Socio-economic vulnerability to natural disasters in Mexico: rural poor, trade and public response

Includes bibliography

Socio-economic impacts of natural disasters: a gender analysis

Includes bibliography

Supply chain risk management: An exploratory research in Brazilian aerospace industry

This paper aimed to analyse supply chain risk factors in aerospace industry. It was conducted an exploratory research at an important Brazilian aerospace company. This company has a major role at the global aerospace industry. Senior managers assessed risk factors such as quality, productivity, supply chain, business strategy, organisation, environmental and natural political, indicators, product management, and information system. Analytic hierarchy process was applied to prioritise these factors. The most relevant were quality and productivity. Copyright © 2011 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.

Information on disaster risk management: case study of five countries: Jamaica

Incluye Bibliografía

Disaster risk reduction in the education sector among selected Caribbean small island developing states

Caribbean Small Island Developing States (SIDS), by their very nature, are vulnerable to external shocks. Research shows that the Caribbean subregion experienced 165 natural disasters between 1990 and 2008 and the total impact of natural disasters on the subregion was estimated at US$136 billion. The impact on the social sectors was estimated at US$57 billion, or 42% of the total effect. As small open economies, the Caribbean SIDS are also vulnerable to the vagaries of the international economic system and have experienced declines in tourism, merchandise exports receipts, remittances and capital flows throughout the financial crisis. The negative impact of natural hazards exacerbates the capacity of Caribbean SIDS to overcome the development challenges, such as those posed by the current global economic and financial crisis. Disaster risk reduction (DRR), therefore, is of critical concern to subregional governments and their people. For the purpose of this study, six Caribbean SIDS were selected for detailed analyses on the macro socio-economic impact of extreme events to the education sector. They are the Cayman Islands, Grenada, Guyana, Haiti, Jamaica, and Montserrat. This paper proposes that better integration of DRR in the education sector cannot be easily achieved if policymakers do not recognize the social nature of risk perception and acceptance in Caribbean SIDS, which necessitates that risk reduction be treated as a negotiated process which engages all stakeholders.

Identificação molecular de espécies do complexo Anopheles albitarsis (Diptera, Culicidae, Anophelinae), coletadas em dois municípios da Amazônia brasileira, com análise de suscetibilidade natural a plasmódios humanos

Anofelinos membros de complexos de espécies crípticas podem exibir diferenças comportamentais, de susceptibilidade a infecção malárica, e resistência a inseticidas. Assim, a identificação de espécies vetoras tem relevância epidemiológica, o que nem sempre é possível por critérios morfológicos. Métodos alternativos têm sido empregados para tal, como os que analisam regiões altamente conservadas do DNA ribossômico, variável entre as espécies, conhecidas como espaçadoras internas transcritas (ITS). Considera-se atualmente que o complexo Anopheles c seja composto por seis espécies: An. albitarsis s.s., An. oryzalimnetes, An. albitarsis F, An. marajoara, An. deaneorum, e An. janconnae. Destas, pelo menos as três últimas são incriminadas como vetores de malária na Amazônia brasileira. O objetivo deste estudo foi realizar identificação molecular de espécies do complexo An. albitarsis, por análise da seqüências do ITS2 do rDNA, com vistas a analisar sua importância na transmissão de malária nos municípios de Macapá, Amapá e Peixe-Boi, Pará, inclusive investigando pela primeira vez a ocorrência do An. albitarsis F nestas duas áreas epidemiologicamente distintas: a primeira com histórico de alto risco de transmissão de malária e a segunda não. O estudo foi realizado entre janeiro de 2009 e abril de 2010, e consistiu de capturas de anofelinos de 12 horas de duração (ecostofase) no peridomicílio. Todas as fêmeas coletadas foram morfologicamente identificadas e apenas os An. albitarsis s.l. tiveram cabeça e tórax separadas para análise da infecção natural por ELISA; ovários para análise de paridade e patas, asas e carcaça para identificação molecular. Em Macapá foram realizadas seis coletas, obtendo-se um total de 584 anofelinos, sendo 366 An. albitarsis s.l. (62,7%), 167 An. darlingi (28,6%), 33 An. triannulatus s.l (5,6%), 15 An. braziliensis (2,6%) e 3 An. nuneztovari (0,5%). Pela PCR foi possível visualizar a banda específica de An. marajoara em 320 espécimes dos An. albitarsis s.l testados. Do restante, 33 foram negativos e 13 amplificaram um fragmento de ~490 pb nos iniciadores empregados, não permitindo chegar ao diagnóstico específico. O An. marajoara apresentou características biológicas e comportamentais que ratificam sua importância epidemiológica na transmissão de malária em Macapá, tais como: ser a espécie mais prevalente, com maior proporção de fêmeas paridas (73,0%), e portanto com maiores chances de se infectarem com o plasmódio, ocorrer tanto na estação menos quanto na mais chuvosa, e apresentar atividade hematofágica durante toda a ecostofase, alem disso, foi encontrado naturalmente infectado por P. vivax e P. falciparum (taxa de infecção natural de 3,1%). Em Peixe-Boi, foram capturados 43 anofelinos: An. triannulatus s.l (20 espécimes, 46,5 %), An. albitarsis s.l. (13: 30,2 %), An. darlingi (8: 18,6%), e An. nuneztovari (2: 4,7%). Todos os An. albitarsis s.l. coletados foram identificados pela ITS2 como An. oryzalimnetes. Nenhum deles foi encontrado infectado pelos plasmódios testados, e a maioria das fêmeas era parida (84,6%). São necessários levantamentos entomológicos sistemáticos que analisem a importância deste anofelino na transmissão de malária na cidade. O An. albitarsis F não foi encontrado nas duas áreas estudadas. Nossos resultados contribuem para o entendimento da epidemiologia da malária na região Amazônica brasileira.

