South East Queensland - Irrigation Futures

Service provision project to be undertaken by staff from the Department of Employment, Economic Development and Innovation (DEEDI) to the Flower Association of Queensland Inc. (FAQI) to fulfil FAQI's requirements under the South East Queensland - Irrigation Futures project.

Implication of two new paradigms for futures studies

The paper considers the emergence of two recent perspectives in futures work. One is evolutionary futures studies. The other is critical futures studies. After describing aspects of each, the paper considers them as alternative rival paradigms in relation to criteria that include: the role of the human being as a subject, the role of interpretation and differences in methodological premises. It concludes that both have contributed to the development of futures methods but that a number of theoretical and methodological problems still remain unsolved.

Integal futures based on the paradigm approach

The study discusses the interpretation of integral futures in the context of paradigm. The dynamic matrix model of futures paradigm has been developed for carrying out meta-analysis of futures. As a result of meta-analysis integral futures and its new paradigms are defined by way of reconstructing futures paradigm history as responses to changing societal needs and through the outcomes of dynamic and comparative analysis of futures paradigms. The study sets the argument that integral futures: a) is entering a new phase in development of futures that responses to societal demands for sustainability, democratic participation and continuous knowledge production and integration, b) it is the phase of cooperation building between theoretical and practical futures, c) it is the complementary development of co-evolutionary and participatory paradigms, d) it unfolds further research perspectives for futures.

Action oriented futures studies in Hungary

The significant social changes and unstable social–economic processes we are undergoing require more participation and more future oriented grassroots activity both in designing the possible future alternatives and in the actions for the realization of them. Action oriented futures studies and participatory futures studies are in close connection, because orientation towards actions and participation of non-professionals can be strengthened by their mutual interdependence in futures work. This study gives—as examples—summaries of four Hungarian case studies using participatory futures methods: one case from the field of vocational training, two cases concerning regional development, and one about national social–economic development. Our experience shows that such selected groups have evaluated the present issues in their environments as well as the closer and broader regional issues in authentic ways. The future alternatives that were outlined regarding the future of vocational training, acceptable future alternatives of domestic social–economic development, and future living conditions of a smaller settlement and in a larger town, reflected obligation, responsibility and personal interest. That non-professionals lack sufficient future orientation, and do not see possibilities to take serious actions for the future is a read problem. Fortunately, it seems that the future and action oriented attitude of the individuals might be further developed by the use of partnership education.

Futures Studies in Finland

The development of futures studies and the future-oriented attitude of Finnish institutions and the government can serve as great example for other countries. This attitude appears in education and economy, issues in which Finland is highly competitive in. We introduce the futures studies-related organizations and the foresight system of Finland. An overview of the development of futures studies and the activities, purposes of foresight institutions, with a major emphasis on the Finland Futures Research Centre will be presented. The main question is how could other countries utilize the Finnish example? Societal changes depend on the environment and its historical background, making it quite a challenge to come up with an all-adaptable answer for this question. Thus we will only present guidelines and proposals regarding the development of strategy at the end of this paper.

Substrats neuronaux du traitement sémantique des concepts concrets et abstraits : apports de la neuropsychologie par l’étude de patients ayant subi une lobectomie temporale gauche ou droite

La recherche dans le domaine de la mémoire sémantique a permis de documenter l’effet de concrétude (avantage pour les mots concrets relativement aux mots abstraits), et plus récemment, l’effet de concrétude inverse (avantage pour les mots abstraits relativement aux mots concrets). Ces effets, observés chez le sujet sain et dans différentes populations cliniques en neurologie, ont suscité de nombreuses interprétations théoriques, autant sur le plan cognitif que neuroanatomique. En effet, cette double dissociation entre les deux types de concepts suggère que leur traitement doit reposer au moins en partie sur des processus mentaux et neuroanatomiques distincts. Néanmoins, les origines de ces différences restent largement débattues et sont caractérisées par une absence notable de consensus. L’objectif principal de la présente thèse est d’explorer les substrats cérébraux sous-tendant la compréhension des concepts concrets et abstraits. Dans un premier temps, un article de revue de la littérature dresse un état des lieux des connaissances actuelles portant sur le traitement sémantique des mots concrets et abstraits ainsi que sur leurs fondements cérébraux. Cet article met une emphase particulière sur les différences inter-hémisphériques dans le traitement des mots concrets et abstraits (Article 1). Dans un deuxième temps, une étude expérimentale de la compréhension des mots concrets et abstraits a été réalisée auprès de populations cliniques rares, des patients ayant subi soit i) une résection unilatérale de la partie antérieure du lobe temporal (temporo-polaire), soit ii) une résection unilatérale de la région hippocampique (temporale interne) (Article 2). Le premier article fait ressortir la grande hétérogénéité des résultats dans le domaine, et suggère que les différences observées dans le traitement des mots concrets et abstraits peuvent difficilement être interprétées seulement en termes de différences inter-hémisphériques. Les résultats du second article indiquent qu’une lésion de la région temporale antérieure gauche ou droite entraîne une atteinte plus marquée des concepts concrets comparativement aux abstraits, alors qu’une lésion unilatérale des régions temporales internes affecte de manière équivalente le traitement sémantique des deux types de concepts. Les implications théoriques et cliniques de ces résultats sont discutées, ainsi que les limites et perspectives futures.

