Supporting decision making under uncertainty: Development of a participatory integrated model for water management in the middle Guadiana river basin.

Following the Integrated Water Resources Management approach, the European Water Framework Directive demands Member States to develop water management plans at the catchment level. Those plans have to integrate the different interests and must be developed with stakeholder participation. To face these requirements, managers need tools to assess the impacts of possible management alternatives on natural and socio-economic systems. These tools should ideally be able to address the complexity and uncertainties of the water system, while serving as a platform for stakeholder participation. The objective of our research was to develop a participatory integrated assessment model, based on the combination of a crop model, an economic model and a participatory Bayesian network, with an application in the middle Guadiana sub-basin, in Spain. The methodology is intended to capture the complexity of water management problems, incorporating the relevant sectors, as well as the relevant scales involved in water management decision making. The integrated model has allowed us testing different management, market and climate change scenarios and assessing the impacts of such scenarios on the natural system (crops), on the socio-economic system (farms) and on the environment (water resources). Finally, this integrated assessment modelling process has allowed stakeholder participation, complying with the main requirements of current European water laws.

SMArc: a proposal for a smart, semantic middleware architecture focused on Smart City energy management

Among the main features that are intended to become part of what can be expected from the Smart City, one of them should be an improved energy management system, in order to benefit from a healthier relation with the environment, minimize energy expenses, and offer dynamic market opportunities. A Smart Grid seems like a very suitable infrastructure for this objective, as it guarantees a two-way information flow that will provide the means for energy management enhancement. However, to obtain all the required information, another entity must care about all the devices required to gather the data. What is more, this entity must consider the lifespan of the devices within the Smart Grid—when they are turned on and off or when new appliances are added—along with the services that devices are able to provide. This paper puts forward SMArc—an acronym for semantic middleware architecture—as a middleware proposal for the Smart Grid, so as to process the collected data and use it to insulate applications from the complexity of the metering facilities and guarantee that any change that may happen at these lower levels will be updated for future actions in the system.

Knowledge Modelling in Multiagent Systems: The Case of the Management of a National Network

This paper presents the knowledge model of a distributed decision support system, that has been designed for the management of a national network in Ukraine. It shows how advanced Artificial Intelligence techniques (multiagent systems and knowledge modelling) have been applied to solve this real-world decision support problem: on the one hand its distributed nature, implied by different loci of decision-making at the network nodes, suggested to apply a multiagent solution; on the other, due to the complexity of problem-solving for local network administration, it was useful to apply knowledge modelling techniques, in order to structure the different knowledge types and reasoning processes involved. The paper sets out from a description of our particular management problem. Subsequently, our agent model is described, pointing out the local problem-solving and coordination knowledge models. Finally, the dynamics of the approach is illustrated by an example.

Project Management : Gestión de la remedición mediambiental de las plantas de gas manufacturado

Para hacerse cargo del legado de las Plantas de Gas Manufacturado (MGP) en el Estado de Nueva York, la División de Remediación Medioambiental del Departamento de Conservación Medioambiental, creo las Investigaciones de las áreas afectadas y el Programa de Remediación Medioambiental. Con el paso de los años, la conciencia y entendimiento de la importancia y complejidad de estos proyectos fue creciendo, ya que las investigaciones realizadas daban fe del tamaño y extensión de la contaminación asociada a las plantas de gas manufacturado, propiedad ahora de las diversas compañías de gas que operan a lo largo y ancho del Estado de Nueva York. Tras varios años dentro del Programa de Remediación Medioambiental, muchas de estas compañías han intentado manejar estos vastos y complejos proyectos como han podido, dejándose llevar un poco, subestimando y pasando por alto muchos detalles, ya que al fin y al cabo son proyecto regulados por el estado y que, por tanto, son financiados enteramente por este. Esto ha ido causando en los últimos años grandes problemas a algunas Compañías que a la hora de reportar estos proyectos se han encontrado con una falta total de control y grandes lagunas que resolver. Una técnica para resolver estos problemas es hacer uso de grandes técnicas de gestión empresarial como es el Project Management. En este proyecto se exponen y desarrollan las técnicas que han de utilizarse para integrar la Gestión de Proyectos con el fin de poder gestionar y coordinar las competentes demandas de alcance, tiempo, costes, calidad, recursos, y riesgos con el fin de alcanzar los requerimientos y objetivos del proyecto y de la Compañía. ABSTRACT To address the Manufactured Gas Plant (MGP) legacy in New York State, the Department of Environmental Conservation’s Division of Environmental Remediation has established the MGP Site Investigation and Remediation Programs. With the passage of time the Department’s understanding of the complexity of these sites grew, as investigations identified the extend of the contamination problem associated with many MGPs, property of the Operating Companies in the State. Through many years under the Remediation Programs, some Operating Companies have tried to manage these large and complex projects as they could, underestimating and overlooking them, as they were, in fact, regulated and financed by the Department. This has cause a lot of controlling issues and gaps to solve to the companies. Now the companies are trying to solve this kind of problems using the more innovative management techniques, as Project Management. This project expose and explains how to integrate the project management processes into the MGP Projects under the Remediation Program, to manage and balance the competing demands of scope, time ,cost, quality, resources, and risk to meet the project and company’s requirements and objectives.

