Tractable Consumer Choice

We derive a rational model of separable consumer choice which can also serve as a behavioral model. The central construct is [lambda] , the marginal utility of money, derived from the consumer's rest-of-life problem. We present a robust approximation of [lambda], and show how to incorporate liquidity constraints, indivisibilities and adaptation to a changing environment. We fi nd connections with numerous historical and recent constructs, both behavioral and neoclassical, and draw contrasts with standard partial equilibrium analysis. The result is a better grounded, more flexible and more intuitive description of consumer choice.

Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World

An expanding literature articulates the view that Taylor rules are helpful in predicting exchange rates. In a changing world however, Taylor rule parameters may be subject to structural instabilities, for example during the Global Financial Crisis. This paper forecasts exchange rates using such Taylor rules with Time Varying Parameters (TVP) estimated by Bayesian methods. In core out-of-sample results, we improve upon a random walk benchmark for at least half, and for as many as eight out of ten, of the currencies considered. This contrasts with a constant parameter Taylor rule model that yields a more limited improvement upon the benchmark. In further results, Purchasing Power Parity and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity TVP models beat a random walk benchmark, implying our methods have some generality in exchange rate prediction.

Gender Inequality and the Sex Ratio in Three Emerging Economies

The aim of this paper is to study inequality and deprivations as reflected in the human sex ratio (commonly defined as the number of males per 100 females). The particular focus is on three emerging economies, viz., Russia, India and China. The paper compares and contrasts the experiences of these countries and discusses policy issues. It is noted that while the feminist perspective on the issues surrounding the sex ratio is important, it would be wrong to view these issues always or exclusively through the prism of that perspective . It is also suggested that India and China probably have better prospects of sustained economic growth in the foreseeable future than does Russia.

T1-weighted MRI as a substitute to CT for refocusing planning in MR-guided focused ultrasound.

Precise focusing is essential for transcranial MRI-guided focused ultrasound (TcMRgFUS) to minimize collateral damage to non-diseased tissues and to achieve temperatures capable of inducing coagulative necrosis at acceptable power deposition levels. CT is usually used for this refocusing but requires a separate study (CT) ahead of the TcMRgFUS procedure. The goal of this study was to determine whether MRI using an appropriate sequence would be a viable alternative to CT for planning ultrasound refocusing in TcMRgFUS. We tested three MRI pulse sequences (3D T1 weighted 3D volume interpolated breath hold examination (VIBE), proton density weighted 3D sampling perfection with applications optimized contrasts using different flip angle evolution and 3D true fast imaging with steady state precision T2-weighted imaging) on patients who have already had a CT scan performed. We made detailed measurements of the calvarial structure based on the MRI data and compared those so-called 'virtual CT' to detailed measurements of the calvarial structure based on the CT data, used as a reference standard. We then loaded both standard and virtual CT in a TcMRgFUS device and compared the calculated phase correction values, as well as the temperature elevation in a phantom. A series of Bland-Altman measurement agreement analyses showed T1 3D VIBE as the optimal MRI sequence, with respect to minimizing the measurement discrepancy between the MRI derived total skull thickness measurement and the CT derived total skull thickness measurement (mean measurement discrepancy: 0.025; 95% CL (-0.22-0.27); p = 0.825). The T1-weighted sequence was also optimal in estimating skull CT density and skull layer thickness. The mean difference between the phase shifts calculated with the standard CT and the virtual CT reconstructed from the T1 dataset was 0.08 ± 1.2 rad on patients and 0.1 ± 0.9 rad on phantom. Compared to the real CT, the MR-based correction showed a 1 °C drop on the maximum temperature elevation in the phantom (7% relative drop). Without any correction, the maximum temperature was down 6 °C (43% relative drop). We have developed an approach that allows for a reconstruction of a virtual CT dataset from MRI to perform phase correction in TcMRgFUS.

Transmission disequilibrium of small CNVs in simplex autism.

