Acute Hospital Bed Capacity - A National Review

The Programme for Prosperity and Fairness outlined the commitment of the Government to a review of hospital bed capacity in both acute and non-acute settings, to be carried out by the Department of Health and Children in conjunction with the Department of Finance and in consultation with the Social Partners. The focus of this report is on bed capacity in publicly-funded acute hospitals in Ireland. The capacity needs of the sub-acute sector have been assessed separately in the context of the Health Strategy, Quality and Fairness: A Health System for You. Download document here

Review of Caribbean economic performance, 1997: based on data for the period January to June 1997

Includes bibliography

RegCM3 nested in HadAM3 scenarios A2 and B2: projected changes in extratropical cyclogenesis, temperature and precipitation over the South Atlantic Ocean

The RegCM3 (Regional Climate Model-version 3) was nested in HadAM3 model to simulate present (1975-1989, referred hereafter as RegHad) and two future climate scenarios (A2 and B2 from 2071 to 2085, referred as RegA2 and RegB2) over the South America (SA) and South Atlantic Ocean (SAO). Projected changes in the air temperature, precipitation, low level circulation and cyclogenesis climatology were investigated. The cyclogenesis were identified using an automatic scheme for tracking based on the minimum of relative vorticity (zeta) from 10-m height wind. During summer, a general decrease (increase) in the precipitation is projected by RegA2 and RegB2 over the northeastern SA (center-west and south Brazil, north Argentina and Uruguay). For winter, an anomalous low level anticyclonic circulation is associated with the reduction in the rainfall over the central part of southern Brazil in RegA2 and RegB2 scenarios. Similar to HadAM3, RegCM3 projects larger warming in A2 scenario. For the present climate, when compared to HadAM3, RegHad defines better both the location of the main cyclogenetic areas and its annual cycle near southwestern SAO. The projections indicate a reduction in the total number of cyclones of -7.2% and -4.7% for RegA2 and RegB2, respectively, while HadAM3 reduction is -4.5% for both scenarios. The decrease is larger for initially intense cyclones (zeta <=-<= 2.5 x 10(-5) s-(1)): -20.9% (RegA2) and -11.3% (RegB2). For the lifetime, distance traveled and mean velocity of the cyclones, the A2 and B2 scenarios present mean values close to the present climate ( 3 days, 1900 km, and 9 m s(-1), respectively). Regarding the initial mean vorticity of the systems, RegB2 simulates values similar to the present climate, but they are initially weaker in RegA2. In general, RegA2 and RegB2 show a large decrease in the number of cyclones over the southern SAO due to an anticyclonic anomaly covering SAO between 30-55A degrees S. The reduction is larger in the scenario with higher concentrations of greenhouse gases (RegA2).

Onchocerciasis in Ecuador: changes in prevalence of ocular lesions in Onchocerca volvulus infected individuals over the period 1980-1990

Trends in prevalence rates of onchocercal ocular lesions were examined over the period 1980 to 1990 using data from two cross-sectional surveys. There was evidence for increasing prevalence of anterior chamber microfilariae, iridocyclitis, optic atrophy, and chorioretinopathy. Large increases in prevalence, in particular, were seen for posterior segment lesions: optic atrophy increased from 2.7% to 6.4% and chorioretinopathy from 8.8% to 35.6%. Greatest increases in these lesions were seen in the Chachi which was attributed to the large increases in prevalence of microfilariae in the anterior chamber particularly in those aged 30 years or greater. The study findings suggest that ocular onchocerciasis is evolving in parallel with the well documented parasitological changes.

