Modelo de avaliação do retorno do investimento da promoção turística na Região Autónoma da Madeira

A importância da criação e aplicação de um modelo de análise pré-investimento, reside no facto dos recursos afectos á promoção serem limitados e escassos, resultando assim numa necessidade de análise sistemática da avaliação do retorno obtido. A importância estabelecida nesta análise deve-se ao facto de os impactos da decisão de investimento terem repercussões ao longo de vários anos, pelo que a flexibilidade da decisão imputada ao decisor é muito reduzida. Neste contexto, realiza-se um estudo que pretende estabelecer os parâmetros necessários para a elaboração de um modelo de avaliação de pré-investimento da promoção turística ao nível da Região Autónoma da Madeira. Das análises efectuadas conclui-se que existe um mecanismo transmissor do investimento em promoção no PIB da RAM. Este mecanismo é estabelecido pela via das receitas turísticas, uma vez que existe um efeito positivo do investimento em promoção turística nas receitas turísticas, e que este por sua vez apresenta também um impacto positivo ao nível do PIB da RAM. No que se refere á avaliação dos investimentos efectuados, não há evidências de existir actualmente ao nível regional, de facto, uma política de avaliação do investimento realizado para todas as acções promovidas, nem de uma avaliação a priori e de auxílio à decisão de investir. Ao aplicar a regra de decisão do Índice de Rendibilidade da Promoção, com base no modelo criado verifica-se que de acordo com os objectivos estratégicos delineados, em consonância com o plano de contratualização estabelecido, o valor obtido é de um Retorno do Investimento de 32,4 vezes, abaixo do obtido ao nível histórico que situa-se nos 60 vezes. Dada a importância que o Turismo detém na Região Autónoma da Madeira, e a impossibilidade de deter recursos elevados para a actividade promocional, assiste-se assim a importância redobrada da aplicação de um modelo que permita aferir e estabelecer de uma forma clara, os objectivos necessários a cumprir para que se obtenha um aumento do retorno.

Desmame em recém-nascidos de muito baixo peso ao nascer no primeiro retorno ambulatorial após a alta hospitalar

Investigate intrahospital and neonatal determinants associated to the weaning of very low birth weight (VLBW) infants. Methods: 119 VLBW (<1500g) infants 81 were monitored from July 2005 through August 2006, from birth to the first ambulatory visit after maternity discharge. This maternity unit uses the Kangaroo Method and the Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative. Results: Out of 119 VLBW infants monitored until discharge, 88 (75%) returned to the facility, 22 (25%) were on exclusive breastfeeding (EB) and 66 (75%) were weaned (partial breastfeeding or formula feeding). Univariate analysis found an association between weaning and lower birth weight, longer stays in the NICU and longer hospitalization times, in addition to more prolonged enteral feeding and birth weight recovery period. Logistic regression showed length of NICU stay as being the main determinant of weaning. Conclusion: The negative repercussion on EB of an extended stay in the NICU is a significant challenge for health professionals to provide more adequate nutrition to VLBW infants

Diferenciais de rendimentos por gênero: uma análise dos efeitos composição e estrutura salarial no Brasil (1976, 1987, 1996 e 2009)

This study aims to analyze the income differentials by gender in Brazil, in the years 1976, 1987, 1996 and 2009. Specifically, there are two objectives. First, attempt to analyze the importance of the effects of composition and wage structure in the job market. In the second, to verify which socioeconomic variables explain the effects of composition and wage structure in the job market. The information in this study was obtained from the microdata of Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios (PNAD) regarding the respective years. In the first stage of the methodology we used: the index of income distribution Theil-T; the income gap decompositions proposed by Oaxaca (1973) and Blinder (1973); and Firpo et al. (2007). In the second stage we applied the RIF regression method (Recentered Influence Function) of Firpo et al. (2007). The results show that income inequality is higher among men than among women in the country. It was observed that the component of inequality between people of the same gender represented the largest share in the decomposition of income inequality between genders. It was found, in the decomposition of the average income, a downward trend of income gap, but the differential remains favorable to the men. We noticed that the impact of the composition effect in reducing the gap was offset by the positive effect of wage structure. Regarding the distribution quantis, income differential between genres appeared greater at the bottom, in the years 1976, 1987 and 2009; and at the top of the distribution, in 1996 featuring, respectively, the sticky floor and glass ceiling effects in Brazil. As for the decomposition of the RIF, it turns out that the composition effect assisted in the downfall of the income gap between 1976 and 2009, but was offset by the positive effect of the wage structure in quantis 10th, 50th, and 90th. The main socioeconomic variables influenced the drop in income gap were: the composition effect, the manual labor occupations, service sector and low-grade and high school, and the wage structure effect, schooling low and high experience professional and technical occupations and urban centers

