therapeutic strategies which target specific tumourassociated molecules according to individual tumour biology; however, so far, no ideal molecular marker has been found to predict disease progression. We tested Ki-67 proliferation marker in primary and lymph node metastasis of CRC. We observed a statistical significant difference between the positive rates of neoplastic cells positively stained byKi-67 in both sites, with remarkable increased number of Ki-67 positive cells in primary tumor cells compared to cancer cells that invaded lymph nodes. We can speculate that the metastatic CRC in lymph node can be more resistant to the drugs that target cellular division.

IDH1/IDH2 mutations predict survival in glioma and AML

Mutations in the isocitrate dehydrogenase family genes 1 or 2 (IDH1/2) have been discovered by high through put sequencing approaches inglioma and acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and related myeloproliferativeneoplasms. In both diseases, the discovery of IDH mutations has identifieda prognostically new subtype with distinct pathogenetic evolution. Ingliomas mutations are mostly found in IDH1 (>90%). They are infrequent inprimary glioblastoma (GBM) (<10%), but common in secondary GBM thatevolve from lower grade glioma (60−90%). Mutations in IDH1 precede p53mutations or 1p/19q co-deletions in sporadic low grade glioma, hence arean early evant. Co-deletions of 1p/19q, characteristic for oligodenroglioma,are highly associated with IDH1/2 mutations, while they are mutuallyexclusive with EGFR amplifications, a hall mark of primary GBM. IDH1 or 2mutations are associated with younger patient age, but absent in childhoodgliomas, and have a better prognosis that seems to be consistent in gradeII through IV gliomas. In myeloid malignancies mutations are more likelyin IDH2 and are found in de novo and secondary AML (12−18%) andpre-leukemic clonal malignancies (5% chronic; 20% transformed). IDH1/2mutations are strongly associated with NPM1 mutations that are found in30% of novo cytogenetically normal AML. In CN-AML with mutated NPM1,without FLT3 internal tandem duplication (ITD) IDH mutations constitutean adverse prognostic factor. Mutations in the metabolic enzymes IDH1 or2 result in a neomorphic reaction, generating high levels of the metabolite2-hydroxyglutarate (2-HG). IDH mutations are mutually exclusive with TET2mutations in myeloid malignancies that led to the discovery that high levelsof 2-HG inhibit the a-KG dependent dioxygenase TET2. TET2 is involved inepigenetic regulation and mediates demethylation of DNA. This mechanismis in accordance with the association of a methylator phenotype with loss offunction of TET2 by mutation or indirectly by mutation of IDH1/2 in myeloidmalignancies and gliomas, respectively.Metabolism meets Epigenetics. These discoveries will have importantclinical implications: IDH1/2 mutants may serve as unique targets fortherapy. Further, the high concentrations of the onco-metabolite 2-HGgenerated by IDH1/2 mutants, may serve as biomarker in the serum ofpatients with myeloid malignancies and may be amenable by magneticresonance spectroscopy in glioma patients.

Fatigue and weight loss predict survival on circadian chemotherapy for metastatic colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia has been associated with prolonged survival selectively in patients on a conventional schedule (combined 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin [FOLFOX2]) but not on a chronomodulated schedule of the same drugs administered at specific circadian times (chronoFLO4). The authors hypothesized that the early occurrence of chemotherapy-induced symptoms correlated with circadian disruption would selectively hinder the efficacy of chronotherapy. METHODS: Fatigue and weight loss (FWL) were considered to be associated with circadian disruption based on previous data. Patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (nâeuro0/00=âeuro0/00543) from an international phase 3 trial comparing FOLFOX2 with chronoFLO4 were categorized into 4 subgroups according to the occurrence of FWL or other clinically relevant toxicities during the initial 2 courses of chemotherapy. Multivariate Cox models were used to assess the role of toxicity on the time to progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: The proportions of patients in the 4 subgroups were comparable in both treatment arms (Pâeuro0/00=âeuro0/00.77). No toxicity was associated with TTP or OS on FOLFOX2. The median OS on FOLFOX2 ranged from 16.4 (95% confidence limits [CL], 7.2-25.6 months) to 19.8 months (95% CL, 17.7-22.0 months) according to toxicity subgroup (Pâeuro0/00=âeuro0/00.45). Conversely, FWL, but no other toxicity, independently predicted for significantly shorter TTP (Pâeuro0/00<âeuro0/00.0001) and OS (Pâeuro0/00=âeuro0/00.001) on chronoFLO4. The median OS on chronoFLO4 was 13.8 months (95% CL, 10.4-17.2 months) or 21.1 months (95% CL, 19.0-23.1 months) according to presence or absence of chemotherapy-induced FWL, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Early onset chemotherapy-induced FWL was an independent predictor of poor TTP and OS only on chronotherapy. Dynamic monitoring to detect early chemotherapy-induced circadian disruption could allow the optimization of rapid chronotherapy and concomitant improvements in safety and efficacy.

The glasgow prognostic score. An useful tool to predict survival in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

To evaluate the usefulness of the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) in patients with esophageal carcinoma (EC). A total of 50 patients with EC were analyzed for GPS, nutritional and clinicopathologic parameters. Patients with CRP ≤ 1.0mg/L and albumin ≥ 3.5mg/L were considered as GPS=0. Patients with only CRP increased or albumin decreased were classified as GPS=1 and patients with CRP > 1.0mg/L and albumin < 3.5mg/L were considered as GPS=2. GPS of 0, 1 and 2 were observed in seven, 23 and 20 patients, respectively. A significant inverse relationship was observed between GPS scores and the survival rate. The survival rate was greatest in patients with GPS= 0 and significantly higher than those from patients with GPS=1 and GPS=2. Minimum 12-month survival was observed in 71% patients with GPS=0 and in 30% patients with GPS=1. None of the patients with GPS=2 survived for 12 months. A significant relationship between CRP or albumin individually and the survival rate was observed. No significant relationship among nutritional, clinic pathological parameters and survival was found. Glasgow Prognostic Score is an useful tool to predict survival in patients with esophageal carcinoma.

Tumor regression grade of urothelial bladder cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy: a novel and successful strategy to predict survival.

