Numerical modelling of radionuclide migration in near-surface systems

Em todo o mundo são usados, hoje em dia, modelos numéricos hidrogeoquímicos para simular fenómenos naturais e fenómenos decorrentes de actividades antrópicas. Estes modelos ajudam-nos a compreender o ambiente envolvente, a sua variabilidade espacial e evolução temporal. No presente trabalho apresenta-se o desenvolvimento de modelos numéricos hidrogeoquímicos aplicados no contexto do repositório geológico profundo para resíduos nucleares de elevada actividade. A avaliação da performance de um repositório geológico profundo inclui o estudo da evolução geoquímica do repositório, bem como a análise dos cenários de mau funcionamento do repositório, e respectivas consequências ambientais. Se se escaparem acidentalmente radionuclídeos de um repositório, estes poderão atravessar as barreiras de engenharia e barreiras naturais que constituem o repositório, atingindo eventualmente, os ecosistemas superficiais. Neste caso, os sedimentos subsuperficiais constituem a última barreira natural antes dos ecosistemas superficiais. No presente trabalho foram desenvolvidos modelos numéricos que integram processos biogeoquímicos, geoquímicos, hidrodinâmicos e de transporte de solutos, para entender e quantificar a influência destes processos na mobilidade de radionuclídeos em sistemas subsuperficiais. Os resultados alcançados reflectem a robustez dos instrumentos numéricos utilizados para desenvolver simulações descritivas e predictivas de processos hidrogeoquímicos que influenciam a mobilidade de radionuclídeos. A simulação (descritiva) de uma experiência laboratorial revela que a actividade microbiana induz a diminuição do potencial redox da água subterrânea que, por sua vez, favorece a retenção de radionuclídeos sensíveis ao potencial redox, como o urânio. As simulações predictivas indicam que processos de co-precipitação com minerais de elementos maioritários, precipitação de fases puras, intercâmbio catiónico e adsorção à superfície de minerais favorecem a retenção de U, Cs, Sr e Ra na fase sólida de uma argila glaciar e uma moreia rica em calcite. A etiquetagem dos radionuclídeos nas simulações numéricas permitiu concluir que a diluição isotópica joga um papel importante no potencial impacte dos radionuclídeos nos sistemas subsuperficiais. A partir dos resultados das simulações numéricas é possivel calcular coeficientes de distribuição efectivos. Esta metodologia proporciona a simulação de ensaios de traçadores de longa duração que não seriam exequíveis à escala da vida humana. A partir destas simulações podem ser obtidos coeficientes de retardamento que são úteis no contexto da avaliação da performance de repositórios geológicos profundos.

Contribution to the study of the Ria de Aveiro inlet morphodynamics

Over the years it was observed at the Ria de Aveiro lagoon inlet, near the head of the north breakwater, a depth increase that might threaten the stability of this structure. A trend of accretion in the navigation channel of this lagoon is observed, endangering the navigation in this region. In order to understand the origin of these and other trends observed, the knowledge of the sediment transport in the study area is imperative. The main aim of this work is understanding the dominant physical processes in the sediment transport of sediment at the Ria de Aveiro lagoon inlet and adjacent area, improving knowledge of this region morphodynamics. The methodology followed in this study consisted in the analyzes of the topohydrographic surveys performed by the Administration of the Aveiro Harbor, and in the numerical simulations results performed with the morphodynamic modeling system MORSYS2D. The analysis of the surveys was performed by studying the temporal evolution of the bathymetry. The numerical analysis was based on the implementation of the model at the study area, sensitivity analysis of the formulations used to compute the sediment transport to the variation of input parameters (e.g. depth, sediment size, tidal currents) and analysis of the sediment uxes and bathymetric changes predicted. The simulations considered as sediment transport forcing the tidal currents only and the coupled forcing of tides and waves. Considering the wave e ect as sediment transport forcing, both monochromatic waves and a wave regime were simulated. The results revealed that the observed residual sediment transport patterns are generated due to the channel con guration. Inside the lagoon the uxes are mainly induced by the tidal currents action, restricting the action of waves to the inlet and adjacent coast. In the navigation channel the residual sediment uxes predicted are directed o - shore with values between 7 and 40 m3=day generating accretions of approximately 10 m3=day for the shallower region and 35 m3=day for the region between the tidal gauge and the tri^angulo das mar es. At the inlet, the residual uxes are approximately 30 m3=day inducing trends of erosion of approximately 20 m3=day. At the North side of the nearshore accretion is predicted, while at the South side is predicted erosion, at the rates of 250 and 1500 m3=day, respectively. It was also concluded that the waves with higher contribution to the residual sediment uxes are those with heights between 4 and 5 m. However, the storm waves with heights bigger than 5 m, despite their 10% of frequency of occurrence are responsible for 25% of the observed sediment transport.

