Welfare Maximizing Contest Success Functions when the Planner Cannot Commit

We analyze how a contest organizer chooses optimally the winner when the contestants' efforts are already exerted and commitment to the use of a given contest success function is not possible. We de…ne the notion of rationalizability in mixed-strategies to capture such a situation. Our approach allows to derive different contest success functions depending on the aims and attitudes of the decider. We derive contest success functions which are closely related to commonly used functions providing new support for them. By taking into account social welfare considerations our approach bridges the contest literature and the recent literature on political economy. Keywords: Endogenous Contests, Contest Success Function, Mixed-Strategies. JEL Classi…cation: C72 (Noncooperative Games), D72 (Economic Models of Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Elections), D74 (Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances)

Repeated Agenda Setting and the Unanimous Approval of Bad Policies

This paper addresses the puzzle of why legislation, even highly inefficient legislation, may pass with overwhelming majorities. We model a egislature in which the same agenda setter serves for two periods, showing how he can exploit a legislature (completely) in the first period by romising future benefits to legislators who support him. In equilibrium, large majority of legislators vote for the first-period proposal because a ote in favor maintains the chance for membership in the minimum winning coalition in the future. The model thus generates situations in which egislators approve policies by large majorities, or even unanimously, that enefit few, or even none, of them. The results are robust: some institutional arrangements, such as super-majority rules or sequential voting, imit but do not eliminate the agenda setter's power to exploit the legislature, and other institutions such as secret voting do not limit his power.

Competition for Procurement Shares

We propose a new procurement procedure which allocates shares of the total amount to be procured depending on the bids of suppliers. Among the properties of the mechanism are: (i) Bidders have an incentive to par- ticipate in the procurement procedure, as equilibrium payoffs are strictly positive. (ii) The mechanism allows to vary the extent to which affirma- tive action objectives, like promoting local industries, are pursued. (iii) Surprisingly, even accomplishing affirmative action goals, procurement ex- penditures might be lower than under a classical auction format. Keywords: Procurement Auction, Affirmative Action. JEL: C72, D44, H57

Inventari de CO2 a l’àrea de Barcelona com exemple d’emissions de gasos amb efecte hivernacle: càlcul de les emissions amb les eines de SIG i publicació dels resultats amb software lliure

El present document és la memòria descriptiva dels treballs realitzats per Matthias Wozel durant el projecte final del Màster en Tecnologies de la Informació Geogràfica, 12ª edició, durant el transcurs del conveni de col·labració entre el Departament de Geografia i AUMA Consultores en medio ambiente y energía SL. El projecte final consisteix, en primer lloc, en l’elaboració d’un inventari d’emissions de CO2 causades per la combustió i per processos industrials per a l’àrea de Barcelona per l’any 2008. L’inventari diferencia les emissions segons els tipus d’activitat: trànsit, port, aeroport, focus industrials, singulars i centrals elèctriques i focus domèstics i comercials. A la segona part del projecte es publiquen els resultats de l’inventari a una aplicació web amb software lliure

Evaluation of different POCT devices for glucose measurement in a clinical neonatal setting.

Hypoglycaemia is a major cause of neonatal morbidity and may induce long-term developmental sequelae. Clinical signs of hypoglycaemia in neonatal infants are unspecific or even absent, and therefore, precise and accurate methods for the assessment of glycaemia are needed. Glycaemia measurement in newborns has some particularities like a very low limit of normal glucose concentration compared to adults and a large range of normal haematocrit values. Many bedside point-of-care testing (POCT) systems are available, but literature about their accuracy in newborn infants is scarce and not very convincing. In this retrospective study, we identified over a 1-year study period 1,324 paired glycaemia results, one obtained at bedside with one of three different POCT systems (Elite? XL, Ascensia? Contour? and ABL 735) and the other in the central laboratory of the hospital with the hexokinase reference method. All three POCT systems tended to overestimate glycaemia values, and none of them fulfilled the ISO 15197 accuracy criteria. The Elite XL appeared to be more appropriate than Contour to detect hypoglycaemia, however with a low specificity. Contour additionally showed an important inaccuracy with increasing haematocrit. The bench analyzer ABL 735 was the most accurate of the three tested POCT systems. Both of the tested handheld glucometers have important drawbacks in their use as screening tools for hypoglycaemia in newborn infants. ABL 735 could be a valuable alternative, but the blood volume needed is more than 15 times higher than for handheld glucometers. Before daily use in the newborn population, careful clinical evaluation of each new POCT system for glucose measurement is of utmost importance.

Prisonnier de son petit studio...

Le suivi intensif dans le milieu (SIM) est une équipe de psychiatrie mobile pluridisciplinaire qui propose des soins au sein de la communauté. Après avoir décrit le modèle d'intervention, cet article illustre par un exemple clinique en quoi ce type de suivi facilite le processus de rétablissement de personnes considérées comme réfractaires aux soins.