Immunohistochemical demonstration of interleukin-1 beta induced changes in acute-phase proteins and albumin in rat liver

Interleukin-1 beta is a potent mediator of the acute-phase response. However, the effects of interleukin-1 beta administration on the topic in vivo production of acute-phase proteins and albumin are so far not well understood. Overnight fasted rats were subcutaneously injected with 0.2 mL 0.9% NaCl (control group) or 6.25 micrograms recombinant human interleukin-1 beta, and rectal temperature was measured at intervals up to 48 h. Livers were perfused-fixed in vivo prior to injection (base-line), and at 9, 24, and 48 h following the interleukin-1 beta injection. Fibrinogen, orosomucoid (alpha 1-acid glycoprotein) and albumin were immunostained using a streptavidin-biotin-immunoperoxidase technique. Rectal temperature peaked 5 h after the single interleukin-1 beta injection, and fell gradually to base-line values by 24 h. Prior to injection only a few hepatocytes, randomly scattered throughout the liver lobule, stained positive for fibrinogen and orosomucoid. In contrast, all hepatocytes stained uniformly positive for fibrinogen and orosomucoid 9 h after interleukin-1 beta injection, whereas at 24 h a predominant centrilobular staining pattern occurred. Due to fasting, albumin positive hepatocytes were already reduced at base-line in both groups. Interleukin-1 beta induced a further significant loss of albumin positive cells in the periportal zone (35 +/- 21%) at 9 h when compared with controls (58 +/- 11%, p = 0.037). In conclusion, subcutaneous interleukin-1 beta (probably by stimulation of interleukin-6) strongly induces fibrinogen and orosomucoid expression in rat liver, and suppresses immunohistochemically stainable albumin in a heterogenous way, mainly in the periportal zone.

Historical review of changes in the grain standards of the United States.

Mode of access: Internet.

A review of three years experience using email and videoconferencing for the delivery of post-acute burns care to children in Queensland

A virtual outpatient service has been established in Queensland for the delivery of post-acute burns care to children living in rural and remote areas of the state. The integration of telepaediatrics as a routine service has reduced the need for patient travel to the specialist burns unit situated in Brisbane. We have conducted 293 patient consultations over a period of 3 years. A retrospective review of our experience has shown that post-acute burns care can be delivered using videoconferencing, email and the telephone. Telepaediatric bums services have been valuable in two key areas. The first area involves a programme of routine specialist clinics via videoconference. The second area relates to ad-hoc patient consultations for collaborative management during acute presentations and at times of urgent clinical need. The families of patients have expressed a high degree of satisfaction with the service. Telepaediatric services have helped improve access to specialist services for people living in rural and remote communities throughout Queensland. (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd and ISBI. All rights reserved.

What is the value of hypothermia in acute neurologic diseases and status epilepticus?

Patients with status epilepticus that proves refractory to anesthetic agents represent a daunting challenge for treating clinicians. Animal data support the neuroprotective action of brain hypothermia, and its efficacy in status epilepticus models. This approach, targeting a core temperature of about 33°C for at least 24 hours together with pharmacological sedation, has been described in adults and children. However, although relatively safe if concomitant barbiturates are avoided, it seems that mild hypothermia rarely allows a sustained control of ongoing status epilepticus, since seizures tend to recur in normothermia. Conversely, mild hypothermia has a high-evidence level and is increasingly used in postanoxic encephalopathy, both in newborns and adults. Due to the paucity of available clinical data, prospective studies are needed to assess the value of hypothermia in status epilepticus.

Blood pressure changes in acute ischemic stroke and outcome with respect to stroke etiology.

