Decision Support for Energy Contracts Negotiation with Game Theory and Adaptive Learning

This paper presents a decision support methodology for electricity market players’ bilateral contract negotiations. The proposed model is based on the application of game theory, using artificial intelligence to enhance decision support method’s adaptive features. This model is integrated in AiD-EM (Adaptive Decision Support for Electricity Markets Negotiations), a multi-agent system that provides electricity market players with strategic behavior capabilities to improve their outcomes from energy contracts’ negotiations. Although a diversity of tools that enable the study and simulation of electricity markets has emerged during the past few years, these are mostly directed to the analysis of market models and power systems’ technical constraints, making them suitable tools to support decisions of market operators and regulators. However, the equally important support of market negotiating players’ decisions is being highly neglected. The proposed model contributes to overcome the existing gap concerning effective and realistic decision support for electricity market negotiating entities. The proposed method is validated by realistic electricity market simulations using real data from the Iberian market operator—MIBEL. Results show that the proposed adaptive decision support features enable electricity market players to improve their outcomes from bilateral contracts’ negotiations.

Adaptive Penalty and Barrier function based on Fuzzy Logic

Optimization methods have been used in many areas of knowledge, such as Engineering, Statistics, Chemistry, among others, to solve optimization problems. In many cases it is not possible to use derivative methods, due to the characteristics of the problem to be solved and/or its constraints, for example if the involved functions are non-smooth and/or their derivatives are not know. To solve this type of problems a Java based API has been implemented, which includes only derivative-free optimization methods, and that can be used to solve both constrained and unconstrained problems. For solving constrained problems, the classic Penalty and Barrier functions were included in the API. In this paper a new approach to Penalty and Barrier functions, based on Fuzzy Logic, is proposed. Two penalty functions, that impose a progressive penalization to solutions that violate the constraints, are discussed. The implemented functions impose a low penalization when the violation of the constraints is low and a heavy penalty when the violation is high. Numerical results, obtained using twenty-eight test problems, comparing the proposed Fuzzy Logic based functions to six of the classic Penalty and Barrier functions are presented. Considering the achieved results, it can be concluded that the proposed penalty functions besides being very robust also have a very good performance.

Adaptive modeling and high quality spectral estimation for speech enhancement

In this work an adaptive modeling and spectral estimation scheme based on a dual Discrete Kalman Filtering (DKF) is proposed for speech enhancement. Both speech and noise signals are modeled by an autoregressive structure which provides an underlying time frame dependency and improves time-frequency resolution. The model parameters are arranged to obtain a combined state-space model and are also used to calculate instantaneous power spectral density estimates. The speech enhancement is performed by a dual discrete Kalman filter that simultaneously gives estimates for the models and the signals. This approach is particularly useful as a pre-processing module for parametric based speech recognition systems that rely on spectral time dependent models. The system performance has been evaluated by a set of human listeners and by spectral distances. In both cases the use of this pre-processing module has led to improved results.

Adaptive filtering for high quality HMM based speech synthesis

In this work an adaptive filtering scheme based on a dual Discrete Kalman Filtering (DKF) is proposed for Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based speech synthesis quality enhancement. The objective is to improve signal smoothness across HMMs and their related states and to reduce artifacts due to acoustic model's limitations. Both speech and artifacts are modelled by an autoregressive structure which provides an underlying time frame dependency and improves time-frequency resolution. Themodel parameters are arranged to obtain a combined state-space model and are also used to calculate instantaneous power spectral density estimates. The quality enhancement is performed by a dual discrete Kalman filter that simultaneously gives estimates for the models and the signals. The system's performance has been evaluated using mean opinion score tests and the proposed technique has led to improved results.

