Estimation simplifiée de la variance dans le cas de l’échantillonnage à deux phases

Dans ce mémoire, nous étudions le problème de l'estimation de la variance pour les estimateurs par double dilatation et de calage pour l'échantillonnage à deux phases. Nous proposons d'utiliser une décomposition de la variance différente de celle habituellement utilisée dans l'échantillonnage à deux phases, ce qui mène à un estimateur de la variance simplifié. Nous étudions les conditions sous lesquelles les estimateurs simplifiés de la variance sont valides. Pour ce faire, nous considérons les cas particuliers suivants : (1) plan de Poisson à la deuxième phase, (2) plan à deux degrés, (3) plan aléatoire simple sans remise aux deux phases, (4) plan aléatoire simple sans remise à la deuxième phase. Nous montrons qu'une condition cruciale pour la validité des estimateurs simplifiés sous les plans (1) et (2) consiste à ce que la fraction de sondage utilisée pour la première phase soit négligeable (ou petite). Nous montrons sous les plans (3) et (4) que, pour certains estimateurs de calage, l'estimateur simplifié de la variance est valide lorsque la fraction de sondage à la première phase est petite en autant que la taille échantillonnale soit suffisamment grande. De plus, nous montrons que les estimateurs simplifiés de la variance peuvent être obtenus de manière alternative en utilisant l'approche renversée (Fay, 1991 et Shao et Steel, 1999). Finalement, nous effectuons des études par simulation dans le but d'appuyer les résultats théoriques.

epsilon-Expansion for nonplanar six-propagators double boxes

We present calculations for a nonplanar double box with four massless, massive external, and internal legs propagators. The results are expressed for arbitrary exponents of propagators and dimension in terms of Lauricella's hypergeometric functions of three variables and hypergeometric-like multiple series.

Wavelet analysis of MODIS time series to detect expansion and intensification of row-crop agriculture in Brazil

Since 2000, the southwestern Brazilian Amazon has undergone a rapid transformation from natural vegetation and pastures to row-crop agricultural with the potential to affect regional biogeochemistry. The goals of this research are to assess wavelet algorithms applied to MODIS time series to determine expansion of row-crops and intensification of the number of crops grown. MODIS provides data from February 2000 to present, a period of agricultural expansion and intensification in the southwestern Brazilian Amazon. We have selected a study area near Comodoro, Mato Grosso because of the rapid growth of row-crop agriculture and availability of ground truth data of agricultural land-use history. We used a 90% power wavelet transform to create a wavelet-smoothed time series for five years of MODIS EVI data. From this wavelet-smoothed time series we determine characteristic phenology of single and double crops. We estimate that over 3200 km(2) were converted from native vegetation and pasture to row-crop agriculture from 2000 to 2005 in our study area encompassing 40,000 km(2). We observe an increase of 2000 km(2) of agricultural intensification, where areas of single crops were converted to double crops during the study period. (C) 2007 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Oestradiol Potentiates Hormone Secretion and Neuronal Activation in Response to Hypertonic Extracellular Volume Expansion in Ovariectomised Rats