Histopathologic tumor regression grades (TRGs) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy predict survival in different cancers. In bladder cancer, corresponding studies have not been conducted. Fifty-six patients with advanced invasive urothelial bladder cancer received neoadjuvant chemotherapy before cystectomy and lymphadenectomy. TRGs were defined as follows: TRG1: complete tumor regression; TRG2: >50% tumor regression; TRG3: 50% or less tumor regression. Separate TRGs were assigned for primary tumors and corresponding lymph nodes. The prognostic impact of these 2 TRGs, the highest (dominant) TRG per patient, and competing tumor features reflecting tumor regression (ypT/ypN stage, maximum diameter of the residual tumor) were determined. Tumor characteristics in initial transurethral resection of the bladder specimens were tested for response prediction. The frequency of TRGs 1, 2, and 3 in the primary tumors were n=16, n=19, and n=21; corresponding data from the lymph nodes were n=31, n=9, and n=16. Interobserver agreement in determination of the TRG was strong (κ=0.8). Univariately, all evaluated parameters were significantly (P≤0.001) related to overall survival; however, the segregation of the Kaplan-Meier curves was best for the dominant TRG. In multivariate analysis, only dominant TRG predicted overall survival independently (P=0.035). In transurethral resection specimens of the chemotherapy-naive bladder cancer, the only tumor feature with significant (P<0.03) predictive value for therapy response was a high proliferation rate. In conclusion, among all parameters reflecting tumor regression, the dominant TRG was the only independent risk factor. A favorable chemotherapy response is associated with a high proliferation rate in the initial chemotherapy-naive bladder cancer. This feature might help personalize neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Corticosterone levels predict survival probabilities of Galápagos marine iguanas during El Niño events

Plasma levels of corticosterone are often used as a measure of “stress” in wild animal populations. However, we lack conclusive evidence that different stress levels reflect different survival probabilities between populations. Galápagos marine iguanas offer an ideal test case because island populations are affected differently by recurring El Niño famine events, and population-level survival can be quantified by counting iguanas locally. We surveyed corticosterone levels in six populations during the 1998 El Niño famine and the 1999 La Niña feast period. Iguanas had higher baseline and handling stress-induced corticosterone concentrations during famine than feast conditions. Corticosterone levels differed between islands and predicted survival through an El Niño period. However, among individuals, baseline corticosterone was only elevated when body condition dropped below a critical threshold. Thus, the population-level corticosterone response was variable but nevertheless predicted overall population health. Our results lend support to the use of corticosterone as a rapid quantitative predictor of survival in wild animal populations.

Proliferation, apoptosis, and survival in high-level microsatellite instability sporadic colorectal cancer

Sporadic colorectal cancer (CRC) characterized by high-level DNA microsatellite instability (MSI-H) has a favorable prognosis. The reason for this MSI-H survival advantage is not known. The aim of this study was to correlate proliferation, apoptosis, and prognosis in CRC stratified by MSI status. The proliferative index (PI) was measured by immunohistochemical staining with the Ki-67 antibody in a selected series of 100 sporadic colorectal cancers classified according to the level of MSI as 31 MSI-H, 29 MSI-Low (MSI-L), and 40 microsatellite stable (MISS). The Ki-67 index was significantly higher in MSI-H cancers (P < 0.0001) in which the PI was 90.1 1.2% (mean +/- SE) compared with 69.5 +/- 3.1 % and 69.5 +/- 2.3 % in MSI-L and MSS subgroups, respectively. There was a positive linear correlation between the apoptotic index (AI) and PI (r = 0.51; P < 0.001), with MSI-H cancers demonstrating an increased AI:PI ratio indicative of a lower index of cell production. A high PI showed a trend toward predicting improved survival within MSI-H cancers (P = 0.09) but did not predict survival in MSI-L or MSS cancers. The Al was not associated with survival in any MSI subgroup. In conclusion, this is the first study to show that sporadic MSI-H cancers are characterized by a higher AL:PI ratio and increased proliferative activity compared with MSI-L and MSS cancers, and that an elevated PI may confer a survival advantage within the MSI-H subset.

The prognostic value of health-related quality-of-life data in predicting survival in glioblastoma cancer patients: results from an international randomised phase III EORTC Brain Tumour and Radiation Oncology Groups, and NCIC Clinical Trials Group study.

This is one of the few studies that have explored the value of baseline symptoms and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in predicting survival in brain cancer patients. Baseline HRQOL scores (from the EORTC QLQ-C30 and the Brain Cancer Module (BN 20)) were examined in 490 newly diagnosed glioblastoma cancer patients for the relationship with overall survival by using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Refined techniques as the bootstrap re-sampling procedure and the computation of C-indexes and R(2)-coefficients were used to try and validate the model. Classical analysis controlled for major clinical prognostic factors selected cognitive functioning (P=0.0001), global health status (P=0.0055) and social functioning (P<0.0001) as statistically significant prognostic factors of survival. However, several issues question the validity of these findings. C-indexes and R(2)-coefficients, which are measures of the predictive ability of the models, did not exhibit major improvements when adding selected or all HRQOL scores to clinical factors. While classical techniques lead to positive results, more refined analyses suggest that baseline HRQOL scores add relatively little to clinical factors to predict survival. These results may have implications for future use of HRQOL as a prognostic factor in cancer patients.

Survival Analysis of Patients with Heart Failure: Implications of Time-Varying Regression Effects in Modeling Mortality

Background: Several models have been designed to predict survival of patients with heart failure. These, while available and widely used for both stratifying and deciding upon different treatment options on the individual level, have several limitations. Specifically, some clinical variables that may influence prognosis may have an influence that change over time. Statistical models that include such characteristic may help in evaluating prognosis. The aim of the present study was to analyze and quantify the impact of modeling heart failure survival allowing for covariates with time-varying effects known to be independent predictors of overall mortality in this clinical setting. Methodology: Survival data from an inception cohort of five hundred patients diagnosed with heart failure functional class III and IV between 2002 and 2004 and followed-up to 2006 were analyzed by using the proportional hazards Cox model and variations of the Cox's model and also of the Aalen's additive model. Principal Findings: One-hundred and eighty eight (188) patients died during follow-up. For patients under study, age, serum sodium, hemoglobin, serum creatinine, and left ventricular ejection fraction were significantly associated with mortality. Evidence of time-varying effect was suggested for the last three. Both high hemoglobin and high LV ejection fraction were associated with a reduced risk of dying with a stronger initial effect. High creatinine, associated with an increased risk of dying, also presented an initial stronger effect. The impact of age and sodium were constant over time. Conclusions: The current study points to the importance of evaluating covariates with time-varying effects in heart failure models. The analysis performed suggests that variations of Cox and Aalen models constitute a valuable tool for identifying these variables. The implementation of covariates with time-varying effects into heart failure prognostication models may reduce bias and increase the specificity of such models.

