Mass detection on mammograms: influence of signal shape uncertainty on human and model observers.

We studied the influence of signal variability on human and model observers for detection tasks with realistic simulated masses superimposed on real patient mammographic backgrounds and synthesized mammographic backgrounds (clustered lumpy backgrounds, CLB). Results under the signal-known-exactly (SKE) paradigm were compared with signal-known-statistically (SKS) tasks for which the observers did not have prior knowledge of the shape or size of the signal. Human observers' performance did not vary significantly when benign masses were superimposed on real images or on CLB. Uncertainty and variability in signal shape did not degrade human performance significantly compared with the SKE task, while variability in signal size did. Implementation of appropriate internal noise components allowed the fit of model observers to human performance.

Imatinib plasma concentrations variability in oncologic patients

Imatinib (Glivec®) has transformed the treatment and short-term prognosis of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) and gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST). However, the treatment must be taken indefinitely, it is not devoid of inconvenience and toxicity. Moreover, resistance or escape from disease control occurs in a significant number of patients. Imatinib is a substrate of the cytochromes P450 CYP3A4/5 and of the multidrug transporter P-glycoprotein (product of the MDR1 gene). Considering the large inter-individual differences in the expression and function of those systems, the disposition and clinical activity of imatinib can be expected to vary widely among patients, calling for dosage individualization. The aim of this exploratory study was to determine the average pharmacokinetic parameters characterizing the disposition of imatinib in the target population, to assess their inter-individual variability, and to identify influential factors affecting them. A total of 321 plasma concentrations, taken at various sampling times after the latest dose, were measured in 59 patients receiving Glivec at diverse regimens, using a validated HPLC-UV method developed for this study. The results were analyzed by non-linear mixed effect modeling (NONMEM). A one-compartment model with first-order absorption appeared appropriate to describe the data, with an average apparent clearance of 12.4 l/h, a distribution volume of 268 l and an absorption constant of 0.47 h-1. The clearance was affected by body weight, age and sex. No influences of interacting drugs were found. DNA samples were used for pharmacogenetic explorations. At present, only the MDR1 polymorphism has been assessed and seems to affect the pharmacokinetic parameters of imatinib. Large inter-individual variability remained unexplained by the demographic covariates considered, both on clearance (40 %) and distribution volume (71 %). Together with intra-patient variability (34 %), this translates into an 8-fold width of the 90 %-prediction interval of plasma concentrations expected under a fixed dosing regimen. This is a strong argument to further investigate the possible usefulness of a therapeutic drug monitoring program for imatinib. It may help to individualize the dosing regimen before overt disease progression or observation of treatment toxicity, thus improving both the long-term therapeutic effectiveness and tolerability of this drug.

The role of Toll-like Receptor (TLR) 9 in the development of a T-helper (Th)1/Th2 response in the murine model of infection with " Leishmania major "

