The population approach to falls injury prevention in older people : findings of a two community trial

Background: There is a sound rationale for the population-based approach to falls injury prevention but there is currently insufficient evidence to advise governments and communities on how they can use population-based strategies to achieve desired reductions in the burden of falls-related injury.---------- Aim: To quantify the effectiveness of a streamlined (and thus potentially sustainable and cost-effective), population-based, multi-factorial falls injury prevention program for people over 60 years of age.---------- Methods: Population-based falls-prevention interventions were conducted at two geographically-defined and separate Australian sites: Wide Bay, Queensland, and Northern Rivers, NSW. Changes in the prevalence of key risk factors and changes in rates of injury outcomes within each community were compared before and after program implementation and changes in rates of injury outcomes in each community were also compared with the rates in their respective States.---------- Results: The interventions in neither community substantially decreased the rate of falls-related injury among people aged 60 years or older, although there was some evidence of reductions in occurrence of multiple falls reported by women. In addition, there was some indication of improvements in fall-related risk factors, but the magnitudes were generally modest.---------- Conclusion: The evidence suggests that low intensity population-based falls prevention programs may not be as effective as those are intensively implemented.

Population characteristics of gulf menhaden, Brevoortia patronus

The status of the Gulf menhaden, Brevoortia patronus, fishery was assessed with purse-seine landings data from 1946 to 1997 and port sampling data from 1964 to 1997. These data were analyzed to determine growth rates, biological reference points for fi shing mortality from yield per recruit and maximum spawning potential analyses, spawner-recruit relationships, and maximum sustainable yield (MSY). The separable virtual population approach was used for the period 1976–97 (augmented by earlier analyses for 1964–75) to obtain point estimates of stock size, recruits to age 1, spawning stock size, and fishing mortality rates. Exploitation rates for age-1 fi sh ranged between 11% and 45%, for age-2 fi sh between 32% and 72%, and for age-3 fi sh between 32% and 76%. Biological reference points from yield per recruit (F0.1: 1.5–2.5/yr) and spawning potential ratio (F20: 1.3–1.9/yr and F30: 0.8–1.2/yr) were obtained for comparison with recent estimates of F (0.6–0.8/yr). Recent spawning stock estimates (as biomass or eggs) are above the long-term average, while recent recruits to age 1 are comparable to the long-term average. Parameters from Ricker-type spawner-recruit relations were estimated, although considerable unexplained variability remained. Recent survival to age-1 recruitment has generally been below that expected based on the Ricker spawner-recruit relation. Estimates of long-term MSY from PRODFIT and ASPIC estimation of production model ranged between 717,000 t and 753,000 t, respectively. Declines in landings between 1988 and 1992 raised concerns about the status of the Gulf menhaden stock. Landings have fl uctuated without trend since 1992, averaging about 571,000 t. However, Gulf menhaden are short lived and highly fecund. Thus, variation in recruitment to age 1, largely mediated by environmental conditions, infl uences fi shing success over the next two years (as age-1 and age-2 fi sh). Comparisons of recent estimates of fi shing mortality to biological reference points do not suggest overfishing. (PDF file contains 22 pages.)

Population pharmacokinetic study to evaluate dosing strategies of imipenem in neonates and infants

Objective: Imipenem is a broad spectrum antibiotic used to treat severe infections in critically ill patients. Imipenem pharmacokinetics (PK) was evaluated in a cohort of neonates treated in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit of the Lausanne University Hospital. The objective of our study was to identify key demographic and clinical factors influencing imipenem exposure in this population. Method: PK data from neonates and infants with at least one imipenem concentration measured between 2002 and 2013 were analyzed applying population PK modeling methods. Measurement of plasma concentrations were performed upon the decision of the physician within the frame of a therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) programme. Effects of demographic (sex, body weight, gestational age, postnatal age) and clinical factors (serum creatinine as a measure of kidney function; co-administration of furosemide, spironolactone, hydrochlorothiazide, vancomycin, metronidazole and erythromycin) on imipenem PK were explored. Model-based simulations were performed (with a median creatinine value of 46 μmol/l) to compare various dosing regimens with respect to their ability to maintain drug levels above predefined minimum inhibitory concentrations (MIC) for at least 40 % of the dosing interval. Results: A total of 144 plasma samples was collected in 68 neonates and infants, predominantly preterm newborns, with median gestational age of 27 weeks (24 - 41 weeks) and postnatal age of 21 days (2 - 153 days). A two-compartment model best characterized imipenem disposition. Actual body weight exhibited the greatest impact on PK parameters, followed by age (gestational age and postnatal age) and serum creatinine on clearance. They explain 19%, 9%, 14% and 9% of the interindividual variability in clearance respectively. Model-based simulations suggested that 15 mg/kg every 12 hours maintain drug concentrations over a MIC of 2 mg/l for at least 40% of the dosing interval during the first days of life, whereas neonates older than 14 days of life required a dose of 20 mg/kg every 12 hours. Conclusion: Dosing strategies based on body weight and post-natal age are recommended for imipenem in all critically ill neonates and infants. Most current guidelines seem adequate for newborns and TDM should be restricted to some particular clinical situations.