Secretion of vasopressin (VP), oxytocin (OT) and atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) is an essential mechanism for the maintenance of hydromineral homeostasis. Secretion of these hormones is modulated by several circulating factors, including oestradiol. However, it remains unclear how oestradiol exerts this modulation. In the present study we investigated the participation of oestradiol in the secretion of VP, OT and ANP and in activation of vasopressinergic and oxytocinergic neurones of the supraoptic (SON) and paraventricular (PVN) nuclei of the hypothalamus in response to extracellular volume expansion (EVE). For this purpose, ovariectomised (OVX) rats treated for 7 days with vehicle (corn oil, 0.1 ml/rat, OVX+O group) or oestradiol (oestradiol cypionate, 10 mu g/kg, OVX+E group) were subjected to either isotonic (0.15 m NaCl, 2 ml/100 g b.w., i.v.) or hypertonic (0.30 m NaCl, 2 ml/100 g b.w., i.v.) EVE. Blood samples were collected for plasma VP, OT and ANP determination. Another group of rats was subjected to cerebral perfusion, and brain sections were processed for c-Fos-VP and c-Fos-OT double-labelling immunohistochemistry. In OVX+O rats, we observed that both isotonic and hypertonic EVE increased plasma OT and ANP concentrations, although no changes were observed in VP secretion. Oestradiol replacement did not alter hormonal secretion in response to isotonic EVE, but it increased VP secretion and potentiated plasma OT and ANP concentrations in response to hypertonic EVE. Immunohistochemical data showed that, in the OVX+O group, hypertonic EVE increased the number of c-Fos-OT and c-Fos-VP double-labelled neurones in the PVN and SON. Oestradiol replacement did not alter neuronal activation in response to isotonic EVE, but it potentiated vasopressinergic and oxytocinergic neuronal activation in the medial magnocellular PVN (PaMM) and SON. Taken together, these results suggest that oestradiol increases the responsiveness of vasopressinergic and oxytocinergic magnocellular neurones in the PVN and SON in response to osmotic stimulation.

CB(1) modulation of hormone secretion, neuronal activation and mRNA expression following extracellular volume expansion

The endocannabinoid system includes important signaling molecules that are involved in several homeostatic and neuroendocrine functions. In the present study, we evaluated the effects of the type 1 cannabinoid (CB(1)) receptor antagonist, rimonabant (10 mg/kg, p.o.), on hormone secretion, neuronal activation and mRNA expression in the hypothalamus following isotonic (I-) or hypertonic (H-) extracellular volume expansion (EVE). The total nitrate content in the PVN and SON was also assessed under the same experimental conditions. Our results showed that OT and AVP plasma concentrations were increased in response to H-EVE, while decreased AVP levels were found following I-EVE. Accordingly, both I- and H-EVE stimulated oxytocinergic neuronal activation, as evidenced by the increased number of c-Fos/OT double labeled neurons in the hypothalamus. The vasopressinergic cells of the PVN and SON, however, were only activated in response to H-EVE. Furthermore, increased amounts of both AVP and OT mRNAs were found in the hypothalamus following EVE. Pretreatment with rimonabant significantly potentiated hormone secretion and also vasopressinergic and oxytocinergic neuronal activation induced by EVE, although decreased AVP and OT mRNA expression was found in the hypothalami of rimonabant pretreated groups. In addition, the nitrate content in the PVN and SON was not altered in response to EVE or rimonabant pretreatment. Taken together, these results suggest that the CB(1) receptor may modulate several events that contribute to the development of appropriate responses to increased fluid volume and osmolality. (C) 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Lateral Parabrachial Afferent Areas and Serotonin Mechanisms Activated by Volume Expansion

Recent evidence has shown that the serotonergic mechanism of the lateral parabrachial nucleus (LPBN) participates in the regulation of renal and hormonal responses to isotonic blood volume expansion (BVE). We investigated the BVE-induced Fos activation along forebrain and hindbrain nuclei and particularly within the serotonergic clusters of the raphe system that directly project to the LPBN. We also examined whether there are changes in the concentration of serotonin (5HT) within the raphe nucleus in response to the same stimulus. With this purpose, we analyzed the cells doubly labeled for Fos and Fluorogold (FG) following BVE (NaCl 0.15 M, 2 ml/100 g b.w., 1 min) 7 days after FG injection into the LPBN. Compared with the control group, blood volume-expanded rats showed a significant greater number of Fos-FG double-labeled cells along the nucleus of the solitary tract, locus coeruleus, hypothalamic paraventricular nucleus, central extended amygdala complex, and dorsal raphe nucleus (DRN) cells. Our study also showed an increase in the number of serotonergic DRN neurons activated in response to isotonic BVE. We also observed decreased levels of 5HT and its metabolite 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid (measured by high-pressure liquid chromatography) within the raphe nucleus 15 min after BVE. Given our previous evidence on the role of the serotonergic system in the LPBN after BVE, the present morphofunctional findings suggest the existence of a key pathway (DRN-LPBN) that may control BVE response through the modulation of 5HT release. (c) 2008 Wiley-Liss, Inc.