SURVIVAL PREDICTION FOR BRAIN TUMOR PATIENTS USING GENE EXPRESSION DATA

Brain tumor is one of the most aggressive types of cancer in humans, with an estimated median survival time of 12 months and only 4% of the patients surviving more than 5 years after disease diagnosis. Until recently, brain tumor prognosis has been based only on clinical information such as tumor grade and patient age, but there are reports indicating that molecular profiling of gliomas can reveal subgroups of patients with distinct survival rates. We hypothesize that coupling molecular profiling of brain tumors with clinical information might improve predictions of patient survival time and, consequently, better guide future treatment decisions. In order to evaluate this hypothesis, the general goal of this research is to build models for survival prediction of glioma patients using DNA molecular profiles (U133 Affymetrix gene expression microarrays) along with clinical information. First, a predictive Random Forest model is built for binary outcomes (i.e. short vs. long-term survival) and a small subset of genes whose expression values can be used to predict survival time is selected. Following, a new statistical methodology is developed for predicting time-to-death outcomes using Bayesian ensemble trees. Due to a large heterogeneity observed within prognostic classes obtained by the Random Forest model, prediction can be improved by relating time-to-death with gene expression profile directly. We propose a Bayesian ensemble model for survival prediction which is appropriate for high-dimensional data such as gene expression data. Our approach is based on the ensemble "sum-of-trees" model which is flexible to incorporate additive and interaction effects between genes. We specify a fully Bayesian hierarchical approach and illustrate our methodology for the CPH, Weibull, and AFT survival models. We overcome the lack of conjugacy using a latent variable formulation to model the covariate effects which decreases computation time for model fitting. Also, our proposed models provides a model-free way to select important predictive prognostic markers based on controlling false discovery rates. We compare the performance of our methods with baseline reference survival methods and apply our methodology to an unpublished data set of brain tumor survival times and gene expression data, selecting genes potentially related to the development of the disease under study. A closing discussion compares results obtained by Random Forest and Bayesian ensemble methods under the biological/clinical perspectives and highlights the statistical advantages and disadvantages of the new methodology in the context of DNA microarray data analysis.

Validation and refinement of survival models for liver retransplantation

Orthotopic liver retransplantation (re-OLT) is highly controversial. The objectives of this study were to determine the validity of a recently developed United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) multivariate model using an independent cohort of patients undergoing re-OLT outside the United States, to determine whether incorporation of other variables that were incomplete in the UNOS registry would provide additional prognostic information, to develop new models combining data sets from both cohorts, and to evaluate the validity of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) in patients undergoing re-OLT. Two hundred eighty-one adult patients undergoing re-OLT (between 1986 and 1999) at 6 foreign transplant centers comprised the validation cohort. We found good agreement between actual survival and predicted survival in the validation cohort; 1-year patient survival rates in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups (as assigned by the original UNOS model) were 72%, 68%, and 36%, respectively (P < .0001). In the patients for whom the international normalized ratio (INR) of prothrombin time was available, MELD correlated with outcome following re-OLT; the median MELD scores for patients surviving at least 90 days compared with those dying within 90 days were 20.75 versus 25.9, respectively (P = .004). Utilizing both patient cohorts (n = 979), a new model, based on recipient age, total serum bilirubin, creatinine, and interval to re-OLT, was constructed (whole model χ(2) = 105, P < .0001). Using the c-statistic with 30-day, 90-day, 1-year, and 3-year mortality as the end points, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for 4 different models were compared. In conclusion, prospective validation and use of these models as adjuncts to clinical decision making in the management of patients being considered for re-OLT are warranted.