1.1 SUMMARY The role of the non-specific innate immune system is as important as the elaboration of the adaptive immune system in the initiation of an immune response to pathogens. The role of the Toll-like receptors (TLRs) in the innate immune response to virus and bacterial pathogens is widely recognised, however, little is known about the role of TLRs in host defence against eukaryotic pathogens. Immunologic investigations on the marine model of infection with Leishmania major (L. major) have correlated the outcome of the disease with expansion of different subsets of CD4+ cells, designated Th1 and Th2. The resistance of C57BL/6, CBA and C3H/He mice is linked with an IL-12 driven Th1 response. In BALB/c mice the susceptibility correlates with an IL-4 driven Th2 response. The initial event promoting the development of a Th1 or Th2 response still remains elusive. Recently, the contribution of the TLR signalling pathway in the innate and acquired immune response to infection with the intracellular protozoan parasite L. major has been demonstrated. Thus, the purpose of this study is to determine whether TLRs may play a role in influencing the outcome of the infection by directing the development of a Th1 or a Th2 response during infection with L, major parasites, in resistant C57BL/6 and susceptible BALB/c mice, respectively. We demonstrated that MyD88, the major TLR adaptor molecule is necessary for C57BL/6 to develop a resistant Th1 response following L. major infection. Our data show the essential role of MyD88 in the establishment of a protective Th1 response. We subsequently aimed to determine which TLRs may be involved in the protective response. Since TLR2 and TLR4 have shown to have a potential role for Leishmania recognition, we analysed the course of infection in TLR2 and TLR4 deficient mice on a C57BL/6 resistant background following L. major infection. Our results clearly demonstrate that TLR2 or TLR4 aze dispensable to control the outcome of the disease as the TLR2 and TLR4 knockout mice developed a protective Th1 response. With the aim of determining a potential TLR candidate important in the initiation of the Thl response, we assessed the mRNA expression of different TLRs (TLR1 to TLR9) using quantitative real-time RT-PCR at different time points during the first week of infection. The results clearly showed an upregulation of TLR7 and TLR9 mRNA expression during the early phase of infection in resistant C57BL/6 mice but not in susceptible BALB/c mice. To provide in vivo evidence for the role for, these TLRs in the outcome of cutaneous leishmaniasis, studies using TLR7 and TLR9 deficient mice on a resistant C57BL/6 background were performed. The TLR7 deficient mice developed a resistance phenotype that was comparable with C57BL/6 wild type mice. Thus, the presence of TLR7 is not indispensable for the development of a Th1 response and resistance to infection. On the contrary, TLR9 deficient mice on the C57BL/6 resistant background showed high variability in the outcome of the disease. Although some mice behave as resistant C57BL/6 mice, half of them developed high lesion following infection and showed a decrease in IFN-γ production and an increase in IL-4 as compared to wild type mice. These results suggest that TLR9 may be involved in the control of infection. To test the hypothesis that regulatory T cells (Treg) are playing a role in the high variability in the disease outcome in TLR9 deficient mice, depletion of CD4+CD25+ T cells with a specific antibody three days before infection with L. major were performed Interestingly, these treated mice developed large lesions, low IL-4 and decreased IFN-γ producion when compared to untreated mice. A better understanding of the mechanism by which Treg cells influence the outcome of the disease in TLR9 deficient mice following L. major infection is currently under investigation. Altogether, this study demonstrates the importance of TLR9 in the induction of a protective T'h1 response, a process that is involved in the resolution of the lesion induced by L. major infection. 1.2 RÉSUMÉ Le rôle de la réponse immunitaire innée a longtemps été négligé quant à l'impact qu'elle pourrait avoir dans l'initiation d'une réponse immune adaptative efficace dirigée contre un pathogène. Si l'importance des récepteurs Toll-like (TLR) du système inné dans la reconnaissance des virus et bactéries a été démontrée, son rôle dans la défense contre les pathogènes eucaryotes reste encore très élusif. Récemment, il a été montré que les voies de signalisation provenant de l'activation des TLRs pouvaient initier la réponse immunitaire innée et adaptative après une infection avec le parasite protozoaire Leishmania major (L. major). Dans un modèle marin d'infection avec L. major alors que la plupart des souches de souris telles que C57BL/6 sont résistantes à l'infection et développent une réponse immunitaire de type T helper 1 (Th1) induite par IL-12, peu de souches dont les BALB/c sont sensibles et développent une réponse Th2 induite par IL-4. La différentiation Th1/Th2 est un événement qui prend place de manière définitive lors de la première semaine après infection. Les événements précoces promouvant le développement d'une réponse Th1 ou Th2 n'étant pas connus, l'objectif de ce travail a été de démontrer un rôle des TLRs dans l'initiation d'une réponse immune innée et adaptative suite à l'infection par L. major. Nous avons démontré que MyD88, une molécule importante dans le processus de signalisation des TLRs, est nécessaire pour que les souris résistantes C57BL/6 développent une réponse Th1 protectrice. L'importance du rôle de TLR2 et TLR4 dans la reconnaissance du parasite Leishmania ayant été démontrée, nous avons privilégié l'analyse de la réponse immunitaire suite à une infection in vivo de souris déficiente en TLR2 ou TLR4 sur un fond génétique résistant. Les résultats obtenus montrent que la présence de ces récepteurs n'est pas indispensable pour le contrôle de l'infection et la polarisation d'une réponse Th1 caractéristique de la résistance à L. major. Cependant d'autres TLRs peuvent aussi activer la