We searched for disruptive, genic rare copy-number variants (CNVs) among 411 families affected by sporadic autism spectrum disorder (ASD) from the Simons Simplex Collection by using available exome sequence data and CoNIFER (Copy Number Inference from Exome Reads). Compared to high-density SNP microarrays, our approach yielded ∼2× more smaller genic rare CNVs. We found that affected probands inherited more CNVs than did their siblings (453 versus 394, p = 0.004; odds ratio [OR] = 1.19) and that the probands' CNVs affected more genes (921 versus 726, p = 0.02; OR = 1.30). These smaller CNVs (median size 18 kb) were transmitted preferentially from the mother (136 maternal versus 100 paternal, p = 0.02), although this bias occurred irrespective of affected status. The excess burden of inherited CNVs among probands was driven primarily by sibling pairs with discordant social-behavior phenotypes (p < 0.0002, measured by Social Responsiveness Scale [SRS] score), which contrasts with families where the phenotypes were more closely matched or less extreme (p > 0.5). Finally, we found enrichment of brain-expressed genes unique to probands, especially in the SRS-discordant group (p = 0.0035). In a combined model, our inherited CNVs, de novo CNVs, and de novo single-nucleotide variants all independently contributed to the risk of autism (p < 0.05). Taken together, these results suggest that small transmitted rare CNVs play a role in the etiology of simplex autism. Importantly, the small size of these variants aids in the identification of specific genes as additional risk factors associated with ASD.

La figura di Nikola Tesla (1856-1943) in Tajna Nikole Tesle (1980)

Nikola Tesla è considerato, dai divulgatori scientifici che di lui si occupano, una figura chiave nella storia della scienza moderna e contemporanea, per l’importanza che hanno avuto le sue ricerche nello sviluppo di tecnologie del XX e XXI secolo. La sua attuale scarsa fama nel piano accademico contrasta con un’abbondante presenza di un Nikola Tesla come personaggio di finzione nelle arti popolari. Questa ricezione ambigua di Tesla potrebbe essere di fatto relazionata con il carattere utopico e visionario delle sue speranze nella scienza come mezzo di conoscenza per il miglioramento della società umana. Questo breve saggio si propone di analizzare come venga presentato il personaggio di Nikola Tesla nel lungometraggio jugoslavo Tajna Nikole Tesle, contribuendo così alla comprensione di come la narrativa di finzione possa sfruttare l’immagine di uno scienziato relativamente agli interessi politici legati a specifici contesti socio-storici.

On problems of calculating energy expenditure and substrate utilization from respiratory exchange data.

Indirect calorimetry based on respiratory exchange measurement has been successfully used from the beginning of the century to obtain an estimate of heat production (energy expenditure) in human subjects and animals. The errors inherent to this classical technique can stem from various sources: 1) model of calculation and assumptions, 2) calorimetric factors used, 3) technical factors and 4) human factors. The physiological and biochemical factors influencing the interpretation of calorimetric data include a change in the size of the bicarbonate and urea pools and the accumulation or loss (via breath, urine or sweat) of intermediary metabolites (gluconeogenesis, ketogenesis). More recently, respiratory gas exchange data have been used to estimate substrate utilization rates in various physiological and metabolic situations (fasting, post-prandial state, etc.). It should be recalled that indirect calorimetry provides an index of overall substrate disappearance rates. This is incorrectly assumed to be equivalent to substrate "oxidation" rates. Unfortunately, there is no adequate golden standard to validate whole body substrate "oxidation" rates, and this contrasts to the "validation" of heat production by indirect calorimetry, through use of direct calorimetry under strict thermal equilibrium conditions. Tracer techniques using stable (or radioactive) isotopes, represent an independent way of assessing substrate utilization rates. When carbohydrate metabolism is measured with both techniques, indirect calorimetry generally provides consistent glucose "oxidation" rates as compared to isotopic tracers, but only when certain metabolic processes (such as gluconeogenesis and lipogenesis) are minimal or / and when the respiratory quotients are not at the extreme of the physiological range. However, it is believed that the tracer techniques underestimate true glucose "oxidation" rates due to the failure to account for glycogenolysis in the tissue storing glucose, since this escapes the systemic circulation. A major advantage of isotopic techniques is that they are able to estimate (given certain assumptions) various metabolic processes (such as gluconeogenesis) in a noninvasive way. Furthermore when, in addition to the 3 macronutrients, a fourth substrate is administered (such as ethanol), isotopic quantification of substrate "oxidation" allows one to eliminate the inherent assumptions made by indirect calorimetry. In conclusion, isotopic tracers techniques and indirect calorimetry should be considered as complementary techniques, in particular since the tracer techniques require the measurement of carbon dioxide production obtained by indirect calorimetry. However, it should be kept in mind that the assessment of substrate oxidation by indirect calorimetry may involve large errors in particular over a short period of time. By indirect calorimetry, energy expenditure (heat production) is calculated with substantially less error than substrate oxidation rates.