High-resolution spatial mapping of changes in the neurochemical profile after focal ischemia in mice.

After ischemic stroke, the ischemic damage to brain tissue evolves over time and with an uneven spatial distribution. Early irreversible changes occur in the ischemic core, whereas, in the penumbra, which receives more collateral blood flow, the damage is more mild and delayed. A better characterization of the penumbra, irreversibly damaged and healthy tissues is needed to understand the mechanisms involved in tissue death. MRSI is a powerful tool for this task if the scan time can be decreased whilst maintaining high sensitivity. Therefore, we made improvements to a (1) H MRSI protocol to study middle cerebral artery occlusion in mice. The spatial distribution of changes in the neurochemical profile was investigated, with an effective spatial resolution of 1.4 μL, applying the protocol on a 14.1-T magnet. The acquired maps included the difficult-to-separate glutamate and glutamine resonances and, to our knowledge, the first mapping of metabolites γ-aminobutyric acid and glutathione in vivo, within a metabolite measurement time of 45 min. The maps were in excellent agreement with findings from single-voxel spectroscopy and offer spatial information at a scan time acceptable for most animal models. The metabolites measured differed with respect to the temporal evolution of their concentrations and the localization of these changes. Specifically, lactate and N-acetylaspartate concentration changes largely overlapped with the T(2) -hyperintense region visualized with MRI, whereas changes in cholines and glutathione affected the entire middle cerebral artery territory. Glutamine maps showed elevated levels in the ischemic striatum until 8 h after reperfusion, and until 24 h in cortical tissue, indicating differences in excitotoxic effects and secondary energy failure in these tissue types. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Effet de la maladie de Parkinson et de la médication dopaminergique sur les mécanismes de traitement et d'intégration sensorielle et l'adaptation visuomotrice

L’intégrité de notre système sensorimoteur est essentielle aux interactions adéquates avec notre environnement. Dans la maladie de Parkinson (MP), l’efficacité des interactions quotidiennes entre le corps et l’environnement est fréquemment réduite et diminue la qualité de vie. La MP est une maladie neurodégénérative résultant prioritairement d’une perte neuronale dopaminergique dans les ganglions de la base (GB). Cette dégénérescence altère le fonctionnement normal de la circuiterie associant les GB au cortex cérébral. L’administration de médications dopaminergiques permet d’améliorer les principaux symptômes cliniques moteurs de la MP. Cette thèse porte sur les rôles des GB dans les processus de traitement et d’intégration des informations sensorielles visuelle et proprioceptive et dans les mécanismes d’adaptation visuomotrice. Elle s’intéresse également à l’influence de la médication dopaminergique sur ces fonctions sensorimotrices. Nous avons réalisé trois études comportementales, utilisant l’atteinte manuelle tridimensionnelle comme modèle expérimental. Dans chacune de ces études, nous avons comparé la performance de personnes âgées en santé à celle de personnes souffrant de la MP avec et sans leur médication antiparkinsonienne quotidienne. Ces trois études ont été réalisées à l’aide d’un système d’analyse de mouvement et une station de réalité virtuelle. Dans la première étude, nous avons évalué si les GB sont prioritairement impliqués dans l’intégration sensorimotrice ou le traitement des informations proprioceptives. Pour se faire, nous avons testé la capacité des patients MP à effectuer des atteintes manuelles tridimensionnelles précises dans quatre conditions variant la nature des informations sensorielles (visuelles et/ou proprioceptives) définissant la position de la main et de la cible. Les patients MP ont effectué, en moyenne, de plus grandes erreurs spatiales que les personnes en santé uniquement lorsque les informations proprioceptives étaient la seule source d’information sensorielle disponible. De plus, ces imprécisions spatiales étaient significativement plus grandes que celles des personnes en santé, seulement lorsque les patients étaient testés dans la condition médicamentée. La deuxième étude présentée dans cette thèse a permis de démontrer que les imprécisions spatiales des patients MP dans les conditions proprioceptives étaient le résultat de déficits dans l’utilisation en temps réel des informations proprioceptives pour guider les mouvements. Dans la troisième étude, nous avons évalué si les GB sont prioritairement impliqués dans les mécanismes d’adaptation visuomotrice explicite ou implicite. Pour se faire, nous avons testé les capacités adaptatives des patients MP dans deux tâches variant le décours temporel de l’application d’une perturbation visuomotrice tridimensionnelle. Dans la tâche explicite, la perturbation était introduite soudainement, produisant de grandes erreurs détectées consciemment. Dans la condition implicite, la perturbation était introduite graduellement ce qui engendrait de petites erreurs non détectables. Les résultats montrent que les patients MP dans les conditions médicamentée et non médicamentée présentent des déficits adaptatifs uniquement dans la tâche explicite. Dans l’ensemble, les résultats expérimentaux présentés dans cette thèse montrent que la médication dopaminergique n’améliore pas le traitement des afférences proprioceptives et l’adaptation visuomotrice des personnes souffrant de la MP. Ces observations suggèrent que les dysfonctions dans les circuits dopaminergiques dans les GB ne sont pas les seules responsables des déficits observés dans ces fonctions sensorimotrices.