voie de signalisation MyD88 dépendante. L'expression de l'ARNm des différents TLRs dans les ganglions drainant de souris sensibles et résistantes pendant la première semaine d'infection a été déterminée par PCR quantitative en temps réel. Les résultats obtenus montrent que l'ARNm de TLR7 et TLR9 était régulé positivement suite à l'infection par L. major chez les souris résistantes C57BL/6 alors qu'aucune modulation n'était détectable chez les souris sensibles BALB/c. Le rôle des récepteurs TLR7 et TLR9 a donc été évalué par l'infection par L. major des souris déficientes en TLR7 et TLR9 sur fond génétique C57BL/6. Nos résultats ont clairement démontré que les souris déficientes en TLR7 montrent une réponse immunitaire identique à celle des souris résistantes C57BL/6, signifiant que TLR7 n'est pas indispensable au développement d'une Th1 ainsi qu'au contrôle de la parasitémie. Paz contre, les souris déficientes en TLR9 sur un fond génétique résistant ont montré une grande variabilité dans la réponse à l'infection. En effet, la moitié des souris deviennent sensibles à l'infection, ceci étant associé à une diminution dans la production d'IFN-γ et à une augmentation de la production d'IL-4. Ces résultats suggèrent que TLR9 est impliqué dans le contrôle de la lésion et de la réponse immunitaire suite à l'infection avec L. major. Cependant les résultats avec les souris déficientes en TLR9 montrant une grande hétérogénéité et une balance Th1/Th2 instable, nous avons émis l'hypothèse que les cellules T régulatrices pouvaient être impliquées dans ce phénomène. Nous avons effectivement constaté qu'après déplétion des cellules CD4+CD25+, les souris déficientes en TLR9 développent des lésions aussi grandes que les souris BALB/c après infection par L. major. Cependant le nombre de parasites reste le même que chez les souris C57BL/6. De plus la production d'IL-4 ainsi que celle d'IFN-γ reste extrêment bas. Les mécanismes régulateurs impliqués dans ce processus sont en cours d'analyse. Ce travail met en évidence l'importance du TLR9 dans le développement d'une réponse Th1 lors d'une infection avec L. major, un processus nécessaire pour la résistance à l'infection. 1.3 RESUME POUR UN LARGE PUBLIC La leishmaniose est une maladie parasitaire répandue dans le monde entier et touchant plus de 88 pays. L'incidence mondiale de la leishmaniose cutanée et de 1 à 1,5 million de nouveaux cas par année. Plus de 12 millions de personnes sont affectées par la maladie et 350 millions de personnes sont une population à risque. Un modèle marin d'infection avec Leishmania major (L. major) a été établi qui reproduit plusieurs tableaux cliniques observés dans le cas de la leishmaniose cutanée chez l'homme. L'analyse de la réponse immunitaire dans les souris infectées par L. major a permis de distinguer deux groupes : les souris de la plupart des souches telles que C57BL/6 sont résistantes à l'infection et développent une réponse immunitaire de type T helper 1 (Th1), alors que quelques souches dont les BALB/c sont sensibles et développent une réponse de type Th2. La réponse immune adaptative dans le modèle d'infection avec L. major à été largement étudiée. Cependant, les événements précoces déterminants pour le développement d'une réponse Th1 ou Th2 restent encore très flous. Récemment, plusieurs publications ont montré que les récepteurs Toll-like (TLR) peuvent contribuer à l'initiation de la réponse immunitaire lors d'une infection avec le parasite intracellulaire L. major. Dans ce travail de thèse, nous avons étudié le rôle de MyD88, une molécule importante dans le processus de signalisation des TLRs, dans la réponse immune suite à une infection avec L. major. En l'absence de MyD88, les souris normalement résistantes à l'infection avec L. major deviennent sensibles et développent des lésions importantes. Ces souris ne sont plus capables de développer une réponse Thl, normalement caractéristique de leur phénotype résistant. Nous avons ensuite tenté de comprendre quels TLRs, plus précisément, pouvait être impliqué dans ce processus. Malgré quelques évidences démontrant que TLR2 et TLR4 pouvaient avoir un rôle important dans l'initiation d'une réponse immunitaire adaptative à Leishmania, nous avons montré que, in vivo après infection avec L. major, la déficience d'un de ces récepteurs n'était pas suffisante à faire basculer la réponse immunitaire. Les souris C57BL/6 déficient en TLR2 ou TLR4 peuvent parfaitement contrôler l'évolution de la maladie. De plus, ces souris, malgré l'absence de TLR2 ou TLR4, sont capables de monter une parfaite réponse Thl. Etant donné que TLR2 et TLR4 n'étaient pas essentiels pour la résistance à la maladie, nous avons analysé les TLRs, parmi les 12 décrits qui pouvaient être indispensables au développement d'une réponse de type Th1 associée à la résistance à l'infection par Leishmania. Nos expériences ont montré que l'expression de l'ARN messager (ARNm) de TLR7 et TLR9 était modulée suite à l'infection par L. major chez la souris résistante C57BL/6 alors qu'aucune modulation n'était visible chez les souris sensible BALB/c. Pensant que ces TLRs pourraient jouer un rôle dans la réponse immunitaire au parasite, nous avons étudié l'évolution de l'infection dans les souris déficientes en TLR7 et TLR9. Nos résultats ont clairement démontré que TLR7 n'était pas indispensable à la résistance au parasite alors que l'absence de TLR9 avait des conséquences radicales sur le contrôle de la lésion et de la réponse immunitaire suite à l'infection avec L. major. Ce travail révèle ainsi l'importance du TLR9 dans le développement d'une réponse Th1 lors d'une infection avec L. major, un processus nécessaire pour la résistance à l'infection. Il est a noté que nos résultats sont en accord avec le fait que les motifs CpG, qui sont des immunostimulateurs interagissant avec le TLR9, ont une activité adjuvante importante dans la préparation de vaccins contre la leishmaniose. Une meilleure compréhension des mécanismes immunologiques impliquant le TLR9 dans la reconnaissance du parasite est alors indispensable pour le développement de vaccins thérapeutiques efficaces.

