985 resultados para Climate Changes
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Extreme abiotic factors, such drought combined with heat waves and/or high UVB radiation are predicted to become more frequent in the future. The impact on plant production of these challenges on multipurpose Moringa oleifera L. remains unclear. A susceptibility of this species may lead to increase poverty in endangered regions. M. oleifera is a woody species native from sub-Himalaya regions under high climate stress pressure. The interest on this species is emerging due to its several medicinal properties and its nutritional value. Agropharmaceutical industry is interest in this species too. To understand the impact of increased climate factors, young (2 months old) plants of this species were exposed to water deficit (WD) and UVB (alone or combined). WD and WD+UVB imposition consists of unwater for 4 days. After 1 day withholding water, UVB and WD+UVB were irradiated with 26.3 kJ m-2 distributed per 3 days. Immediately after treatment exposition (1 day) and after 10 days, plant water status, growth, carbon metabolism and oxidative stress were measured. Overall no significant differences were observed in WD, regarding the parameters analysed, except on gas exchanges, MDA and phenols. The plants exposed to UVB showed, in general, more severe effects, as higher pigment content, MDA and membrane permeability, while no changes were observed in the total antioxidant activity. Plants exposed to UVB+WD, despite changes observed, the impact was lower than the one observed in UVB exposed plants, meaning that a protective/adaptive mechanism was developed in the plants under combined stressors. On the other hand, in all treatments the net CO2 assimilation rate decreased. Results suggest that M. oleifera has some tolerance to WD and UVB, and that develops mechanism of adaptation to these two types of stress that often arise in combination under a climate change scenario.
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Projected change in forage production under a range of climate scenarios is important for the evaluation of the impacts of global climate change on pasture-based livestock production systems in Brazil. We evaluated the effects of regional climate trends on Panicum maximum cv. Tanzânia production, predicted by agro-meteorological model considering the sum of degree days and corrected by a water availa bility index. Data from Brazilian weather stations (1963?2009) were considered as the current climate (baseline), and future scenarios, based on contrasting scenarios interms of increased temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentrations (high and low increases), were determined for 2013?2040 (2025 scenario) and for 2043?2070 (2055 scenario). Predicted baseline scenarios indicated that there are regional and seasonal variations in P. maximum production related to variation intemperature and water availability during the year. Production was lower in the Northeast region and higher in the rainforest area. Total annual productionunder future climate scenarios was predicted toincrease by up to 20% for most of the Brazilian area, mainly due to temperature increase, according to each climate model and scenario evaluated. The highest increase in forage production is expected to be in the South, Southeast and Central-west areas of Brazil. In these regions, future climate scenarios will not lead to changes in the seasonal production, with largerincreases in productivity during the summer. Climate risk is expected to decrease, as the probability of occurrence of low forage productions will be lower. Due to the predicted increase in temperature and decrease in rainfall in the Northeast area, P. maximum production is expected to decrease, mainly when considering scenarios based on the PRECIS model for the 2055 scenario.
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This PhD thesis explores the ecological responses of bird species to glacial-interglacial transitions during the late Quaternary in the Western Palearctic, using multiple approaches and at different scales, enhancing the importance of the bird fossil record and quantitative methods to elucidate biotic trends in relation to long-term climate changes. The taxonomic and taphonomic analyses of the avian fossil assemblages from four Italian Middle and Upper Pleistocene sedimentary successions (Grotta del Cavallo, Grotta di Fumane, Grotta di Castelcivita, and Grotta di Uluzzo C) allowed us to reconstruct local-scale patterns in birds’ response to climate changes. These bird assemblages are characterized by the presence of temperate species and by the occasional presence of cold-dwelling species during glacials, related to range shifts. These local patterns are supported by those identified at the continental scale. In this respect, I mapped the present-day and LGM climatic envelopes of species with different climatic requirements. The results show a substantial stability in the range of temperate species and pronounced changes in the range of cold-dwelling species, supported by their fossil records. Therefore, the responses to climate oscillations are highly related to the thermal niches of investigated species. I also clarified the dynamics of the presence of boreal and arctic bird species in Mediterranean Europe, due to southern range shifts, during the glacial phases. After a reassessment of the reliability of the existing fossil evidence, I show that this phenomenon is not as common as previously thought, with important implications for the paleoclimatic and paleoenvironmental significance of the targeted species. I have also been able to explore the potential of multivariate and rarefaction methods in the analyses of avian fossils from Grotta del Cavallo. These approaches helped to delineate the main drivers of taphonomic damages and the dynamics of species diversity in relation to climate-driven paleoenvironmental changes.