Clinical decisions in breast cancer, a heterogenous disease

RESUMO: Introdução: Tratamento do carcinoma da mama Este trabalho inicia-se com a história do tratamento do carcinoma da mama, desde os primeiros documentos que descrevem doentes com carcinoma da mama até 1950. Desde 1950 até 2000 o diagnóstico, risco e as modalidades terapêuticas usadas no tratamento das doentes são mais detalhadas com ênfase nas terapêuticas locais, regionais e sistémicas. Parte 1:Quem tratar com terapêutica sistémica adjuvante Capítulo 1: A classificação TNM não está morta no carcinoma da mama Tem sido dito que a classificação TNM não é adequada para usar como ferramenta de prognóstico e decisão terapêutica no carcinoma da mama, especialmente em doentes com carcinoma detectado através de rastreio, que tem geralmente menores dimensões. A razão desta classificação não ser adequada prendese com o facto de não estarem incluidos parâmetros biológicos na classificação TNM atual. Pusemos a hipótese de que numa população com alta percentagem de carcinoma da mama não detectado em exames de rastreio, com uma mediana de idade baixa e com alta percentagem de estadios II e III, o estadiamento clássico, pela classificação TNM, é mais descriminatório que as características biológicas na determinação do prognóstico. Para isto analisámos uma população de doentes com carcinoma da mama tratados consecutivamente na mesma instituição, durante 10 anos. Caracterizámos os fatores de prognóstico do estadiamento clássico incluídos na classificação TNM e as variantes biológicas, presentemente não incluídas na classificação TNM. Quantificámos a capacidade de cada um dos factores de prognóstico para para prever a sobrevivência. A população é de 1699 doentes com carcinoma da mama que foram tratádos com terapêutica sistémica adjuvante. Individualmente, cada um dos fatores de prognostico, clássicos ou biológicos, diferem significativamente entre doentes que sobrevivem e que não sobrevivem. Explicitamente, como previsto, doentes com tumores maiores, envolvimento dos gânglios axilares, estadios TNM mais avançados, que não expressam recetor de esrogéneo, com amplificação do gene Her2, triplos negativos ou de menor diferenciação têm menor sobrevida. Na análise multivariada, só os fatores de prognostico da classificação TNM, o grau histológico e a amplificação do gene Her2, esta última com menos significância estatistica são preditores independentes de sobrevivência. Capítulo 2: Em busca de novos factores de prognostico: Poder preditivo e mecanismo das alterações de centrossomas em carcinoma da mama Compilámos inúmeros grupos de experiências de genómica feitas em tumores primários de doentes com carcinoma da mama para as quais existe informação prognóstica. Estas experiências são feitas com o objectivo de descobrir novos factores de prognóstico. Reanalisámos os dados, repetindo a mesma pergunta: Quais são os genes com expressão diferencial estatisticamente significativa entre doentes que recaíram e doentes que não recaíram. Identificámos 65 genes nestas condições e o MKI67, o gene que codifica a proteina Ki67, estava nesse grupo. Identificámos vários genes que se sabe estarem envolvidos no processo de agregação de centrossomas. O gene que considerámos mais promissor foi a kinesina KiFC1, que já tinha sido identificada como regulador da agregação de centrossomas. Anomalias cetrossomais numéricas e estruturais têm sido observadas em neoplasias. Há dados correlacionando anolmalias centrossomais estruturais e e numéricas com o grau de malignidade e os eventos precoces da carcinogénese. Mas estas anomalias centrossomais têm um peso para a célula que deve adapatar-se ou entrará em apoptose. Os nossos resultados sugerem que existe um mecanismo adaptativo, a agregação de centrossomas, com impacto prognóstico negativo. O nosso objetivo foi quantificar o valor prognóstico das anomalias centrossomais no carcinoma da mama. Para isto usámos material de doentes dos quais sabemos a história natural. Avaliámos os genes de agregação de centrossomas, KIFC1 e TACC3, nas amostras tumorais arquivadas em parafina: primeiro com PCR (polymerase chain reaction) quantitativa e depois com imunohistoquímica (IHQ). Apenas a proteína KIFC1 foi discriminatória em IHQ, não se tendo conseguido otimizar o anticorpo da TACC3. Os níveis proteicos de KIFC1 correlacionam-se com mau prognóstico. Nas doentes que recaíram observámos, no tumor primário, maior abundância desta proteína com localização nuclear. Em seguida, demonstrámos que a agregação de centrossomas é um fenómeno que ocorre in vivo. Identificámos centrossomas agregados em amostras de tumores primários de doentes que recaíram. Tecnicamente usámos microscopia de fluorescência e IHQ contra proteínas centrossomais que avaliámos nos tumores primários arquivados em blocos de parafina. Observámos agregação de centrossomas num pequeno número de doentes que recaíram, não validámos, ainda, este fenótipo celular em larga escala. Parte 2: Como tratar com terapêutica sistémica os vários subtipos de carcinoma da mama Capítulo 3: Quantas doenças estão englobadas na definição carcinoma da mama triplo negativo? (revisão) O carcinoma da mama triplo negativo é um tumor que não expressa três proteínas: recetor de estrogénio, recetor de progesterona e o recetor do fator de crescimento epidermico tipo 2 (Her2). As doentes com estes tumores não são ainda tratadas com terapêutica dirigida, possivelmente porque esta definição negativa não tem ajudado. Sabemos apenas as alterações genéticas que estes tumores não têm, não as que eles têm. Talvez por esta razão, estes tumores são o subtipo mais agressivo de carcinoma da mama. No entanto, na prática clínica observamos que estas doentes não têm sempre mau prognóstico, além de que dados de histopatologia e epidemiologia sugerem que esta definição negativa não está a capturar um único subtipo de carcinoma da mama, mas vários. Avaliámos criticamente esta evidência, clínica, histopatológica, epidemiológica e molecular. Há evidência de heterogeneidade, mas não é claro quantos subtipos estão englobados nesta definição de carcinoma da mama triplo negativo. A resposta a esta pergunta, e a identificação do fundamento molecular desta heterogeneidade vai ajudar a melhor definir o prognóstico e eventualmente a definir novos alvos terapêuticos nesta população difícil. Capítulo 4: Terapêuica sistémica em carcinoma da mama triplo negativo (revisão) A quimioterapia é a única terapêutica sistémica disponível para as doentes com carcinoma da mama triplo negativo, ao contrário dos outros dois subtipo de carcinoma da mama que têm com a terapêutica antiestrogénica e anti Her2, importantes benefícios. Apesar de terem surgido várias opções terapêuticas para estes doentes nennhuma terapêutica dirigida foi validada pelos ensaios clínicos conduzidos, possivelmente porque a biologia deste carcinoma ainda não foi elucidada. Muitos ensaios demonstram que os tumores triplos negativos beneficiam com quimioterapia e que as mais altas taxas de resposta patológica completa à terapêutica neoadjuvante são observadas precisamente nestes tumors. A resposta patológica completa correlaciona-se com a sobrevivência. Estamos a estudar regimes adjuvantes específicos para doentes com estes tumors, mas, neste momento, regimes de terceira geração com taxanos e antraciclinas são os mais promissores. O papel de subgrupos de fármacos específicos, como os sais de platina, mantémse mal definido. Quanto às antraciclinas e taxanos, estes grupos não mostraram beneficio específico em carcinoma da mama triplo negativo quando comparado com os outros subtipos. Os próprios carcinomas da mama triplos negativos são heterogéneos e carcinomas da mama basais triplos negativos com elevada taxa de proliferação e carcinomas da mama triplos negativos surgidos em doentes com mutação germinal BRCA1 poderão ser mais sensíveis a sais de platino e menos sensíveis a taxanos. Como a definição molecular ainda não foi explicada a busca de terapêutica dirigida vai continuar. Capítulo 5: Ensaio randomizado de fase II do anticorpo monoclonal contra o recetor do fator de crescimento epidérmico tipo 1 combinado com cisplatino versus cisplatino em monoterapia em doentes com carcinoma da mama triplo negativo metastizado O recetor do fator de crescimento epidérmico tipo 1 está sobre expresso nos tumores das doentes com carcinoma da mama triplo negativo metastizado, um subtipo agressivo de carcinoma da mama. Este ensaio investigou a combinação de cetuximab e cisplatino versus cisplatino isolado em doentes deste tipo. Doentes em primeira ou segunda linha de terapêutica para doença metastizada foram randomizadas, num sistema de 2 para 1, para receber até 6 ciclos da combinação de cisplatino e cetuximab ou cisplatino isolado. Às doentes randomizadas para o braço de monoterapia podiamos, após progressão, acrescentar cetuximab ou tratá-las com cetuximab isolado. O objetivo primário foi a taxa de resposta global. Os objetivos secundários foram a sobrevivência livre de doença, a sobrevivência global e o perfil de segurança dos fármacos. A população em análise foram 115 doentes tratadas com a combinação e 58 doentes tratadas com cisplatino em monoterapia, 31 destas em quem se documentou progressão