Flow-R, a model for susceptibility mapping of debris flows and other gravitational hazards at a regional scale

The development of susceptibility maps for debris flows is of primary importance due to population pressure in hazardous zones. However, hazard assessment by processbased modelling at a regional scale is difficult due to the complex nature of the phenomenon, the variability of local controlling factors, and the uncertainty in modelling parameters. A regional assessment must consider a simplified approach that is not highly parameter dependant and that can provide zonation with minimum data requirements. A distributed empirical model has thus been developed for regional susceptibility assessments using essentially a digital elevation model (DEM). The model is called Flow-R for Flow path assessment of gravitational hazards at a Regional scale (available free of charge under www.flow-r.org) and has been successfully applied to different case studies in various countries with variable data quality. It provides a substantial basis for a preliminary susceptibility assessment at a regional scale. The model was also found relevant to assess other natural hazards such as rockfall, snow avalanches and floods. The model allows for automatic source area delineation, given user criteria, and for the assessment of the propagation extent based on various spreading algorithms and simple frictional laws.We developed a new spreading algorithm, an improved version of Holmgren's direction algorithm, that is less sensitive to small variations of the DEM and that is avoiding over-channelization, and so produces more realistic extents. The choices of the datasets and the algorithms are open to the user, which makes it compliant for various applications and dataset availability. Amongst the possible datasets, the DEM is the only one that is really needed for both the source area delineation and the propagation assessment; its quality is of major importance for the results accuracy. We consider a 10m DEM resolution as a good compromise between processing time and quality of results. However, valuable results have still been obtained on the basis of lower quality DEMs with 25m resolution.

U.S. Farm Policy and the Variability of Commodity Prices and Farm Revenues, February 2000

A dynamic, three-commodity rational-expectations storage model is used to compare the impact of the Federal Agricultural Improvement and Reform (FAIR) Act of 1996 with a freemarket policy and with the agricultural policies that preceded the FAIR Act. Results support the hypothesis that the changes made when FAIR was enacted did not lead to permanent significant increases in the volatility of farm prices or revenues. An important finding is that the main economic impacts of the Pre-FAIR scenario, relative to the free-market regime were to transfer income to farmers and to substitute government storage for private storage in a way that did little to support prices or to stabilize farm incomes.

