A Bayesian nonparametric model for Taguchi's on-line quality monitoring procedure for attributes

A Bayesian nonparametric model for Taguchi's on-line quality monitoring procedure for attributes is introduced. The proposed model may accommodate the original single shift setting to the more realistic situation of gradual quality deterioration and allows the incorporation of an expert's opinion on the production process. Based on the number of inspections to be carried out until a defective item is found, the Bayesian operation for the distribution function that represents the increasing sequence of defective fractions during a cycle considering a mixture of Dirichlet processes as prior distribution is performed. Bayes estimates for relevant quantities are also obtained. © 2012 Elsevier B.V.

Metodologia para análise e interpretação de alarmes em tempo real de sistemas de distribuição de energia elétrica

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Dynamical evolution and chronology of the Hygiea asteroid family

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

A new sampling strategy to reduce the effect of autocorrelation on a control chart

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Determining spatial resolution in spatial load forecasting using a grid-based model

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Concepções e corporeidades docentes na educação infantil

Pós-graduação em Educação Escolar - FCLAR

Statistical detection of spurious variations in daily raingauge data caused by changes in observation practices, as applied to records from various parts of the world

In the instrumental records of daily precipitation, we often encounter one or more periods in which values below some threshold were not registered. Such periods, besides lacking small values, also have a large number of dry days. Their cumulative distribution function is shifted to the right in relation to that for other portions of the record having more reliable observations. Such problems are examined in this work, based mostly on the two-sample Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) test, where the portion of the series with more number of dry days is compared with the portion with less number of dry days. Another relatively common problem in daily rainfall data is the prevalence of integers either throughout the period of record or in some part of it, likely resulting from truncation during data compilation prior to archiving or by coarse rounding of daily readings by observers. This problem is identified by simple calculation of the proportion of integers in the series, taking the expected proportion as 10%. The above two procedures were applied to the daily rainfall data sets from the European Climate Assessment (ECA), Southeast Asian Climate Assessment (SACA), and Brazilian Water Resources Agency (BRA). Taking the statistic D of the KS test >0.15 and the corresponding p-value <0.001 as the condition to classify a given series as suspicious, the proportions of the ECA, SACA, and BRA series falling into this category are, respectively, 34.5%, 54.3%, and 62.5%. With relation to coarse rounding problem, the proportions of series exceeding twice the 10% reference level are 3%, 60%, and 43% for the ECA, SACA, and BRA data sets, respectively. A simple way to visualize the two problems addressed here is by plotting the time series of daily rainfall for a limited range, for instance, 0–10 mm day−1.

A Bayesian nonparametric model for Taguchi's on-line quality monitoring procedure for attributes

A Bayesian nonparametric model for Taguchi's on-line quality monitoring procedure for attributes is introduced. The proposed model may accommodate the original single shift setting to the more realistic situation of gradual quality deterioration and allows the incorporation of an expert's opinion on the production process. Based on the number of inspections to be carried out until a defective item is found, the Bayesian operation for the distribution function that represents the increasing sequence of defective fractions during a cycle considering a mixture of Dirichlet processes as prior distribution is performed. Bayes estimates for relevant quantities are also obtained. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Modeling the Potential Geographic Distribution of Black Pepper (Piper nigrum) in Asia Using GIS Tools

Known as the "king of spices", black pepper (Piper nigrum), a perennial crop of the tropics, is economically the most important and the most widely used spice crop in the world. To understand its suitable bioclimatic distribution, maximum entropy based on ecological niche modeling was used to model the bioclimatic niches of the species in its Asian range. Based on known occurrences, bioclimatic areas with higher probabilities are mainly located in the eastern and western coasts of the Indian Peninsula, the east of Sumatra Island, some areas in the Malay Archipelago, and the southeast coastal areas of China. Some undocumented places were also predicted as suitable areas. According to the jackknife procedure, the minimum temperature of the coldest month, the mean monthly temperature range, and the precipitation of the wettest month were identified as highly effective factors in the distribution of black pepper and could possibly account for the crop's distribution pattern. Such climatic requirements inhibited this species from dispersing and gaining a larger geographical range.

The Truncated Inflated Beta Distribution

The study of proportions is a common topic in many fields of study. The standard beta distribution or the inflated beta distribution may be a reasonable choice to fit a proportion in most situations. However, they do not fit well variables that do not assume values in the open interval (0, c), 0 < c < 1. For these variables, the authors introduce the truncated inflated beta distribution (TBEINF). This proposed distribution is a mixture of the beta distribution bounded in the open interval (c, 1) and the trinomial distribution. The authors present the moments of the distribution, its scoring vector, and Fisher information matrix, and discuss estimation of its parameters. The properties of the suggested estimators are studied using Monte Carlo simulation. In addition, the authors present an application of the TBEINF distribution for unemployment insurance data.