Adaptive Game Design Study of a fully adaptive framework

Adventure! The Paladin Order foi um projecto ambicioso que começou por ser desenvolvido como um video jogo completo. Tinha como objéctivo implementar uma ferramenta diferente que permitisse tornar o jogo completamente adaptativo às decisões do jogador tanto nas interacções e no diálogo com outras personagens, assim como no combate contra os variados inímigos do jogo. Devido à inexperiência do autor uma grande parte do tempo foi passado a estudar e a pesquisar várias possíveis soluções que permitissem criar um ambiente que fosse adaptativo de uma forma simples e interessante, não só para os programadores mas também para qualquer pessoa que fosse responsável por editar o diálogo e a história do jogo. Os resultados foram bastante interessantes, revelando um sistema que depende simultaneamente dos ficheiros de onde é retirado o diálogo, e de um sistema de personalidades que permite definir qual será o comportamento de qualquer objecto do jogo ou, pelo menos, como as outras personagens irão reagir. O produto final é uma ferramenta de bases sólidas que permite uma implementação relativamente simples de um sistema abrangente e adaptativo, com poucas falhas e apenas algumas questões de simplicidade de código.

Providing Adaptation for an Adaptive Hypermedia System

O ensino à distância cresceu consideravelmente nos últimos anos e a tendência é para que continue a crescer em anos vindouros. No entanto, enquanto que a maioria das plataformas de ensino à distância utilizam a mesma abordagem de ensino para todos os utilizadores, os estudantes que as usam são na realidade pessoas de diferentes culturas, locais, idades e géneros, e que possuem diferentes níveis de educação. Ao contrário do ensino à distância tradicional, os sistemas de hipermédia adaptativa educacional adaptam interface, apresentação de conteúdos e navegação, entre outros, às características, necessidades e interesses específicos de diferentes utilizadores. Apesar da investigação na área de sistemas de hipermédia adaptativa já estar bastante desenvolvida, é necessário efetuar mais desenvolvimento e experimentação de modo a determinar quais são os aspetos mais eficazes destes sistemas e avaliar o seu sucesso. A Plataforma de Aprendizagem Colaborativa da Matemática (PCMAT) é um sistema de hipermédia adaptativa educacional com uma abordagem construtivista, que foi desenvolvido com o objetivo de contribuir para a investigação na área de sistemas de hipermédia adaptativa. A plataforma avalia o conhecimento do utilizador e apresenta conteúdos e atividades adaptadas às características e estilo de aprendizagem dominante de estudantes de matemática do segundo ciclo. O desenvolvimento do PCMAT tem também o propósito de auxiliar os alunos Portugueses com a aprendizagem da matemática. De acordo com o estudo PISA 2012 da OCDE [OECD, 2014], o desempenho dos alunos Portugueses na área da matemática melhorou em relação à edição anterior do estudo, mas os resultados obtidos permanecem abaixo da média da OCDE. Por este motivo, uma das finalidades deste projeto é desenvolver um sistema de hipermédia adaptativa que, ao adequar o ensino da matemática às necessidades específicas de cada aluno, os assista com a aquisição de conhecimento. A adaptação é efetuada pelo sistema usando a informação constante no modelo do utilizador para definir um grafo de conceitos do domínio específico. Este grafo é adaptado do modelo do domínio e utilizado para dar resposta às necessidades particulares de cada aluno. Embora a trajetória inicial seja definida pelo professor, o percurso percorrido no grafo por cada aluno é determinado pela sua interação com o sistema, usando para o efeito a representação do conhecimento do aluno e outras características disponíveis no modelo do utilizador, assim como avaliação progressiva. A adaptação é conseguida através de alterações na apresentação de conteúdos e na estrutura e anotações das hiperligações. A apresentação de conteúdos é alterada mostrando ou ocultando cada um dos vários fragmentos que compõe as páginas dum curso. Estes fragmentos são compostos por diferentes objetos de aprendizagem, tais como exercícios, figuras, diagramas, etc. As mudanças efetuadas na estrutura e anotações das hiperligações têm o objetivo de guiar o estudante, apontando-o na direção do conhecimento mais relevante e mantendo-o afastado de informação inadequada. A escolha de objectos de aprendizagem adequados às características particulares de cada aluno é um aspecto essencial do modelo de adaptação do PCMAT. A plataforma inclui para esse propósito um módulo responsável pela recomendação de objectos de aprendizagem, e um módulo para a pesquisa e recuperação dos mesmos. O módulo de recomendação utiliza lógica Fuzzy para converter determinados atributos do aluno num conjunto de parâmetros que caracterizam o objecto de aprendizagem que idealmente deveria ser apresentado ao aluno. Uma vez que o objecto “ideal” poderá não existir no repositório de objectos de aprendizagem do sistema, esses parâmetros são utilizados pelo módulo de pesquisa e recuperação para procurar e devolver ao módulo de recomendação uma lista com os objectos que mais se assemelham ao objecto “ideal”. A pesquisa é feita numa árvore k-d usando o algoritmo k-vizinhos mais próximos. O modelo de recomendação utiliza a lista devolvida pelo módulo de pesquisa e recuperação para seleccionar o objecto de aprendizagem mais apropriado para o aluno e processa-o para inclusão numa das páginas Web do curso. O presente documento descreve o trabalho desenvolvido no âmbito do projeto PCMAT (PTDS/CED/108339/2008), dando relevância à adaptação de conteúdos.