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Este trabalho investiga a variabilidade do Sistema de Monções da América do Sul (SMAS) sobre o Brasil com particular interesse na região do cerrado brasileiro. O início, final e total de precipitação durante as monções de verão são examinados utilizando estimativas de precipitação por satélite (pêntadas) do Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) entre 1979-2004. Analogamente, as características do regime de monção simuladas pelo modelo climático global acoplado MIROC (Model for interdisciplinary Research on Climate) do IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change) são examinadas em dois cenários distintos: o clima do século XX (1981-2000) e o clima em uma condição com o dobro da concentração atual de CO2 (2xCO2) na atmosfera (2061-2080). Mostra-se que a variabilidade espacial do início da monção de verão sobre o cerrado na simulação do clima do século XX pelo MIROC corresponde bem às observações. Além disso, há indicação de uma mudança das caudas da distribuição sazonal da precipitação no Cerrado para um cenário com 2xCO2, comparativamente com o clima presente. Este resultado sugere uma mudança na probabilidade de ocorrência de eventos extremos (secos ou úmidos) em um cenário com 2xCO2 sobre o cerrado, o que de acordo com o MIROC, indica uma maior exposição da região às conseqüências de possíveis mudanças climáticas resultantes do aumento de gases de efeito estufa.
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Tropical ecosystems play a large and complex role in the global carbon cycle. Clearing of natural ecosystems for agriculture leads to large pulses of CO(2) to the atmosphere from terrestrial biomass. Concurrently, the remaining intact ecosystems, especially tropical forests, may be sequestering a large amount of carbon from the atmosphere in response to global environmental changes including climate changes and an increase in atmospheric CO(2). Here we use an approach that integrates census-based historical land use reconstructions, remote-sensing-based contemporary land use change analyses, and simulation modeling of terrestrial biogeochemistry to estimate the net carbon balance over the period 1901-2006 for the state of Mato Grosso, Brazil, which is one of the most rapidly changing agricultural frontiers in the world. By the end of this period, we estimate that of the state`s 925 225 km(2), 221 092 km(2) have been converted to pastures and 89 533 km(2) have been converted to croplands, with forest-to-pasture conversions being the dominant land use trajectory but with recent transitions to croplands increasing rapidly in the last decade. These conversions have led to a cumulative release of 4.8 Pg C to the atmosphere, with similar to 80% from forest clearing and 20% from the clearing of cerrado. Over the same period, we estimate that the residual undisturbed ecosystems accumulated 0.3 Pg C in response to CO2 fertilization. Therefore, the net emissions of carbon from Mato Grosso over this period were 4.5 Pg C. Net carbon emissions from Mato Grosso since 2000 averaged 146 Tg C/yr, on the order of Brazil`s fossil fuel emissions during this period. These emissions were associated with the expansion of croplands to grow soybeans. While alternative management regimes in croplands, including tillage, fertilization, and cropping patterns promote carbon storage in ecosystems, they remain a small portion of the net carbon balance for the region. This detailed accounting of a region`s carbon balance is the type of foundation analysis needed by the new United Nations Collaborative Programmme for Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD).