Exchange of disfluency with age from function to content words in Brazilian Portuguese speakers who do and do not stutter

The purpose of this study was to investigate the exchange of disfluencies from function words to content words with age in Brazilian Portuguese speakers who do and do not stutter. Ninety stuttering individuals and 90 controls, native speakers of Brazilian Portuguese, were divided into three age groups (children, adolescents and adults). The study method involved analyzing the occurrence of stuttering on content and function words based on spontaneous speech samples. Results indicated that children tend to be more disfluent on function words. With the increase in age, teenagers and adults who stutter presented a higher number of disfluencies on content words. These findings support the current literature, indicating that with the aging process, there is an exchange of disfluencies from function to content words. This shift in the disfluency pattern may account for a more advanced type of stuttering. The study also demonstrated that disfluencies in Portuguese speakers follow the same pattern of shifting from function to content words with age as for English speakers.

Monte Carlo simulations of Potts glasses

A complete understanding of the glass transition isstill a challenging problem. Some researchers attributeit to the (hypothetical) occurrence of a static phasetransition, others emphasize the dynamical transitionof mode coupling-theory from an ergodic to a non ergodicstate. A class of disordered spin models has been foundwhich unifies both scenarios. One of these models isthe p-state infinite range Potts glass with p>4, whichexhibits in the thermodynamic limit both a dynamicalphase transition at a temperature T_D, and a static oneat T_0 < T_D. In this model every spins interacts withall the others, irrespective of distance. Interactionsare taken from a Gaussian distribution.In order to understand better its behavior forfinite number N of spins and the approach to thethermodynamic limit, we have performed extensive MonteCarlo simulations of the p=10 Potts glass up to N=2560.The time-dependent spin-autocorrelation function C(t)shows strong finite size effects and it does not showa plateau even for temperatures around the dynamicalcritical temperature T_D. We show that the N-andT-dependence of the relaxation time for T > T_D can beunderstood by means of a dynamical finite size scalingAnsatz.The behavior in the spin glass phase down to atemperature T=0.7 (about 60% of the transitiontemperature) is studied. Well equilibratedconfigurations are obtained with the paralleltempering method, which is also useful for properlyestablishing static properties, such as the orderparameter distribution function P(q). Evidence is givenfor the compatibility with a one step replica symmetrybreaking scenario. The study of the cumulants of theorder parameter does not permit a reliable estimation ofthe static transition temperature. The autocorrelationfunction at low T exhibits a two-step decay, and ascaling behavior typical of supercooled liquids, thetime-temperature superposition principle, is observed. Inthis region the dynamics is governed by Arrheniusrelaxations, with barriers growing like N^{1/2}.We analyzed the single spin dynamics down to temperaturesmuch lower than the dynamical transition temperature. We found strong dynamical heterogeneities, which explainthe non-exponential character of the spin autocorrelationfunction. The spins seem to relax according to dynamicalclusters. The model in three dimensions tends to acquireferromagnetic order for equal concentration of ferro-and antiferromagnetic bonds. The ordering has differentcharacteristics from the pure ferromagnet. The spinglass susceptibility behaves like chi_{SG} proportionalto 1/T in the region where a spin glass is predicted toexist in mean-field. Also the analysis of the cumulantsis consistent with the absence of spin glass orderingat finite temperature. The dynamics shows multi-scalerelaxations if a bimodal distribution of bonds isused. We propose to understand it with a model based onthe local spin configuration. This is consistent with theabsence of plateaus if Gaussian interactions are used.

Galaxy evolution in the VIMOS public extragalactic redshift survey (VIPERS)

In this work I present the first measurements of the galaxy stellar mass function (GSMF) from the first public release of the VIPERS catalogue, containing ∼55,000 objects. First, I present the survey design, its scientific goal, the redshift measurements and validation. Then, I provide details about the estimate of galaxy stellar masses, star formation rates, and other physical quantities. I derive the GSMF of different galaxy types (e.g. active and passive galaxies) and as a function of the environment (defined through the local galaxy density contrast). These estimates represent new observational evidence useful to characterise the mechanism of galaxy evolution.