Étude du continuum exposition-effet cancérogène du benzo[a]pyrène

Le benzo[a]pyrène (BaP) est un contaminant environnemental de la famille des hydrocarbures aromatiques polycycliques ayant été classé cancérogène chez l’humain. Cependant, la relation entre l’exposition et les effets est toujours mal documentée. L’objectif de cette thèse était de mieux documenter la relation quantitative entre l’exposition au BaP, l’évolution temporelle des biomarqueurs d’exposition et l’apparition d’altérations biologiques précoces, à partir d’études expérimentales chez le rat. Dans un premier temps, nous avons déterminé l’effet de 4 doses de BaP (0.4, 4, 10 et 40 µmol/kg) sur plusieurs biomarqueurs d’exposition (3- et 7-OHBaP, 4,5- et 7,8-diolBaP, BaPtétrol et 1,6-, 3,6- et 7,8-diones-BaP), les adduits à l’ADN et l’expression de gènes impliqués dans le métabolisme du BaP, la réparation de l’ADN et le stress oxydatif. Le BaP et ses métabolites ont été mesurés dans le sang, les tissus et les excrétas, 8 h et 24 h après l’administration intraveineuse de BaP par chromatographie liquide à ultra haute performance (UHPLC) couplée à la fluorescence. Les adduits à l’ADN ont été quantifiés dans les poumons par immuno-essai en chémoluminescence. L’expression des gènes dans les poumons a été réalisée par PCR quantitative en temps réel (qRT-PCR). Les résultats ont révélé une bonne relation dose-excrétion pour le 3-OHBaP, le 4,5-diolBaP et le 7,8-diolBaP et ils ont également renforcé l’utilité du 4,5-diolBaP comme potentiel biomarqueur du BaP en plus du 3-OHBaP. De plus, l’augmentation dose-dépendante de la formation des adduits et de l’expression de certains gènes impliqués dans le métabolisme et le stress oxydatif a suggéré l’intérêt de ces derniers comme biomarqueurs d’effet précoce. Dans un second temps, nous avons évaluer le profil cinétique des biomarqueurs en lien avec la modulation temporelle de la formation des adduits à l’ADN et de l’expression génique, en utilisant la dose de 40 µmol/kg de BaP telle qu’établie dans l’étude précédente, avec une série de mesures sur une durée de 72 h après l’injection intraveineuse de BaP. Il est apparu que le 3- et le 7-OHBaP ainsi que le 4,5- et le 7,8-diolBaP semblaient être de bons biomarqueurs d'exposition; les hydroxyBaP et diolBaP présentaient des cinétiques différentes, mais tous ces métabolites étaient corrélés de façon significative aux adduits BaPDE dans les poumons. L’expression de certains gènes et l’étude de leur profil cinétique a également permis de faire des liens avec la formation des adduits et de mieux comprendre le métabolisme du BaP. Après ces résultats, il semblait alors logique de s’intéresser à l’effet de la voie d’exposition dans un context d’exposition multiple de la population. Les données mesurées dans le sang et les excréta, après administration de 40 µmol/kg de BaP par voie intraveineuse, intratrachéale, orale, et cutanée, ont encore une fois montré l'intérêt de mesurer plusieurs métabolites pour l’évaluation de l’exposition en raison des différences en fonction de la voie d’administration du composé et des différences dans la cinétique de plusieurs biomarqueurs, notamment entre les hydroxy (3- et 7-OHBaP) et les diols-BaP (4,5- et 7,8-diolBaP). Les résultats suggèrent aussi que la mesure de ratios de concentrations de différents métabolites pourrait aider à indiquer le moment et la principale voie d’exposition. Ces données ont permis une meilleure compréhension du continuum entre l’exposition et les effets.