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Dissertação para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil na Área de Edificações
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A noção de Economia relativa ao Hidrogénio no vocabulário dos líderes políticos e empresariais tem vindo a mudar sobretudo pela preocupação da poluição global, segurança energética e mudanças climáticas, para além do crescente domínio técnico dos cientistas e engenheiros. O interesse neste composto, que é o elemento mais simples e abundante no universo, está a crescer, devido aos avanços tecnológicos das células de combustível – as potenciais sucessoras das baterias dos aparelhos portáteis eletrónicos, centrais elétricas e motores de combustão interna. Existem métodos já bem desenvolvidos para produzir o hidrogénio. Contudo, destacase a eletrólise da água, não só por ser um método simples mas porque pode utilizar recursos energéticos renováveis, tais como, o vento ou os painéis fotovoltaicos, e aumentar a sua eficiência. Os desafios para melhorar a utilização deste método consistem em reduzir o consumo, a manutenção e os custos energéticos e aumentar a confiança, a durabilidade e a segurança. Mais ainda, consistem em rentabilizar o subproduto oxigénio pois é um gás industrial e medicinal muito importante. Neste trabalho, estudou-se a viabilidade económica da instalação de uma unidade de produção de hidrogénio e oxigénio puros por eletrólise da água, utilizando como fonte energética a energia solar, na empresa Gasoxmed – Gases Medicinais S.A., pretendendo num futuro próximo, comercializar o hidrogénio como fonte de energia, e por outro lado, aproveitar o subproduto oxigénio para utilização industrial. Projetou-se assim uma unidade utilizando um eletrolisador da marca Proton, modelo C30, com capacidade de produção gasosa de 3 kg/h (30 m3/h) de hidrogénio e 20 kg/h (15 m3/h) de oxigénio. Os gases produzidos são comprimidos num compressor da marca RIX a 200 bares para posterior armazenamento em cilindros pressurizados. Dimensionou-se ainda um sistema de miniprodução fotovoltaico com potência 250 kW para alimentar eletricamente a instalação. A realização do projeto na nova área de produção necessitará de 1.713.963€, os quais serão adquiridos por empréstimo bancário. Definiram-se todos os custos fixos associados ao projeto que perfazem um total de 62.554€/mês para os primeiros 5 anos (duração do crédito bancário) findo o qual diminuirão para 21.204€/mês. Da comercialização do hidrogénio, do oxigénio industrial e da eletricidade produzida no sistema de miniprodução de 250 kW, prevê-se um lucro mensal de 117.925€, perfazendo assim um total líquido mensal positivo de 55.371€ durante os primeiros 5 anos e a partir daí de 96.721€/mês, resultando uma amortização do investimento inicial no final do 3º ano.
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Com o aumento da população mundial registado nos últimos anos surgiu também uma maior procura energética. Esse aumento foi inicialmente colmatado recorrendo essencialmente a fontes de origem fóssil, pelo facto destas serem mais baratas. No entanto, essa tendência de preços baixos sofreu o primeiro abalo nos anos 70 do século passado, altura em que o preço do petróleo disparou, devido a questões políticas. Nessa altura ficou visível para os países ocidentais o quanto estes eram dependentes dos países produtores de petróleo que, em geral, são instáveis politicamente. Começou então a procura de fontes energéticas alternativas. Além da questão económica do aumento do preço dos combustíveis, existe também o problema ambiental. Os maiores responsáveis pela emissão de gases efeito estufa (GEE) são os combustíveis fósseis. Os GEE contribuem para o aquecimento global, o que origina fenómenos ambientais severos que poderão levar a mudanças climáticas significativas. As energias renováveis apresentam-se como a solução mais viável ao problema energético e ambiental que se verifica actualmente, porque permitem colmatar o aumento da procura energética de uma forma limpa e sustentável. Na sequência destes problemas surgiram nos últimos anos veículos que permitem reduzir ou mesmo eliminar o consumo de combustíveis fósseis, como os veículos híbridos eléctricos, eléctricos e a hidrogénio. Nesta dissertação analisa-se um sistema que foi pensado para ser implementado em áreas de serviço, que permite efectuar o carregamento de electric vehicles (EV) utilizando energia eléctrica de origem fotovoltaica e a produção de hidrogénio para os fuels cell electric vehicles (FCEV). É efectuada uma análise económica do sistema, uma análise ambiental e analisou-se também o impacto na redução da dependência do país em relação ao exterior, sendo ainda efectuada uma pequena análise ao sistema MOBIE. No caso dos veículos a hidrogénio, foi determinada qual seria a melhor opção em termos económicos, para a produção de hidrogénio considerando três regimes de produção: recorrendo apenas à energia eléctrica proveniente do sistema fotovoltaico, apenas à energia eléctrica da rede, ou uma combinação dos dois regimes. O sistema estudado nesta dissertação apresenta um enorme potencial a nível energético e ambiental, surgindo como alternativa para abastecer os veículos que irão permitir, no futuro, eliminar a dependência energética em relação às fontes fósseis e ao mesmo tempo diminuir a quantidade de gases efeito estufa emitidos para a atmosfera.
