Banning Obsolete Weapons or Reshaping Perceptions of Military Utility: Discursive Dynamics in Weapons Prohibitions

The paper focuses on the argumentative process through which new international norms prohibiting the use of weapons causing severe civilian harm emerge. It examines the debate surrounding the use and usefulness of landmines and cluster munitions and traces the process through which NGOs change conceptions of military utility and effectiveness of certain weapons by highlighting their humanitarian problems and questioning their military value. By challenging military thinking on these issues, NGOs redefine the terms of the debate – from a commonplace practice, the use of such weapons becomes controversial and military decisions need to be justified. The argument-counterargument dynamic shifts the burden of proof of the necessity and safety of the weapons to the users. The process witnesses the ability of NGOs to influence debates on military issues despite their disadvantaged position in hard security issue areas. It also challenges realist assumptions that only weapons that are obsolete or low-cost force equalizers for weak actors can be banned. To the contrary, the paper shows that in the case of landmines and cluster munitions, defining the military (in)effectiveness of the weapons is part and parcel of the struggle for their prohibition.

Where will conflicts between alien and rare species occur after climate and land-use change? A test with a novel combined modelling approach

Protecting native biodiversity against alien invasive species requires powerful methods to anticipate these invasions and to protect native species assumed to be at risk. Here, we describe how species distribution models (SDMs) can be used to identify areas predicted as suitable for rare native species and also predicted as highly susceptible to invasion by alien species, at present and under future climate and land-use scenarios. To assess the condition and dynamics of such conflicts, we developed a combined predictive modelling (CPM) approach, which predicts species distributions by combining two SDMs fitted using subsets of predictors classified as acting at either regional or local scales. We illustrate the CPM approach for an alien invader and a rare species associated to similar habitats in northwest Portugal. Combined models predict a wider variety of potential species responses, providing more informative projections of species distributions and future dynamics than traditional, non-combined models. They also provide more informative insight regarding current and future rare-invasive conflict areas. For our studied species, conflict areas of highest conservation relevance are predicted to decrease over the next decade, supporting previous reports that some invasive species may contract their geographic range and impact due to climate change. More generally, our results highlight the more informative character of the combined approach to address practical issues in conservation and management programs, especially those aimed at mitigating the impact of invasive plants, land-use and climate changes in sensitive regions

Patterns in the situated activity of substance use in the careers of elite doping athletes

Objectives This article presents a psychological approach to substance use in sport using a dynamic and situated activity framework. The aim was to analyze the various relationships between activity and the consumption of substances during the sporting life course of athletes who recognized doping violation. Design Data were collected from secondary sources and biographical and self-confrontational interviews to build traces of the past activity. Method Twelve doping athletes or those admitting to having used banned substances volunteered to participate. The data were coded and compared to identify typical activities and their intrinsic dynamics. Results Six activities were identified: "Agree to use," "Drop out of a non-viable state," Return to a former state," "Prevent a potential deficiency," "Maintain an acquired state," and "Balance the sporting life with substance use," comprising 11 patterns. Conclusions The athletes' activity embedded substance use in reciprocal relationships that consisted of freezing, exploring and exploiting fields of possible actions created and offered by the situation dynamics. Recommendations for situated and dynamic prevention are provided.

HIV-1 reverse transcriptase connection domain mutations: dynamics of emergence and implications for success of combination antiretroviral therapy.

BACKGROUND: Factors promoting the emergence of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) reverse transcriptase (RT) connection domain mutations and their effect on antiretroviral therapy (ART) are still largely undetermined. We investigated this matter by analyzing genotypic resistance tests covering 400 amino acid positions in the RT of HIV-1 subtype B viruses and corresponding treatment histories and laboratory measurements. METHODS: The emergence of connection domain mutations was studied in 334 patients receiving monotherapy or dual therapy with thymidine analogues at the time of the genotypic resistance test. Response to subsequent combination ART (cART) was analyzed using Cox regression for 291 patients receiving unboosted protease inhibitors. Response was defined by ever reaching an HIV RNA level <50 copies/mL during the first cART. RESULTS: The connection domain mutations N348I, R356K, R358K, A360V, and A371V were more frequently observed in ART-exposed than ART-naive patients, of which only N348I and A360V were nonpolymorphic (with a prevalence of <1.5% in untreated patients). N348I correlated with M184V and predominantly occurred in patients receiving lamivudine and zidovudine concomitantly. A360V was not associated with specific drug combinations and was found to emerge later than M184V or thymidine analogue mutations. Nonpolymorphic connection domain mutations were rarely detected in the absence of established drug resistance mutations in ART-exposed individuals (prevalence, <1%). None of the 5 connection domain mutations associated with treatment showed a statistically significant effect on response to cART. CONCLUSIONS: Despite their frequent emergence, connection domain mutations did not show large detrimental effects on response to cART. Currently, routine implementation of connection domain sequencing seems unnecessary for developed health care settings.