Retrovirus-mediated gene transfer in polyclonal T cells results in lower apoptosis and enhanced ex vivo cell expansion of CMV-reactive CD8 T cells as compared with EBV-reactive CD8 T cells.

To modulate alloreactivity after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, "suicide" gene-modified donor T cells (GMCs) have been administered with an allogeneic T-cell-depleted marrow graft. We previously demonstrated that such GMCs, generated after CD3 activation, retrovirus-mediated transduction, and G418 selection, had an impaired Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) reactivity, likely to result in an altered control of EBV-induced lymphoproliferative disease. To further characterize the antiviral potential of GMCs, we compared the frequencies of cytomegalovirus (CMV)-specific CD8+ T (CMV-T) cells and EBV-specific CD8+ T (EBV-T) cells within GMCs from CMV- and EBV-double seropositive donors. Unlike anti-EBV responses, the anti-CMV responses were not altered by GMC preparation. During the first days of culture, CMV-T cells exhibited a lower level of CD3-induced apoptosis than did EBV-T cells. In addition, the CMV-T cells escaping initial apoptosis subsequently underwent a higher expansion rate than EBV-T cells. The differential early sensitivity to apoptosis could be in relation to the "recent activation" phenotype of EBV-T cells as evidenced by a higher level of CD69 expression. Furthermore, EBV-T cells were found to have a CD45RA-CD27+CCR7- effector memory phenotype, whereas CMV-T cells had a CD45RA+CD27-CCR7- terminal effector phenotype. Such differences could be contributive, because bulk CD8+CD27- cells had a higher expansion than did bulk CD8+CD27+ cells. Overall, ex vivo T-cell culture differentially affects apoptosis, long-term proliferation, and overall survival of CMV-T and EBV-T cells. Such functional differences need to be taken into account when designing cell and/or gene therapy protocols involving ex vivo T-cell manipulation.

TCR-MHC class II interaction is required for peripheral expansion of CD4 cells in a T cell-deficient host.

It is well established that T cell-deficient nude and SCID mice can be reconstituted by i.v. injection of small numbers of purified peripheral CD4+ T cells; however, the requirements for expansion of the transferred T cells in such systems are not clear. We show here that blood and lymphoid organs of MHC class II-deficient mice (which selectively lack mature CD4+ T cells) cannot be reconstituted by transfer of purified splenic CD4+ T cells, whereas TCRalpha-deficient mice (which lack both CD4+ and CD8+ mature T cells) are readily reconstituted. The failure of CD4+ T cell reconstitution in MHC class II-deficient mice was not due to the presence of CD8+ T cells, since similar results were obtained in TCRalpha-MHC class II double-deficient mice. Consistent with most previous studies CD4+ T cells in reconstituted TCRalpha-deficient mice had a diverse TCR Vbeta repertoire and were predominantly of an activated/memory (CD44high) phenotype. Collectively our data demonstrate that the expansion of peripheral CD4+ T cells in a T cell-deficient host is dependent upon interactions of the TCR with MHC class II.