Insight into cross-talk between intra-amoebal pathogens.

Abstract: Background: Amoebae are phagocytic protists where genetic exchanges might take place between amoeba-resistant bacteria. These amoebal pathogens are able to escape the phagocytic behaviour of their host. They belong to different bacterial phyla and often show a larger genome size than human-infecting pathogens. This characteristic is proposed to be the result of frequent gene exchanges with other bacteria that share a sympatric lifestyle and contrasts with the genome reduction observed among strict human pathogens.Results: We sequenced the genome of a new amoebal pathogen, Legionella drancourtii, and compared its gene content to that of a Chlamydia-related bacterium, Parachlamydia acanthamoebae. Phylogenetic reconstructions identified seven potential horizontal gene transfers (HGTs) between the two amoeba-resistant bacteria, including a complete operon of four genes that encodes an ABC-type transporter. These comparisons pinpointed potential cases of gene exchange between P. acanthamoebae and Legionella pneumophila, as well as gene exchanges between other members of the Legionellales and Chlamydiales orders. Moreover, nine cases represent possible HGTs between representatives from the Legionellales or Chlamydiales and members of the Rickettsiales order.Conclusions: This study identifies numerous gene exchanges between intracellular Legionellales and Chlamydiales bacteria, which could preferentially occur within common inclusions in their amoebal hosts. Therefore it contributes to improve our knowledge on the intra-amoebal gene properties associated to their specific lifestyle.

Rites et pratiques de l'hospitalité: étude comparée des prescriptions d'hospitalité au sein de discours normatifs du judaïsme rabbinique et du brahmanisme

Le présent ouvrage s'inscrit dans le domaine de l'histoire comparée des religions, et porte sur le rôle joué par les pratiques d'hospitalité dans le développement d'un mouvement religieux. L'idée centrale réside dans l'observation que les pratiques individuelles de l'hospitalité, bien qu'apparemment banales, relèvent d'enjeux sociaux majeurs, et sont susceptibles de nous renseigner sur l'organisation d'une société. Parallèlement, le travail effectue une évaluation critique de la catégorie même d'« hospitalité », des conceptions qui lui sont associées dans le langage courant, et de la possibilité de son emploi comme catégorie transculturelle. Deux cas, issus de cultures historiquement et géographiquement disjointes, sont étudiés de manière indépendante au travers de textes déterminés, avant d'être contrastés dans une partie récapitulative. Les deux contextes choisis pour cette étude sont le judaïsme rabbinique et la tradition indienne brahmanique. La démarche a consisté à définir des ensembles de textes, à repérer les passages traitant de l'hospitalité, et à les classer en tenant compte du document au sein duquel ils apparaissent, du type d'hospitalité qui y est présenté, et des protagonistes qui y sont impliqués. Ces textes ne représentent certes pas la réalité historique, mais nous informent sur l'idéal que leurs rédacteurs appelaient de leurs voeux. Dans le cas rabbinique, les textes défendent de manière quasiment unanime l'idée que l'hospitalité (hakhnasat ha-orechin / ´akhsanya) est une valeur importante - une idée qui n'apparaît pas sous cette forme dans le corpus biblique. Les modalités de l'hospitalité varient cependant selon les situations, abondamment discutées au sein des textes. Par exemple, les implications d'accueillir un invité « païen » ou d'être invité par lui diffèrent considérablement, la première situation étant évidemment moins problématique que la seconde. Plusieurs raisons (régime alimentaire, pureté) compliquent aussi l'idéal de réciprocité. Dans les textes du brahmanisme, l'hospitalité (àtithya) se charge d'une signification particulière, rituelle, quand elle s'adresse à un membre de l'« élite religieuse » (brahmane, sage, etc.) : elle devient un « sacrifice domestique », intégré au complexe rituel des māhayajña, les « grands sacrifices » quotidiens. Les textes sont moins prolixes quant à l'hospitalité dispensée à un non-brahmane. Il s'agit au mieux d'une possibilité. D'une manière générale, le déroulement de l'hospitalité varie très fortement en fonction de l'identité de l'invité. Le travail se conclut sur trois volets distincts : (1) un essai de comparaison des processus historiques se trouvant en filigrane des textes, en revenant notamment sur les fonctions symboliques prises en charge par l'hospitalité au sein des deux contextes ; (2) une réflexion sur les pratiques mêmes de l'hospitalité et leur signification sociale ; (3) un retour critique, enfin, sur quelques catégories transculturelles employées dans le travail et leur héritage conceptuel.