La tecnología del hidrógeno, una oportunidad estratégica para la perdurabilidad del sector energético en Colombia

El incremento de la actividad humana en el último siglo y el desarrollo de tecnologías ligadas con el petróleo como vector energético, han generado efectos medioambientales adversos que aunados con las limitadas reservas mundiales de crudo y su estrecha relación con el crecimiento económico mundial ha generado presiones economías, políticas y sociales en todos los países. Esta situación ha dinamizado la investigación y desarrollo de nuevas tecnologías basadas en el hidrogeno como un nuevo vector energético tecnológicamente compatible que permita la portabilidad de energía con el menor impacto ambiental y económico a la luz de la prospectiva de consumo y la perdurabilidad energética. Este trabajo identifica las experiencias más relevantes respecto a la tecnología del hidrogeno a nivel mundial con el fin de consolidar un plan estratégico para la incorporación del hidrógeno como vector energético al portafolio productivo colombiano mediante la aplicación de un modelo que permite el análisis del nivel de integración de los sectores educativo, empresarial y gubernamental, teniendo como base los resultados del análisis estructural y análisis de actores.

Digital TV in Australia and the USA: a cross-impact analysis of the adoption and diffusion of digital TV in Australia and the United States

The paper examines the adoption and diffusion of Digital Television (DTV) in Australia and the United States, identifying historical, technical, regulatory, marketing, and other commonalities and differences that appear to be most significant to its adoption, as both countries have experienced a 'sluggish' diffusion and adoption of DTV so far. Using library research and borrowing the cross-impact matrix method from futures research, the authors develop J J events related to the various influences and groups of stakeholders that had shaped the policy making and adoption of DTV. We then carry out a comparative analysis between the two countries to make evident their impacts, strengths, and directions of influence. The authors suggest that the implementation of DTV in these two developed countries appears to be nearly identical. Even though Australian and US broadcasting models are fundamentally different, the diffusion process for DTV is primarily affected by the nature of digital technology and globalisation, two trends that may be diminishing the import of the nation-state in the technology adoption process. The paper concludes that these broader economic and technical events may have greater import to DTV's successful diffusion than do traditional, cultural, and nationalistic factors suggested in earlier comparative broadcast studies.

Gestão de transferência de inovações tecnológicas para empresas do setor produtivo: complexidade no relacionamento entre organizações de culturas diferentes

The motivation of this study is based on the expectation of understanding, at least in part, the reason why the brazilian academic production ¿ which is among the largest if compared to the developing countries, has not been translated in a useful way into concrete technology transference for the production sector. The supposition that different cultures and subcultures, in terms of values, behavior, practices among organizations and groups of selected actors involved in that process,- which is the central problem of this study, and peculiar to the technology context, has elected that relationship process the object of this research this study theoretical fundaments rely on culture and technology to analyze the subcultures which manifest themselves through the typified groups of researchers, in the public organizations, small scale employers, acting on technology based companies in the private sector (ebts) and mediators. Who also act in the process the preliminary step was the case study. Several qualitative methods an procedures were used. And the investigation has advanced toward interacting interviews, at the end added by the focal group method. The conclusions reject the existence of incompatibility among the subject groups points of view, however, points out some divergent values, the presence of mutual stereotypes and also confirms the supposition that the research platform is strongly influenced by the financial factor. Although, the study reveals that the presence of common objectives which lay behind the cited divergences make possible to present a core of practical suggestions to implement the studied relationships for the benefit of the production sector as well. The peculiarities perceived while dealing with that singular context suggest futures research to clarify possible new and obscure areas in that complex relationships.

Analysis of the interplay between knowledge and performance management in industrial clusters

The concept of industrial clustering has been studied in-depth by policy makers and researchers from many fields, mainly due to the competitive advantages it may bring to regional economies. Companies often take part in collaborative initiatives with local partners while also taking advantage of knowledge spillovers to benefit from locating in a cluster. Thus, Knowledge Management (KM) and Performance Management (PM) have become relevant topics for policy makers and cluster associations when undertaking collaborative initiatives. Taking this into account, this paper aims to explore the interplay between both topics using a case study conducted in a collaborative network formed within a cluster. The results show that KM should be acknowledged as a formal area of cluster management so that PM practices can support knowledge-oriented initiatives and therefore make better use of the new knowledge created. Furthermore, tacit and explicit knowledge resulting from PM practices needs to be stored and disseminated throughout the cluster as a way of improving managerial practices and regional strategic direction. Knowledge Management Research & Practice (2012) 10, 368-379. doi:10.1057/kmrp.2012.23

Don't blame the economists. It is an inverse problem!

The seriousness of the current crisis urgently demands new economic thinking that breaks the austerity vs. deficit spending circle in economic policy. The core tenet of the paper is that the most important problems that natural and social science are facing today are inverse problems, and that a new approach that goes beyond optimization is necessary. The approach presented here is radical in the sense that it identifies the roots in key assumptions in economic theory such as optimal behavior and stability to provide an inverse thinking perspective to economic modeling, of use in economic and financial stability policy. The inverse problem provides a truly multidisciplinary platform where related problems from different disciplines can be studied under a common approach with comparable results.