passaram a ser tratadas com um regime que incluía cetuximab, isolado ou em combinação. A taxa de resposta global foi de 20% no braço da combinaçao e de 10% no braço da monoterapia (odds ratio, 2.13). A sobrevivência livre de doença foi de 3.7 meses no braço da combinação e de 1.5 meses no braço em monoterapia (hazard ratio, 0.67). A sobrevivência global foi de 12.9 meses no braço da combinação versus 9.4 meses no braço de cisplatino. Conclui-se que, apesar de não ter sido alcançado o objectivo primário, acrescentar cetuximab, duplica a resposta e prolonga tanto a sobrevivência livre de doença como a sobrevivência global. Capítulo 6: Bloquear a angiogénese para tratar o carcinoma da mama (revisão) A angiogénese é uma característica que define a neoplasia, porque tumores com mais de 1mm precisam de formar novos vasos para poderem crescer. Desde que se descobriram as moléculas que orquestram esta transformação, que se têm procurado desenvolver e testar fármacos que interfiram com este processo. No carcinoma da mama o bevacizumab foi o primeiro fármaco aprovado pela FDA em primeira linha para tratar doença metastática. Depois foram estudados um grupo de inibidores de tirosina cinase associados aos recetores transmembranares envolvidos na angiogénese como o VEGFR, PDGFR, KIT, RET, BRAF e Flt3: sunitinib, sorafenib, pazopanib e axitinib Neste capítulo, analisaram-se e resumiram-se os dados dos ensaios clínicos das drogas anti-angiogénicas no tratamaneto do carcinoma da mama. Os ensaios de fase III do bevacizumab em carcinoma da mama mostraram uma redução na progressão de doença de 22 a 52% e aumento da sobrevivência livre de doença de 1.2 a 5.5 meses mas nunca foi demonstrado prolongamento de sobrevivência. Os ensaios de fase III em carcinoma da mama adjuvante com bevacizumab são dois e foram ambos negativos. O ensaio de fase III com o inibidor da tirosina cinase, sunitinib foi negativo, enquanto que os ensaios de fase II com os inibidores da tirosina cinase sorafenib e pazopanib melhoraram alguns indicadores de resposta e sobrevivência. A endostatina foi testada no contexto neoadjuvante com antraciclinas e melhorou a taxa de resposta, mas, mais ensaios são necessários para estabelecer este fármaco. A maioria dos ensaios clínicos dos agentes antiangiogénicos em carcinoma da mama reportaram aumento da taxa de resposta e de sobrevivência livre de doença mas nunca aumento da sobrevivência global quando comparado com quimioterapia isolada o que levou ao cepticismo a que assistimos atualmente em relação ao bloqueio da angiogénese. Ensaios clínicos selecionados em doentes específicas com objetivos translacionais relacionados com material biológico colhido, preferefencialmente em diferentes intervalos da terapêutica, serão cruciais para o bloqueio da angiogénese sobreviver como estratégia terapêutica em carcinoma da mama. Capítulo 7: A resposta à hipoxia medeia a resistência primária ao sunitinib em carcinoma da mama localmente avançado O sunitinib é um fármaco antiangiogénico que nunca foi avaliado isolado em doentes com carcinoma da mama não tratadas. O nosso objetivo foi caracaterizar a atividade do sunitinib isolado e em combinação com o docetaxel em carcinoma da mama não tratado, localmente avançado ou operável, mas de dimensão superior a 2 cm, para compreender os mecanismos de resposta. Doze doentes foram tratadas com duas semanas iniciais de sunitinib seguido de quatro ciclos de combinação de sunitinib e docetaxel. A resposta, a reistência e a toxicidade foram avaliadas de acordo com parametros clínicos, ressonância magnética nuclear, tomografia de emissão de positrões, histopatologia e perfis de expressão genómica. Detetámos resistência primária ao sunitinib na janela inicial de duas semanas, evidenciada em quatro doentes que não responderam. À data da cirurgia, cinco doentes tinham tumor viável na mama e axila, quatro tinahm tumor viável na mama e três foram retiradas do ensaio. Não houve respostas patológicas completas. A comparação dos perfis de expressão genómica entre os respondedores e os não respondedores, aos quinze dias iniciais, permitiu-nos identificar sobre expressão de VEGF e outras vias angiogénicas nos não respondedores. Especificamente, em tumores resistentes ao sunitinib isolado detectámos uma resposta transcricional à hipoxia caracterizada por sobre expressão de vários dos genes alvo do HIF1α. Neste ensaio de sunitinib isolado em doentes não tratadas com carcinoma da mama localmente avançado, encontrámos evidência molecular de resistência primária ao sunitinib possivelmente mediada por sobre expressão de genes que respondem à hipoxia. Parte 3: Quando parar a terapêutica sistémica às doentes com carcinoma da mama Capítulo 8: Agressividade terapêutica ns últimos três meses de vida num estudo retrospetivo dum centro único Incluímos todos os adultos que morreram com tumores sólidos na instituição em 2003 e foram tratados com quimioterapia para tratar neoplaias metastizadas. Colhemos dados detalhados relacionados com quimioterapia e toxicidade nos últimos três meses de vida a partir do processo clínico. Trezentas e dezanove doentes foram incluídos, a mediana de idade foi 61 anos. A mediana de sobrevivência de doença metastática foi de 11 meses. 66% (211) dos doentes foram tratados com QT nos últimos 3 meses de vida, 37% foram tratados com QT no úlimo mês de vida e 21% nas últimas duas semanas. Nos doentes que foram tratados com QT nos últimos três meses de vida, 50% começaram um novo regime terapêutico neste período e 14% começaram um novo regime no último mês. Identificámos como determinantes de tratamento com QT no fim de vida a idade jovem, o carcinoma da mama, do ovário e do pâncreas. Concluímos que administrámos QT no fim de vida frequentemente e iniciámos novos regimes terapêuticos no último mês de vida em 14% dos casos. Precisamos de aprofundar este trabalho para compreender se esta atitude agressiva resulta em melhor paliação de sintomas e qualidade de vida no fim de vida dos doentes com neoplasias disseminadas. Capítulo 9: O tratamento do carcinoma da mama no fim de vida está a mudar? Quisémos caracterizar a modificação da tendência no uso de QT e de estratégias paliativas no fim de vida das doentes com carcinoma da mama em diferentes instituições e em intervalos de tempo diferentes. Para isto selecionámos doentes que morreram de carcinoma da mama durante 6 anos, entre 2007 e 2012, num hospital geral e comparámos com as doentes que morreram de carcinoma da mama em 2003 num centro oncológico. Avaliámos um total de 232 doentes. O grupo mais recente tem 114 doentes e o grupo anterior tem 118 doentes. Usámos estatística descritiva para caracterizar QT no fim de vida e o uso de estratégias paliativas. Ambas as coortes são comparáveis em termos das características do carcinoma da mama. Observámos aumento do uso de estatégias paliativas: consulta da dor, consulta de cuidados paliativos e radioterapia paliativa no cuidado das doentes com carcinoma da mama metastizado. Evidenciámos aumento do número de mortes em serviços de cuidados paliativos. No entanto, a QT paliativa continua a ser prolongada até aos últimos meses de vida, embora tenhamos mostrado uma diminuição desta prática. Outros indicadores de agressividade como a admissão hospitalar também mostraram diminuição. Confirmámos a nossa hipótese de que há maior integração da medicina paliativa multidisciplinar e menos agressividade na terapêutica sistémica das doentes com carcinoma da mama nos últimos meses de vida. Chapter 10: Porque é que os nossos doentes são tratados com quimioterapia até ao fim da vida? (editorial) Este capítulo começa por dar o exmeplo duma jovem de 22 anos que viveu três meses após começar QT paliatva. Este caso epitomiza a futilidade terapêutica e é usado como ponto de partida para explorar as razões pelas quais administramos QT no fim de vida aos doentes quando é inútil, tóxica, logisticamente complexa e cara. Será que estamos a prescrever QT até tarde demais? Os oncologistas fazem previsões excessivamente otimistas e têm uma atitude pró terapêutica excessiva e são criticados por outros intervenientes nas instituições de saúde por isto. Crescentemente doentes, familiares, associações de doentes, definidores de políticas de saúde, jornalistas e a sociedade em geral afloram este tema mas tornam-se inconsistentes quando se trata dum doente próximo em que se modifica o discurso para que se façam terapêuticas sitémicas agressivas. Há uma crescente cultura de preservação da qualidade de vida, paliação, abordagem sintomática, referenciação a unidades de cuidados paliativos e outros temas do fim de vida dos doentes oncológicos terminais. Infelizmente, este tema tem ganhado momentum não porque os oncologistas estejam a refletir criticamente sobre a sua prática, mas porque os custos dos cuidados de saúde são crescentes e incomportáveis. Seja qual fôr o motivo, as razões que levam os oncologistas a administrar QT no fim de vida devem ser criticamente elucidadas. Mas há poucos dados para nos guiar nesta fase delicada da vida dos doentes e os que existem são por vezes irreconciliáveis, é uma revisão destes dados que foi feita neste capítulo. Conclusão: A abordagem do carcinoma da mama no futuro? Na conclusão, tenta-se olhar para o futuro e prever como será a tomada a cargo dum doente com carcioma da mama amanhã. Faz-se uma avaliação das várias àreas desde prevenção, rastreio, suscetibilidade genética e comportamental e terapêutica. Na terapêutica separa-se a terapêutica locoregional, sistémica adjuvante e da doença metastizada. Nos três últimos parágrafos a história duma mulher com um carcinoma localmente avançado que sobre expressa o recetor Her2, serve como ilustração de como devemos estar preparados para incorporar evolução, heterogeneidade e dinamismo no cuidado de doentes com carcinoma da mama. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ABSTRACT: Introduction: Breast cancer care in the past This work starts with an overview of the treatment of breast cancer (BC). From the first reports of patients ill with BC until 1950. From 1950 until 2000, there is a more detailed account on how BC patients were treated with emphasis on the different modalities, local, regional and systemic treatments and their evolution. Part 1: Who to treat with adjuvant systemic therapy? Chapter 1: TNM is not dead in breast cancer It has been said that the current TNM staging system might not be suitable for predicting breast cancer (BC) outcomes and for making therapeutic decisions, especially for patients with screen detected BC which is smaller. The reason for this is also due to the non inclusion of tumor biology parameters in the current TNM system. We hypothesize that in a population where there is still a large abundance of non screen detected BC, with a low median age of incidence and abundance of high TNM staged lesions, biology is still second to classical staging in predicting prognosis. We analyzed a population of consecutive BC patients from a single institution during ten years. We characterized current established prognostic factors, classical staging variables included in the current TNM staging system and biological variables, currently not included in the TNM system. We quantified the capacity of individual prognostic factors to predict survival. We analyzed a population of 1699 consecutive BC patients. We found that individually both the TNM system prognostic factors and the biological prognostic factors are differing among BC survivors and dead patients in a statistically significant distribution. Explicitly, patients with larger tumors, positive nodes, higher stage lesions, ER negative, HER2 positive, TN or lower differentiation tumors show decreased survival. In the multivariate analysis we can conclude that in a population such as ours classical TNM staging variables, irrespective of tumor biological features, are still the most powerful outcome predictors. Chapter 2: Defining breast cancer prognosis: The predictive power and mechanism of centrosome alterations in breast cancer We performed a systematic analysis of the literature and compiled an extensive data set of gene expression data originated in primary tumours of BC patients with prognostic information. We analysed this data seeking for genes consistently up or down regulated in poor prognosis BC, i.e. that relapsed after initial treatment. In the course this bioinformatics analysis our lab identified 65 genes statistically significant across multiple datasets that can discriminate between relapsed and non-relapsed BC patients. Among the identified genes, we have detected genes such as MKI67, a marker of mitotic activity which is routinely used in the clinic. Unexpectedly, we also discovered several genes found to be involved in centrosome clustering, The most prominent of these is the kinesin KIFC1, also called HSET, and previously identified as regulator of centrosome clustering. Centrosome abnormalities (numerical, structural) have been observed in cancer. Indeed, compelling data has shown that cells from many cancers have multiple and abnormal centrosomes, that are either correlated with tumour malignancy or considered an early tumorigenesis event. However, extra centrosomes come at a cost and cells must be able to handle such abnormalities or otherwise die. Thus our results suggested a new mechanism of breast cancer progression with negative prognostic value. We aimed at quantifying the predictive power of centrosome clustering in BC clinical setting and at detecting this process in BC patient material. We validated the centrosome clustering genes KIFC1 and TACC3 in formalin fixed paraffin embedded (FFPE) BC patient material, using quantitative real-time PCR (RT-qPCR) technology. Our results indicate that the tested KIFC1 has a clear IHC signal (1) and that the protein expression patterns and levels correlate with prognosis, with relapsing patients having increased expression and nuclear localisation of this kinesin (2). Next we were able to show that centrosome clustering does occur in vivo. We identified centrosome amplification and clustering in breast cancer samples, and we established a fluorescence microscopy-based IHC approach by staining FFPE samples with centrosomal markers. Using this approach we have observed centrosome amplification and clustering in a small set of poor prognosis samples. By expanding the number of samples in which we have characterised the number of centrosomes, we were able to confirm our preliminary observation that centrosomes are clustered in relapsed BC. Part 2: How to treat breast cancer subtypes? Chapter 3: How many diseases is triple negative breast cancer? (review) Triple negative breast cancer is a subtype of breast cancer that does not express the estrogen receptor, the progesterone receptor and the epidermal growth factor receptor type 2 (Her2). These tumors are not yet treated with targeted therapies probably because no positive markers have been described to reliably classify them - they are described for what they are not. Perhaps for this reason, they are among the most aggressive of breast carcinomas, albeit with very heterogenous clinical behavior. The clinical observation that these patients do not carry a uniformly dismal prognosis, coupled with data coming from pathology and epidemiology, suggests that this negative definition is not capturing a single clinical entity, but several. We critically evaluate this evidence in this paper, reviewing clinical and epidemiological data, as well as molecular data. There is evidence for heterogeneity, but it is not clear how many diseases are grouped into triple negative breast cancer. Answering this question, and identifying the molecular basis of heterogeneity will help define prognosis and, eventually, the identification of new targeted therapies. Chapter 4: Systemic treatment for triple negative breast cancer (review) Chemotherapy remains the backbone of treatment for triple negative breast cancer (TNBC). Despite the appearance of new targeted and biologic agents there has been no targeted therapy validated for TNBC, possibly because the biology of TNBC has not been conclusively elucidated. Many studies have shown that TNBC derive significant benefit of chemotherapy in the neoadjuvant, adjuvant and metastatic treatment, possibly more benefit than other BC subtypes. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy studies have repeatedly shown higher response rates in TNBC than non-TNBC. Pathologic complete response has been shown to predict improved long term outcomes in BC. Although specific adjuvant regimens for TNBC are under study, third generation chemotherapy regimens utilizing dose dense or metronomic polychemotherapy are among the most effective tools presently available. The role of specific chemotherapy agents, namely platinum salts, in the treatment of TNBC remains undefined. Taxanes and anthracyclines are active in TNBC and remain important agents, but have not shown specific benefit over non-TNBC. TNBC is itself a heterogeneous group in which subgroups like basal like BC defined by higher proliferation and including those TNBC arising in BRCA1 mutation carriers may be more sensitive to platinum agents and relatively less sensitive to taxanes. The molecular characterization of TNBC is lacking and therefore the search for targeted therapy is still ongoing. Chapter 5: Randomized phase II study of the anti-epidermal growth factor receptor monoclonal antibody cetuximab with cisplatin versus cisplatin alone in patients with metastatic triple-negative breast cancer Epidermal growth factor receptor is overexpressed in metastatic triple-negative breast cancers, an aggressive subtype of breast cancer. Our randomized phase II study investigated cisplatin with or without cetuximab in this setting. Patients who had received no more than one previous chemotherapy regimen were randomly assigned on a 2:1 schedule to receive no more than six cycles of cisplatin plus cetuximab or cisplatin alone. Patients receiving cisplatin alone could switch to cisplatin plus cetuximab or cetuximab alone on disease progression. The primary end point was overall response rate (ORR). Secondary end points studied included progressionfree survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and safety profiles. The full analysis set comprised 115 patients receiving cisplatin plus cetuximab and 58 receiving cisplatin alone; 31 patients whose disease