Optimisation de l’administration des médicaments chez les enfants transplantés grâce à la pharmacocinétique de population

Ce travail de thèse porte sur l’application de la pharmacocinétique de population dans le but d’optimiser l’utilisation de certains médicaments chez les enfants immunosupprimés et subissant une greffe. Parmi les différents médicaments utilisés chez les enfants immunosupprimés, l’utilisation du busulfan, du tacrolimus et du voriconazole reste problématique, notamment à cause d’une très grande variabilité interindividuelle de leur pharmacocinétique rendant nécessaire l’individualisation des doses par le suivi thérapeutique pharmacologique. De plus, ces médicaments n’ont pas fait l’objet d’études chez les enfants et les doses sont adaptées à partir des adultes. Cette dernière pratique ne prend pas en compte les particularités pharmacologiques qui caractérisent l’enfant tout au long de son développement et rend illusoire l’extrapolation aux enfants des données acquises chez les adultes. Les travaux effectués dans le cadre de cette thèse ont étudié successivement la pharmacocinétique du busulfan, du voriconazole et du tacrolimus par une approche de population en une étape (modèles non-linéaires à effets mixtes). Ces modèles ont permis d’identifier les principales sources de variabilités interindividuelles sur les paramètres pharmacocinétiques. Les covariables identifiées sont la surface corporelle et le poids. Ces résultats confirment l’importance de tenir en compte l’effet de la croissance en pédiatrie. Ces paramètres ont été inclus de façon allométrique dans les modèles. Cette approche permet de séparer l’effet de la mesure anthropométrique d’autres covariables et permet la comparaison des paramètres pharmacocinétiques en pédiatrie avec ceux des adultes. La prise en compte de ces covariables explicatives devrait permettre d’améliorer la prise en charge a priori des patients. Ces modèles développés ont été évalués pour confirmer leur stabilité, leur performance de simulation et leur capacité à répondre aux objectifs initiaux de la modélisation. Dans le cas du busulfan, le modèle validé a été utilisé pour proposer par simulation une posologie qui améliorerait l’atteinte de l’exposition cible, diminuerait l’échec thérapeutique et les risques de toxicité. Le modèle développé pour le voriconazole, a permis de confirmer la grande variabilité interindividuelle dans sa pharmacocinétique chez les enfants immunosupprimés. Le nombre limité de patients n’a pas permis d’identifier des covariables expliquant cette variabilité. Sur la base du modèle de pharmacocinétique de population du tacrolimus, un estimateur Bayesien a été mis au point, qui est le premier dans cette population de transplantés hépatiques pédiatriques. Cet estimateur permet de prédire les paramètres pharmacocinétiques et l’exposition individuelle au tacrolimus sur la base d’un nombre limité de prélèvements. En conclusion, les travaux de cette thèse ont permis d’appliquer la pharmacocinétique de population en pédiatrie pour explorer les caractéristiques propres à cette population, de décrire la variabilité pharmacocinétique des médicaments utilisés chez les enfants immunosupprimés, en vue de l’individualisation du traitement. Les outils pharmacocinétiques développés s’inscrivent dans une démarche visant à diminuer le taux d'échec thérapeutique et l’incidence des effets indésirables ou toxiques chez les enfants immunosupprimés suite à une transplantation.