Modélisation toxicocinétique du benzo(a)pyrène et 3-hydroxybenzo(a)pyrène pour l’interprétation des données de surveillance biologique de l’exposition chez les travailleurs

De nombreux travailleurs sont exposés aux hydrocarbures aromatiques polycycliques (HAP). Le benzo(a)pyrène (BaP) fait partie de ce groupe de polluants. Cette substance a été classée cancérogène reconnu chez l’humain. Pour évaluer l'exposition aux HAP cancérogènes, plusieurs chercheurs ont proposé d’utiliser la mesure du 3-hydroxybenzo(a)pyrène (3-OHBaP) dans l’urine des travailleurs exposés. Dans le cadre du présent projet, deux approches de modélisation ont été développées et appliquées pour permettre une meilleure compréhension de la toxicocinétique du BaP et son biomarqueur d’intérêt actuel, le 3-OHBaP, et pour aider à interpréter les résultats de surveillance biologique. Un modèle toxicocinétique à plusieurs compartiments a été développé sur la base des données préalablement obtenues sur le rat par notre groupe. Selon le modèle, le BaP injecté par voie intraveineuse est rapidement distribué du sang vers les tissus (t½ ≈ 4 h), avec une affinité particulière pour les poumons et les composantes lipidiques des tissus. Le BaP est ensuite distribué vers la peau et le foie. Au foie, le BaP est promptement métabolisé et le 3-OHBaP est formé avec une demi-vie de ≈ 3 h. Le métabolisme pulmonaire du BaP a également été pris en compte, mais sa contribution à la cinétique globale du BaP a été jugée négligeable. Une fois formé, le 3-OHBaP est distribué vers les différents organes presque aussi rapidement que la molécule mère (t½ ≈ 2 h). Le profil temporel du 3-OHBaP dans le rein montre une accumulation transitoire en raison de la différence observée entre le taux d’entrée (t½ = 28 min) et le taux de sortie (t½ = 4,5 h). La clairance totale de 3-OHBaP du corps est principalement gouvernée par le taux de transfert de la bile vers le tractus gastro-intestinal (t½ ≈ 4 h). Le modèle toxicocinétique à plusieurs compartiments a réussi à simuler un ensemble indépendant de profils urinaires publiés sur le 3-OHBaP. Ce modèle toxicocinétique à compartiments s'est avéré utile pour la determination des facteurs biologiques déterminants de la cinétique du BaP et du 3-OHBaP. Par la suite, un modèle pharmacocinétique à base physiologique (PCBP) reproduisant le devenir du BaP et du 3-OHBaP chez le rat a été construit. Les organes (ou tissus) représentés comme des compartiments ont été choisis en fonction de données expérimentales obtenues in vivo chez le rat. Les coefficients de partition, les coefficients de perméabilité, les taux de métabolisation, les paramètres d'excrétion, les fractions absorbées et les taux d'absorption pour différentes voies d’exposition ont été obtenus directement à partir des profils sanguins, tissulaires, urinaires et fécaux du BaP et du 3-OHBaP. Les valeurs de ces derniers paramètres ont été calculées par des procédures Monte-Carlo. Des analyses de sensibilité ont ensuite été réalisées pour s’assurer de la stabilité du modèle et pour établir les paramètres les plus sensibles de la cinétique globale. Cette modélisation a permis d’identifier les facteurs déterminants de la cinétique: 1) la sensibilité élevée des paramètres de la métabolisation hépatique du BaP et du 3-OHBaP ainsi que du taux d'élimination; 2) la forte distribution du BaP dans les poumons par rapport à d'autres tissus; 3) la distribution considérable du BaP dans les tissus adipeux et le foie; 4) la forte distribution du 3-OHBaP dans les reins; 5) le transfert limité du BaP par la diffusion tissulaire dans les poumons; 6) le transfert limité du 