progressed on cisplatin alone switched to cetuximab-containing therapy. The ORR was 20% with cisplatin plus cetuximab and 10% with cisplatin alone (odds ratio, 2.13). Cisplatin plus cetuximab resulted in longer PFS compared with cisplatin alone (median, 3.7 v 1.5 months; hazard ratio, 0.67. Corresponding median OS was 12.9 versus 9.4 months. While the primary study end point was not met, adding cetuximab to cisplatin doubled the ORR and appeared to prolong PFS and OS, warranting further investigation in mTNBC. Chapter 6: Blocking angiogenesis to treat breast cancer (review) Angiogenesis is a hallmark of cancer because tumors larger than 1mm need new vessels to sustain their growth. Since the discovery of the molecular players of this process and some inhibitors, that angiogenesis became a promising therapeutic target. Bevacizumab was the first molecular-targeted antiangiogenic therapy approved by the FDA and is used as first-line therapy in metastatic breast cancer. A second class of approved inhibitors (sunitinib, sorafenib, pazopanib and axitinib) include oral small-molecule tyrosine kinase inhibitors that target vascular endothelial growth factor receptors, platelet-derived growth factor receptors, and other kinases including KIT, Ret, BRAF and Flt-3, but none of these have gained approval to treat breast cancer. This review analyzes and summarizes data from clinical trials of anti-angiogenic agents in the treatment of BC. Phase III trials of bevacizumab in advanced BC have demonstrated a reduction in disease progression (22–52%), increased response rates and improvements in progression-free survival of 1.2 to 5.5 months, but no improvements in OS. Bevacizumab phase III trials in early BC have both been negative. Bevacizumab combined with chemotherapy is associated with more adverse events. Phase III trials of the tyrosine kinase inhibitor sunitinib were negative, while randomized phase II trials of sorafenib and pazopanib have improved some outcomes. Endostatin has been tested in neoadjuvant clinical trials in combination with anthracyclinebased chemotherapy in treatment-naive patients and has increased the clinical response rate, but more trials are needed to establish this drug. Most trials of anti-angiogenic agents in BC have reported improved RR and PFS but no increase in OS compared to chemotherapy alone, leading to skepticism towards blocking angiogenesis. Selected trials in selected BC populations with translational endpoints related to harvested tumor tissue and other biological material samples, preferentially at several timepoints, will be crucial if antiangiogenesis is to survive as a strategy to treat BC. Chapter 7: Does hypoxic response mediate primary resistance to sunitinib in untreated locally advanced breast cancer? The antiangiogenic drug sunitinib has never been evaluated as single agent in untreated BC patients. We aimed to characterize the activity of sunitinib, alone and with docetaxel, in untreated locally advanced or operable BC, and, to uncover the mechanisms of response. Twelve patients were treated with an upfront window of sunitinib followed by four cycles of sunitinib plus docetaxel. Response, resistance and toxicity were evaluated according to standard clinical parameters, magnetic resonance imaging, positron emission tomography, pathology characterization and gene expression profiling. We detected primary resistance to sunitinib upfront window in untreated BC, as evidenced by four non-responding patients. At surgery, five patients had viable disease in the breast and axilla, four had viable tumor cells in the breast alone and three were taken off study due to unacceptable toxicity and thus not evaluated. Early functional imaging was useful in predicting response. There were no pathologic complete responses (pCR). Comparison of gene expression profiling tumor data between early responders and non-responders allowed us to identify upregulation of VEGF and angiogenic pathways in non responders. Specifically, in tumors resistant to the single-agent sunitinib we detected a transcriptional response to hypoxia characterized by over-expression of several HIF1α target genes. In this report of single-agent sunitinib treatment of untreated localized BC patients, we found molecular evidence of primary resistance to sunitinib likely mediated by up-regulation of hypoxia responsive genes. Part 3: When to stop systemic treatment of breast cancer patients? Chapter 8: The aggressiveness of cancer care in the last three months of life: a retrospective single centre analysis. All adult patients with solid tumors who died in our hospital in 2003 and received chemotherapy for advanced cancer, were included. Detailed data concerning chemotherapy and toxicity, in the last three months of life, were collected from patientsʼ clinical charts. A total of 319 patients were included. Median age was 61 years. Median time from diagnosis of metastatic disease to death was 11 months. The proportion of patients who received chemotherapy in the last three months of life was 66% (n=211), in the last month 37% and in the last two weeks 21%. Among patients who received chemotherapy in the last three months of life, 50% started a new chemotherapy regimen in this period and 14% in the last month. There was an increased probability of receiving chemotherapy in the last three months of life in younger patients and in patients with breast, ovarian and pancreatic carcinomas. There was a large proportion of patients who received chemotherapy in the last three months of life, including initiation of a new regimen within the last 30 days. Thus, further study is needed to evaluate if such aggressive attitude results in better palliation of symptoms at the end of life. Chapter 9: Is breast cancer treatment in the end of life changing? We aimed to characterize the shifting trends in use of anti-cancer chemotherapy and palliative care approaches in the end of life of BC patients in different institutions and times. For this, we selected women that died of BC during six years, from 2007 to 2012, and were treated in a central acute care general hospital and compared it with the BC patients that died in 2003 and were treated in a large cancer center. We analyzed a total of 232 patients: the more recent group has 114 women and the older cohort has 118. We used descriptive statistics to characterize CT in the EoL and use of palliative care resources. Both populations were similar in terms of BC characteristics. We observed more palliative care resources, pain clinic, palliative care teams and palliative radiotherapy, involved in the care of MBC patients and a shift towards more deaths at hospices. Systemic anti cancer treatments continue to be prolonged until very late in patients’ lives, notwithstanding, we could show a decrease in the use of such treatments. Other indicators of aggressiveness, namely hospital admissions, also show a decrease. We confirmed our hypothesis that there is more integration of multidisciplinary palliative care and less aggressiveness in the treatment of metastatic cancer patients, specifically, use of palliative anti-cancer treatment and hospital admissions. Nonetheless, we use systemic therapy until too late with underutilization of palliative medicine. Chapter 10: Why do our patients get chemotherapy until the end of life? (editorial) The editorial starts with a clinical case of a 21 year old patient that lives three months after starting palliative chemotherapy for the first time, a case that illustrates therapeutic futility at the end of life. Why are we not ceasing chemotherapy when it is useless, toxic, logistically complex and expensive? Are we prescribing chemotherapy until too late in solid tumor patientsʼ lives? Medical oncologists have overly optimistic predictions and, excessive, treatment-prone attitude and they are criticized by other health care providers for this. Increasingly, patients, their families, advocacy groups, policy makers, journalists and society at large dwell on this topic, which is a perplexing conundrum, because sometimes they are the ones demanding not to stop aggressive systemic anticancer treatments, when it comes to their loved ones. There is a growing culture of awareness toward preserving quality of life, palliative care, symptom-directed care, hospice referral and end of life issues regarding terminal cancer patients. Sadly, this issue is gaining momentum, not because oncologists are questioning their practice but because health care costs are soaring. Whatever the motive, the reasons for administering chemotherapy at the end of life should be known. There are few and conflicting scientific data to guide treatments in this delicate setting and we review this evidence in this paper. Conclusion: What is the future of breast cancer care? This work ends with a view into the future of BC care. Looking into the different areas from prevention, screening, hereditary BC, local, regional and systemic treatments of adjuvant and metastatic patients. The last three paragraphs are a final comment where the story of a patient with Her2 positive locally advanced breast cancer is used as paradigm of evolution, heterogeneity and dynamism in the management of BC.

