Extending contingency: the impact of strategy, technology, size and business environment on the organisational form of small Chinese firms

This paper is inspired by articles in the last decade or so that have argued for more attention to theory, and to empirical analysis, within the well-known, and long-lasting, contingency framework for explaining the organisational form of the firm. Its contribution is to extend contingency analysis in three ways: (a) by empirically testing it, using explicit econometric modelling (rather than case study evidence) involving estimation by ordered probit analysis; (b) by extending its scope from large firms to SMEs; (c) by extending its applications from Western economic contexts, to an emerging economy context, using field work evidence from China. It calibrates organizational form in a new way, as an ordinal dependent variable, and also utilises new measures of familiar contingency factors from the literature (i.e. Environment, Strategy, Size and Technology) as the independent variables. An ordered probit model of contingency was constructed, and estimated by maximum likelihood, using a cross section of 83 private Chinese firms. The probit was found to be a good fit to the data, and displayed significant coefficients with plausible interpretations for key variables under all the four categories of contingency analysis, namely Environment, Strategy, Size and Technology. Thus we have generalised the contingency model, in terms of specification, interpretation and applications area.

Fuzzy Monte Carlo mathematical model for load curtailment minimization in transmission power systems

This paper presents a methodology which is based on statistical failure and repair data of the transmission power system components and uses fuzzyprobabilistic modeling for system component outage parameters. Using statistical records allows developing the fuzzy membership functions of system component outage parameters. The proposed hybrid method of fuzzy set and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzy-probabilistic models allows catching both randomness and fuzziness of component outage parameters. A network contingency analysis to identify any overloading or voltage violation in the network is performed once obtained the system states by Monte Carlo simulation. This is followed by a remedial action algorithm, based on optimal power flow, to reschedule generations and alleviate constraint violations and, at the same time, to avoid any load curtailment, if possible, or, otherwise, to minimize the total load curtailment, for the states identified by the contingency analysis. In order to illustrate the application of the proposed methodology to a practical case, the paper will include a case study for the Reliability Test System (RTS) 1996 IEEE 24 BUS.

Fuzzy Monte Carlo model for transmission power systems reliability based decision making

This thesis presents the Fuzzy Monte Carlo Model for Transmission Power Systems Reliability based studies (FMC-TRel) methodology, which is based on statistical failure and repair data of the transmission power system components and uses fuzzyprobabilistic modeling for system component outage parameters. Using statistical records allows developing the fuzzy membership functions of system component outage parameters. The proposed hybrid method of fuzzy set and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzy-probabilistic models allows catching both randomness and fuzziness of component outage parameters. A network contingency analysis to identify any overloading or voltage violation in the network is performed once obtained the system states. This is followed by a remedial action algorithm, based on Optimal Power Flow, to reschedule generations and alleviate constraint violations and, at the same time, to avoid any load curtailment, if possible, or, otherwise, to minimize the total load curtailment, for the states identified by the contingency analysis. For the system states that cause load curtailment, an optimization approach is applied to reduce the probability of occurrence of these states while minimizing the costs to achieve that reduction. This methodology is of most importance for supporting the transmission system operator decision making, namely in the identification of critical components and in the planning of future investments in the transmission power system. A case study based on Reliability Test System (RTS) 1996 IEEE 24 Bus is presented to illustrate with detail the application of the proposed methodology.