3-OHBaP par la diffusion tissulaire dans les poumons, les tissus adipeux et les reins; 7) la recirculation entéro-hépatique significative du 3-OHBaP. Suite à des analyses de qualité des ajustements des équations du modèle aux données observées, les probabilités que les simulations reproduisent les données expérimentales par pur hasard se sont avérées toujours inférieures à 10% pour les quatre voies d’exposition : intraveineuse, orale, cutanée et respiratoire. Nous avons extrapolé les modèles cinétiques du rat à l’humain afin de se doter d’un outil permettant de reconstituer les doses absorbées chez des travailleurs exposés dans diverses industries à partir de mesures de l'évolution temporelle du 3-OHBaP dans leur urine. Les résultats de ces modélisations ont ensuite été comparés à ceux de simulations obtenues avec un modèle toxicocinétique à compartiment unique pour vérifier l’utilité comparative d’un modèle simple et complexe. Les deux types de modèle ont ainsi été construits à partir de profils sanguins, tissulaires, urinaires et fécaux du BaP et du 3-OHBaP sur des rats exposés. Ces données ont été obtenues in vivo par voie intraveineuse, cutanée, respiratoire et orale. Ensuite, les modèles ont été extrapolés à l’humain en tenant compte des déterminants biologiques essentiels des différences cinétiques entre le rat et l’humain. Les résultats ont montré que l'inhalation n'était pas la principale voie d'exposition pour plusieurs travailleurs étudiés. Les valeurs de concentrations de BaP dans l’air utilisées afin de simuler les profils d’excrétion urinaire chez les travailleurs étaient différentes des valeurs de concentrations de BaP mesurées dans l’air. Une exposition au BaP par voie cutanée semblait mieux prédire les profils temporels observés. Finalement, les deux types de modélisation se sont avérés utiles pour reproduire et pour interpréter les données disponibles chez des travailleurs.

Low Level Jet stream of Asian Summer Monsoon and its Variability

The main objective of the of present study are to study the intraseasonal variability of LLJ and its relation with convective heating of the atmosphere, to establish whether LLJ splits into two branches over the Arabian sea as widely believed, the role of horizonatal wind shear of LLJ in the episodes of intense rainfall events observed over the west coast of India, to perform atmospheric modeling work to test whether small (meso) scale vortices form during intense rainfall events along the west coast; and to study the relation between LLJ and monsoon depression genesis. The results of a study on the evolution of Low Level Jetstream (LLJ) prior to the formation of monsoon depressions are presented. A synoptic model of the temporal evolution of monsoon depression has been produced. There is a systematic temporal evolution of the field of deep convection strength and position of the LLJ axis leading to the genesis of monsoon depression. One of the significant outcomes of the present thesis is that the LLJ plays an important role in the intraseasonal and the interannual variability of Indian monsoon activity. Convection and rainfall are dependent mainly on the cyclonic vorticity in the boundary layer associated with LLJ. Monsoon depression genesis and the episodes of very heavy rainfall along the west coast of India are closely related to the cyclonic shear of the LLJ in the boundary layer and the associated deep convection. Case studies by a mesoscale numerical model (MM5) have shown that the heavy rainfall episodes along the west coast of India are associated with generation of mesoscale cyclonic vortices in the boundary layer.