Comparison of HIV-infected patients' characteristics, healthcare resources use and cost between native and migrant patients

OBJECTIVES: To assess whether patients' characteristics and healthcare resources consumption and costs were different between native and migrant populations in Switzerland. METHODS: All adult patients followed-up in the Swiss HIV-cohort study in our institution during 2000-2003 were considered. Patients' characteristics were retrieved from the cohort database. Hospital and outpatient resource use were extracted from individual charts and valued with 2002 tariffs. RESULTS: The 66 migrants were younger (29 +/- 8 years versus 37 +/- 11, p < 0.001), less often of male gender (38 % versus 70 %, p < 0.001), predominantly infected via heterosexual contact (87 % versus 52 %, p < 0.01), with lower mean CD4 level at enrollment (326 +/- 235 versus 437 +/- 305, p = 0.002) than their 200 native counterparts. Migrants had fewer hospitalizations, more frequent outpatient visits, laboratory tests, and lower total cost of care per year of follow-up (<euro> 2'215 +/- 4'206 versus 4'155 +/- 12'304, p = 0.037). Resource use and costs were significantly higher in people with < 200 CD4 cell counts in both groups. CONCLUSIONS: Migrant population had more advanced disease, more outpatient visits but less hospitalizations, resulting in lower costs of care when compared with native population.

Socioeconomic gradients in mortality in the oldest old: a review.

This review aims at identifying gaps in knowledge on socioeconomic gradients in mortality in the oldest old. The authors review literature on oldest old population with a focus on unanswered questions: do socioeconomic status (SES) gradients in mortality persist after 80; does the magnitude of the gradient change as compared with younger populations; which socioeconomic/socio-demographic determinants should be used in this population with specific characteristics (e.g., with respect to sex ratio and household type)? Results are often inconsistent while conclusions drawn by selected studies are generally limited by the difficulty of disentangling the effects of age and cohort, and of generalizing results observed in preponderantly small, selected samples (which typically exclude institutionalized persons). Future research should explore the effects of socio-demographic indicators other than education and social class (e.g., marital status, loss of the partner) and adequately differentiate the social position of oldest old women. The authors recommend that research applies a life-course perspective combined with an interdisciplinary perspective to improve our understanding of the SES gradients in later life. Research is needed to elucidate which causal pathways depending on SES in younger age impact on mortality in higher ages up to oldest old.

Treatment of chronic hepatitis c in 3 patients with hcv-induced severe thrombocytopenia

BACKGROUND: Thrombocytopenia has been described in HCV infection even in the absence of cirrhosis and splenomegaly. Different mechanisms have been proposed, including immunemediated platelet (plt) destruction. Here, we report on the treatment of 3 patients with HCV-HIV coinfection and HCVinduced severe thrombocytopenia. PATIENTS AND TREATMENT: All patients had an infection with HCV genotype 3, an intermediate fibrosis stage (Metavir F2 or F3), HIV infection controlled by antiretroviral combination therapy, and severe, steroid-refractory thrombocytopenia. Pegylated interferon-α2a (PEG-IFN-α2a) was started at 45 or 90 μg per week and doses were rapidly increased in the following, while ribavirin (RBV) was prescribed at standard doses. Treatment was pursued for 48 weeks. Two patients received intravenous immunoglobulins (IVIG) during the first weeks of PEG-IFN-α2a and RBV combination therapy. RESULTS: A significant increase in plt counts (from 17, 39 and 37 G/l, respectively, to > 100 G/l) was observed in the 3 patients while they experienced a virological response. Thrombocytopenia relapsed in one patient together with a relapse of chronic hepatitis C. The other 2 patients achieved a sustained virological response (SVR), with normal plt counts at follow-up in one and persistent mild thrombocytopenia in the other. CONCLUSIONS: Carefully titrated PEG-IFN-α2a and RBV combination therapy may be performed safely in this difficult-totreat patient population, with close monitoring and eventually concomitant IVIG during the first weeks. SVR can lead to normalization or significant improvement of plt counts, suggesting a causative role of HCV in this condition.

Assessing patient's belief on HIV testing before elective surgery: room for improvements in Switzerland !

Background: ln Switzerland no HIV test is performed without the patient's consent based on a Voluntary Counseling and Testing policy (VCT). We hypothesized that a substantial proportion of patients going through an elective surgery falsely believed that an HIV test was performed on a routine basis and that the lack of transmission of result was interpreted as being HIV negative. Method: All patients with elective orthopedic surgery during 2007 were contacted by phone in 2008. A structured questionnaire assessed their belief about routine preoperative blood analysis (diabetes, coagulation function, HIV test and cholesterol level) as well as result awareness and interpretation. Variables included age and gender. Analysis were conducted using the software JMP 6.0.3. Results: 1123 patients were included. 130 (12 %) were excluded (Le. unreachable, unable to communicate on the phone, not operated). 993 completed the survey (89 %). Median age was 51 (16-79). 50 % were female. 376 (38 %) patients thought they had an HIV test performed before surgery but none of them had one. 298 (79 %) interpreted the absence of result as a negative HIV test. A predictive factor to believe an HIV test had been done was an age below 50 years old (45 % vs 33 % for 16-49 years old and 50-79 years old respectively, p < 0.001). No difference was observed between genders. Conclusion: ln Switzerland, nearly 40 % of the patients falsely thought an HIV test had been performed on a routine basis before surgery and were erroneously reassured about their HIV status. These results should either improve the information given to the patient regarding preoperative exams, or motivate public health policy to consider HIV opt-out screening instead of VCT strategy.