Optimización de la densidad de energía en vigas de material compuesto (PRF) sometidas a flexión pura

Las necesidades energéticas actuales requieren el desarrollo de tecnologías eficaces y eficientes en producción, transporte y distribución de energía. Estas necesidades han impulsado nuevos desarrollos en el ámbito energético, entre los cuales se encuentran sistemas de almacenamiento de energía. El avance en ingeniería de materiales permite pensar en la posibilidad de almacenamiento mediante deformación elástica de vigas. Concretamente se parte de un concepto de mecanismo acumulador de energía basado en la deformación elástica de resortes espirales a torsión. Dichos resortes se pueden considerar como elementos vigas sometidos a flexión pura y grandes deflexiones. Esta Tesis de centra en el diseño y optimización de estos elementos con el fin de maximizar la densidad de energía que son capaces de absorber. El proceso de optimización comienza con la identificación del factor crítico del que depende dicho proceso, en este caso de trata de la densidad de energía. Dicho factor depende de la geometría de la sección resistente y del material empleado en su construcción. En los últimos años ha existido un gran desarrollo de los materiales compuestos de tipo polimérico reforzados con fibras (PRF). Estos materiales están sustituyendo gradualmente a otros materiales, como los metales, debido principalmente a su excelente relación entre propiedades mecánicas y peso. Por otro lado, analizando las posibles geometrías para la sección resistente, se observó que la más adecuada es una estructura tipo sándwich. Se implementa así un procedimiento de diseño de vigas sándwich sometidas a flexión pura, con las pieles fabricadas en materiales compuestos tipo PRF y un núcleo que debe garantizar el bajo peso de la estructura. Se desarrolla así un procedimiento sistemático que se puede particularizar dependiendo de los parámetros de entrada de la viga, y que tiene en cuenta y analiza la aparición de todos los posibles modos de fallo posibles. Así mismo se desarrollan una serie de mapas o ábacos de diseño que permiten seleccionar rápidamente las dimensiones preliminares de la viga. Finalmente se llevan a cabo ensayos que permiten, por un lado, validar el concepto del mecanismo acumulador de energía a través del ensayo de un muelle con sección monolítica, y por otro validar los distintos diseños de vigas sándwich propuestos y mostrar el incremento de la densidad de energía con respecto a la alternativa monolítica. Como líneas futuras de investigación se plantean la investigación en nuevos materiales, como la utilización de nanotubos de carbono, y la optimización del mecanismo de absorción de energía; optimizando el mecanismo de absorción a flexión pura e implementando sistemas que permitan acumular energía mediante la deformación elástica debida a esfuerzos de tracción-compresión. ABSTRACT Energy supply requires the development of effective and efficient technologies for the production, transport and distribution of energy. In recent years, many energy storage systems have been developed. Advances in the field of materials engineering has allowed the development of new concepts as the energy storage by elastic deformation of beams. Particularly, in this Thesis an energy storage device based on the elastic deformation of torsional springs has been studied. These springs can be considered as beam elements subjected to pure bending loads and large deflections. This Thesis is focused on the design and optimization of these beam elements in order to maximize its density of stored energy. The optimization process starts with the identification of the critical factors for the elastic energy storage: the density. This factor depends on the geometry of the cross section of the beam and the materials from which it is made. In the last 20 years, major advances in the field of composite materials have been made, particularly in the field of fiber reinforced polymers (FRP). This type of material is substituting gradually metallic materials to their excellent weight-mechanical properties ratio. In the other side, several possible geometries are analyzed for its use in the cross section of the beam; it was concluded that the best option, for maximum energy density, is using a sandwich beam. A design procedure for sandwich beams with skins made up with FRP composites and a light weight core is developed. This procedure can be particularized for different input parameters and it analyzes all the possible failure modes. Abacus and failure mode maps have been developed in order to simplify the design process. Finally several tested was made. Firstly, a prototype of the energy storage system which uses a monolithic composite beam was tested in order to validate the concept of the energy storage by elastic deformation. After that sandwich beam samples are built and tested, validating the design and showing the increase of energy density with respect to the monolithic beam. As futures research lines the following are proposed: research in new materials, as carbon nanotubes; and the optimization of the energy storage mechanism, that means optimizing the pure bending storage mechanism and developing new ones based on traction-compression mechanisms.

Alternative scenarios for Hungary for the year 2025

The paper presents how the Committee on Futures Research, within Section IX. of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences (HAS), sees the possible futures for Hungary for the year 2025, based on the expertise of Hungarian futurists and social scientists, including the opinions of younger generations. It offers insight to Hungarian society in 18 years from 2007, when the research began. In cooperation with experts coming from diverse scientific backgrounds and with those who feel responsibility for the future and are willing to act upon it, we need to continue discovering our horizon albeit in a different way and to embark on new roads. In summary, we need to change the HOW and the WHAT.