Respiratory variability in mechanically ventilated patients. Critical Care 2011

Introduction: Increased respiratory pattern variability is associated with improved oxygenation. Pressure support (PS) is a widely used partial-assist mechanical ventilation (MV) mode, in which each breathing cycle is initiated by flow or pressure variation at the airway due to patient inspiratory effort. Neurally adjusted ventilatory assist (NAVA) is relatively new and uses the electrical activity of the diaphragm (Eadi) to deliver ventilatory support proportional to the patient's inspiratory demand. We hypothesize that respiratory variability should be greater with NAVA compared with PS.Methods: Twenty-two patients underwent 20 minutes of PS followed by 20 minutes of NAVA. Flow and Eadi curves were used to obtain tidal volume (Vt) and ∫Eadi for 300 to 400 breaths in each patient. Patient-specific cumulative distribution functions (CDF) show the percentage Vt and ∫Eadi within a clinically defined (±10%) variability band for each patient. Values are normalized to patient-specific medians for direct comparison. Variability in Vt (outcome) is thus expressed in terms of variability in ∫Eadi (demand) on the same plot.Results: Variability in Vt relative to variability in ∫Eadi is significantly greater for NAVA than PS (P = 0.00012). Hence, greater variability in outcome Vt is obtained for a given demand in ∫Eadi, under NAVA, as illustrated in Figure 1 for a typical patient. A Fisher 2 × 2 contingency analysis showed that 45% of patients under NAVA had a Vt variability in equal proportion to ∫Eadi variability, versus 0% for PS (P < 0.05).Conclusions: NAVA yields greater variability in tidal volume, relative to ∫Eadi demand, and a better match between Vt and ∫Eadi. These results indicate that NAVA could achieve improved oxygenation compared with PS when sufficient underlying variability in ∫Eadi is present, due to its ability to achieve higher tidal volume variability from a given variability in ∫Eadi.

Identifying the psychosexual implications of radical radiation treatment in prostate cancer

The purpose of this study was to determine whether there was any evidence of psychosexual morbidity among men who experienced radical radiation treatment for prostate cancer. With relatively little known or available retrospective data on the psychosexual implications of radical radiation treatment in men with prostate cancer, this study posited eight research questions which provided the basis for the research. Fifty men from Southern Ontario, between the ages of 52 to 78 years, were included in the study. They had been previously randomized to a clinical trial comparing radical radiation therapy by external beam radiation, or radical radiation using a combination of a temporary iridium implant plus external beam radiation, for localized or locally advanced prostate cancer. Assessment of sexual functioning, drive, attitudes, body image, and sexual satisfaction was drawn from a multidimensional approach, since psychosexuality was viewed as having an impact on biological, psychological, and sociological domains of functioning. Medical chart reviews, semi-structured interviews, demographical profiles of each participant, and the Derogatis Sexual Functioning Inventory (DSFI) were the methods used to collect data over a four-month period. Both quantitative and qualitative research methods were incorporated in the design and evaluation of the study. Frequencies, contingency analysis, Pearson's coefficient of correlation, t-tests, and ANOVA comprised the quantitative analysis. Data obtained from audio-taped interviews were analyzed qualitatively, and used for offering further insight and for facilitating the quantitative aspect of the analysis. Overall, there was sufficient evidence to suggest psychosexual morbidity among men who were treated with radiation therapy for prostate cancer. As well,there were a number of significant findings available to answer all of the posited research questions. The most significant findings were noted in post-treatment erectile ability and sexual activity. A post-treatment change in erectile ability was reported by eighty percent of men. Sixty percent of men noted a decrease in their ability to achieve an erection by reporting some morning stiffness only, penile rigidity insufficient for penetration, decreased control of erection, and loss of spontaneous erection. Other contributing factors associated with change in erectile status were: pain or altering sensation of orgasm, blood in ejaculate, pain and decreased amount of ejaculate, and penile numbness or pain. Eighty-two percent of men experienced a post-treatment change in sexual function, primarily due to the impact of decreasing erectile status. Only seven men reported that they experienced a decrease in desire mentally, whereas the vast majority did not experience any change in desire. Changes in foreplay, stress with optimal sexual positioning, and reduced spontaneity of sex, were other factors reported with the changes in sexual activity. The findings in this study broaden our understanding of what middle- to later-aged men feel and experience as they venture onward following treatment. This was the first study that evaluated available prospective data on pre-treatment erectile status and sexual activity. As well, this study was the first (with participant compliance rates of 100 percent) to have included an interview format to capture the views of such a large number of men. This study concluded with recommendations and implications for future research and practice as we move in the direction of understanding what is necessary for preserving psychosexual well being and enhancing quality of life in men treated with radiation therapy for prostate cancer.