Inferences of body energy reserves on conception rate of suckled Zebu beef cows subjected to timed artificial insemination followed by natural mating

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Detecção de marcadores de resistência a múltiplas drogas na pele de cães com infecção natural por Leishmania (Leishmania) infantum chagasi (Cunha e Chagas, 1937) Shaw, 2002, submetidos a diferentes protocolos de tratamento

Pós-graduação em Medicina Veterinária - FCAV

O assoalhamento em Bokermannohyla alvarengai (Anura, Hylidae): história natural e adaptações morfo-fisiológicas

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Dermatobia hominis: potencial risk of resistance to macrocyclic lactones

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Vulnerabilidade natural e risco à contaminação do aquífero livre da área urbana de Rio Claro - SP

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Medicinal plants in pregnancy and lactation: perception of the health risk and practical educational group in Araraquara, São Paulo State, Brazil

The use of medicinal plants among pregnant women and lactating is a common practice in diverse countries. However, many medicinal plants are contraindicated during pregnancy and lactating, due to various adverse effects, such as teratogenic, embryotoxic and abortive effects, exposing these women, their fetus and babies to health unknown risks. Thus, the purpose of this commentary, was to analyze the perception about the use of medicinal plants by pregnant women and lactating registered in the "baby on board" NGO, Araraquara, São Paulo state, Brazil, between 2010 at 2013. The group was constituted by 48 women, between the first and last trimester of pregnancy or whilst breastfeeding. Information was collected during group meetings by oral interview, using a questionnaire, as script. The nature of the study was a qualitative analysis. The results were based on reports about the use of medicinal plants by pregnant women during group meetings: use, indication of use, knowledge about risks. All participants received written and oral information about the study and they gave a written informed consent. The use of medicinal plants is a reality among pregnant and lactating women of the "baby on board" NGO. They reported that they feel that "natural" products are not harmful for their health. The primary information sources for the majority of women about medicinal plants during pregnancy are family, neighbors and herbalists. The plants most cited (in popular name in Brazil) were: senna, chamomile, boldo, lemon balm, lemon grass. They were used mainly for: nausea, heartburn, indigestion, flatulence, intestinal and abdominal pain, anxiety, intestinal constipation and low milk production. The pregnant and lactating women lacked knowledge about the health risks of the use of medicinal plants and herbal medicines in pregnancy and lactation. They also reported difficulties in clarifying some questions about the use of medicinal plants with their doctors. The results of the present study showed that educative actions about the rational use of medicinal plants in pregnancy and breastfeeding could be part of the operating protocols to promote the maternal and child health programs in Araraquara. Thus, our results also suggest the importance of creating institutionalized places, to the implementation of continued education programs about rational use of medicinal plants in pregnancy and lactation. These targeted programs are not only for health professionals, but also for community members, pregnant women and breastfeeding. Our results pointed out the importance of guidance of doctors and healthcare professionals on the scientific studies about medicinal plants and herbal medicines and the risk/benefit of using herbs during pregnancy. Finally, it is noted the importance of the health professionals to inform women of childbearing on risks to their health, as well as on possibilities of utilization of herbs during fertile period, giving special attention to the potential risk of self-medication.