Predictors of psychiatric hospitalization during 6 months of maintenance treatment with olanzapine long-acting injection: post hoc analysis of a randomized, double-blind study.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalization is a costly and distressing event associated with relapse during schizophrenia treatment. No information is available on the predictors of psychiatric hospitalization during maintenance treatment with olanzapine long-acting injection (olanzapine-LAI) or how the risk of hospitalization differs between olanzapine-LAI and oral olanzapine. This study aimed to identify the predictors of psychiatric hospitalization during maintenance treatment with olanzapine-LAI and assessed four parameters: hospitalization prevalence, incidence rate, duration, and the time to first hospitalization. Olanzapine-LAI was also compared with a sub-therapeutic dose of olanzapine-LAI and with oral olanzapine. METHODS: This was a post hoc exploratory analysis of data from a randomized, double-blind study comparing the safety and efficacy of olanzapine-LAI (pooled active depot groups: 405 mg/4 weeks, 300 mg/2 weeks, and 150 mg/2 weeks) with oral olanzapine and sub-therapeutic olanzapine-LAI (45 mg/4 weeks) during 6 months' maintenance treatment of clinically stable schizophrenia outpatients (n=1064). The four psychiatric hospitalization parameters were analyzed for each treatment group. Within the olanzapine-LAI group, patients with and without hospitalization were compared on baseline characteristics. Logistic regression and Cox's proportional hazards models were used to identify the best predictors of hospitalization. Comparisons between the treatment groups employed descriptive statistics, the Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox's proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Psychiatric hospitalization was best predicted by suicide threats in the 12 months before baseline and by prior hospitalization. Compared with sub-therapeutic olanzapine-LAI, olanzapine-LAI was associated with a significantly lower hospitalization rate (5.2% versus 11.1%, p < 0.01), a lower mean number of hospitalizations (0.1 versus 0.2, p = 0.01), a shorter mean duration of hospitalization (1.5 days versus 2.9 days, p < 0.01), and a similar median time to first hospitalization (35 versus 60 days, p = 0.48). Olanzapine-LAI did not differ significantly from oral olanzapine on the studied hospitalization parameters. CONCLUSIONS: In clinically stable schizophrenia outpatients receiving olanzapine-LAI maintenance treatment, psychiatric hospitalization was best predicted by a history of suicide threats and prior psychiatric hospitalization. Olanzapine-LAI was associated with a significantly lower incidence of psychiatric hospitalization and shorter duration of hospitalization compared with sub-therapeutic olanzapine-LAI. Olanzapine-LAI did not differ significantly from oral olanzapine on hospitalization parameters.

Comprehensive ground-based and in situ observations of substorm expansion phase onset

In this paper, we present comprehensive ground-based and space-based in situ geosynchronous observations of a substorm expansion phase onset on 1 October 2005. The Double Star TC-2 and GOES-12 spacecraft were both located within the substorm current wedge during the substorm expansion phase onset, which occurred over the Canadian sector. We find that an onset of ULF waves in space was observed after onset on the ground by extending the AWESOME timing algorithm into space. Furthermore, a population of low-energy field-aligned electrons was detected by the TC-2 PEACE instrument contemporaneous with the ULF waves in space. These electrons appear to be associated with an enhancement of field-aligned Poynting flux into the ionosphere which is large enough to power visible auroral displays. The observations are most consistent with a near-Earth initiation of substorm expansion phase onset, such as the Near-Geosynchronous Onset (NGO) substorm scenario. A lack of data from further downtail, however, means other mechanisms cannot be ruled out.

Dynamics of Bose-Einstein condensates in double-well potentials

We study the dynamics of Bose-Einstein condensates in symmetric double-well potentials following a sudden change of the potential from the Mott-insulator to the superfluid regime. We introduce a continuum approximation that maps that problem onto the wave-packet dynamics of a particle in an anharmonic effective potential. For repulsive two-body interactions the visibility of interference fringes that result from the superposition of the two condensates following a stage of ballistic expansion exhibits a collapse of coherent oscillations onto a background value whose magnitude depends on the amount of squeezing of the initial state. Strong attractive interactions are found to stabilize the relative number dynamics. We visualize the dynamics of the system in phase space using a quasiprobability distribution that allows for an intuitive interpretation of the various types of dynamics.