Análise de retorno de escala e tamanho do mercado no desempenho de equipes de vendas aplicando análise de envoltória de dados DEA: um estudo em empresa de Telecomunicações no Brasil

This Master s Thesis proposes the application of Data Envelopment Analysis DEA to evaluate the performance of sales teams, based on a study of their coverage areas. Data was collected from the company contracted to distribute the products in the state of Ceará. Analyses of thirteen sales coverage areas were performed considering first the output-oriented constant return to scale method (CCR-O), then this method with assurance region (AR-O-C) and finally the method of variable returns to scale with assurance region (AR-O-V). The method used in the first approach is shown to be inappropriate for this study, since it inconveniently generates zero-valued weights, allowing that an area under evaluation obtain the maximal score by not producing. Using weight restrictions, through the assurance region methods AR-O-C and AR-O-V, decreasing returns to scale are identified, meaning that the improvement in performance is not proportional to the size of the areas being analyzed. Observing data generated by the analysis, a study is carried out, aiming to design improvement goals for the inefficient areas. Complementing this study, GDP data for each area was compared with scores obtained using AR-O-V analysis. The results presented in this work show that DEA is a useful methodology for assessing sales team performance and that it may contribute to improvements on the quality of the management process.

Estimativa de ganho genético a partir de diferenciais de seleção e parâmetros populacionais em um rebanho Caracu

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Métodos numéricos para resolução de equações diferenciais ordinárias lineares baseados em interpolação por spline

In this work we have elaborated a spline-based method of solution of inicial value problems involving ordinary differential equations, with emphasis on linear equations. The method can be seen as an alternative for the traditional solvers such as Runge-Kutta, and avoids root calculations in the linear time invariant case. The method is then applied on a central problem of control theory, namely, the step response problem for linear EDOs with possibly varying coefficients, where root calculations do not apply. We have implemented an efficient algorithm which uses exclusively matrix-vector operations. The working interval (till the settling time) was determined through a calculation of the least stable mode using a modified power method. Several variants of the method have been compared by simulation. For general linear problems with fine grid, the proposed method compares favorably with the Euler method. In the time invariant case, where the alternative is root calculation, we have indications that the proposed method is competitive for equations of sifficiently high order.

Coeficientes de incidência do dengue e sua relação com os diferenciais intra-urbanos segundo condições de vida no município do Natal, Rio Grande do Norte

This study sprang from the hypothesis that spatial variations in the morbidity rate for dengue fever within the municipality of Natal are related to intra-city socioeconomic and environmental variations. The objective of the project was to classify the different suburbs of Natal according to their living conditions and establish if there was any correlation between this classification and the incidence rate for dengue fever, with the aim of enabling public health planners to better control this disease. Data on population density, access to safe drinking water, rubbish collection, sewage disposal facilities, income level, education and the incidence of dengue fever during the years 2001 and 2003 was drawn from the Brazilian Demographic Census 2000 and from the Reportable Disease Notification System -SINAN. The study is presented here in the form of two papers, corresponding to the types of analysis performed: a classification of the urban districts into quartiles according to the living conditions which exist there, in the first article; and the incidence of dengue fever in each of these quartiles, in the second. By applying factorial analysis to the chosen socioeconomic and environmental indicators for the year 2000, a compound index of living condition (ICV) was obtained. On the basis of this index, it was possible to classify the urban districts into quartiles. On undertaking this grouping (paper 1), a heterogeneous distribution of living conditions was found across the city. As to the incidence rate for dengue fever (paper 2), it was discovered that the quartile identified as having the best living conditions presented incidence rates of 15.62 and 15.24 per 1000 inhabitants respectively in the years 2001 and 2003; whereas the quartile representing worst living conditions showed incidence rates of 25.10 and 10.32 for the comparable periods. The results suggest that dengue fever occurs in all social classes, and that its incidence is not related in any evident way to the chosen formula for living conditions

Efeitos das respostas de observação diferenciais sobre a aprendizagem de relações condicionais com estímulos complexos