Analysis of System Signals Based on Cross Recurrence Method for System Dynamics Characterization

Natural systems are inherently non linear. Recurrent behaviours are typical of natural systems. Recurrence is a fundamental property of non linear dynamical systems which can be exploited to characterize the system behaviour effectively. Cross recurrence based analysis of sensor signals from non linear dynamical system is presented in this thesis. The mutual dependency among relatively independent components of a system is referred as coupling. The analysis is done for a mechanically coupled system specifically designed for conducting experiment. Further, cross recurrence method is extended to the actual machining process in a lathe to characterize the chatter during turning. The result is verified by permutation entropy method. Conventional linear methods or models are incapable of capturing the critical and strange behaviours associated with the dynamical process. Hence any effective feature extraction methodologies should invariably gather information thorough nonlinear time series analysis. The sensor signals from the dynamical system normally contain noise and non stationarity. In an effort to get over these two issues to the maximum possible extent, this work adopts the cross recurrence quantification analysis (CRQA) methodology since it is found to be robust against noise and stationarity in the signals. The study reveals that the CRQA is capable of characterizing even weak coupling among system signals. It also divulges the dependence of certain CRQA variables like percent determinism, percent recurrence and entropy to chatter unambiguously. The surrogate data test shows that the results obtained by CRQA are the true properties of the temporal evolution of the dynamics and contain a degree of deterministic structure. The results are verified using permutation entropy (PE) to detect the onset of chatter from the time series. The present study ascertains that this CRP based methodology is capable of recognizing the transition from regular cutting to the chatter cutting irrespective of the machining parameters or work piece material. The results establish this methodology to be feasible for detection of chatter in metal cutting operation in a lathe.

Alkyl nitrates in outflow from North America over the North Atlantic during Intercontinental Transport of Ozone and Precursors 2004

This paper is based on alkyl nitrate measurements made over the North Atlantic as part of the International Consortium for Research on Atmospheric Transport and Transformation (ICARTT). The focus is on the analysis of air samples collected on the UK BAe-146 aircraft during the Intercontinental Transport of Ozone and Precursors (ITOP) project, but air samples collected on board the NASA DC-8 and NOAA WP-3D aircraft as part of a Lagrangian experiment are also used. The ratios between the alkyl nitrates and their parent hydrocarbons are compared with those expected from chemical theory. Further, a box model is run to investigate the temporal evolution of the alkyl nitrates in three Lagrangian case studies and compared to observations. The air samples collected during ITOP do not appear to be strongly influenced by oceanic sources, but rather are influenced by emissions from the N.E. United States and from Alaskan fires. There also appears to be a widespread common source of ethyl nitrate and 1-propyl nitrate other than from their parent hydrocarbons. The general agreement between the alkyl nitrate data and photochemical theory suggests that during the first few days of transport from the source region, photochemical production of alkyl nitrates, and thus ozone, had taken place. The observations in the more photochemically processed air masses are consistent with the alkyl nitrate production reactions no longer dominating the peroxy radical self/cross reactions. Further, the results also suggest that the rates of photochemical processing in the Alaskan smoke plumes were small.

Modeled and observed atmospheric radiation balance during the West African dry season: role of mineral dust, biomass burning aerosol, and surface albedo

The global radiation balance of the atmosphere is still poorly observed, particularly at the surface. We investigate the observed radiation balance at (1) the surface using the ARM Mobile Facility in Niamey, Niger, and (2) the top of the atmosphere (TOA) over West Africa using data from the Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) instrument on board Meteosat-8. Observed radiative fluxes are compared with predictions from the global numerical weather prediction (NWP) version of the Met Office Unified Model (MetUM). The evaluation points to major shortcomings in the NWP model's radiative fluxes during the dry season (December 2005 to April 2006) arising from (1) a lack of absorbing aerosol in the model (mineral dust and biomass burning aerosol) and (2) a poor specification of the surface albedo. A case study of the major Saharan dust outbreak of 6–12 March 2006 is used to evaluate a parameterization of mineral dust for use in the NWP models. The model shows good predictability of the large-scale flow out to 4–5 days with the dust parameterization providing reasonable dust uplift, spatial distribution, and temporal evolution for this strongly forced dust event. The direct radiative impact of the dust reduces net downward shortwave (SW) flux at the surface (TOA) by a maximum of 200 W m−2 (150 W m−2), with a SW heating of the atmospheric column. The impacts of dust on terrestrial radiation are smaller. Comparisons of TOA (surface) radiation balance with GERB (ARM) show the “dusty” forecasts reduce biases in the radiative fluxes and improve surface temperatures and vertical thermodynamic structure.