Double-Observer Line Transect Methods: Levels of Independence

Double-observer line transect methods are becoming increasingly widespread, especially for the estimation of marine mammal abundance from aerial and shipboard surveys when detection of animals on the line is uncertain. The resulting data supplement conventional distance sampling data with two-sample mark–recapture data. Like conventional mark–recapture data, these have inherent problems for estimating abundance in the presence of heterogeneity. Unlike conventional mark–recapture methods, line transect methods use knowledge of the distribution of a covariate, which affects detection probability (namely, distance from the transect line) in inference. This knowledge can be used to diagnose unmodeled heterogeneity in the mark–recapture component of the data. By modeling the covariance in detection probabilities with distance, we show how the estimation problem can be formulated in terms of different levels of independence. At one extreme, full independence is assumed, as in the Petersen estimator (which does not use distance data); at the other extreme, independence only occurs in the limit as detection probability tends to one. Between the two extremes, there is a range of models, including those currently in common use, which have intermediate levels of independence. We show how this framework can be used to provide more reliable analysis of double-observer line transect data. We test the methods by simulation, and by analysis of a dataset for which true abundance is known. We illustrate the approach through analysis of minke whale sightings data from the North Sea and adjacent waters.

ZETA DETERMINANT FOR DOUBLE SEQUENCES OF SPECTRAL TYPE

We study the spectral functions, and in particular the zeta function, associated to a class of sequences of complex numbers, called of spectral type. We investigate the decomposability of the zeta function associated to a double sequence with respect to some simple sequence, and we provide a technique for obtaining the first terms in the Laurent expansion at zero of the zeta function associated to a double sequence.

New path integral simulation algorithms and their application to creep in the quantum sine-Gordon chain

A path integral simulation algorithm which includes a higher-order Trotter approximation (HOA)is analyzed and compared to an approach which includes the correct quantum mechanical pair interaction (effective Propagator (EPr)). It is found that the HOA algorithmconverges to the quantum limit with increasing Trotter number P as P^{-4}, while the EPr algorithm converges as P^{-2}.The convergence rate of the HOA algorithm is analyzed for various physical systemssuch as a harmonic chain,a particle in a double-well potential, gaseous argon, gaseous helium and crystalline argon. A new expression for the estimator for the pair correlation function in the HOA algorithm is derived. A new path integral algorithm, the hybrid algorithm, is developed.It combines an exact treatment of the quadratic part of the Hamiltonian and thehigher-order Trotter expansion techniques.For the discrete quantum sine-Gordon chain (DQSGC), it is shown that this algorithm works more efficiently than all other improved path integral algorithms discussed in this work. The new simulation techniques developed in this work allow the analysis of theDQSGC and disordered model systems in the highly quantum mechanical regime using path integral molecular dynamics (PIMD)and adiabatic centroid path integral molecular dynamics (ACPIMD).The ground state phonon dispersion relation is calculated for the DQSGC by the ACPIMD method.It is found that the excitation gap at zero wave vector is reduced by quantum fluctuations. Two different phases exist: One phase with a finite excitation gap at zero wave vector, and a gapless phase where the excitation gap vanishes.The reaction of the DQSGC to an external driving force is analyzed at T=0.In the gapless phase the system creeps if a small force is applied, and in the phase with a gap the system is pinned. At a critical force, the systems undergo a depinning transition in both phases and flow is induced. The analysis of the DQSGC is extended to models with disordered substrate potentials. Three different cases are analyzed: Disordered substrate potentials with roughness exponent H=0, H=1/2,and a model with disordered bond length. For all models, the ground state phonon dispersion relation is calculated.

A logarithmic efficient estimator of the probability of ruin with recuperation for spectrally negative Lévy risk processes

This article provides an importance sampling algorithm for computing the probability of ruin with recuperation of a spectrally negative Lévy risk process with light-tailed downwards jumps. Ruin with recuperation corresponds to the following double passage event: for some t∈(0,∞)t∈(0,∞), the risk process starting at level x∈[0,∞)x∈[0,∞) falls below the null level during the period [0,t][0,t] and returns above the null level at the end of the period tt. The proposed Monte Carlo estimator is logarithmic efficient, as t,x→∞t,x→∞, when y=t/xy=t/x is constant and below a certain bound.