Sialyl Tn-Expressing Bladder Cancer Cells Induce a Tolerogenic Phenotype in Innate and Adaptive Immune Cells

Despite the wide acceptance that glycans are centrally implicated in immunity, exactly how they contribute to the tilt immune response remains poorly defined. In this study, we sought to evaluate the impact of the malignant phenotype-associated glycan, sialyl-Tn (STn) in the function of the key orchestrators of the immune response, the dendritic cells (DCs). In high grade bladder cancer tissue, the STn antigen is significantly overexpressed and correlated with the increased expression of ST6GALNAC1 sialyltransferase. Bladder cancer tissue presenting elevated expression of ST6GALNAC1 showed a correlation with increased expression of CD1a, a marker for bladder immature DCs and showed concomitant low levels of Th1-inducing cytokines IL-12 and TNF-α. In vitro, human DCs co-incubated with STn+ bladder cancer cells, had an immature phenotype (MHC-IIlow, CD80low and CD86low) and were unresponsive to further maturation stimuli. When contacting with STn+ cancer cells, DCs expressed significantly less IL-12 and TNF-α. Consistent with a tolerogenic DC profile, T cells that were primed by DCs pulsed with antigens derived from STn+ cancer cells were not activated and showed a FoxP3high IFN-γlow phenotype. Blockade of STn antigens and of STn+ glycoprotein, CD44 and MUC1, in STn+ cancer cells was able to lower the induction of tolerance and DCs become more mature. Overall, our data suggest that STn-expressing cancer cells impair DC maturation and endow DCs with a tolerogenic function, limiting their capacity to trigger protective anti-tumour T cell responses. STn antigens and, in particular, STn+ glycoproteins are potential targets for circumventing tumour-induced tolerogenic mechanisms.

Enhancing physical activity coaching through personalized motivational strategies and self-adaptive goal-setting: development of self-adaptive processes in a monitoring and coaching smartphone application

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Biomédica

O processo de envelhecimento numa população adulta com défice intelectual e desenvolvimental, DID: "perfil de funcionalidade"