Effect of oscillatory breathing on the variability of the RR Intervals and its prognostic importance in individuals with left ventricular global systolic dysfunction

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of the oscillatory breathing on the variability of RR intervals (VRR) and on prognostic significance after one year follow-up in subjects with left ventricular global systolic dysfunction. METHODS: We studied 76 subjects, whose age ranged from 40 to 80 years, paired for age and gender, divided into two groups: group I - 34 healthy subjects; group II - 42 subjects with left ventricular global systolic dysfunction (ejection fraction < 0.40). The ECG signals were acquired during 600s in supine position, and analyzed the variation of the thoracic amplitude and the VRR. Clinical and V-RR variables were applied into a logistic multivariate model to foretell survival after one year follow-up. RESULTS: Oscillatory breathing was detected in 35.7% of subjects in vigil state of group II, with a concentration of the spectral power in the very low frequency band, and was independent of the presence of diabetes, functional class, ejection fraction, cause of ventricular dysfunction and survival after one year follow-up. In the logistic regression model, ejection fraction was the only independent variable to predict survival. CONCLUSION: 1) Oscillatory breathing pattern is frequent during wakefulness in the left ventricular global systolic dysfunction and concentrates spectral power in the very low band of V-RR; 2) it does not relate to severity and cause of left ventricular dysfunction; 3) ejection fraction is the only independent predictive variable for survival in this group of subjects.

Morbidity and prognostic factors in chronic chagasic cardiopathy

Chagas disease is a pleomorphic clinical entity that has several unique features. The aim of this study is to summarise some of the recent contributions from our research group to knowledge of the morbidity and prognostic factors in Chagas heart disease. A retrospective study suggested that ischaemic stroke associated with left ventricular (LV) apical thrombi is the first clinical manifestation of Chagas disease observed in a large proportion of patients. LV function and left atrial volume (LAV) are independent risk factors for ischaemic cerebrovascular events during follow-up of Chagas heart disease patients. Pulmonary congestion in Chagas-related dilated cardiomyopathy is common but usually mild. Although early right ventricular (RV) involvement has been described, we have shown by Doppler echocardiography that RV dysfunction is evident almost exclusively when it is associated with left ventricle dilatation and functional impairment. In addition, RV dysfunction is a powerful predictor of survival in patients with heart failure secondary to Chagas disease. We have also demonstrated that LAV provides incremental prognostic information independent of clinical data and conventional echocardiographic parameters that predict survival.