Effect of roscovitine on intracellular calcium dynamics: differential enantioselective responses.

Cyclin-dependent kinases (CDKs) inhibitors have emerged as interesting therapeutic candidates. Of these, (S)-roscovitine has been proposed as potential neuroprotective molecule for stroke while (R)-roscovitine is currently entering phase II clinical trials against cancers and phase I clinical tests against glomerulonephritis. In addition, (R)-roscovitine has been suggested as potential antihypertensive and anti-inflammatory drug. Dysfunction of intracellular calcium balance is a common denominator of these diseases, and the two roscovitine enantiomers (S and R) are known to modulate calcium voltage channel activity differentially. Here, we provide a detailed description of short- and long-term responses of roscovitine on intracellular calcium handling in renal epithelial cells. Short-term exposure to (S)-roscovitine induced a cytosolic calcium peak, which was abolished after stores depletion with cyclopiazonic acid (CPA). Instead, (R)-roscovitine caused a calcium peak followed by a small calcium plateau. Cytosolic calcium response was prevented after stores depletion. Bafilomycin, a selective vacuolar H(+)-ATPase inhibitor, abolished the small calcium plateau. Long-term exposure to (R)-roscovitine significantly reduced the basal calcium level compared to control and (S)-roscovitine treated cells. However, both enantiomers increased calcium accumulation in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER). Consistently, cells treated with (R)-roscovitine showed a significant increase in SERCA activity, whereas (S)-roscovitine incubation resulted in a reduced PMCA expression. We also found a tonic decreased ability to release calcium from the ER, likely via IP3 signaling, under treatment with (S)- or (R)-roscovitine. Together our data revealed that (S)-roscovitine and (R)-roscovitine exert distinct enantiospecific effects on intracellular calcium signaling in renal epithelial cells. This distinct pharmacological profile can be relevant for roscovitine clinical use.

Integrating receptor interactions and dynamics and Interference with endocrine disruptors in the mechanisms of action of PPAR nuclear receptors

