Elicitation of subjective crop yield PDF

En este trabajo se investiga la coherencia y confiabilidad de estimaciones de funciones de densidad de probabilidad (FDP) subjetivas de rendimientos de cultivos realizadas por un amplio grupo de agricultores. Se utilizaron tres técnicas de elicitación diferentes: el método de estimación de FDP en dos pasos, la distribución Triangular y la distribución Beta. Los sujetos entrevistados ofrecieron estimaciones para los valores puntuales de rendimientos de cultivos (medio, máximo posible, más frecuente y mínimo posible) y para las FDP basadas en la estimación de intervalos. Para evaluar la persistencia, se utilizaron los conceptos de persistencia temporal y persistencia metodológica. Los resultados son interesantes para juzgar la adecuación de las técnicas de estimación de probabilidades subjetivas a los sistemas de ayuda en la toma de decisiones en agricultura.

Short communication. Persistence of point crop yield subjective estimates

En este trabajo se investiga la persistencia de las estimaciones puntuales subjetivas de rendimientos en cultivos anua- les realizadas por un amplio grupo de agricultores. La persistencia en el tiempo es una condición necesaria para la co- herencia y la confiabilidad de las estimaciones subjetivas de variables aleatorias. Los sujetos entrevistados estimaron valores puntuales de rendimientos de cultivos anuales (rendimientos medio, mayor, mínimo y más frecuente). Se han encontrado diferencias relativas poco importantes en todas las variables, excepto en los rendimientos mínimos, donde existe una alta dispersión. Los resultados son interesantes para estimar la adecuación de las técnicas de estimación de probabilidades subjetivas para ser utilizadas en los sistemas de ayuda en la toma de decisiones en agricultura.

Cannabis use and other illicit drug use: Do subjective experiences during first cannabis use increase the probability of using illicit drug use?

Background and aims: Few studies have examined whether subjective experiences during first cannabis use are related to other illicit drug (OID) use. This study investigated this topic. Methods: Baseline data from a representative sample of young Swiss men was obtained from an ongoing Cohort Study on Substance Use Risk Factors (N ¼ 5753). Logistic regressions were performed to examine the relationships between cannabis use and of subjective experiences during first cannabis use with 15 OID. Results: Positive experiences increased the likelihood of using hallucinogens (hallucinogens, salvia divinorum, spice; p50.015), stimulants (speed, ecstasy, cocaine, amphetamines/methamphetamines; p50.006) and also poppers, research chemicals, GHB/GBL, and crystal meth (p50.049). Sniffed drugs (poppers, solvents for sniffing) and ''hard'' drugs (heroin, ketamine, research chemicals, GHB/GBL and crystal meth) were more likely to be used by participants who experienced negative feelings on first use of cannabis (p50.034). Conclusion: Subjective feelings seemed to amplify the association of cannabis with OID. The risk increased for drugs with effects resembling feelings experienced on first cannabis use. Negative experiences should also be a concern, as they were associated with increased risk of using the ''hardest'' illicit drugs.

Assessment of subjective and hemodynamic tolerance of different high- and low-flux dialysis membranes in patients undergoing chronic intermittent hemodialysis: a randomized controlled trial.

Clinical experience and experimental data suggest that intradialytic hemodynamic profiles could be influenced by the characteristics of the dialysis membranes. Even within the worldwide used polysulfone family, intolerance to specific membranes was occasionally evoked. The aim of this study was to compare hemodynamically some of the commonly used polysulfone dialyzers in Switzerland. We performed an open-label, randomized, cross-over trial, including 25 hemodialysis patients. Four polysulfone dialyzers, A (Revaclear high-flux, Gambro, Stockholm, Sweden), B (Helixone high-flux, Fresenius), C (Xevonta high-flux, BBraun, Melsungen, Germany), and D (Helixone low-flux, Fresenius, Bad Homburg vor der Höhe, Germany), were compared. The hemodynamic profile was assessed and patients were asked to provide tolerance feedback. The mean score (±SD) subjectively assigned to dialysis quality on a 1-10 scale was A 8.4 ± 1.3, B 8.6 ± 1.3, C 8.5 ± 1.6, D 8.5 ± 1.5. Kt/V was A 1.58 ± 0.30, B 1.67 ± 0.33, C 1.62 ± 0.32, D 1.45 ± 0.31. The low- compared with the high-flux membranes, correlated to higher systolic (128.1 ± 13.1 vs. 125.6 ± 12.1 mmHg, P < 0.01) and diastolic (76.8 ± 8.7 vs. 75.3 ± 9.0 mmHg; P < 0.05) pressures, higher peripheral resistance (1.44 ± 0.19 vs. 1.40 ± 0.18 s × mmHg/mL; P < 0.05) and lower cardiac output (3.76 ± 0.62 vs. 3.82 ± 0.59 L/min; P < 0.05). Hypotension events (decrease in systolic blood pressure by >20 mmHg) were 70 with A, 87 with B, 73 with C, and 75 with D (P < 0.01 B vs. A, 0.05 B vs. C and 0.07 B vs. D). The low-flux membrane correlated to higher blood pressure levels compared with the high-flux ones. The Helixone high-flux membrane ensured the best efficiency. Unfortunately, the very same dialyzer correlated to a higher incidence of hypotensive episodes.

The Articulation of Different Life Domains among Female Senior Managers and Their Subjective Well-Being : Focusing on Meaning Constructions in Everyday Life

Work-life issues have become a major concern across Western societies with the objective to promote women's careers and well-being. However, despite growing attempts to increase the number of women in senior management positions in European countries, such as Switzerland, they remain highly underrepresented. Inspired from the cultural approach in psychology, this article focuses on these women's concrete everyday life to understand how they articulate different life domains and how this influences their subjective well-being. A narrative approach based on reflexivity is adopted to analyze women's activity. Results show meaning intertwinements between life priorities that are often conflicting. Two psychological functions are identified: the feeling of control and the letting go of control. Each of these contributes to women's subjective well-being through the use of diversified supports, but their structuring roles appear only in relation to one another. Results are discussed in the light of existing literature and of their implications.

Les troubles de l'expérience subjective dons les schizophrénies débutantes

Les patients schizophrènes avant l'éclosion des premiers symptômes psychotiques, ainsi que ceux atteints d'un Trouble schizotypique (troubles des relations à autrui, excentricité, mais absence de phénomènes psychotiques durables) souffrent souvent de perturbations perceptives, motrices, cénesthésiques, et de troubles des «fondements» du sens de soi et de la relation au monde -perturbations qui ne se manifestent pas dans le comportement et sont souvent, pour le patient, très difficiles ù exprimer. Il est pourtant important que le médecin les reconnaisse, pour soulager le patient qui en souffre, et comme aide au diagnostic différentiel dans des situations atypiques. La première partie de cet article décrit ces troubles; la seconde évoque l'expérience d'un médedn de premier recours familier de ces «troubles de l'expérience subjective».

Evaluation de la tolérance subjective et hémodynamique des membranes de dialyse à faible et haut flux chez les patients sous hémodialyse intermittente chronique : un essai contrôlé randomisé

Les membranes de dialyse à haut flux et à faible flux pourraient être liées à différents profils hemodynamiques pendant les séances de dialyse. Cette étude visait à comparer le profil hémodynamique des certains filtres de dialyse polysulfone couramment utilisés en Suisse. Nous avons réalisé une étude ouverte, cross-over, avec 25 pazients en hémodialyse On a comparés entre eux 4 filtres de polysulfone de la surface de 1 8 m2 A (Revaclear HF, Gambro), B (Helixone HF, Fresenius), C (Xevonta HF, BBraun) et D (Helixone LF Fresenius). Le profil hémodynamique a été mesuré en utilisant une technique non invasive et au patient a été demandé de fournir une opinion sur la tolérance à la seance de dialyse. La même membrane était utilisée pour 3 séances de suites Chaque semaine la membrane de dialyse était modifiée conformément à la séquence de randomisation. Pour chaque patient on a recueillie les données de 12 séances de dialyse. L'étude a été réalisé sur trois mois à compter de novembre 2012. Les analyses ont encore une fois montré la supériorité des filtres à haut débit comparés aux filtres à faible débit, et ne tendance à la supériorité du filtre Helixone (haut debit) comparé aux deux autres membranes. Les filtres à faible débit par rapport a ceux a haut debit sont associés ä une pression systolique et diastolique plus élevées a des résistances périphériques plus hautes et à un débit cardiaque plus faible L incidence d'épisodes d'hypotension en dialyse était la suivante: Revaclear HF (A) 70 Helixone HF (B) 87 Xevonta HF 73 (C), Helixone LF (D) 75. Le nombre d'épisodes d hypotension associée au filtre B était supérieure, de manière significative. La membrane à faible flux était associée à une pression artérielle supérieure à celles des membranes de haut flux. La membrane à haut flux Helixone garantie la meilleure efficacité de dialyse. Malheureusement, la même membrane est associée à une augmentation de l'incidence des épisodes d'hypotension, probablement due à un déséquilibré hé à l'efficacité de la dialyse. Malgré ces résultats, la tolérance subjective pour les différents filtres était comparable.

Perspectives thérapeutiques dans la prise en charge de l'acouphène subjectif chronique [Therapeutic perspectives in the treatment of chronic subjective tinnitus].

There are no effective therapies for the treatment of chronic subjective tinnitus. The present study aims to compare two therapeutic approaches: Tinnitus Retraining Therapy (TRT) and a Biopsychosocial Approach (BPS). Results show no difference in evolution of tinnitus' perception between the beginning of the study and after 12 months of treatment in both treatment groups. Important anxiety could be a factor contributed towards the abandonment or ineffectiveness of treatments. Patients with more biopsychosocial comorbidities are more receptive to therapies. The practicioners therefore must assess specific needs, comorbidities and biopsychosocial profiles of patients suffering from tinnitus.

Subjective perceptions as prognostic factors of time to fitness for work during a 4-year period after inpatient rehabilitation for orthopaedic trauma.

INTRODUCTION: Time to fitness for work (TFW) was measured as the number of days that were paid as compensation for work disability during the 4 years after discharge from the rehabilitation clinic in a population of patients hospitalised for rehabilitation after orthopaedic trauma. The aim of this study was to test whether some psychological variables can be used as potential early prognostic factors of TFW. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the associations between predictive variables and TFW. Predictors were global health, pain at hospitalisation and pain decrease during the stay (all continuous and standardised by subtracting the mean and dividing by two standard deviations), perceived severity of the trauma and expectation of a positive evolution (both binary variables). RESULTS: Full data were available for 807 inpatients (660 men, 147 women). TFW was positively associated with better perceived health (hazard ratio [HR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-1.19), pain decrease (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.30-1.64) and expectation of a positive evolution (HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.32-1.70) and negatively associated with pain at hospitalisation (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.59-0.76) and high perceived severity (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.61-0.85). DISCUSSION: The present results provide some evidence that work disability during a four-year period after rehabilitation may be predicted by prerehabilitation perceptions of general health, pain, injury severity, as well as positive expectation of evolution.