Simulations of amphiphilic peptides at the air-water interface

Amphiphile Peptide, Pro-Glu-(Phe-Glu)n-Pro, Pro-Asp-(Phe-Asp)n-Pro, und Phe-Glu-(Phe-Glu)n-Phe, können so aus n alternierenden Sequenzen von hydrophoben und hydrophilen Aminosäuren konstruiert werden, dass sie sich in Monolagen an der Luft-Wasser Grenzfläche anordnen. In biologischen Systemen können Strukturen an der organisch-wässrigen Grenzfläche als Matrix für die Kristallisation von Hydroxyapatit dienen, ein Vorgang der für die Behandlung von Osteoporose verwendet werden kann. In der vorliegenden Arbeit wurden Computersimulationenrneingesetzt, um die Strukturen und die zugrunde liegenden Wechselwirkungen welche die Aggregation der Peptide auf mikroskopischer Ebene steuern, zu untersuchen. Atomistische Molekulardynamik-Simulationen von einzelnen Peptidsträngen zeigen, dass sie sich leicht an der Luft-Wasser Grenzfläche anordnen und die Fähigkeit haben, sich in β-Schleifen zu falten, selbst für relativ kurze Peptidlängen (n = 2). Seltene Ereignisse wie diese (i.e. Konformationsänderungen) erfordern den Einsatz fortgeschrittener Sampling-Techniken. Hier wurde “Replica Exchange” Molekulardynamik verwendet um den Einfluss der Peptidsequenzen zu untersuchen. Die Simulationsergebnisse zeigten, dass Peptide mit kürzeren azidischen Seitenketten (Asp vs. Glu) gestrecktere Konformationen aufwiesen als die mit längeren Seitenketten, die in der Lage waren die Prolin-Termini zu erreichen. Darüber hinaus zeigte sich, dass die Prolin-Termini (Pro vs. Phe) notwendig sind, um eine 2D-Ordnung innerhalb derrnAggregate zu erhalten. Das Peptid Pro-Asp-(Phe-Asp)n-Pro, das beide dieser Eigenschaften enthält, zeigt das geordnetste Verhalten, eine geringe Verdrehung der Hauptkette, und ist in der Lage die gebildeten Aggregate durch Wasserstoffbrücken zwischen den sauren Seitenketten zu stabilisieren. Somit ist dieses Peptid am besten zur Aggregation geeignet. Dies wurde auch durch die Beurteilung der Stabilität von experimentnah-aufgesetzten Peptidaggregaten, sowie der Neigung einzelner Peptide zur Selbstorganisation von anfänglich ungeordneten Konfigurationen unterstützt. Da atomistische Simulationen nur auf kleine Systemgrößen und relativ kurze Zeitskalen begrenzt sind, wird ein vergröbertes Modell entwickelt damit die Selbstorganisation auf einem größeren Maßstab studiert werden kann. Da die Selbstorganisation an der Grenzfläche vonrnInteresse ist, wurden existierenden Vergröberungsmethoden erweitert, um nicht-gebundene Potentiale für inhomogene Systeme zu bestimmen. Die entwickelte Methode ist analog zur iterativen Boltzmann Inversion, bildet aber das Update für das Interaktionspotential basierend auf der radialen Verteilungsfunktion in einer Slab-Geometrie und den Breiten des Slabs und der Grenzfläche. Somit kann ein Kompromiss zwischen der lokalen Flüssigketsstruktur und den thermodynamischen Eigenschaften der Grenzfläche erreicht werden. Die neue Methode wurde für einen Wasser- und einen Methanol-Slab im Vakuum demonstriert, sowie für ein einzelnes Benzolmolekül an der Vakuum-Wasser Grenzfläche, eine Anwendung die von besonderer Bedeutung in der Biologie ist, in der oft das thermodynamische/Grenzflächenpolymerisations-Verhalten zusätzlich der strukturellen Eigenschaften des Systems erhalten werden müssen. Daraufrnbasierend wurde ein vergröbertes Modell über einen Fragment-Ansatz parametrisiert und die Affinität des Peptids zur Vakuum-Wasser Grenzfläche getestet. Obwohl die einzelnen Fragmente sowohl die Struktur als auch die Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilungen an der Grenzfläche reproduzierten, diffundierte das Peptid als Ganzes von der Grenzfläche weg. Jedoch führte eine Reparametrisierung der nicht-gebundenen Wechselwirkungen für eines der Fragmente der Hauptkette in einem Trimer dazu, dass das Peptid an der Grenzfläche blieb. Dies deutet darauf hin, dass die Kettenkonnektivität eine wichtige Rolle im Verhalten des Petpids an der Grenzfläche spielt.

Four-window technique for measuring optical-phase-space-time-frequency tomography

A new approach, the four-window technique, was developed to measure optical phase-space-time-frequency tomography (OPSTFT). The four-window technique is based on balanced heterodyne detection with two local oscillator (LO) fields. This technique can provide independent control of position, momentum, time and frequency resolution. The OPSTFT is a Wigner distribution function of two independent Fourier transform pairs, phase-space and time-frequency. The OPSTFT can be applied for early disease detection.