Abstract Peroxisome Proliferator-Activated Receptors (PPARs) form a family of three nuclear receptors regulating important cellular and metabolic functions. PPARs control gene expression by directly binding to target promoters as heterodimers with the Retinoid X Receptor (RXR), and their transcriptional activity is enhanced upon activation by natural or pharmacological ligands. The binding of PPAR/RXR heterodimers on target promoters allows the anchoring of a series of coactivators and corepressors involved in promoter remodeling and the recruitment of the transcription machinery. The transcriptional output finally depends on a complex interplay between (i) the respective expression levels of PPARs, RXRs and of other nuclear receptors competing for DNA binding and RXR recruitment, (ii) the availability and the nature of PPAR and RXR ligands, (iii) the expression levels and the nature of the different coactivators and corepressors and (iv) the sequence and the epigenetic status of the promoter. Understanding how all these factors and signals integrate and fine-tune transcription remains a challenge but is necessary to understand the specificity of the physiological functions regulated by PPARs. The work presented herein focuses on the molecular mechanisms of PPAR action and aims at understanding how the interactions and mobility of the receptor modulate transcription in the physiological context of a living cell: Such observations in vivo rely on the use of engineered fluorescent protein chimeras and require the development and the application of complementary imaging techniques such as Fluorescence Recovery After Photobleaching (FRAP), Fluorescence Resonance Energy Transfer (FRET) and Fluorescence Correlation Spectroscopy (FCS). Using such techniques, PPARs are shown to reside solely in the nucleus where they are constitutively associated with RXR but transcriptional activation by ligand binding -does not promote the formation of sub-nuclear structures as observed with other nuclear receptors. In addition, the engagement of unliganded PPARs in large complexes of cofactors in living cells provides a molecular basis for their ligand-independent activity. Ligand binding reduces receptor diffusion by promoting the recruitment of coactivators which further enlarge the size of PPAR complexes to acquire full transcriptional competence. Using these molecular approaches, we deciphered the molecular mechanisms through which phthalates, a class of pollutants from the plastic industry, interfere with PPARγ signaling. Mono-ethyl-hexyl-phthalate (MEHP) binding induces the recruitment of a specific subset of cofactors and translates into the expression of a specific subset of target genes, the transcriptional output being strongly conditioned by the differentiation status of the cell. This selective PPARγ modulation induces limited adipogenic effects in cellular models while exposure to phthalates in animal models leads to protective effects on glucose tolerance and diet-induced obesity. These results demonstrate that phthalates influence lipid and carbohydrate metabolism through complex mechanisms which most likely involve PPARγ but also probably PPARα and PPARß, Altogether, the molecular and physiological demonstration of the interference of pollutants with PPAR action outlines an important role of chemical exposure in metabolic regulations. Résumé Les PPARs (Peroxisome Proliferator-Activated Receptors) forment une famille de récepteurs nucléaires qui régulent des fonctions cellulaires et métaboliques importantes. Les PPARs contrôlent l'expression des gènes en se liant directement à leurs promoteurs sous forme d'hétérodimères avec les récepteurs RXR (Retinoid X Receptor), et leur activité transcriptionnelle est stimulée par la liaison de ligands naturels ou pharmacologiques. L'association des hétérodimères PPAR/RXR avec les promoteurs des gènes cibles permet le recrutement de coactivateurs et de corépresseurs qui vont permettre le remodelage de la chromatine et le recrutement de la machinerie transcriptionnelle. Les actions transcriptionnelles du récepteur dépendent toutefois d'interactions complexes qui sont régulées par (i) le niveau d'expression des PPARs, des RXRs et d'autres récepteurs nucléaires entrant en compétition pour la liaison à l'ADN et l'association avec RXR, (ii) la disponibilité et la nature de ligands de PPAR et de RXR, (iii) les niveaux d'expression et la nature des différents coactivateurs et corépresseurs et (iv) la séquence et le marquage épigénétique des promoteurs. La compréhension des mécanismes qui permettent d'intégrer ces aspects pour assurer une régulation fine de l'activité transcriptionnelle est un défi qu'il est nécessaire de relever pour comprendre la spécificité des fonctions physiologiques régulées par les PPARs. Ce travail concerne l'étude des mécanismes d'action moléculaire des PPARs et vise à mieux comprendre comment les interactions du récepteur avec d'autres protéines ainsi que la mobilité de ce dernier régulent son activité transcriptionnelle dans le contexte physiologique des cellules vivantes. De telles observations reposent sur l'emploi de protéines fusionnées à des protéines fluorescentes ainsi que sur le développement et l'utilisation de techniques d'imagerie complémentaires telles que le FRAP (Fluorescence Recovery After Photobleaching), le FRET (Fluorescence Resonance Energy Transfer) ou la FCS (Fluorescence Corrélation Spectroscopy). En appliquant ces méthodes, nous avons pu montrer que les PPARs résident toujours dans le noyau où ils sont associés de manière constitutive à RXR, mais que l'ajout de ligand n'induit pas la formation de structures sub-nucléaires comme cela a pu être décrit pour d'autres récepteurs nucléaires. De plus, les PPARs sont engagés dans de larges complexes protéiques de cofacteurs en absence de ligand, ce qui procure une explication moléculaire à leur activité ligand-indépendante. La liaison du ligand réduit la vitesse de diffusion du récepteur en induisant le recrutement de coactivateurs qui augmente encore plus la taille des complexes afin d'acquérir un potentiel d'activation maximal. En utilisant ces approches moléculaires, nous avons pu caractériser les mécanismes permettant aux phtalates, une classe de polluants provenant de l'industrie plastique, d'interférer avec PPARγ. La liaison du mono-ethyl-hexyl-phtalate (NERF) à PPARγ induit un recrutement sélectif de cofacteurs, se traduisant par l'induction spécifique d'un sous-ensemble de gènes qui varie en fonction du niveau de différentiation cellulaire. La modulation sélective de PPARγ par le MEHP provoque une adipogenèse modérée dans des modèles cellulaires alors que l'exposition de modèles animaux aux phtalates induit des effets bénéfiques sur la tolérance au glucose et sur le développement de l'obésité. Toutefois, les phtalates ont une action complexe sur le métabolisme glucido-lipidique en faisant intervenir PPARγ mais aussi probablement PPARα et PPARß. Cette démonstration moléculaire et physiologique de l'interférence des polluants avec les récepteurs nucléaires PPAR souligne un rôle important de l'exposition à de tels composés dans les régulations métaboliques.

