Somalische Piraten vor der Küste eines Failed State?

Die Ursachen für die Piraterie am Horn von Afrika seien an Land zu suchen, konstatieren Vertreter aus Politik, der medialen Öffentlichkeit und den Sozialwissenschaften einhellig, wo mit Somalia der zerfallene Staat par excellence liegt. Anlässlich des gegenwärtigen Konflikts setzt sich das Papier kritisch mit dem allgegenwärtigen Konzept des Staatszerfalls auseinander. Ausgehend von der Feststellung, dass empirische Befunde die somalische Piraterie betreffend Grundannahmen der gängigen Zerfallsdiagnose und der daraus resultierenden Problemlösungsstrategien in Frage stellen, wird am Fall Somalia die Erkenntnisreichweite des Staatszerfallskonzepts an sich ausgelotet. Hierzu wird zunächst eine Bestandsaufnahme der theoretischen und methodischen Grundannahmen der Staatszerfallsforschung vollzogen und auf Operationalisierungspropleme des Forschungsstrangs hingewiesen. Das Papier kommt zu dem Ergebnis, dass der Forschungsstrang erstens zu einem einseitigen Fokus auf gesellschaftsinterne Faktoren bei der Ursachenergründung von Zerfallsprozessen neigt; zweitens tendiert die Staatszerfallsforschung zu einem reduktionistischen Akteursverständnis und sie verzichtet auf eine Analyse historisch-konkreter Herrschaftsverhältnisse und drittens verfährt sie nach einem ‘single-catch-all’-Prinzip, was eine Tendenz zur Homogenisierung unterschiedlicher empirischer Erscheinungen zur Folge hat. Diese analytischen Engführungen und Vagheiten sind dem normativen und ungeprüften Transfer des modernen Staatsbegriffs in den globalen Süden geschuldet, ebenso wie dem eurozentristischen Prozessverständnis, was den theoretischen Implikationen des Staatszerfallskonzepts zugrunde liegt. Das Konzept bietet gleichzeitig eine äußerst flexible Legitimationsfolie für interessengeleitete Außenpolitiken bishin zu Militärinterventionen.

Noxious stimulation response index: a novel anesthetic state index based on hypnotic-opioid interaction

The noxious stimulation response index (NSRI) is a novel anesthetic depth index ranging between 100 and 0, computed from hypnotic and opioid effect-site concentrations using a hierarchical interaction model. The authors validated the NSRI on previously published data.

Comparison of Bispectral Index (BIS) and Patient State Index (PSI) as objective measures of sedation and analgesia in critically ill/injured patients

Critically ill and injured patients require pain relief and sedation to reduce the body's stress response and to facilitate painful diagnostic and therapeutic procedures. Presently, the level of sedation and analgesia is guided by the use of clinical scores which can be unreliable. There is therefore, a need for an objective measure of sedation and analgesia. The Bispectral Index (BIS) and Patient State Index (PSI) were recently introduced into clinical practice as objective measures of the depth of analgesia and sedation. ^ Aim. To compare the different measures of sedation and analgesia (BIS and PSI) to the standard and commonly used modified Ramsay Score (MRS) and determine if the monitors can be used interchangeably. ^ Methods. MRS, BIS and PSI values were obtained in 50 postoperative cardiac surgery patients requiring analgesia and sedation from June to December 2004. The MRS, BIS and PSI values were assessed hourly for up to 6-h by a single observer. ^ The relationship between BIS and PSI values were explored using scatter plots and correlation between MRS, BIS and PSI was determined using Spearman's correlation coefficient. Intra-class correlation (ICC) was used to determine the inter-rater reliability of MRS, BIS and PSI. Kappa statistics was used to further evaluate the agreement between BIS and PSI at light, moderate and deep levels of sedation. ^ Results. There was a positive correlation between BIS and PSI values (Rho = 0.731, p<0.001). Intra-class correlation between BIS and PSI was 0.58, MRS and BIS 0.43 and MRS and PSI 0.27. Using Kappa statistics, agreement between MRS and BIS was 0.35 (95% CI: 0.27–0.43) and for MRS and PSI was 0.21 (95% CI: 0.15–0.28). The kappa statistic for BIS and PSI was 0.45 (95% CI: 0.37–0.52). Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves constructed to detect undersedation indicated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.91 (95% CI = 0.87 to 0.94) for the BIS and 0.84 (95% CI = 0.79 to 0.88) for the PSI. For detection of oversedation, AUC for the BIS was 0.89 (95% CI = 0.84 to 0.92) and 0.80 (95% CI = 0.75 to 0.85) for the PSI. ^ Conclusions. There is a statistically significant positive correlation between the BIS and PSI but poor correlation and poor test agreement between the MRS and BIS as well as MRS and PSI. Both the BIS and PSI demonstrated a high level of prediction for undersedation and oversedation; however, the BIS and PSI can not be considered interchangeable monitors of sedation. ^

¿Estados fallidos o conceptos fallidos?: un análisis crítico de la literatura relacionado con la noción de Estado fallido: periodo 1993-2012

Esta disertación académica pretende presentar los principales enfoques en torno al término del Estado fallido. En particular, busca defender que no se dispone de un arsenal teórico y práctico para afirmar que un Estado es fallido, puesto que los desacuerdos entre los autores clásicos y modernos persisten, por ende el Índice organizado por el Fondo para la Paz no es transparente ni confiable.