The accuracy of using the Ulysses result of the spatial invariance of the radial heliospheric field to compute the open solar flux

We survey observations of the radial magnetic field in the heliosphere as a function of position, sunspot number, and sunspot cycle phase. We show that most of the differences between pairs of simultaneous observations, normalized using the square of the heliocentric distance and averaged over solar rotations, are consistent with the kinematic "flux excess" effect whereby the radial component of the frozen-in heliospheric field is increased by longitudinal solar wind speed structure. In particular, the survey shows that, as expected, the flux excess effect at high latitudes is almost completely absent during sunspot minimum but is almost the same as within the streamer belt at sunspot maximum. We study the uncertainty inherent in the use of the Ulysses result that the radial field is independent of heliographic latitude in the computation of the total open solar flux: we show that after the kinematic correction for the excess flux effect has been made it causes errors that are smaller than 4.5%, with a most likely value of 2.5%. The importance of this result for understanding temporal evolution of the open solar flux is reviewed.

Kinetic multi-layer model of aerosol surface and bulk chemistry (KM-SUB): the influence of interfacial transport and bulk diffusion on the oxidation of oleic acid by ozone

We present a novel kinetic multi-layer model that explicitly resolves mass transport and chemical reaction at the surface and in the bulk of aerosol particles (KM-SUB). The model is based on the PRA framework of gas-particle interactions (Poschl-Rudich-Ammann, 2007), and it includes reversible adsorption, surface reactions and surface-bulk exchange as well as bulk diffusion and reaction. Unlike earlier models, KM-SUB does not require simplifying assumptions about steady-state conditions and radial mixing. The temporal evolution and concentration profiles of volatile and non-volatile species at the gas-particle interface and in the particle bulk can be modeled along with surface concentrations and gas uptake coefficients. In this study we explore and exemplify the effects of bulk diffusion on the rate of reactive gas uptake for a simple reference system, the ozonolysis of oleic acid particles, in comparison to experimental data and earlier model studies. We demonstrate how KM-SUB can be used to interpret and analyze experimental data from laboratory studies, and how the results can be extrapolated to atmospheric conditions. In particular, we show how interfacial and bulk transport, i.e., surface accommodation, bulk accommodation and bulk diffusion, influence the kinetics of the chemical reaction. Sensitivity studies suggest that in fine air particulate matter oleic acid and compounds with similar reactivity against ozone (carbon-carbon double bonds) can reach chemical lifetimes of many hours only if they are embedded in a (semi-)solid matrix with very low diffusion coefficients (< 10(-10) cm(2) s(-1)). Depending on the complexity of the investigated system, unlimited numbers of volatile and non-volatile species and chemical reactions can be flexibly added and treated with KM-SUB. We propose and intend to pursue the application of KM-SUB as a basis for the development of a detailed master mechanism of aerosol chemistry as well as for the derivation of simplified but realistic parameterizations for large-scale atmospheric and climate models.

Kinetic multi-layer model of aerosol surface and bulk chemistry (KM-SUB): the influence of interfacial transport and bulk diffusion on the oxidation of oleic acid by ozone