Cronyism in Business, Public Sector and Politics

This paper contrasts the incentives for cronyism in business, the public sector and politics within an agency problem model with moral hazard. The analysis is focused on the institutional differences between private, public and political organizations. In business, when facing a residual claimant contract, a chief manager ends up with a relatively moderate …rst-best level of cronyism within a …firm. The institutional framework of the public sector does not allow explicit contracting, which leads to a more severe cronyism problem within public organizations. Finally, it is shown that the nature of political appointments (such that the subordinate's reappointment is conditioned on the chief's re-election) together with implicit contracting makes political cronyism the most extreme case. JEL classifi…cation: D72, D73, D86. Keywords: Cronyism; Meritocracy; Manager; Bureaucrat; Politician.

Diagnosi ambiental de les fonts naturals de la zona nord-occidental del Vallès Oriental: el fenomen "garrafaire"

Aquest treball analitza un total de sis fonts naturals situades a la zona nord-occidental del Vallès Oriental amb l’objectiu de determinar-ne la seva freqüentació i en especial centrar-se en el fenomen “garrafaire”. S’ha elaborat un mètode de recompte d’usuaris, s’ha analitzat l’aigua a nivell físico-químic i microbiològic i s’ha portat a terme un sistema de caracterització ambiental d’aquestes fonts. La freqüentació és elevada a quatre de les sis fonts estudiades, de les que només tres són utilitzades habitualment per “garrafaires”. El volum d’ús d’aquestes fonts contrasta amb el control analític de la qualitat de l’aigua, per part de l’administració, que és inexistent en quatre d’elles i insuficient a les restants. La confiança per part dels usuaris cap a la qualitat de l’aigua també difereix dels resultats de les analítiques realitzades, en que l’aigua ha estat qualificada com a no apta per al consum humà en totes elles, exceptuant una única analítica d’una font que ha resultat apta per al consum humà. En conseqüència, caldria un pla de control i seguiment de la qualitat de l’aigua almenys en 4 de les fonts analitzades.

The borehole-fluid effect in electrical resistivity imaging

Fluid that fills boreholes in crosswell electrical resistivity investigations provides the necessary electrical contact between the electrodes and the rock formation but it is also the source of image artifacts in standard inversions that do not account for the effects of the boreholes. The image distortions can be severe for large resistivity contrasts between the rock formation and borehole fluid and for large borehole diameters. We have carried out 3D finite-element modeling using an unstructured-grid approach to quantify the magnitude of borehole effects for different resistivity contrasts, borehole diameters, and electrode configurations. Relatively common resistivity contrasts of 100:1 and borehole diameters of 10 and 20 cm yielded, for a bipole length of 5 m, apparent resistivity underestimates of approximately 12% and 32% when using AB-MN configurations and apparent resistivity overestimates of approximately 24% and 95% when using AM-BN configurations. Effects are generally more severe at shorter bipole spacings. We report the results obtained by either including or ignoring the boreholes in inversions of 3D field data from a test site in Switzerland, where approximately 10,000 crosswell resistivity-tomography measurements were made across six acquisition planes among four boreholes. Inversions of raw data that ignored the boreholes filled with low-resistivity fluid paradoxically produced high-resistivity artifacts around the boreholes. Including correction factors based on the modeling results fora ID model with and without the boreholes did not markedly improve the images. The only satisfactory approach was to use a 3D inversion code that explicitly incorporated the boreholes in the actual inversion. This new approach yielded an electrical resistivity image that was devoid of artifacts around the boreholes and that correlated well with coincident crosswell radar images.