The variability of peridotite composition across a mantle shear zone (Lanzo massif, Italy): interplay of melt focusing and deformation

In this paper we present new data on the spatial variability of peridotite composition across a kilometer-scale mantle shear zone within the Lanzo massif (Western Alps, Italy). The shear zone separates the central from the northern part of the massif. Plagioclase peridotite shows gradually increasing deformation towards the shear zone, from porphyroclastic to mylonitic textures in the central body, while the northern body is composed of porphyroclastic rocks. The peridotite displays a large range of compositions, from fertile peridotite to refractory harzburgite and dunite. Deformed peridotites (proto-mylonite and mylonites) tend to be compositionally more homogeneous and fertile than weakly deformed peridotites. The composition of most plagioclase peridotites show rather high and constant (Ce/Yb) (N) ratios, and Yb (N) that cannot be explained by any simple melting model. Instead, refertilization modeling, consisting of melt increments from spinel peridotite sources, particularly with E-MORB melt, reasonably reproduces the plagioclase peridotite whole rock composition. Combined with constraints from Ce-Nb and Ce-Th systematics, we speculate that peridotites such as those from Lanzo record pervasive refertilization processes in the thermal boundary layer. In this scenario, mantle shear zones might act as important areas of melt focusing in the upper mantle that separates the thermal boundary layer from the conductively cooled mantle.

Clinical consequences of imatinib plasma concentrations variability in hemato-oncologic patients

Background: Imatinib has revolutionized the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) and gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). Considering the large inter-individual differences in the function of the systems involved in its disposition, exposure to imatinib can be expected to vary widely among patients. This observational study aimed at describing imatinib pharmacokinetic variability and its relationship with various biological covariates, especially plasma alpha1-acid glycoprotein (AGP), and at exploring the concentration-response relationship in patients. Methods: A population pharmacokinetic model (NONMEM) including 321 plasma samples from 59 patients was built up and used to derive individual post-hoc Bayesian estimates of drug exposure (AUC; area under curve). Associations between AUC and therapeutic response or tolerability were explored by ordered logistic regression. Influence of the target genotype (i.e. KIT mutation profile) on response was also assessed in GIST patients. Results: A one-compartment model with first-order absorption appropriately described the data, with an average oral clearance of 14.3 L/h (CL) and volume of distribution of 347 L (Vd). A large inter-individual variability remained unexplained, both on CL (36%) and Vd (63%), but AGP levels proved to have a marked impact on total imatinib disposition. Moreover, both total and free AUC correlated with the occurrence and number of side effects (e.g. OR 2.9±0.6 for a 2-fold free AUC increase; p<0.001). Furthermore, in GIST patients, higher free AUC predicted a higher probability of therapeutic response (OR 1.9±0.5; p<0.05), notably in patients with tumor harboring an exon 9 mutation or wild-type KIT, known to decrease tumor sensitivity towards imatinib. Conclusion: The large pharmacokinetic variability, associated to the pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic relationship uncovered are arguments to further investigate the usefulness of individualizing imatinib prescription based on TDM. For this type of drug, it should ideally take into consideration either circulating AGP concentrations or free drug levels, as well as KIT genotype for GIST.

Intraocular penetration of penciclovir after oral administration of famciclovir: a population pharmacokinetic model.

OBJECTIVES: We developed a population model that describes the ocular penetration and pharmacokinetics of penciclovir in human aqueous humour and plasma after oral administration of famciclovir. METHODS: Fifty-three patients undergoing cataract surgery received a single oral dose of 500 mg of famciclovir prior to surgery. Concentrations of penciclovir in both plasma and aqueous humour were measured by HPLC with fluorescence detection. Concentrations in plasma and aqueous humour were fitted using a two-compartment model (NONMEM software). Inter-individual and intra-individual variabilities were quantified and the influence of demographics and physiopathological and environmental variables on penciclovir pharmacokinetics was explored. RESULTS: Drug concentrations were fitted using a two-compartment, open model with first-order transfer rates between plasma and aqueous humour compartments. Among tested covariates, creatinine clearance, co-intake of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and body weight significantly influenced penciclovir pharmacokinetics. Plasma clearance was 22.8 ± 9.1 L/h and clearance from the aqueous humour was 8.2 × 10(-5) L/h. AUCs were 25.4 ± 10.2 and 6.6 ± 1.8 μg · h/mL in plasma and aqueous humour, respectively, yielding a penetration ratio of 0.28 ± 0.06. Simulated concentrations in the aqueous humour after administration of 500 mg of famciclovir three times daily were in the range of values required for 50% growth inhibition of non-resistant strains of the herpes zoster virus family. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma and aqueous penciclovir concentrations showed significant variability that could only be partially explained by renal function, body weight and comedication. Concentrations in the aqueous humour were much lower than in plasma, suggesting that factors in the blood-aqueous humour barrier might prevent its ocular penetration or that redistribution occurs in other ocular compartments.

