951 resultados para Alpine Club


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Implantació i anàlisi d'un cas conceptual i pràctic d'un sistema de gestió integral empresarial (Enterprise Resource Plannig -ERP-) per a un club esportiu.

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Species range shifts in response to climate and land use change are commonly forecasted with species distribution models based on species occurrence or abundance data. Although appealing, these models ignore the genetic structure of species, and the fact that different populations might respond in different ways because of adaptation to their environment. Here, we introduced ancestry distribution models, that is, statistical models of the spatial distribution of ancestry proportions, for forecasting intra-specific changes based on genetic admixture instead of species occurrence data. Using multi-locus genotypes and extensive geographic coverage of distribution data across the European Alps, we applied this approach to 20 alpine plant species considering a global increase in temperature from 0.25 to 4 °C. We forecasted the magnitudes of displacement of contact zones between plant populations potentially adapted to warmer environments and other populations. While a global trend of movement in a north-east direction was predicted, the magnitude of displacement was species-specific. For a temperature increase of 2 °C, contact zones were predicted to move by 92 km on average (minimum of 5 km, maximum of 212 km) and by 188 km for an increase of 4 °C (minimum of 11 km, maximum of 393 km). Intra-specific turnover-measuring the extent of change in global population genetic structure-was generally found to be moderate for 2 °C of temperature warming. For 4 °C of warming, however, the models indicated substantial intra-specific turnover for ten species. These results illustrate that, in spite of unavoidable simplifications, ancestry distribution models open new perspectives to forecast population genetic changes within species and complement more traditional distribution-based approaches.

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Référence bibliographique : Rol, 56899

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In this paper, we perform a societal and economic risk assessment for debris flows at the regional scale, for lower Valtellina, Northern Italy. We apply a simple empirical debris-flow model, FLOW-R, which couples a probabilistic flow routing algorithm with an energy line approach, providing the relative probability of transit, and the maximum kinetic energy, for each cell. By assessing a vulnerability to people and to other exposed elements (buildings, public facilities, crops, woods, communication lines), and their economic value, we calculated the expected annual losses both in terms of lives (societal risk) and goods (direct economic risk). For societal risk assessment, we distinguish for the day and night scenarios. The distribution of people at different moments of the day was considered, accounting for the occupational and recreational activities, to provide a more realistic assessment of risk. Market studies were performed in order to assess a realistic economic value to goods, structures, and lifelines. As terrain unit, a 20 m x 20 m cell was used, in accordance with data availability and the spatial resolution requested for a risk assessment at this scale. Societal risk the whole area amounts to 1.98 and 4.22 deaths/year for the day and the night scenarios, respectively, with a maximum of 0.013 deaths/year/cell. Economic risk for goods amounts to 1,760,291 ?/year, with a maximum of 13,814 ?/year/cell.

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Référence bibliographique : Rol, 56837

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El pasado 27 de enero, el Consejo de Asuntos Generales y de Relaciones Exteriores de la Unión tomó una decisión altamente significativa para el desarrollo del papel exterior de la Unión: su primera operación militar. Las páginas de la prensa dedicaban, sí lo hacían, unas pocas líneas a la operación de mantenimiento de la paz que la UE llevará a cabo en Macedonia a partir de la próxima primavera. La una de la prensa estaba ocupada por el hecho de que los Quince estaban más desunidos que nunca, a causa de la actual crisis internacional. De ahí que en la misma reunión tan sólo hubieran sido capaces de producir una declaración relativa a la situación en Irak de “minimísimo común denominador”, cuyo eje central son dos temas indiscutibles: la obligación de Irak de cooperar con los inspectores y el papel del Consejo de Seguridad como responsable del matenimiento de la paz y de la seguridad...