OBJECTIVE: Previous research suggested that proper blood pressure (BP) management in acute stroke may need to take into account the underlying etiology. METHODS: All patients with acute ischemic stroke registered in the ASTRAL registry between 2003 and 2009 were analyzed. Unfavorable outcome was defined as modified Rankin Scale score >2. A local polynomial surface algorithm was used to assess the effect of baseline and 24- to 48-hour systolic BP (SBP) and mean arterial pressure (MAP) on outcome in patients with lacunar, atherosclerotic, and cardioembolic stroke. RESULTS: A total of 791 patients were included in the analysis. For lacunar and atherosclerotic strokes, there was no difference in the predicted probability of unfavorable outcome between patients with an admission BP of <140 mm Hg, 140-160 mm Hg, or >160 mm Hg (15.3 vs 12.1% vs 20.8%, respectively, for lacunar, p = 015; 41.0% vs 41.5% vs 45.5%, respectively, for atherosclerotic, p = 075), or between patients with BP increase vs decrease at 24-48 hours (18.7% vs 18.0%, respectively, for lacunar, p = 0.84; 43.4% vs 43.6%, respectively, for atherosclerotic, p = 0.88). For cardioembolic strokes, increase of BP at 24-48 hours was associated with higher probability of unfavorable outcome compared to BP reduction (53.4% vs 42.2%, respectively, p = 0.037). Also, the predicted probability of unfavorable outcome was significantly different between patients with an admission BP of <140 mm Hg, 140-160 mm Hg, and >160 mm Hg (34.8% vs 42.3% vs 52.4%, respectively, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence to support that BP management in acute stroke may have to be tailored with respect to the underlying etiopathogenetic mechanism.

Analysis of mediation and reciprocal effects of changes in weight, self-esteem, and exercise in a behavioral weight loss treatment

Improving the treatment of obesity remains a critical challenge. Several health behaviour change models, often based on a social-cognitive framework, have been used to design weight management interventions (Baranowski et al., 2003). However, most interventions have only produced modest weight reductions (Wadden et al., 2002) and socialcognitive variables have shown limited power to predict weight outcomes (Palmeira et al., 2007). Other predictors, and possibl alte nati e e planatory models, are needed to better understand the mechanisms by which weight loss and other obesity treatment-outcomes are brought about (Baranowski, 2006). Self-esteem is one of these possible mechanisms, because is commonly reported to change during the treatment, although these changes are not necessarily associated with weight loss (Blaine et al., 2007; Maciejewski et al., 2005). This possibility should be more evident if the program integrates regular exercise, as it promotes improvements in subjective well-being (Biddle & Mutrie, 2001), with possible influences on long-term behavioral adherence (e.g. diet, exercise). Following the reciprocal effects model tenets (Marsh & Craven, 2006), we expect that the influences between changes in weight, selfesteem and exercise to be reciprocal and might present one of the mechanisms by which obesity treatments can be improved.

Modelling of changes in electricity end-use and their impacts on electricity distribution

The electricity distribution sector will face significant changes in the future. Increasing reliability demands will call for major network investments. At the same time, electricity end-use is undergoing profound changes. The changes include future energy technologies and other advances in the field. New technologies such as microgeneration and electric vehicles will have different kinds of impacts on electricity distribution network loads. In addition, smart metering provides more accurate electricity consumption data and opportunities to develop sophisticated load modelling and forecasting approaches. Thus, there are both demands and opportunities to develop a new type of long-term forecasting methodology for electricity distribution. The work concentrates on the technical and economic perspectives of electricity distribution. The doctoral dissertation proposes a methodology to forecast electricity consumption in the distribution networks. The forecasting process consists of a spatial analysis, clustering, end-use modelling, scenarios and simulation methods, and the load forecasts are based on the application of automatic meter reading (AMR) data. The developed long-term forecasting process produces power-based load forecasts. By applying these results, it is possible to forecast the impacts of changes on electrical energy in the network, and further, on the distribution system operator’s revenue. These results are applicable to distribution network and business planning. This doctoral dissertation includes a case study, which tests the forecasting process in practice. For the case study, the most prominent future energy technologies are chosen, and their impacts on the electrical energy and power on the network are analysed. The most relevant topics related to changes in the operating environment, namely energy efficiency, microgeneration, electric vehicles, energy storages and demand response, are discussed in more detail. The study shows that changes in electricity end-use may have radical impacts both on electrical energy and power in the distribution networks and on the distribution revenue. These changes will probably pose challenges for distribution system operators. The study suggests solutions for the distribution system operators on how they can prepare for the changing conditions. It is concluded that a new type of load forecasting methodology is needed, because the previous methods are no longer able to produce adequate forecasts.