Green ICT metrics and Biomimicry

Sustainability issue of ICT have gathered attention in recent years, and researchers are working on this problem. Sustainability incorporates numerous interconnected aspects as well as methods to achieve it in ICT, so it is quite complicated to have a general view on a problem without a proper framework. However, a general methodology for such a research is missing. In this work it is proposed to use Biomimicry approach as a framework for sustainability research and development, as it introduces systematics and also forces to account sustainable aspects. Additionally, an interesting problem of green network measurements for enhancing sustainability in ICT will be researched using mentioned approach. The goal is to investigate Biomimicry as a systemic approach for developing sustainable systems, as well as to apply it in green network measurements study. Comparative study is performed for examining Biomimicry approach, as well as a use case of green network measurements research is presented. As a result, green network measurement can potentially improve sustainability, but only to a limited extent as it cannot incorporate all the aspects; within Biomimicry approach, two methodologies exist. It is possible to conclude that Biomimicry is a good framework for developing sustainable systems, nevertheless, another methodology has to be introduced within it; new methodology has to incorporate advantages of two existing ones.

Metrics for Predicting User Behavior and Experience in an Interactive Storytelling System

In much of the previous research into the field of interactive storytelling, the focus has been on the creation of complete systems, then evaluating the performance of those systems based on user experience. Less focus has been placed on finding general solutions to problems that manifest in many different types of interactive storytelling systems. The goal of this thesis was to identify potential candidates for metrics that a system could use to predict player behavior or how players experience the story they are presented with, and to put these metrics to an empirical test. The three metrics that were used were morality, relationships and conflict. The game used for user testing of the metrics, Regicide is an interactive storytelling experience that was created in conjunction with Eero Itkonen. Data, in the forms of internal system data and survey answers, collected through user testing, was used to evaluate hypotheses for each metric. Out of the three chosen metrics, morality performed the best in this study. Though further research and refinement may be required, the results were promising, and point to the conclusion that user responses to questions of morality are a strong predictor for their choices in similar situations later on in the course of an interactive story. A similar examination for user relationships with other characters in the story did not produce promising results, but several problems were recognized in terms of methodology and further research with a better optimized system may yield different results. On the subject of conflict, several aspects, proposed by Ware et al. (2012), were evaluated separately. Results were inconclusive, with the aspect of directness showing the most promise.

Cohesion Metrics for Improving Software Quality

Abstract Software product metrics aim at measuring the quality of software. Modu- larity is an essential factor in software quality. In this work, metrics related to modularity and especially cohesion of the modules, are considered. The existing metrics are evaluated, and several new alternatives are proposed. The idea of cohesion of modules is that a module or a class should consist of related parts. The closely related principle of coupling says that the relationships between modules should be minimized. First, internal cohesion metrics are considered. The relations that are internal to classes are shown to be useless for quality measurement. Second, we consider external relationships for cohesion. A detailed analysis using design patterns and refactorings confirms that external cohesion is a better quality indicator than internal. Third, motivated by the successes (and problems) of external cohesion metrics, another kind of metric is proposed that represents the quality of modularity of software. This metric can be applied to refactorings related to classes, resulting in a refactoring suggestion system. To describe the metrics formally, a notation for programs is developed. Because of the recursive nature of programming languages, the properties of programs are most compactly represented using grammars and formal lan- guages. Also the tools that were used for metrics calculation are described.

Response curves of deterministic and probabilistic cellular automata in one and two dimensions

One of the most important problems in the theory of cellular automata (CA) is determining the proportion of cells in a specific state after a given number of time iterations. We approach this problem using patterns in preimage sets - that is, the set of blocks which iterate to the desired output. This allows us to construct a response curve - a relationship between the proportion of cells in state 1 after niterations as a function of the initial proportion. We derive response curve formulae for many two-dimensional deterministic CA rules with L-neighbourhood. For all remaining rules, we find experimental response curves. We also use preimage sets to classify surjective rules. In the last part of the thesis, we consider a special class of one-dimensional probabilistic CA rules. We find response surface formula for these rules and experimental response surfaces for all remaining rules.