Natural variability of in vitro adherence to fibrinogen and fibronectin does not correlate with in vivo infectivity of Staphylococcus aureus.

Adherence to fibrinogen and fibronectin plays a crucial role in Staphylococcus aureus experimental endocarditis. Previous genetic studies have shown that infection and carriage isolates do not systematically differ in their virulence-related genes, including genes conferring adherence, such as clfA and fnbA. We set out to determine the range of adherence phenotypes in carriage isolates of S. aureus, to compare the adherence of these isolates to the adherence of infection isolates, and to determine the relationship between adherence and infectivity in a rat model of experimental endocarditis. A total of 133 healthy carriage isolates were screened for in vitro adherence to fibrinogen and fibronectin, and 30 isolates were randomly chosen for further investigation. These 30 isolates were compared to 30 infective endocarditis isolates and 30 blood culture isolates. The infectivities of the carriage isolates, which displayed either extremely low or high adherence to fibrinogen and fibronectin, were tested using a rat model of experimental endocarditis. The levels of adherence to both fibrinogen and fibronectin were very similar for isolates from healthy carriers and members of the two groups of infection isolates. All three groups of isolates showed a wide range of adherence to fibrinogen and fibronectin. Moreover, the carriage isolates that showed minimal adherence and the carriage isolates that showed strong adherence had the same infectivity in experimental endocarditis. Adherence was proven to be important for pathogenesis in experimental endocarditis, but even the least adherent carriage strains had the ability to induce infection. We discuss the roles of differential gene expression, human host factors, and gene redundancy in resolving this apparent paradox.

Shrews in suburbia: an application of Goodman's extinction model

An equation is applied for calculating the expected persistence time of an unstructured population of the white-toothed shrew Crocidura russula from Preverenges, a suburban area in western Switzerland. Population abundance data from March and November between 1977 and 1988 were fit to the logistic density dependence model to estimate mean population growth rate as a function of population density. The variance in mean growth rate was approximated with two different models. The largest estimated persistence time was less than a few decades, the smallest less than 10 years. The results are sensitive to the magnitude of variance in population growth rate. Deviations from the logistic density dependence model in November are quite well explained by weather variables but those in March are uncorrelated with weather variables. Variability in population growth rates measured in winter months may be better explained by behavioural mechanisms. Environmental variability, dispersal of juveniles and refugia within the range of the population may contribute to its long-term survival.