A semantic middleware architecture focused on data and heterogeneity management within the Smart Grid

There is an increasing tendency of turning the current power grid, essentially unaware of variations in electricity demand and scattered energy sources, into something capable of bringing a degree of intelligence by using tools strongly related to information and communication technologies, thus turning into the so-called Smart Grid. In fact, it could be considered that the Smart Grid is an extensive smart system that spreads throughout any area where power is required, providing a significant optimization in energy generation, storage and consumption. However, the information that must be treated to accomplish these tasks is challenging both in terms of complexity (semantic features, distributed systems, suitable hardware) and quantity (consumption data, generation data, forecasting functionalities, service reporting), since the different energy beneficiaries are prone to be heterogeneous, as the nature of their own activities is. This paper presents a proposal on how to deal with these issues by using a semantic middleware architecture that integrates different components focused on specific tasks, and how it is used to handle information at every level and satisfy end user requests.

Geometrical characterization of undisturbed soil samples using X-ray computed tomography image analysis. Effect of soil management on soil structure

El estudio de la estructura del suelo es de vital importancia en diferentes campos de la ciencia y la tecnología. La estructura del suelo controla procesos físicos y biológicos importantes en los sistemas suelo-planta-microorganismos. Estos procesos están dominados por la geometría de la estructura del suelo, y una caracterización cuantitativa de la heterogeneidad de la geometría del espacio poroso es beneficiosa para la predicción de propiedades físicas del suelo. La tecnología de la tomografía computerizada de rayos-X (CT) nos permite obtener imágenes digitales tridimensionales del interior de una muestra de suelo, proporcionando información de la geometría de los poros del suelo y permitiendo el estudio de los poros sin destruir las muestras. Las técnicas de la geometría fractal y de la morfología matemática se han propuesto como una poderosa herramienta para analizar y cuantificar características geométricas. Las dimensiones fractales del espacio poroso, de la interfaz poro-sólido y de la distribución de tamaños de poros son indicadores de la complejidad de la estructura del suelo. Los funcionales de Minkowski y las funciones morfológicas proporcionan medios para medir características geométricas fundamentales de los objetos geométricos tridimensionales. Esto es, volumen, superficie, curvatura media de la superficie y conectividad. Las características del suelo como la distribución de tamaños de poros, el volumen del espacio poroso o la superficie poro-solido pueden ser alteradas por diferentes practicas de manejo de suelo. En este trabajo analizamos imágenes tomográficas de muestras de suelo de dos zonas cercanas con practicas de manejo diferentes. Obtenemos un conjunto de medidas geométricas, para evaluar y cuantificar posibles diferencias que el laboreo pueda haber causado en el suelo. ABSTRACT The study of soil structure is of vital importance in different fields of science and technology. Soil structure controls important physical and biological processes in soil-plant-microbial systems. Those processes are dominated by the geometry of soil pore structure, and a quantitative characterization of the spatial heterogeneity of the pore space geometry is beneficial for prediction of soil physical properties. The technology of X-ray computed tomography (CT) allows us to obtain three-dimensional digital images of the inside of a soil sample providing information on soil pore geometry and enabling the study of the pores without disturbing the samples. Fractal geometry and mathematical morphological techniques have been proposed as powerful tools to analyze and quantify geometrical features. Fractal dimensions of pore space, pore-solid interface and pore size distribution are indicators of soil structure complexity. Minkowski functionals and morphological functions provide means to measure fundamental geometrical features of three-dimensional geometrical objects, that is, volume, boundary surface, mean boundary surface curvature, and connectivity. Soil features such as pore-size distribution, pore space volume or pore-solid surface can be altered by different soil management practices. In this work we analyze CT images of soil samples from two nearby areas with contrasting management practices. We performed a set of geometrical measures, some of them from mathematical morphology, to assess and quantify any possible difference that tillage may have caused on the soil.