Longitudinal outcomes of high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) infections as competing-risks events following cervical HPV test at baseline visit in the *NIS-LAMS** cohort

Background: The complex natural history of human papillomavirus (HPV) infections following a single HPV test can be modeled as competing-risks events (i.e., no-, transient- or persistent infection) in a longitudinal setting. The covariates associated with these compet ng events have not been previously assessed using competing-risks regression models. Objectives: To gain further insights in the outcomes of cervical HPV infections, we used univariate- and multivariate competing-risks regression models to assess the covariaies associated with these competing events. Study Design and Methods: Covariates associated with three competing outcomes (no-, transient- or persistent HR-HPV infection) were analysed in a sub-cohort of 1,865 women prospectively followed-up in the NIS (n = 3,187) and LAMS Study (n = 12,114). Results: In multivariate competing-risks models (with two other outcomes as competing events), permanently HR-HPV negative outcome was significantly predicted only by the clearance of ASCUS+Pap during FU, while three independent covariates predicted transient HR-HPV infections: i) number of recent (< 12 months) sexual partners (risk increased), ii) previous Pap screening history (protective), and history of previous CIN (increased risk). The two most powerful predictors of persistent HR-HPV infections were persistent ASCUS+Pap (risk increased), and previous Pap screening history (protective). In pair-wise comparisons, number of recent sexual partners and previous CIN history increase the probability of transient HR-HPV infection against the HR-HPV negative competing event, while previous Pap screening history is protective. Persistent ASCUS+Pap during FU and no previous Pap screening history are significantly associated with the persistent HR-HPV outcome (compared both with i) always negative, and ii) transient events), whereas multiparity is protective. Conclusions: Different covariates are associated with the three main outcomes of cervical HPV infections. The most significant covariates of each competing events are probably distinct enough to enable constructing of a risk-profile for each main outcome.

Risk factors for magnetic resonance imaging-detected patellofemoral and tibiofemoral cartilage loss during a six-month period: The Joints On Glucosamine study

Objective To assess several baseline risk factors that may predict patellofemoral and tibiofemoral cartilage loss during a 6-month period. Methods For 177 subjects with chronic knee pain, 3T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of both knees was performed at baseline and followup. Knees were semiquantitatively assessed, evaluating cartilage morphology, subchondral bone marrow lesions, meniscal morphology/extrusion, synovitis, and effusion. Age, sex, and body mass index (BMI), bone marrow lesions, meniscal damage/extrusion, synovitis, effusion, and prevalent cartilage damage in the same subregion were evaluated as possible risk factors for cartilage loss. Logistic regression models were applied to predict cartilage loss. Models were adjusted for age, sex, treatment, and BMI. Results Seventy-nine subregions (1.6%) showed incident or worsening cartilage damage at followup. None of the demographic risk factors was predictive of future cartilage loss. Predictors of patellofemoral cartilage loss were effusion, with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 3.5 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.39.4), and prevalent cartilage damage in the same subregion with an adjusted OR of 4.3 (95% CI 1.314.1). Risk factors for tibiofemoral cartilage loss were baseline meniscal extrusion (adjusted OR 3.6 [95% CI 1.310.1]), prevalent bone marrow lesions (adjusted OR 4.7 [95% CI 1.119.5]), and prevalent cartilage damage (adjusted OR 15.3 [95% CI 4.947.4]). Conclusion Cartilage loss over 6 months is rare, but may be detected semiquantitatively by 3T MRI and is most commonly observed in knees with Kellgren/Lawrence grade 3. Predictors of patellofemoral cartilage loss were effusion and prevalent cartilage damage in the same subregion. Predictors of tibiofemoral cartilage loss were prevalent cartilage damage, bone marrow lesions, and meniscal extrusion.

Mapping of risk and susceptibility of shallow-landslide in the city of Sao Paulo, Brazil

In the city of Sao Paulo, where about 11 million people live, landslides and flooding occur frequently, especially during the summer. These landslides cause the destruction of houses and urban equipment, economic damage, and the loss of lives. The number of areas threatened by landslides has been increasing each year. The objective of this article is to analyze the probability of risk and susceptibility to shallow landslides in the Limoeiro River basin, which is located at the head of the Aricanduva River basin, one of the main hydrographic basins in the city of Sao Paulo. To map areas of risk, we created a cadastral survey form to evaluate landslide risk in the field. Risk was categorized into four levels based on natural and anthropogenic factors: R1 (low risk), R2 (average risk), R3 (high risk), and R4 (very high risk). To analyze susceptibility to shallow landslides, we used the SHALSTAB (Shallow Landsliding Stability) mathematical model and calculated the Distribution Frequency (DF) of the susceptibility classes for the entire basin. Finally, we performed a joint analysis of the average Risk Concentration (RC) and Risk Potential (RP). We mapped 14 risk sectors containing approximately 685 at-risk homes, more than half of which presented a high (R3) or very high (R4) probability of risk to the population. In the susceptibility map, 41% of the area was classified as stable and 20% as unconditionally unstable. Although the latter category accounted a smaller proportion of the total area, it contained a concentration (RC) of 41% of the mapped risk areas with a risk potential (RP) of 12%. We found that the locations of areas predicted to be unstable by the model coincided with the risk areas mapped in the field. This combination of methods can be applied to evaluate the risk of shallow landslides in densely populated areas and can assist public managers in defining areas that are unstable and inappropriate for occupation. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.