Evaluating genetic algorithms with different population structures on a lot sizing and scheduling problem

This paper studies the use of different population structures in a Genetic Algorithm (GA) applied to lot sizing and scheduling problems. The population approaches are divided into two types: single-population and multi-population. The first type has a non-structured single population. The multi-population type presents non-structured and structured populations organized in binary and ternary trees. Each population approach is tested on lot sizing and scheduling problems found in soft drink companies. These problems have two interdependent levels with decisions concerning raw material storage and soft drink bottling. The challenge is to simultaneously determine the lot sizing and scheduling of raw materials in tanks and products in lines. Computational results are reported allowing determining the better population structure for the set of problem instances evaluated. Copyright 2008 ACM.

Optimal design for model discrimination and parameter estimation for itraconazole population pharmacokinetics in cystic fibrosis patients

Optimal sampling times are found for a study in which one of the primary purposes is to develop a model of the pharmacokinetics of itraconazole in patients with cystic fibrosis for both capsule and solution doses. The optimal design is expected to produce reliable estimates of population parameters for two different structural PK models. Data collected at these sampling times are also expected to provide the researchers with sufficient information to reasonably discriminate between the two competing structural models.

Towards a public health approach to parenting

There are various parenting, school and personal factors at play in determining a child’s risk of developing serious conduct problems. The temptation is therefore to conclude that “more is better than less”, but we think that has not been convincingly demonstrated. Some large-scale multi-risk-factor reduction approaches that include parenting, school and child-specific interventions with older school-aged children have shown promise but are complex to administer, costly to implement and have yet to show strong long-term outcomes. But in young children (toddler and preschool-aged children) there is strong evidence that social-learning-based parenting programmes are effective with a wide range of families from quite diverse socio-economic and ethnic backgrounds. We choose to focus on such programmes.

Calcium response of KCl-excited populations of ventricular myocytes from the European sea bass (Dicentrarchus labrax): a promising approach to integrate cell-to-cell heterogeneity in studying the cellular basis of fish cardiac performance

Climate change challenges the capacity of fishes to thrive in their habitat. However, through phenotypic diversity, they demonstrate remarkable resilience to deteriorating conditions. In fish populations, inter-individual variation in a number of fitness-determining physiological traits, including cardiac performance, is classically observed. Information about the cellular bases of inter-individual variability in cardiac performance is scarce including the possible contribution of excitation-contraction (EC) coupling. This study aimed at providing insight into EC coupling-related Ca2+ response and thermal plasticity in the European sea bass (Dicentrarchus labrax). A cell population approach was used to lay the methodological basis for identifying the cellular determinants of cardiac performance. Fish were acclimated at 12 and 22 A degrees C and changes in intracellular calcium concentration ([Ca2+](i)) following KCl stimulation were measured using Fura-2, at 12 or 22 A degrees C-test. The increase in [Ca2+](i) resulted primarily from extracellular Ca2+ entry but sarcoplasmic reticulum stores were also shown to be involved. As previously reported in sea bass, a modest effect of adrenaline was observed. Moreover, although the response appeared relatively insensitive to an acute temperature change, a difference in Ca2+ response was observed between 12- and 22 A degrees C-acclimated fish. In particular, a greater increase in [Ca2+](i) at a high level of adrenaline was observed in 22 A degrees C-acclimated fish that may be related to an improved efficiency of adrenaline under these conditions. In conclusion, this method allows a rapid screening of cellular characteristics. It represents a promising tool to identify the cellular determinants of inter-individual variability in fishes' capacity for environmental adaptation.

The effects of stress on benthic algal communities

The effects of stress on both microalgal and macroalgal communities are considered. On one hand the contrasting approaches of studies of these two communities reflect intrinsic differences in plant size, longevity and ease of handling. On the other hand they reveal that biological monitoring of the potentially deleterious effects of man's activities has focused largely on freshwater environments in which macroalgae only occasionally dominate. Large conspicuous plants can be readily investigated as individuals, whereas it is virtually impossible to trace effects of stress on an individual cell of a vegetatively-reproducing microalga; a population approach is almost inevitably necessary. However, rapid turnover rates, a spectrum of ecological characteristics distributed between many taxa, and the potential for statistical analysis, have facilitated the use of microalgae in environmental impact studies. Failure to extend such investigations into marine systems rests as much on man's ability to ignore environmental deterioration until it affects his quality of life as on the visual dominance of seaweeds around our coasts. However, large gaps remain in our knowledge of both large and small algae; some reported community changes over time are suspect, and the causes of even blatant changes are not always apparent.