Este estudo avaliou se relações entre os componentes do estímulo modelo complexo exerceriam controle condicional em tarefas de matching-to-sample simultâneo. Na Fase 1, 3 crianças com necessidades especiais de ensino foram expostas ao treino das relações A1B1 e A2B2 e ao teste das respectivas relações simétricas. em seguida, as contingências de treino exigiram respostas de observação diferenciais que consistiram no estabelecimento de relações condicionais de identidade entre estímulos complexos (relações AB-AB) precedendo o acesso ao treino das relações condicionais ABX. Neste treino, diante de estímulos modelos complexos cujos componentes sustentavam condicionalidade treinada (A1B1 e A2B2), X1 foi o estímulo de escolha correto; X2 exerceu esta função quando os componentes do estímulo modelo não sustentavam tal relação (A1B2 e A2B1). Na Fase 2, ocorreria o treino PQ, testes QP e PQX que avaliariam a extensão do controle condicional definido pelas relações entre os estímulos P e Q. As três crianças registraram a aprendizagem das relações AB, a emergência das relações simétricas e índices elevados de acerto nas respostas de observação diferenciais, ou seja, no estabelecimento das relações condicionais de identidade com estímulos complexos. Contudo, as três demonstraram relações de controle distintas das previstas no treino ABX, sendo, portanto, o experimento finalizado na Fase 1. Tais resultados sugerem uma independência funcional entre as habilidades discriminativas exigidas nas duas contingências de ensino de relações condicionais com estímulos modelo complexos.

Influência do manejo de mamada sobre o retorno ao estro em ovelhas no pós-parto

Conduziu-se este estudo, com o objetivo de avaliar o retorno ao estro pós-parto de ovelhas submetidas a diferentes manejos de mamada. Foram utilizados 56 ovelhas Santa Inês e Bergamácia, 71 cordeiros e 3 rufiões. Os manejos de mamada (MM) foram: 1: contínua; 2: duas mamadas diárias; 3: mamada durante a noite. O período experimental foi dos 15 dias pós-parto até o desmame aos 60 dias. Até os 15, dias de idade os cordeiros permaneceram com suas mães em período integral. No MM 1, as ovelhas permaneceram com seus cordeiros em uma baia, em período integral. No MM 2, as ovelhas passaram a noite em uma baia e o dia em pastagem, momento em que não possuíam contato físico e visual com as crias. Seus cordeiros permaneceram em outra baia em período integral, para onde as ovelhas eram encaminhadas no momento da amamentação. No MM 3, as ovelhas passaram o dia em pastagem e a noite com seus cordeiros em uma baia, na qual os cordeiros permaneceram em período integral. Todas as ovelhas e todos os cordeiros receberam alimentação nas baias. Para identificação das ovelhas em estro foram utilizados rufiões, os quais permaneceram com elas em período integral. Os dados foram submetidos à análise de variância (PROC GLM, Sas®), e as médias comparadas por contrastes. O MM 2 possibilitou retorno ao estro pós-parto precoce quando comparado ao MM 3 e ao MM 1. Houve pouca ou nenhuma influência do anestro lactacional, pois 80% das ovelhas apresentaram estro durante a amamentação.

Retorno de nutrientes ao solo via deposição de serapilheira de quatro espécies leguminosas arbóreas na região de Botucatu - São Paulo, Brasil

The annual litter fall production and the concentrations of macronutrients of four leguminous tree species were evaluated. The experiment was installed in a distrophic red yellow latosol (Oxisol), derivative of the Bauru sandstone group. The studied species were: Leucaena leucocephala. Acacia melanoxylon, L. diversifolia and Mimosa scabrella. The experimental design was randomized blocks, with four treatments (species) and four replications. The litter fall was collected in boxes measuring 50×50×10 cm, two boxes by treatment in each block. The material was collected monthly and dried, weighed and chemically analyzed. The litter fall deposition occurred in the following order: M. scabrella (7,051 kg ha -1 ano -1), A. melanoxylon (2,789 kg ha -1 ano -1), L. diversifolia (1,576 kg ha -1 ano -1) and L. leucocephala (1,389 kg ha -1 ano -1). The content of nutrients obeyed the following order: N>Ca>K>Mg>P>S, with the exception of L. leucocephala that presented a bigger content of S in relation to the P.

Conhecimento Odontológico e Comportamento de Retorno de Escolares em Função do Tipo de Instituição (Pública ou Privada)

Objective: To evaluate the dental knowledge and attendance of elementary schoolchildren according to the type of institution (public or private). Method: The sample was composed of 800 children from the 5th to 8th grades of the elementary education. The research instrument was a questionnaire composed of open questions referring to the last recall visit, type and importance of the recall visit, and knowledge of dental caries and periodontal disease. Descriptive statistical analysis was done and the chisquared test was used with a significance level of 5%. Results: There was statistically significant difference between the students from the different institutions regarding the time (p=0.001) and main reason (p=0.001) of the last visit to the dentist, knowledge of the need of periodic visits to the dentist (p=0.001), importance (p=0.001) and frequency (p=0.001) of periodic recalls, and knowledge of dental caries (p=0.001) and periodontal disease (p=0.001). Conclusion: The adolescents presented different dental knowledge and attendance, according to the type of teaching institution.