VARIABILITY OF PHENOTYPIC, PROTEOMIC AND TRANSCRIPTOMIC EXPRESSION OF STAPHYLOCOCCUS AUREUS SURFACE ADHESINS

Staphylococcus aureus is a highly successful pathogen responsible of a wide variety of diseases, from minor skin infection to life-threatening sepsis or infective endocarditis, as well as food poisoning and toxic shock syndrome. This heterogeneity of infections and the ability of S. aureus to develop antibiotic-resistance to virtually any available drugs reflect its extraordinary capacity to adapt and survive in a great variety of environments. The pathogenesis of S. aureus infection involves a wide range of cell wall-associated adhesins and extracellular toxins that promote host colonization and invasion. In addition, S. aureus is extremely well equipped with regulatory systems that sense environmental conditions and respond by fine tuning the expression of metabolic and virulence determinants. Surface adhesins referred to MSCRAMMs - for Microbial Surface Component Recognizing Adherence Matrix Molecules - mediate binding to the host extracellular matrix or serum components, including fibrinogen, fibronectin, collagen and elastin, and promote tissue colonization and invasion. Major MSCRAMMs include a family of surface-attached proteins covalently bound to the cell wall peptidoglycan via a conserved LPXTG motif. Genomic analyses indicate that S. aureus contain up to 22 LPXTG surface proteins, which could potentially act individually or in synergy to promote infection. In the first part of this study we determined the range of adherence phenotypes to fibrinogen and fibronectin among 30 carriage isolates of S. aureus and compared it to the adherence phenotypes of 30 infective endocarditis and 30 blood culture isolates. Overall there were great variations in in vitro adherence, but no differences were observed between carriage and infection strains. We further determined the relation between in vitro adherence and in vivo infectivity in a rat model of experimental endocarditis, using 4 isolates that displayed either extremely low or high adherence phenotypes. Unexpectedly, no differences were observed between the in vivo infectivity of isolates that were poorly and highly adherent in vitro. We concluded that the natural variability of in vitro adherence to fibrinogen and fibronectin did not correlate with in vivo infectivity, and thus that pathogenic differences between various strains might only be expressed in in vivo conditions, but not in vitro. Therefore, considering the importance of adhesins expression for infection, direct measurement of those adhesins present on the bacterial surface were made by proteomic approach. 5 In the second series of experiments we assessed the physical presence of the LPXTG species at the staphylococcal surface, as measured at various time points during growth in different culture media. S. aureus Newman was grown in either tryptic soy broth (TSB) or in Roswell Park Memorial Institute (RPMI) culture medium, and samples were removed from early exponential growth phase to late stationary phase. Experiments were performed with mutants in the global accessory-gene regulator (agr), surface protein A (Spa) and clumping factor A (ClfA). Peptides of surface proteins were recovered by "trypsin-shaving" of live bacteria, and semi-quantitative proteomic analysis was performed by tandem liquid-chromatography and mass-spectrometry (LC-MS). We also determined in parallel the mRNA expression by microarrays analysis, as well as the phenotypic adherence of the bacteria to fibrinogen in vitro. The surface proteome was highly complex and contained numerous proteins theoretically not belonging to the bacterial envelope, including ribosomal proteins and metabolic enzymes. Sixteen of the 21 known LPXTG species were detected, but were differentially expressed. As expected, 9 known agr-regulated proteins (e.g. including Spa, FnBPA, ClfA, IsdA, IsdB, SasH, SasD, SasG and FmtB) increased up to the late exponential growth phase, and were abrogated in agr-negative mutants. However, only Spa and SasH modified their proteomic and mRNA profiles in parallel in the parent and its agr negative mutant, while all other LPXTG proteins modified their proteomic profiles independently of their mRNA. Moreover, ClfA became highly transcribed and active in in vitro fibrinogen adherence tests during late growth (24h), whereas it remained poorly detected by proteomics. Differential expression was also detected in iron-rich TSB versus iron-poor RPMI. Proteins from the iron-regulated surface determinant (isd) system, including IsdA, IsdB and IsdH were barely expressed in iron-rich TSB, whereas they increased their expression by >10 time in iron-poor RPMI. We conclude that semi-quantitative proteomic analysis of specific protein species is feasible in S. aureus and that proteomic, transcriptomic and adherence phenotypes demonstrated differential profiles in S. aureus. Furthermore, peptide signatures released by trypsin shaving suggested differential protein domain exposures in various environments, which might be relevant for antiadhesins vaccines. A comprehensive understanding of the S. aureus physiology should integrate all these approaches.