RESUMO: O envelhecimento demográfico da população associado aos avanços científicos fezcom que esse fenómeno se estendesse à população com dificuldade intelectual e desenvolvimental. O processo de envelhecimento na população com DID acarreta novas formas de dependência, carências e perdas que, associadas à deficiência assumem contornos de dupla vulnerabilidade: ser idoso e ser deficiente. Objetivos, deste estudo foram caraterizar o perfil de funcionalidade numa população adulta com DID e apurar de que forma é que os aspectos sociodemográficos, condição de saúde, estado nutricional e redes socias de apoio interferem nesse perfil. Metodologia, aplicou-se a Escala de Comportamento Adaptativo versão Portuguesa a uma amostra de 40 indivíduos com DID, procedeu-se ao estudo da relação entre os vários domínios da escala e os diferentes aspetos anteriormente mencionados. Resultados, apontam para o facto, de tal como na população em geral, o processo de envelhecimento desta população variar em função do estado de saúde, das limitações da própria deficiência e da existência de sistema de apoios mais do que a idade cronológica. Conclusão, o envelhecimento da população com DID é um fenómeno recente sendo por isso importante ter um conhecimento mais aprofundado das suas caraterísticas e necessidades. A ECAP revelou ser um instrumento que permite avaliar o desempenho funcional desta população distinguindo-a da restante população idosa contribuindo assim, para o desenvolvimento de planos e programas de intervenção mais adequados.-------------ABSTRACT: The aging of the population associated with scientific advances made this phenomenon extend to the population with intellectual and developmental difficulties. The aging process in people with DID entails new forms of dependence, shortages and losses, associated with disability take contours of double vulnerability: being elderly and being disabled. Objectives, in this study were to characterize the profile functionality in an adult population with DID and determine how it is that their sociodemographic characteristics, health status, nutritional status and members support networks affect this listing. Methodology, was applied the adaptive behavior scale Portuguese version to a sample of 40 individuals with DID, we proceeded to study the relationship between the various domains of the scale and the different aspects mentioned above. Results, point to the fact, such as in the general population, the aging of the population vary depending on the state of health, of the limitations of the disability itself and the existence of support rather than chronological age system. Conclusion, an aging population with DID is a recent phenomenon and is therefore important to have a broader knowledge of their characteristics and needs. ECAP has proved to be a tool to evaluate the functional performance of this population distinguished from the remaining elderly population, thus contributing to the development of plans and most appropriate intervention programs. aging, adaptive behavior scale.

Involvement and interactions of different immune cells and their cytokines in human visceral leishmaniasis

Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) or kala-azar, a disseminated infection of the lymphoreticular system of the body, is marked by severe defect in immune system of the host. Successful cure of VL depends on the immune status of the host in combination with the effects of the antileishmanial drugs. The rationale approach towards eradication of this disease would be to potentiate the immune functioning of the host in addition to parasite killing. This review deals with different aspects of adaptive and innate immune responses and explores their role in protection or pathogenesis of VL. IL-10 has emerged as the principal cytokine responsible for disease pathogenesis, although evidences regarding its source during active VL remain inconclusive. On the other hand, IFNγ, under the influence of IL-12, is mostly correlated with healing of the disease. Chemokines are important in mounting cell-mediated immune response as they can prevent parasite invasion in association with cytokines. Different types of T cells like CD4, CD8 and NK T cells also contribute to the immunology of this disease. In spite of conflicting reports, the role of regulatory T cells in VL pathogenesis is important. Recently discovered Th17 subset and its different members have been reported to perform diverse functions in the course of VL and leishmaniasis as a whole. Innate immune responses, depending on the cell types, are essential in early parasite detection and subsequent development of an efficient NK cell response. Immunotherapy targeting IL-10 could be looked upon as an interesting option for the treatment of VL.

The impact of job insecurity on adaptive performance via burnout

Difficult and unpredictable times, due to economic instability, lead employees to feel high job insecurity. Organizations’ only way to subsistence is to search innovative ways of solving problems and find creative solutions. This study focuses on the impact that job insecurity has on adaptive performance, a recent measure integrating the response of creativity, reactivity in the face of emergencies, interpersonal adaptability, training effort, and handling work stress, and, mediated by burnout. From the responses of two questionnaires (????????1=252; ????????2=145), we conclude that job insecurity leads to exhaustion, but not to disengagement. In turn, it is the latter that demonstrates to have negative relations with some measures of adaptive performance. Thus, it is crucial to understand how organizations can minimize the inherent process.