Bryophyte diversity and community structure on thatched roofs of the Holnicote Estate, Somerset, U.K.

We investigated patterns of bryophyte species richness and community structure, and their relation to roof variables, on thatched roofs of the Holnicote Estate, South Somerset. Thirty-two bryophyte species were recorded from 28 sampled roofs, including the globally rare and endangered thatch moss, Leptodontium gemmascens. Multiple regression analyses revealed that thatch age has a highly significant positive effect on the number of species present, accounting for nearly half the observed variation in species richness after removal of outliers. Aspect has a slight and marginally significant effect on species diversity (accounting for an additional 6% of variation), with north-facing samples having slightly more species. Age also has a significant impact on total bryophyte cover after removal of outlying observations. TWINSPAN analysis of bryophyte cover data suggests the existence of at least five discrete communities. Simple Discriminant Analyses indicate that these communities occupy different ecological subspaces as defined by the measured roof variables, with pitch, aspect and thatch age emerging as especially significant attributes. Contingency Analysis indicates that some communities are disfavoured by water reed as compared to wheat straw. The findings are significant for understanding the structure of bryophyte communities, for evaluating the effect of bryophyte cover on thatch performance, and for conservation of thatch communities, especially those harbouring rare species.

Método da continuação aplicado na análise de contingência de linhas de transmissão

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Estrabismo: detecção em uma amostra populacional e fatores demográficos associados

OBJETIVOS: Identificar a frequência de ocorrência de desvios oculares e as características dos portadores em uma amostra populacional. MÉTODOS: Estudo transversal, observacional e probabilístico, entre os anos de 2004 e 2005, envolvendo 11 cidades da região centro-oeste do estado de São Paulo. Foram examinados 10.994 indivíduos, sendo utilizada para este estudo uma subamostra desta população, identificada pelo diagnóstico de estrabismo. A população foi abordada por uma equipe treinada e padronizada para os procedimentos da pesquisa. Os dados foram analisados estatisticamente por meio de análise descritiva, frequência de ocorrência, análise de contingência e testes de associação (p<0,05). RESULTADOS: A frequência de ocorrência de estrabismo na população estudada foi de 1,4% (148 portadores de estrabismo), sem diferença entre sexos. Portadores de esodesvios (ET) eram 46,3%, 38,2% casos de exodesvio (XT) e 15,4% de desvios verticais associados a horizontais ou síndromes. A análise de contingência mostrou que 3 indivíduos (2,3%) estrábicos apresentavam cegueira e 7 (5,43%) apresentavam baixa visão em um dos olhos. Tanto a ET, quanto a XT estiveram presentes em indivíduos com graus variáveis de miopia (até -5,75 para XT e -2,50 para ET) e de hipermetropia (até +9,00 para XT e +8,00 para ET). A associação entre estrabismo e o equivalente esférico obtido na refração estática não mostrou diferença significativa (p>0,05). CONCLUSÃO: A frequência de ocorrência de estrabismo em uma amostra populacional foi de 1,4%, sem diferença entre sexos ou tipo de desvio ocular. A presença de cegueira e de baixa visão associadas aos desvios oculares reforçam a necessidade de tratamento precoce.