A finite-population revenue management model and a risk-ratio procedure for the joint estimation of population size and parameters

Many dynamic revenue management models divide the sale period into a finite number of periods T and assume, invoking a fine-enough grid of time, that each period sees at most one booking request. These Poisson-type assumptions restrict the variability of the demand in the model, but researchers and practitioners were willing to overlook this for the benefit of tractability of the models. In this paper, we criticize this model from another angle. Estimating the discrete finite-period model poses problems of indeterminacy and non-robustness: Arbitrarily fixing T leads to arbitrary control values and on the other hand estimating T from data adds an additional layer of indeterminacy. To counter this, we first propose an alternate finite-population model that avoids this problem of fixing T and allows a wider range of demand distributions, while retaining the useful marginal-value properties of the finite-period model. The finite-population model still requires jointly estimating market size and the parameters of the customer purchase model without observing no-purchases. Estimation of market-size when no-purchases are unobservable has rarely been attempted in the marketing or revenue management literature. Indeed, we point out that it is akin to the classical statistical problem of estimating the parameters of a binomial distribution with unknown population size and success probability, and hence likely to be challenging. However, when the purchase probabilities are given by a functional form such as a multinomial-logit model, we propose an estimation heuristic that exploits the specification of the functional form, the variety of the offer sets in a typical RM setting, and qualitative knowledge of arrival rates. Finally we perform simulations to show that the estimator is very promising in obtaining unbiased estimates of population size and the model parameters.

Variability of a peripheral dose among various linac geometries for second cancer risk assessment.

Second cancer risk assessment for radiotherapy is controversial due to the large uncertainties of the dose-response relationship. This could be improved by a better assessment of the peripheral doses to healthy organs in future epidemiological studies. In this framework, we developed a simple Monte Carlo (MC) model of the Siemens Primus 6 MV linac for both open and wedged fields that we then validated with dose profiles measured in a water tank up to 30 cm from the central axis. The differences between the measured and calculated doses were comparable to other more complex MC models and never exceeded 50%. We then compared our simple MC model with the peripheral dose profiles of five different linacs with different collimation systems. We found that the peripheral dose between two linacs could differ up to a factor of 9 for small fields (5 × 5 cm(2)) and up to a factor of 10 for wedged fields. Considering that an uncertainty of 50% in dose estimation could be acceptable in the context of risk assessment, the MC model can be used as a generic model for large open fields (≥10 × 10 cm(2)) only. The uncertainties in peripheral doses should be considered in future epidemiological studies when designing the width of the dose bins to stratify the risk as a function of the dose.

Leptonic secondary emission in a hadronic microquasar model

Context.It has been proposed that the origin of the very high-energy photons emitted from high-mass X-ray binaries with jet-like features, so-called microquasars (MQs), is related to hadronic interactions between relativistic protons in the jet and cold protons of the stellar wind. Leptonic secondary emission should be calculated in a complete hadronic model that includes the effects of pairs from charged pion decays inside the jets and the emission from pairs generated by gamma-ray absorption in the photosphere of the system. Aims.We aim at predicting the broadband spectrum from a general hadronic microquasar model, taking into account the emission from secondaries created by charged pion decay inside the jet. Methods.The particle energy distribution for secondary leptons injected along the jets is consistently derived taking the energy losses into account. The spectral energy distribution resulting from these leptons is calculated after assuming different values of the magnetic field inside the jets. We also compute the spectrum of the gamma-rays produced by neutral pion-decay and processed by electromagnetic cascades under the stellar photon field. Results.We show that the secondary emission can dominate the spectral energy distribution at low energies (~1 MeV). At high energies, the production spectrum can be significantly distorted by the effect of electromagnetic cascades. These effects are phase-dependent, and some variability modulated by the orbital period is predicted.

Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic analysis of efavirenz dose reduction using an in vitro-in vivo extrapolation model.

The pharmacokinetics (PK) of efavirenz (EFV) is characterized by marked interpatient variability that correlates with its pharmacodynamics (PD). In vitro-in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) is a "bottom-up" approach that combines drug data with system information to predict PK and PD. The aim of this study was to simulate EFV PK and PD after dose reductions. At the standard dose, the simulated probability was 80% for viral suppression and 28% for central nervous system (CNS) toxicity. After a dose reduction to 400 mg, the probabilities of viral suppression were reduced to 69, 75, and 82%, and those of CNS toxicity were 21, 24, and 29% for the 516 GG, 516 GT, and 516 TT genotypes, respectively. With reduction of the dose to 200 mg, the probabilities of viral suppression decreased to 54, 62, and 72% and those of CNS toxicity decreased to 13, 18, and 20% for the 516 GG, 516 GT, and 516 TT genotypes, respectively. These findings indicate how dose reductions might be applied in patients with favorable genetic characteristics.