Migraineurs without aura show microstructural abnormalities in the cerebellum and frontal lobe.

The involvement of the cerebellum in migraine pathophysiology is not well understood. We used a biparametric approach at high-field MRI (3 T) to assess the structural integrity of the cerebellum in 15 migraineurs with aura (MWA), 23 migraineurs without aura (MWoA), and 20 healthy controls (HC). High-resolution T1 relaxation maps were acquired together with magnetization transfer images in order to probe microstructural and myelin integrity. Clusterwise analysis was performed on T1 and magnetization transfer ratio (MTR) maps of the cerebellum of MWA, MWoA, and HC using an ANOVA and a non-parametric clusterwise permutation F test, with age and gender as covariates and correction for familywise error rate. In addition, mean MTR and T1 in frontal regions known to be highly connected to the cerebellum were computed. Clusterwise comparison among groups showed a cluster of lower MTR in the right Crus I of MWoA patients vs. HC and MWA subjects (p = 0.04). Univariate and bivariate analysis on T1 and MTR contrasts showed that MWoA patients had longer T1 and lower MTR in the right and left pars orbitalis compared to MWA (p < 0.01 and 0.05, respectively), but no differences were found with HC. Lower MTR and longer T1 point at a loss of macromolecules and/or micro-edema in Crus I and pars orbitalis in MWoA patients vs. HC and vs. MWA. The pathophysiological implications of these findings are discussed in light of recent literature.

Criteris d'avaluació de la credibilitat en les denúncies de violència de gènere

La Llei Integral de Mesures contra la Violència de Gènere estableix una sèrie de mesures legislatives que tenen per objecte el reconeixement dels drets de les víctimes de la violència, enfortir la sensibilitat ciutadana davant de la violència de gènere, instaurar un sistema de serveis socials d’atenció i de recuperació de les víctimes, garantir els seus drets econòmics i laborals, instaurar un sistema institucional de tutela, determinar un marc penal i processal i garantir la coordinació de tots aquells recursos que es dediquen a aquesta qüestió. Conscients de la importància d’aquesta Llei, de les dificultats que deriven de la seva aplicació, així com de la nostra experiència en la pràctica forense en casos de violència domèstica i de gènere, neix la idea de realitzar la recerca d’aquest estudi. Una recerca que pretén establir, a partir de l’anàlisi dels relats de dones víctimes de violència de gènere en la relació de parella, criteris de credibilitat que permetin validar les seves declaracions. Criteris obtinguts a partir de les mateixes paraules de les víctimes. Partint d’una metodologia mixta, quantitativa i qualitativa, hem obtingut uns resultats que ens han permès definir un sistema de criteris de credibilitat genuïns i discriminadors. Una discriminació obtinguda a partir de la comparació de les declaracions de dues mostres: víctimes reals i víctimes simulades. I, fruit d’aquesta comparació, la discontinuïtat narrativa, els detalls estranys, la reproducció de converses, les correccions espontànies, l’ambivalència i ambigüitat vers l’agressor, la violència indirecta, suscitant por i terror, la por a les represàlies, la imposició i intimitat del secret, la indefensió, l’evolució de la violència i progressió de la asimetria de poder, la dualitat de la conducta domèstica / imatge social de l’home, el control ampli masculí cognitiu-conductual, la descripció contextualitzada de microviolències, les estratègies de supervivència de la dona i el relat inhibit amb vergonya, han resultat criteris de credibilitat de les dones víctimes de violència de gènere que ens permetran validar el seu relat.

Criterios de evaluación de la credibilidad en las denuncias de violencia de género

Esta investigación contrasta los relatos de dos muestras de mujeres. La primera, víctimas reales de violencia de género en la relación de pareja; la segunda, deliberadamente ofrecen relatos falsos sobre esta misma problemática. Los resultados muestran una diferencia cualitativa significativa en base a los criterios de credibilidad definidos. Al mismo tiempo, el estudio ha encontrado otros criterios de credibilidad genuinos, que conforman el discurso explicativo que permite validar sus declaraciones.