Los intereses políticos detrás de la mediación de Burkina Faso en el conflicto de Costa de Marfil en el año 2007

Este estudio de caso tiene como finalidad evidenciar los intereses políticos detrás de la mediación de Burkina Faso en el Conflicto de Costa de Marfil en el año 2007. En ese orden de ideas, este trabajo de grado analiza cómo la situación interna y externa de Burkina Faso, incidió en su decisión de mediar en el conflicto marfileño. Para lograr esto, en esta investigación se recurre a los conceptos de Interés Nacional y Poder Político propios de la Teoría del Realismo Político de Relaciones Internacionales, desarrollada por Hans Morgenthau, y al concepto de Seguridad del Régimen expuesto por John Clark. Además de las fuentes teóricas mencionadas anteriormente, se emplearon artículos y publicaciones de diversa índole sobre el fenómeno a estudiar.

Estimation of standard enthalpy of formation of alkanes in gaseous state by calculating size, structural and electronic parameters in the molecules

A quantitative analysis is made on the correlation ship of thermodynamic property, i.e., standard enthalpy of formation (ΔH fº) with Kier's molecular connectivity index(¹Xv),vander waal's volume (Vw) electrotopological state index (E) and refractotopological state index (R) in gaseous state of alkanes. The regression analysis reveals a significant linear correlation of standard enthalpy of formation (ΔH fº) with ¹Xv, Vw, E and R. The equations obtained by regression analysis may be used to estimate standard enthalpy of formation (ΔH fº) of alkanes in gaseous state.

Discusión de las teorías de estado fallido: ilustración Colombia durante la administración del presidente Álvaro Uribe Vélez (2002- 2010)

Dicho trabajo pretende evaluar la pertinencia del Indice de Estados Fallidos de la Organización Fondo por la Paz y la Revista Foreign Policy, bajo dos aspectos, por un lado el sutento teórico sobre el concepto de Estado de Robert Rotberg, Charles Tilly y Michael Mann, y por otro lado observar la pertinencia metodológica usando como ejemplo el caso colombiano en el periodo 2002-2010.

Análisis de la incidencia de la Teoría de la Identidad Colectiva en la posición de la Liga Árabe frente al reconocimiento de Somalilandia como Estado independiente

Esta Monografía se centra en mostrar cómo el intento por conservar la identidad colectiva de la Liga de los Estados Árabes impide ceder ante el deseo de Somalilandia de ser reconocida como Estado independiente.

La zona de distensión del Caguán: un análisis de los factores económicos, políticos y sociales a partir del concepto de Estado Fallido

La presente Monografía pretende describir los diferentes sucesos que se dieron al interior de la zona de distensión del Caguán, durante el gobierno de Andrés Pastrana (1998-2002). Cabe mencionar, que ésta era la primera vez en la cual se despejaba una parte del territorio nacional, para que un grupo al margen de la ley se acentuara allí. A raíz de esto, se establecerá porque la zona de distensión puede considerarse como un Estado al interior de Colombia si ésta nunca lo llegó a ser. Finalmente, se describirá la administración realizada por las FARC en dicha zona, teniendo como base el concepto de Estado fallido, y se determinará si la gestión llevada a cabo por los guerrilleros puede considerarse como fallida.

La incidencia de la actualización del tratado de amistad India-Bután 2007 en las orientaciones en materia de política exterior de Bután. 2007-2014

El interés de este estudio de caso es analizar la incidencia de la actualización del Tratado de Amistad entre India y Bután firmado en 2007 en las disposiciones de política exterior de Bután en el periodo 2007-2014. Este trabajo se enmarca en los conceptos de identidad nacional, tomadores de decisiones, proceso de toma de decisión y análisis de política exterior, a partir de los cuales se pretende comprobar que el tratado de 2007 tuvo principalmente un efecto cristalizador en la política exterior de Bután, manifestado de manera significativa en materia de cooperación internacional, moderada en materia de representación política internacional y muy modesta en materia de apertura económica y comercial.