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Global warming is a major concern nowadays. Weather conditions are changing, and it seems that human activity is one of the main causes. In fact, since the beginning of the industrial revolution, the burning of fossil fuels has increased the nonnatural emissions of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas that absorbs the infrared radiation produced by the reflection of the sunlight on the Earth’s surface, trapping the heat in the atmosphere. Global warming and the associated climate changes are being the subject of intensive research due to their major impact on social, economic, and health aspects of human life. This paper studies the global warming trend in the perspective of dynamical systems and fractional calculus, which is a new standpoint in this context. Worldwide distributed meteorological stations and temperature records for the last 100 years are analysed. It is shown that the application of Fourier transforms and power law trend lines leads to an assertive representation of the global warming dynamics and a simpler analysis of its characteristics.
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Global warming and the associated climate changes are being the subject of intensive research due to their major impact on social, economic and health aspects of the human life. Surface temperature time-series characterise Earth as a slow dynamics spatiotemporal system, evidencing long memory behaviour, typical of fractional order systems. Such phenomena are difficult to model and analyse, demanding for alternative approaches. This paper studies the complex correlations between global temperature time-series using the Multidimensional scaling (MDS) approach. MDS provides a graphical representation of the pattern of climatic similarities between regions around the globe. The similarities are quantified through two mathematical indices that correlate the monthly average temperatures observed in meteorological stations, over a given period of time. Furthermore, time dynamics is analysed by performing the MDS analysis over slices sampling the time series. MDS generates maps describing the stations’ locus in the perspective that, if they are perceived to be similar to each other, then they are placed on the map forming clusters. We show that MDS provides an intuitive and useful visual representation of the complex relationships that are present among temperature time-series, which are not perceived on traditional geographic maps. Moreover, MDS avoids sensitivity to the irregular distribution density of the meteorological stations.
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6º Simposio sobre el Margen Ibérico Atlántico MIA09
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Dissertação apresentada como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Ciência e Sistemas de Informação Geográfica
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In the current context of serious climate changes, where the increase of the frequency of some extreme events occurrence can enhance the rate of periods prone to high intensity forest fires, the National Forest Authority often implements, in several Portuguese forest areas, a regular set of measures in order to control the amount of fuel mass availability (PNDFCI, 2008). In the present work we’ll present a preliminary analysis concerning the assessment of the consequences given by the implementation of prescribed fire measures to control the amount of fuel mass in soil recovery, in particular in terms of its water retention capacity, its organic matter content, pH and content of iron. This work is included in a larger study (Meira-Castro, 2009(a); Meira-Castro, 2009(b)). According to the established praxis on the data collection, embodied in multidimensional matrices of n columns (variables in analysis) by p lines (sampled areas at different depths), and also considering the quantitative data nature present in this study, we’ve chosen a methodological approach that considers the multivariate statistical analysis, in particular, the Principal Component Analysis (PCA ) (Góis, 2004). The experiments were carried out in a soil cover over a natural site of Andaluzitic schist, in Gramelas, Caminha, NW Portugal, who was able to maintain itself intact from prescribed burnings from four years and was submit to prescribed fire in March 2008. The soils samples were collected from five different plots at six different time periods. The methodological option that was adopted have allowed us to identify the most relevant relational structures inside the n variables, the p samples and in two sets at the same time (Garcia-Pereira, 1990). Consequently, and in addition to the traditional outputs produced from the PCA, we have analyzed the influence of both sampling depths and geomorphological environments in the behavior of all variables involved.
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CO2 capture from gaseous effluents is one of the great challenges faced by chemical and environmental engineers, as the increase in CO2 levels in the Earth atmosphere might be responsible for dramatic climate changes. From the existing capture technologies, the only proven and mature technology is chemical absorption using aqueous amine solutions. However, bearing in mind that this process is somewhat expensive, it is important to choose the most efficient and, at the same time, the least expensive solvents. For this purpose, a pilot test facility was assembled and includes an absorption column, as well as a stripping column, a heat exchanger between the two columns, a reboiler for the stripping column, pumping systems, surge tanks and all necessary instrumentation and control systems. Some different aquous amine solutions were tested on this facility and it was found that, from a set of six tested amines, diethanol amine is the one that turned out to be the most economical choice, as it showed a higher CO2 loading capacity (0.982 mol of CO2 per mol of amine) and the lowest price per litre (25.70 ¤/L), even when compared with monoethanolamine, the benchmark solvent, exhibiting a price per litre of 30.50 ¤/L.
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Resumo: A alimentação e o estado nutricional são factores determinantes do estado de saúde e sabe-se hoje que os mecanismos da patogénese de várias doenças crónicas não-transmissíveis podem ocorrer no início da idade adulta. A alimentação é influenciada por uma multiplicidade de factores, entre os quais se contam a importância atribuída à alimentação, o peso e imagem corporal e a percepção dos riscos associados à escolha de alimentos. Esta investigação teve como objectivos analisar, em estudantes universitários até aos 30 anos de idade, o estado nutricional, a importância atribuída a alimentação, as percepções do peso e da imagem corporal e a percepção do risco de doença relacionada com a alimentação. Os objectivos foram cumpridos através de dois desenhos de estudo distintos: estudo descritivo transversal e estudo de caso-controlo. Avaliou-se o peso, altura e os perímetros da cintura e da anca e construiu-se um questionário de auto-preenchimento para recolher a restante informação. Encontraram-se valores para a prevalência de obesidade e excesso de peso de, respectivamente, 6,5% e 24,3% e concluiu-se que existe uma percepção incorrecta do peso e da imagem corporal, mais frequente entre os indivíduos obesos. Os obesos também consideram a alimentação menos importante que os indivíduos normoponderais. A análise da percepção dos riscos revela que os inquiridos consideram que factores como a obesidade e a inactividade física são menos prejudiciais para a saúde do que factores como as alterações climáticas ou as radiações de telefones móveis. Verificaram-se também diferenças entre sexos nos parâmetros estudados: relativamente às mulheres, os homens sobrestimam mais frequentemente o peso e a imagem corporal, consideram a alimentação menos importante, julgam-se em menor risco de doença e classificam os factores de risco estudados como menos prejudiciais. Conclui-se que as estratégias de educação alimentar e de promoção da saúde devem considerar as diferenças registadas entre sexos e a importância atribuída à alimentação e as percepções do risco, do peso e da imagem corporal. Abstract: Nutrition and nutritional status are health determinants and it’s accepted that the mechanisms for the pathogenesis of several chronic non-communicable diseases can occur in early adult age. Nutrition is influenced by a large number of factors, including the value placed on food, weight and body image and the risk perception associated with food choice. Consequently, the analysis of the factors that can influence food behaviour and food choice in young adults can be useful for the control and prevention of nutrition related disease. The objectives of this research were to analyse, in college students up to 30 years of age, nutritional status, value placed on nutrition, weight and body image perceptions and the risk perception of nutrition related disease. Two study designs were used: cross-sectional and case-control. Weight, height and waist and hip circumference were measured and a questionnaire was built to collect the remaining information. Prevalences of 6,5% for obesity and 24,3% for excess weight were found, along with the existence of biased weight and body image perceptions, more frequent in obese subjects. Obese subjects also placed less value on nutrition than non-obese. Risk perception analysis shows that risk factors like obesity and physical inactivity are considered less hazardous than risk factors like climate changes and mobile phone radiation. Men, comparatively to women, overestimated more frequently their weight and body image, placed less value in nutrition, considered themselves less disease susceptible and classified the risk factors studied as less hazardous. The conclusions of this study show that nutrition education and health promotion strategies should consider the gender related differences reported and, also, the value placed on nutrition and weigh, body image and risk perceptions.