Assessment of branch outage contingencies using the continuation method

This paper provides a contribution to the contingency analysis of electric power systems under steady state conditions. An alternative methodology is presented for static contingency analyses that only use continuation methods and thus provides an accurate determination of the loading margin. Rather than starting from the base case operating point, the proposed continuation power flow obtains the post-contingency loading margins starting from the maximum loading and using a bus voltage magnitude as a parameter. The branch selected for the contingency evaluation is parameterised using a scaling factor, which allows its gradual removal and assures the continuation power flow convergence for the cases where the method would diverge for the complete transmission line or transformer removal. The applicability and effectiveness of the proposed methodology have been investigated on IEEE test systems (14, 57 and 118 buses) and compared with the continuation power flow, which obtains the post-contingency loading margin starting from the base case solution. In general, for most of the analysed contingencies, few iterations are necessary to determine the post-contingency maximum loading point. Thus, a significant reduction in the global number of iterations is achieved. Therefore, the proposed methodology can be used as an alternative technique to verify and even to obtain the list of critical contingencies supplied by the electric power systems security analysis function. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Subsídios metodológicos para o desenvolvimento de repertórios de interpretação funcional para uma professora das séries iniciais

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Psicoterapia analítico-funcional: efeitos de um curso sobre a interação terapêutica

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Análise de contingências da queixa escolar: procedimentos de ensino e medidas de aprendizagem no âmbito da formação inicial de professores

Pós-graduação em Psicologia do Desenvolvimento e Aprendizagem - FC

Método da continuação aplicado na análise de contingência de linhas de transmissão

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Efeitos do treino de cuidadores sobre comportamentos de apoio à adesão às orientações nutricionais por portadores de diabetes

Estudos em saúde têm apontado a disponibilidade de apoio social como um dos fatores relacionados à adesão ao tratamento por portadores de diabetes. Utilizando-se como referenciais teórico-metodológicos a análise do comportamento e o modelo construcional de Goldiamond, este estudo teve como objetivo avaliar efeitos de um treino de cuidadores de adultos com diabetes, com enfoque nos comportamentos de apoio oferecidos ao comportamento alimentar dos pacientes. Adicionalmente, pretendeu-se investigar os efeitos deste treino sobre a adesão à dieta pelos pacientes. Participaram deste estudo três pacientes do sexo feminino inscritas em um programa de acompanhamento a portadores de diabetes e um membro familiar de cada paciente, totalizando três díades cuidador-paciente, das quais duas foram alocadas na Condição de Treino (CT) e uma na Condição de Não-Treino (CNT). Utilizaram-se como fontes de informação os relatos das pacientes e das cuidadoras, a observação direta de interações comportamentais e indicadores clínicos. Segundo o delineamento de sujeito como seu próprio controle, a intervenção consistiu no treino em análise de contingências e manejo comportamental, realizado em visitas domiciliares por meio de registros de automonitoração. Os resultados mostraram que as cuidadoras que participaram da Condição de Treino apresentaram ampliação no repertório comportamental de apoio, o que não foi verificado quanto à cuidadora que participou da Condição Não-Treino. A redução nos níveis glicêmicos e os relatos apresentados pelas pacientes da Condição de Treino sugerem que a intervenção tenha contribuído para melhorias na adesão às orientações nutricionais por estas pacientes.

Avaliação da estabilidade de tensão do sistema brasileiro: um caso de estudo

Este artigo apresenta resultados de um estudo da atual condição de operação do sistema interligado brasileiro com relação à estabilidade de tensão. As análises são realizadas a partir de dados reais do planejamento e da operação. O sistema é dividido em 4 regiões: Norte, Nordeste, Sul e Sudeste/Centro-Oeste. A margem de estabilidade é obtida para cada uma destas regiões. Os resultados mostram que o sistema interligado brasileiro apresenta margem de estabilidade muito abaixo da sugerida pelos critérios existentes, a qual é limitada pela região Sudeste/Centro-Oeste. Uma análise detalhada para esta área crítica do sistema é realizada. Além de uma avaliação do comportamento da margem de estabilidade de tensão durante um dia típico de semana, esta trabalho apresenta uma análise de contingências. Utilizando a metodologia de análise modal verifica-se a abrangência das contingências, mensurando o impacto de cada contingência como local, de área ou sistêmico.