The HOSHIN KANRI TREE. Cross-Plant Lean Shopfloor Management

Shopfloor Management (SM) empowerment methodologies have traditionally focused on two aspects: goal achievement following rigid structures, such as SQDCME, or evolutional aspects of empowerment factors away from strategic goal achievement. Furthermore, SM Methodologies have been organized almost solely around the hierarchical structure of the organization, failing systematically to cope with the challenges that Industry 4.0 is facing. The latter include the growing complexity of value-stream networks, sustainable empowerment of the workforce (Learning Factory), an autonomous and intelligent process management (Smart Factory), the need to cope with the increasing complexity of value-stream networks (VSN) and the leadership paradigm shift to strategic alignment. This paper presents a novel Lean SM Method (LSM) called ?HOSHIN KANRI Tree? (HKT), which is based on standardization of the communication patterns among process owners (POs) by PDCA. The standardization of communication patterns by HKT technology should bring enormous benefits in value stream (VS) performance, speed of standardization and learning rates to the Industry 4.0 generation of organizations. These potential advantages of HKT are being tested at present in worldwide research.

On the complexity of inferring join dependencies /

"UILU-ENG 79 1734."

Unravelling the complexity of muscle impairment in chronic neck pain

Exercise interventions are deemed essential for the effective management of patients with neck pain. However, there has been a lack of consensus on optimal exercise prescription, which has resulted from a paucity of studies to quantify the precise nature of muscle impairment, in people with neck pain. This masterclass will present recent research from our laboratory, which has utilized surface electromyography to investigate cervical flexor muscle impairment in patients with chronic neck pain. This research has identified deficits in the motor control of the deep and superficial cervical flexor muscles in people with chronic neck pain, characterized by a delay in onset of neck muscle contraction associated with movement of the upper limb. In addition, people with neck pain demonstrate an altered pattern of muscle activation, which is characterized by reduced deep cervical flexor muscle activity during a low load cognitive task and increased activity of the superficial cervical flexor muscles during both cognitive tasks and functional activities. The results have demonstrated the complex, multifaceted nature of cervical muscle impairment, which exists in people with a history of neck pain. In turn, this has considerable implications for the rehabilitation of muscle function in people with neck pain disorders. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Integrated versus non-integrated management and care for clients with co-occurring mental health and substance use disorders: a qualitative systematic review of randomised controlled trials

The purpose of this paper is to conduct a qualitative review of randomised controlled trials in relation to the treatment of adults with co-occurring mental health and substance use disorder (MH/SUD). In particular, integrated approaches are compared with non-integrated approaches to treatment. Ten articles were identified for inclusion in the review. The findings are equivocal with regard to the superior efficacy of integrated approaches to treatment, although the many limitations of the studies need to be considered in our understanding of this finding. Clearly, this is an extremely challenging client group to engage and maintain in intervention research, and the complexity and variability of the problems render control particularly difficult. The lack of available evidence to support the superiority of integration is discussed in relation to these challenges. Much remains to be investigated with regard to integrated management and care for people with co-occurring and MH/SUD, particularly for specific combinations of dual diagnosis and giving consideration to the level of inter-relatedness between the disorders. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

An analysis of relational complexity in an air traffic control conflict detection task

Theoretical analyses of air traffic complexity were carried out using the Method for the Analysis of Relational Complexity. Twenty-two air traffic controllers examined static air traffic displays and were required to detect and resolve conflicts. Objective measures of performance included conflict detection time and accuracy. Subjective perceptions of mental workload were assessed by a complexity-sorting task and subjective ratings of the difficulty of different aspects of the task. A metric quantifying the complexity of pair-wise relations among aircraft was able to account for a substantial portion of the variance in the perceived complexity and difficulty of conflict detection problems, as well as reaction time. Other variables that influenced performance included the mean minimum separation between aircraft pairs and the amount of time that aircraft spent in conflict.

Development of a web-service-agents-based family wealth management system

The roiling financial markets, constantly changing tax law and increasing complexity of planning transaction increase the demand of aggregated family wealth management (FWM) services. However, current trend of developing such advisory systems is mainly focusing on financial or investment side. In addition, these existing systems lack of flexibility and are hard to be integrated with other organizational information systems, such as CRM systems. In this paper, a novel architecture of Web-service-agents-based FWM systems has been proposed. Multiple intelligent agents are wrapped as Web services and can communicate with each other via Web service protocols. On the one hand, these agents can collaborate with each other and provide comprehensive FWM advices. On the other hand, each service can work independently to achieve its own tasks. A prototype system for supporting financial advice is also presented to demonstrate the advances of the proposed Webservice- agents-based FWM system architecture.