Two-sided learning in new keynesian models: dynamics, (lack of) convergence and the value of information

This paper investigates the role of learning by private agents and the central bank (two-sided learning) in a New Keynesian framework in which both sides of the economy have asymmetric and imperfect knowledge about the true data generating process. We assume that all agents employ the data that they observe (which may be distinct for different sets of agents) to form beliefs about unknown aspects of the true model of the economy, use their beliefs to decide on actions, and revise these beliefs through a statistical learning algorithm as new information becomes available. We study the short-run dynamics of our model and derive its policy recommendations, particularly with respect to central bank communications. We demonstrate that two-sided learning can generate substantial increases in volatility and persistence, and alter the behavior of the variables in the model in a signifficant way. Our simulations do not converge to a symmetric rational expectations equilibrium and we highlight one source that invalidates the convergence results of Marcet and Sargent (1989). Finally, we identify a novel aspect of central bank communication in models of learning: communication can be harmful if the central bank's model is substantially mis-specified

How did the Financial Crisis affect the Real Interest Rate Dynamics in Europe?

We investigate the effects of the financial crisis on the stationarity of real interest rates in the Euro Area. We use a new unit root test developed by Peseran et al. (2013) that allows for multiple unobserved factors in a panel set up. Our results suggest that while short-term and long-term real interest rates were stationary before the financial crisis, they became nonstationary during the crisis period likely due to persistent risk that characterized financial markets during that time. JEL codes: E43, C23. Keywords: Real interest rates, Euro Area, financial crisis, panel unit root tests, cross-sectional dependence.

The role of computational fluid dynamics in the management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms: a clinicians' view

Objective: The importance of hemodynamics in the etiopathogenesis of intracranial aneurysms (IAs) is widely accepted.Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is being used increasingly for hemodynamic predictions. However, alogn with thecontinuing development and validation of these tools, it is imperative to collect the opinion of the clinicians. Methods: A workshopon CFD was conducted during the European Society of Minimally Invasive Neurological Therapy (ESMINT) Teaching Course,Lisbon, Portugal. 36 delegates, mostly clinicians, performed supervised CFD analysis for an IA, using the @neuFuse softwaredeveloped within the European project @neurIST. Feedback on the workshop was collected and analyzed. The performancewas assessed on a scale of 1 to 4 and, compared with experts’ performance. Results: Current dilemmas in the management ofunruptured IAs remained the most important motivating factor to attend the workshop and majority of participants showedinterest in participating in a multicentric trial. The participants achieved an average score of 2.52 (range 0–4) which was 63% (range 0–100%) of an expert user. Conclusions: Although participants showed a manifest interest in CFD, there was a clear lack ofawareness concerning the role of hemodynamics in the etiopathogenesis of IAs and the use of CFD in this context. More effortstherefore are required to enhance understanding of the clinicians in the subject.

Bilinear models for spatio-temporal point distribution analysis: application to extrapolation of left ventricular, biventricular and whole heart cardiac dynamics

In this work we describe the usage of bilinear statistical models as a means of factoring the shape variability into two components attributed to inter-subject variation and to the intrinsic dynamics of the human heart. We show that it is feasible to reconstruct the shape of the heart at discrete points in the cardiac cycle. Provided we are given a small number of shape instances representing the same heart atdifferent points in the same cycle, we can use the bilinearmodel to establish this. Using a temporal and a spatial alignment step in the preprocessing of the shapes, around half of the reconstruction errors were on the order of the axial image resolution of 2 mm, and over 90% was within 3.5 mm. From this, weconclude that the dynamics were indeed separated from theinter-subject variability in our dataset.

The dynamics of the Swiss electricity market : three essays

Executive Summary Electricity is crucial for modern societies, thus it is important to understand the behaviour of electricity markets in order to be prepared to face the consequences of policy changes. The Swiss electricity market is now in a transition stage from a public monopoly to a liberalised market and it is undergoing an "emergent" liberalisation - i.e. liberalisation taking place without proper regulation. The withdrawal of nuclear capacity is also being debated. These two possible changes directly affect the mechanisms for capacity expansion. Thus, in this thesis we concentrate on understanding the dynamics of capacity expansion in the Swiss electricity market. A conceptual model to help understand the dynamics of capacity expansion in the Swiss electricity market is developed an explained in the first essay. We identify a potential risk of imports dependence. In the second essay a System Dynamics model, based on the conceptual model, is developed to evaluate the consequences of three scenarios: a nuclear phase-out, the implementation of a policy for avoiding imports dependence, and the combination of both. We conclude that the Swiss market is not well prepared to face unexpected changes of supply and demand, and we identify a risk of imports dependence, mainly in the case of a nuclear phase-out. The third essay focus on the opportunity cost of hydro-storage power generation, one of the main generation sources in Switzerland. We use and extended version of our model to test different policies for assigning an opportunity cost to hydro-storage power generation. We conclude that the preferred policies are different for different market participants and depend on market structure.