La cooperación hacia Mauritania y la externalización del control migratorio español como mecanismos de securitización de la política migratoria española hacia Mauritania (1996 - 2013)

La llegada masiva de migrantes irregulares provenientes del África sub-sahariana ha sido un fenómeno que ha afectado en términos económicos, sociales, políticos y culturales, a los países que conforman la Unión Europea. Es así como los países más afectados por este tipo de migración (España, Grecia e Italia) han pedido a los demás miembros de la Unión adoptar una política conjunta y armonizada con el fin de solucionar la problemática migratoria irregular. No obstante, la cooperación, como acción unilateral, ha resultado ser el mecanismo más efectivo, en especial el caso español, para contener y externalizar los controles del movimiento migratorio irregular subsahariano en países como Mauritania, como resultado de un proceso de securitización de la migración irregular al interior de España a comienzos del siglo XX.

Differential environmental impacts on small and medium size rivers from center of São Paulo State, Brazil, and regional management perspectives

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Estimation of chlorophyll-a concentration and the trophic state of the Barra Bonita hydroelectric reservoir using oli/landsat-8 images

Reservoirs are artificial environments built by humans, and the impacts of these environments are not completely known. Retention time and high nutrient availability in the water increases the eutrophic level. Eutrophication is directly correlated to primary productivity by phytoplankton. These organisms have an important role in the environment. However, high concentrations of determined species can lead to public health problems. Species of cyanobacteria produce toxins that in determined concentrations can cause serious diseases in the liver and nervous system, which could lead to death. Phytoplankton has photoactive pigments that can be used to identify these toxins. Thus, remote sensing data is a viable alternative for mapping these pigments, and consequently, the trophic. Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) is present in all phytoplankton species. Therefore, the aim of this work was to evaluate the performance of images of the sensor Operational Land Imager (OLI) onboard the Landsat-8 satellite in determining Chl-a concentrations and estimating the trophic level in a tropical reservoir. Empirical models were fitted using data from two field surveys conducted in May and October 2014 (Austral Autumn and Austral Spring, respectively). Models were applied in a temporal series of OLI images from May 2013 to October 2014. The estimated Chl-a concentration was used to classify the trophic level from a trophic state index that adopted the concentration of this pigment-like parameter. The models of Chl-a concentration showed reasonable results, but their performance was likely impaired by the atmospheric correction. Consequently, the trophic level classification also did not obtain better results.

Relationship between space distribution of the benthic macroinvertebrates community and trophic state in a Neotropical reservoir (Itupararanga, Brazil)

The purpose of this work was to verify the benthic macroinvertebrates community responses through environmental factors along a headwater tropical reservoir. Samplings were taken with a Van-Veen grab along the reservoir in littoral and profundal regions and in the headwater, next to the dam and the middle of the reservoir. Samples were taken during both wet and dry seasons. Dissolved oxygen concentrations, electric conductivity, temperature and pH near the sediment have been performed in situ, at every sampling station by using a multiprobe and Secchi disc. Total water phosphorus and chlorophyll a concentrations were analyzed to determine the trophic state index. Sediment's organic matter, total phosphorus, nitrogen concentrations and granulometric composition were measured. In order to verify which environmental variables would have more influence over the benthic macroinvertebrates community, a canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) was performed. The total number of recorded taxa was 28. Among them, the family Chironomidae (Diptera) was the richest group (19 taxa). It can be proposed that the benthic macroinvertebrates community may be influenced by environmental conditions such as nutrient and organic matter availability, as well as dissolved oxygen concentration. Macroinvertebrates are adequate bioindicators of water quality due to their sensibility to environmental changes mentioned before. Chironomus sp, Limnodrilus hoffmeisteri and Branchiura sowerbyi comprises a group that can be considered bio-indicators of eutrophic conditions. A second group can be considered as indicator of mesotrophic conditions. The presence of two or more members from that group which comprises Tanytarsini spp, Fissimentum sp, Pelomus sp and Goeldichironomus sp, like predominant taxa, may indicates mesotrophic conditions.

Guatemala: A Failing State?

 Guatemala is not a failed state and is unlikely to become one in the near future. Although the state currently fails to provide adequate security to its citizens or an appropriate range of effective social programs, it does supply a functioning electoral democracy, sound economic management, and a promising new antipoverty program, My Family Progresses (MIFAPRO).  Guatemala is a weak state. The principal security threats represented by expanding Mexican drug trafficking organizations (DTOs), criminal parallel powers, and urban gangs have overwhelmed the resources of the under-resourced and compromised criminal justice system. The UN-sponsored International Commission against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG), however, has demonstrated that progress against organized crime is possible.  The principal obstacles to strengthening the Guatemalan state lie in the traditional economic elite’s resistance to taxation and the venal political class’ narrow focus on short-term interests. Guatemala lacks a strong, policyoriented, mass-based political party that could develop a coherent national reform program and mobilize public support around it.  The United States should strengthen the Guatemalan state by expanding the Central America Regional Security Initiative (CARSI) and by strongly supporting CICIG, MIFAPRO, and the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE).