Confidence: dependencies and their critical role in fostering user acceptance in pervasive applications

Pervasive computing offers new scenarios where users are surrounded by invisible and proactive technology making smart spaces. Although the utility and power of solutions developed using this computer paradigm are proved, there are unresolved problems that hinder their acceptance and inclusion in our private life. Users have problems understanding the operations of a pervasive computing solution, and therefore they should trust that the solution works properly and according to their expectations. Nevertheless, the concept of trust is already framed in a specific use within the ecosystem of applications that can populate a smart space. To take this concept of trust to the whole space, we propose to study and define the concept of confidence. In contrast to the concept of trust, confidence has deeper psychological implications.

Let's Gain More Confidence Of Clinicians With Our Colorful Contours: Blood Flow Simulation In Arteries Using Abaqus & STAR-CCM+

The objective of the current work is to present the results of several numerical simulations of pulsatile blood flow in healthy and diseased arteries and compare with clinical expectations. Different realistic and physiological aspects such as blood flow interaction with arterial walls, effect of heart movement, cardiovascular autoregulation, arterial walls' hyperelasticity and cardiovascular disorders have been incorporated in the models thanks to a direct coupling of Abaqus and STAR-CCM+. Comparisons of implicit and explicit coupling methods in cardiovascular simulations have been discussed. An in-house methodology combined with explicit FSI coupling has reduced considerably calculation time while the simulations stay realistic and reliable for clinicians

Accessible interaction solution based on confidence for the deployment of pervasive sensitive services in intelligent environments

Los servicios basados en las Tecnologías de la Información y las Comunicaciones (TIC) están cada vez más presentes en la vida de las personas. El avance de las TIC en términos técnicos y de aceptación social ha dado lugar la creación de nuevos modelos de provisión de servicios. Estos modelos de servicio implican una mayor integración con las actividades de las personas de forma que ya no solo están presentes en su ámbito profesional o de espacio ciudadano sino también en un ámbito más íntimo relacionado con su propia identidad. Así en la actualidad es común encontrar servicios conocedores del estado de salud de las personas, sus hábitos domésticos, su ideología, etc. Por tanto el análisis de los servicios actuales no puede limitarse a una componente técnica sino que es más necesario que nunca la inclusión de aspectos más relacionados con la forma de ser y sentir de sus usuarios. De esta forma no solo se garantizará la corrección técnica de sus funcionalidades sino que también se fomentará la generación de soluciones cívicamente seguras y respetuosas tanto con los derechos como con la forma de ser y sentir de sus usuarios. Desde el punto de vista de ingeniería, la perspectiva del usuario se ha englobado históricamente bajo el concepto de aceptación tecnológica. Dentro de este ámbito se puede interpretar que soluciones respetuosas y adaptadas a los usuarios fomentarán la aceptación por parte de éstos. La aceptación de una solución es algo deseable si bien es difícil de asegurar. Esta dificultad es debida al desconocimiento del número de variables que afectan a la aceptación de soluciones tecnológicas y a la dificultad de optimización de las variables conocidas. En esta tesis doctoral se estudia y caracteriza una de las variables que afecta a la aceptación de los servicios actuales: la confianza. Se define la confianza en términos psicológicos caracterizándola para permitir su uso en los métodos propios de la ingeniería. Además se proponen distintas herramientas que facilitan la optimización de la confianza en servicios cuya complejidad convierte a esta variable en una cuestión básica para mejorar la aceptación. Como contexto de trabajo para la tesis se ha escogido un servicio de salud desplegado en un hogar. Este escenario presenta una serie de restricciones de aceptación relativas a la tecnología utilizada para la creación de los servicios y la forma en que éstos gestionan la información adquirida del usuario. Se trata de servicios altamente sensibles y deslocalizados que pueden afectar a la percepción del usuario sobre el entorno, el hogar, y generar temores o rechazos que impidan su adopción final como solución válida. Una vez definido el marco genérico de trabajo, el objetivo principal de esta tesis doctoral se concreta en contribuir al fomento de la aceptación de nuevos servicios de salud pervasivos y personalizados y su despliegue en entornos inteligentes domésticos mediante un marco de diseño que promueva un estado psicológico de confianza en los usuarios. Para lograr abordar correctamente este objetivo se han proporcionado una serie de resultados tanto a nivel conceptual como tecnológico y experimental. En concreto se ha ofrecido una caracterización completa del sentimiento de confianza desde un punto de vista de ingeniería y una definición del concepto de servicio sensible deslocalizado o pervasivo. Además se ofrece un método para la inclusión del Diseño de Interacción, herramienta muy relacionada con la mejora de las variables de aceptación de tecnología, en los procesos de ingeniería de este tipo de servicios mediante un conjunto de patrones de interacción Persona – Entorno Inteligente. Finalmente se ha proporcionado el desarrollo de una arquitectura software para garantizar el correcto despliegue de estos servicios sensibles pervasivos en espacios inteligentes de una forma confiable. La discusión de los resultados obtenidos sugiere la extensión del modelo a diferentes servicios de la Sociedad de la Información que manejen datos sensibles tanto en el contexto del Hogar Digital como otros contextos donde el usuario realice actividades cotidianas, como los espacios de trabajo o los centros educativos. Las líneas de trabajo futuras contemplan la necesidad inminente de aplicar los resultados a desarrollos en curso, dentro de proyectos de investigación en los que participa el autor así como el desarrollo de nuevas líneas de investigación orientadas a la generación de nuevos espacios y tecnologías de interacción como el Colegio Digital, juguetes del futuro, sistemas de visualización confiables o sistemas de seguridad basados en el estado de las personas.

Bootstrap confidence levels for phylogenetic trees

Evolutionary trees are often estimated from DNA or RNA sequence data. How much confidence should we have in the estimated trees? In 1985, Felsenstein [Felsenstein, J. (1985) Evolution 39, 783–791] suggested the use of the bootstrap to answer this question. Felsenstein’s method, which in concept is a straightforward application of the bootstrap, is widely used, but has been criticized as biased in the genetics literature. This paper concerns the use of the bootstrap in the tree problem. We show that Felsenstein’s method is not biased, but that it can be corrected to better agree with standard ideas of confidence levels and hypothesis testing. These corrections can be made by using the more elaborate bootstrap method presented here, at the expense of considerably more computation.

Bootstrap confidence levels for phylogenetic trees.

Evolutionary trees are often estimated from DNA or RNA sequence data. How much confidence should we have in the estimated trees? In 1985, Felsenstein [Felsenstein, J. (1985) Evolution 39, 783-791] suggested the use of the bootstrap to answer this question. Felsenstein's method, which in concept is a straightforward application of the bootstrap, is widely used, but has been criticized as biased in the genetics literature. This paper concerns the use of the bootstrap in the tree problem. We show that Felsenstein's method is not biased, but that it can be corrected to better agree with standard ideas of confidence levels and hypothesis testing. These corrections can be made by using the more elaborate bootstrap method presented here, at the expense of considerably more computation.

Improving classification using a Confidence Matrix based on weak classifiers applied to OCR

This paper proposes a new feature representation method based on the construction of a Confidence Matrix (CM). This representation consists of posterior probability values provided by several weak classifiers, each one trained and used in different sets of features from the original sample. The CM allows the final classifier to abstract itself from discovering underlying groups of features. In this work the CM is applied to isolated character image recognition, for which several set of features can be extracted from each sample. Experimentation has shown that the use of CM permits a significant improvement in accuracy in most cases, while the others remain the same. The results were obtained after experimenting with four well-known corpora, using evolved meta-classifiers with the k-Nearest Neighbor rule as a weak classifier and by applying statistical significance tests.

Caesarean Birth vs. Vaginal Delivery: Effects upon Maternal Satisfaction, Maternal Confidence and Maternal Perception of the Newborn Behaviour

In order to test the hypothesis that caesarean birth has negative consequences upon newly mothers’ satisfaction and perceptions, women delivering by caesarean birth (WCB) were compared with women delivering by vaginal birth (WVB). Subjects: 180 newly mothers; 93 WCB and 87 WVB. Instruments: A Socio-Demographic Questionnaire developed for this research, the Childbirth Perceptions Questionnaire and the Mother and Baby Scales. Results: WCB had significantly lower scores in perceptions of baby as alert/responsive and nearly significant lower scores for baby as alert during feeds. WVB showed a significantly higher level of satisfaction with delivery and conduct during labour, as also had significantly lower scores for perceptions of baby as irritable during feeds and for lack of confidence in feeds. After controlling for the kind of anesthesia received in labour, three conclusions must be taken into account: 1) between WCB with regional anaesthesia and WCB with general anaesthesia there is only one significant difference, with the former having higher scores for perception of baby as alert during feeds; 2) between WVB with regional anaesthesia and WVB with no anaesthesia there are only two significant differences, with the former having higher scores for lack of confidence in feeding and having lower scores for global confidence; 3) between WCB with regional anaesthesia and WVB with regional anaesthesia four significant differences emerge, with the former having a lower level of satisfaction with delivery and conduct in labour and having lower scores for perception of baby as alert responsive, and also having higher scores of perception of baby as irritable in feeds and higher scores for lack of confidence in feeding. Data seem compatible with the hypothesis that caesarean birth has some negative consequences upon mothers’ satisfaction and perceptions and, for this reason, psychological surveys should constitute a routine procedure in maternity hospitals, especially when newly mothers pertain to families affected by risks of psychological or social nature.

China's ETS: A vote of confidence in carbon markets ahead of Paris. CEPS Commentary, 12 October 2015

In this CEPS commentary, Andrei Marcu welcomes the recent announcement by President Xi Jinping that China will start a national emissions trading scheme in 2017. Calling it a "genuine game changer" in the global climate talks, Marcu describes the decision as giving a much-needed boost to carbon markets and cap-and-trade as the preferred way forward for those economies that have the capacity, the depth and the breadth for a liquid carbon market.