We present a novel kinetic multi-layer model that explicitly resolves mass transport and chemical reaction at the surface and in the bulk of aerosol particles (KM-SUB). The model is based on the PRA framework of gas–particle interactions (P¨oschl et al., 5 2007), and it includes reversible adsorption, surface reactions and surface-bulk exchange as well as bulk diffusion and reaction. Unlike earlier models, KM-SUB does not require simplifying assumptions about steady-state conditions and radial mixing. The temporal evolution and concentration profiles of volatile and non-volatile species at the gas-particle interface and in the particle bulk can be modeled along with surface 10 concentrations and gas uptake coefficients. In this study we explore and exemplify the effects of bulk diffusion on the rate of reactive gas uptake for a simple reference system, the ozonolysis of oleic acid particles, in comparison to experimental data and earlier model studies. We demonstrate how KM-SUB can be used to interpret and analyze experimental data from laboratory stud15 ies, and how the results can be extrapolated to atmospheric conditions. In particular, we show how interfacial transport and bulk transport, i.e., surface accommodation, bulk accommodation and bulk diffusion, influence the kinetics of the chemical reaction. Sensitivity studies suggest that in fine air particulate matter oleic acid and compounds with similar reactivity against ozone (C=C double bonds) can reach chemical lifetimes of 20 multiple hours only if they are embedded in a (semi-)solid matrix with very low diffusion coefficients (10−10 cm2 s−1). Depending on the complexity of the investigated system, unlimited numbers of volatile and non-volatile species and chemical reactions can be flexibly added and treated with KM-SUB. We propose and intend to pursue the application of KM-SUB 25 as a basis for the development of a detailed master mechanism of aerosol chemistry as well as for the derivation of simplified but realistic parameterizations for large-scale atmospheric and climate models.

Simulations of the London urban heat island

We present simulations of London's meteorology using the Met Office Unified Model with a new, sophisticated surface energy-balance scheme to represent the urban surfaces, called MORUSES. Simulations are performed with the urban surfaces represented and with the urban surfaces replaced with grass in order to calculate the urban increment on the local meteorology. The local urban effects were moderated to some extent by the passage of an onshore flow that propagated up the Thames estuary and across the city, cooling London slightly in the afternoon. Validations of screen-level temperature show encouraging agreement to within 1–2 K, when the urban increment is up to 5 K. The model results are then used to examine factors shaping the spatial and temporal structure of London's atmospheric boundary layer. The simulations reconcile the differences in the temporal evolution of the urban heat island (UHI) shown in various studies and demonstrate that the variation of UHI with time depends strongly on the urban fetch. The UHI at a location downwind of the city centre shows a decrease in UHI during the night, while the UHI at the city centre stays constant. Finally, the UHI at a location upwind of the city centre increases continuously. The magnitude of the UHI by the time of the evening transition increases with urban fetch. The urban increments are largest at night, when the boundary layer is shallow. The boundary layer experiences continued warming after sunset, as the heat from the urban fabric is released, and a weakly convective boundary layer develops across the city. The urban land-use fraction is the dominant control on the spatial structure in the sensible heat flux and the resulting urban increment, although even the weak advection present in this case study is sufficient to advect the peak temperature increments downwind of the most built-up areas. Copyright © 2011 Royal Meteorological Society and British Crown Copyright, the Met Office

Conditional symmetric instability in sting-jet storms

Sting jets are transient mesoscale jets of air that descend from the tip of the cloud head towards the top of the boundary layer in severe extratropical cyclones and can lead to damaging surface wind gusts. This recently identified jet is distinct from the well-documented jets associated with the cold and warm conveyor belts. One mechanism proposed for their development is the release of conditional symmetric instability (CSI). Here the spatial distribution and temporal evolution of several CSI diagnostics in four severe storms are analysed. A sting jet has been identified in three of these storms; for comparison, we also analysed one storm that did not have a sting jet, even though it hadmany of the apparent features of sting-jet storms. The sting-jet storms are distinct from the non-sting-jet storms by having much greater andmore extensive conditional instability (CI) and CSI. CSI is released by ascending air parcels in the cloud head in two of the sting-jet storms and by descending air parcels in the other sting-jet storm. By contrast, only weak CI to ascending air parcels is present at the cloud-head tip in the non-sting-jet storm. CSI released by descending air parcels, as diagnosed by decaying downdraught slantwise convective available potential energy (DSCAPE), is collocated with the sting jets in all three sting-jet storms and has a localisedmaximum in two of them. Consistent evolutions of saturated moist potential vorticity are found.We conclude that CSI release has a role in the generation of the sting jet, that the sting jet may be driven by the release of instability to both ascending and descending parcels, and that DSCAPE could be used as a discriminating diagnostic for the sting jet based on these four case-studies.