Using administrative data to understand mental health in Northern Ireland:Results from two exemplar projects

Mental health is unevenly distributed in the Northern Ireland population. Administrative data on psychotropic medication prescribing is increasingly being used in research into population mental health. This paper illustrates how these data indicate concentrations of poor mental health in Northern Ireland, e.g. within deprived neighbourhoods, at interfaces, among older persons admitted to care homes and among persons bereaved through sudden death or suicide. This briefing also aims to widen the debate about mental health from a disorder/service paradigm to a whole population approach.

L’adaptation des services de santé à l’égard de personnes migrantes : cas des services infirmiers en première ligne

Comment s’adaptent des organisations lorsqu’elles font face à des changements qui les dépassent? De cette question a émergé une recherche voulant comprendre comment et pourquoi des organisations de santé décident d’adapter (ou non) leurs services aux besoins et aux caractéristiques des populations migrantes accueillies sur leur territoire. Pour y répondre, cette thèse s’est intéressée à la gouvernance multiniveaux appliquée aux organisations de santé fournissant des services à des populations migrantes. Dans un contexte de régionalisation de l’immigration, la dynamique du processus migratoire est de mieux en mieux documentée, mais les capacités organisationnelles d’adaptation le sont beaucoup moins. Nous avons réalisé une étude de cas multiples à l’aide d’entrevues semi-directives auprès d’acteurs provenant de deux CSSS montéregiens (région au sud de Montréal, Québec) et des paliers locaux, régionaux et nationaux. Les résultats de cette étude ont permis (1) de mettre en évidence les différents acteurs impliqués dans ce processus d’adaptation, dont des acteurs de connectivité; (2) de cerner huit leviers d’action, divisés en trois catégories de leviers : administratif, émergent et d’habilitation. La possible imbrication de ces trois catégories de leviers facilite l’apparition de structures de connectivité, légitimant ainsi l’adaptation de l’organisation; et (3) de montrer l’ambigüité de l’adaptation à travers des facteurs d’influence qui favorisent ou entravent le processus d’adaptation à plusieurs niveaux de la gouvernance. Cette thèse est construite autour de quatre articles. Le premier, de nature conceptuelle, permet de circonscrire les concepts d’adaptation et de gouvernance multiniveaux à travers la lentille des théories de la complexité. Nous campons ainsi notre sujet dans une problématique liée à la vulnérabilité et la migration tout en appréhendant l’adaptation du système et son opérationnalisation au niveau local. Il en ressort un cadre conceptuel avec six propositions de recherches. Le second article permet quant à lui de comprendre les jeux des acteurs au sein d’une organisation de santé et à travers son Environnement. Le rôle spécifique d’acteurs de connectivité y est révélé. C’est dans un troisième article que nous nous intéressons davantage aux différents leviers d’action, analysés selon trois catégories : administrative, émergente et d’habilitation. Les acteurs peuvent les solliciter afin de d’adapter leurs pratiques au contexte particulier de la prise en charge de patients migrants. Un passage des acteurs aux structures de connectivité est alors rendu possible via un espace : la gouvernance multiniveaux. Enfin, le quatrième et dernier article s’articule autour de l’analyse des différents facteurs pouvant influencer l’adaptation d’une organisation de santé, en lien avec son Environnement. Il en ressort principalement que les facteurs identifiés sont pour beaucoup des leviers d’action (cf. article3) qui à travers le temps, et par récursivité, deviennent des facteurs d’influence. De plus, le type d’interdépendance développé par les acteurs a tendance soit à façonner un Environnement « stable », laissant reposer les besoins d’adaptation sur les acteurs opérationnels; soit à façonner un Environnement plus « accidenté », reposant davantage sur des interactions diversifiées entre les acteurs d’une gouvernance multiniveaux. De cette adéquation avec l’Environnement à façonner découle l’ambigüité de s’adapter ou non pour une organisation.