Financing Constraints, Irreversibility, and Investment Dynamics

We develop a model of an industry with many heterogeneous firms that face both financing constraints and irreversibility constraints. The financing constraint implies that firms cannot borrow unless the debt is secured by collateral; the irreversibility constraint that they can only sell their fixed capital by selling their business. We use this model to examine the cyclical behavior of aggregate fixed investment, variable capital investment, and output in the presence of persistent idiosyncratic and aggregate shocks. Our model yields three main results. First, the effect of the irreversibility constraint on fixed capital investment is reinforced by the financing constraint. Second, the effect of the financing constraint on variable capital investment is reinforced by the irreversibility constraint. Finally, the interaction between the two constraints is key for explaining why input inventories and material deliveries of US manufacturing firms are so volatile and procyclical, and also why they are highly asymmetrical over the business cycle.

Tenofovir use is associated with an increase in serum alkaline phosphatase in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Tenofovir (TDF) use has been associated with proximal renal tubulopathy, reduced calculated glomerular filtration rates (cGFR) and losses in bone mineral density. Bone resorption could result in a compensatory osteoblast activation indicated by an increase in serum alkaline phosphatase (sAP). A few small studies have reported a positive correlation between renal phosphate losses, increased bone turnover and sAP. METHODS: We analysed sAP dynamics in patients initiating (n = 657), reinitiating (n = 361) and discontinuing (n = 73) combined antiretroviral therapy with and without TDF and assessed correlations with clinical and epidemiological parameters. RESULTS: TDF use was associated with a significant increase of sAP from a median of 74 U/I (interquartile range 60-98) to a plateau of 99 U/I (82-123) after 6 months (P < 0.0001), with a prompt return to baseline upon TDF discontinuation. No change occurred in TDF-sparing regimes. Univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses revealed a positive correlation between sAP and TDF use (P < or = 0.003), but no correlation with baseline cGFR, TDF-related cGFR reduction, changes in serum alanine aminotransferase (sALT) or active hepatitis C. CONCLUSIONS: We document a highly significant association between TDF use and increased sAP in a large observational cohort. The lack of correlation between TDF use and sALT suggests that the increase in sAP is because of the bone isoenzyme and indicates stimulated bone turnover. This finding, together with published data on TDF-related renal phosphate losses, this finding raises concerns that TDF use could result in osteomalacia with a loss in bone mineral density at least in a subset of patients. This potentially severe long-term toxicity should be addressed in future studies.

Two-sided learning in New Keynesian models: Dynamics, (lack of) convergence and the value of information

This paper investigates the role of learning by private agents and the central bank(two-sided learning) in a New Keynesian framework in which both sides of the economyhave asymmetric and imperfect knowledge about the true data generating process. Weassume that all agents employ the data that they observe (which may be distinct fordifferent sets of agents) to form beliefs about unknown aspects of the true model ofthe economy, use their beliefs to decide on actions, and revise these beliefs througha statistical learning algorithm as new information becomes available. We study theshort-run dynamics of our model and derive its policy recommendations, particularlywith respect to central bank communications. We demonstrate that two-sided learningcan generate substantial increases in volatility and persistence, and alter the behaviorof the variables in the model in a significant way. Our simulations do not convergeto a symmetric rational expectations equilibrium and we highlight one source thatinvalidates the convergence results of Marcet and Sargent (1989). Finally, we identifya novel aspect of central bank communication in models of learning: communicationcan be harmful if the central bank's model is substantially mis-specified.

Dynamics of the control of Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti Linnaeus (Diptera, Culicidae) by Bacillus thuringiensis var israelensis, related with temperature, density and concentration of insecticide

The dynamics of the control of Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti Linnaeus, (Diptera, Culicidae) by Bacillus thuringiensis var israelensis has been related with the temperature, density and concentration of the insecticide. A mathematical model for biological control of Aedes aegypti with Bacillus thuringiensis var israelensis (Bti) was constructed by using data from the literature regarding the biology of the vector. The life cycle was described by differential equations. Lethal concentrations (LC50 and LC95) of Bti were determined in the laboratory under different experimental conditions. Temperature, colony, larvae density and bioinsecticide concentration presented marked differences in the analysis of the whole set of variables; although when analyzed individually, only the temperature and concentration showed changes. The simulations indicated an inverse relationship between temperature and mosquito population, nonetheless, faster growth of populations is reached at higher temperatures. As conclusion, the model suggests the use of integrated control strategies for immature and adult mosquitoes in order to achieve a reduction of Aedes aegypti.