Using the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health as a tool for analysis of the effect of physical therapy on spasticity in HAM/TSP patients

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to evaluate spasticity in human T-lymphotropic virus type 1-associated myelopathy/tropical spastic paraparesis (HAM/TSP) patients before and after physical therapy using the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF). METHODS: Nine subjects underwent physical therapy. Spasticity was evaluated using the Modified Ashworth Scale. The obtained scores were converted into ICF body functions scores. RESULTS: The majority of subjects had a high degree of spasticity in the quadriceps muscles. According to the ICF codes, the spasticity decreased after 20 sessions of physical therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The ICF was effective in evaluating spasticity in HAM/TSP patients.

Integrated management systems as complex adaptive systems

It is a difficult task to avoid the “smart systems” topic when discussing smart prevention and, similarly, it is a difficult task to address smart systems without focusing their ability to learn. Following the same line of thought, in the current reality, it seems a Herculean task (or an irreparable omission) to approach the topic of certified occupational health and safety management systems (OHSMS) without discussing the integrated management systems (IMSs). The available data suggest that seldom are the OHSMS operating as the single management system (MS) in a company so, any statement concerning OHSMS should mainly be interpreted from an integrated perspective. A major distinction between generic systems can be drawn between those that learn, i.e., those systems that have “memory” and those that have not. These former systems are often depicted as adaptive since they take into account past events to deal with novel, similar and future events modifying their structure to enable success in its environment. Often, these systems, present a nonlinear behavior and a huge uncertainty related to the forecasting of some events. This paper seeks to portray, for the first time as we were able to find out, the IMSs as complex adaptive systems (CASs) by listing their properties and dissecting the features that enable them to evolve and self-organize in order to, holistically, fulfil the requirements from different stakeholders and thus thrive by assuring the successful sustainability of a company. Based on the revision of literature carried out, this is the first time that IMSs are pointed out as CASs which may develop fruitful synergies both for the MSs and for CASs communities. By performing a thorough revision of literature and based on some concepts embedded in the “DNA” of the subsystems implementation standards it is intended, specifically, to identify, determine and discuss the properties of a generic IMS that should be considered to classify it as a CAS.

Predicting harsh discipline in at-risk mothers: the moderating effect of socioeconomic deprivation severity

Socioeconomic disadvantage is an important predictor of maternal harsh discipline, but few studies have examined risk mechanisms for harsh parenting within disadvantaged samples. In the present study, parenting stress, family conflict, and child difficult temperament are examined as predictors of maternal harsh discipline among a group of 58 mothers from socioeconomically disadvantaged backgrounds and their young children between the ages of 1- to 4-years-old. Maternal harsh discipline was measured using standardized observations, and mothers reported on parenting stress, family conflict, and child temperament. Severity of socioeconomic deprivation was included as a moderator in these associations. Results showed that parenting stress and family conflict predicted maternal harsh discipline, but only in the most severely deprived families. These findings extend prior research on the processes through which socioeconomic deprivation severity and family functioning impact maternal harsh discipline within a high-risk sample of low-income families. They suggest that the spillover of negative parental functioning into parent–child interactions is particularly likely under conditions of substantial socioeconomic deprivation. Severity of socioeconomic stress seems to undermine maternal adaptive forms of coping, resulting in harsh disciplining practices. Intervention efforts aimed at improving parenting and family relations, as well as an adaptive coping style assume especial relevance.

Adaptive facade systems - review of performance requirements, design approaches, use cases and market needs

The paper reflects the work of COST Action TU1403 Workgroup 3/Task group 1. The aim is to identify research needs from a review of the state of the art of three aspects related to adaptive façade systems: (1) dynamic performance requirements; (2) façade design under stochastic boundary conditions and (3) experiences with adaptive façade systems and market needs.