The Terroir of Winter Hardiness: Investigation of Winter Hardiness, Water Metrics, and Yield of Riesling and Cabernet Franc in the Niagara Region Using Geomatic Technologies

Grapevine winter hardiness is a key factor in vineyard success in many cool climate wine regions. Winter hardiness may be governed by a myriad of factors in addition to extreme weather conditions – e.g. soil factors (texture, chemical composition, moisture, drainage), vine water status, and yield– that are unique to each site. It was hypothesized that winter hardiness would be influenced by certain terroir factors , specifically that vines with low water status [more negative leaf water potential (leaf ψ)] would be more winter hardy than vines with high water status (more positive leaf ψ). Twelve different vineyard blocks (six each of Riesling and Cabernet franc) throughout the Niagara Region in Ontario, Canada were chosen. Data were collected during the growing season (soil moisture, leaf ψ), at harvest (yield components, berry composition), and during the winter (bud LT50, bud survival). Interpolation and mapping of the variables was completed using ArcGIS 10.1 (ESRI, Redlands, CA) and statistical analyses (Pearson’s correlation, principal component analysis, multilinear regression) were performed using XLSTAT. Clear spatial trends were observed in each vineyard for soil moisture, leaf ψ, yield components, berry composition, and LT50. Both leaf ψ and berry weight could predict the LT50 value, with strong positive correlations being observed between LT50 and leaf ψ values in eight of the 12 vineyard blocks. In addition, vineyards in different appellations showed many similarities (Niagara Lakeshore, Lincoln Lakeshore, Four Mile Creek, Beamsville Bench). These results suggest that there is a spatial component to winter injury, as with other aspects of terroir, in the Niagara region.

Probabilistic Assignments of Identical Indivisible Objects and Uniform Probabilistic Rules.

We consider a probabilistic approach to the problem of assigning k indivisible identical objects to a set of agents with single-peaked preferences. Using the ordinal extension of preferences, we characterize the class of uniform probabilistic rules by Pareto efficiency, strategy-proofness, and no-envy. We also show that in this characterization no-envy cannot be replaced by anonymity. When agents are strictly risk averse von-Neumann-Morgenstern utility maximizers, then we reduce the problem of assigning k identical objects to a problem of allocating the amount k of an infinitely divisible commodity.

Macroemesures in Computable General Equilibrium Models: a Probabilistic Treatment with an Application to Morocco.

With the help of an illustrative general equilibrium (CGE) model of the Moroccan Economy, we test for the significance of simulation results in the case where the exact macromesure is not known with certainty. This is done by computing lower and upper bounds for the simulation resukts, given a priori probabilities attached to three possible closures (Classical, Johansen, Keynesian). Our Conclusion is that, when there is uncertainty on closures several endogenous changes lack significance, which, in turn, limit the use of the model for policy prescriptions.

Analyse de dépendance des programmes à objet en utilisant les modèles probabilistes des entrées

La tâche de maintenance ainsi que la compréhension des programmes orientés objet (OO) deviennent de plus en plus coûteuses. L’analyse des liens de dépendance peut être une solution pour faciliter ces tâches d’ingénierie. Cependant, analyser les liens de dépendance est une tâche à la fois importante et difficile. Nous proposons une approche pour l'étude des liens de dépendance internes pour des programmes OO, dans un cadre probabiliste, où les entrées du programme peuvent être modélisées comme un vecteur aléatoire, ou comme une chaîne de Markov. Dans ce cadre, les métriques de couplage deviennent des variables aléatoires dont les distributions de probabilité peuvent être étudiées en utilisant les techniques de simulation Monte-Carlo. Les distributions obtenues constituent un point d’entrée pour comprendre les liens de dépendance internes entre les éléments du programme, ainsi que leur comportement général. Ce travail est valable dans le cas où les valeurs prises par la métrique dépendent des entrées du programme et que ces entrées ne sont pas fixées à priori. Nous illustrons notre approche par deux études de cas.

Caractérisation de la composante toxicocinétique du facteur d’ajustement pour la variabilité interindividuelle utilisé en analyse du risque toxicologique

Un facteur d’incertitude de 10 est utilisé par défaut lors de l’élaboration des valeurs toxicologiques de référence en santé environnementale, afin de tenir compte de la variabilité interindividuelle dans la population. La composante toxicocinétique de cette variabilité correspond à racine de 10, soit 3,16. Sa validité a auparavant été étudiée sur la base de données pharmaceutiques colligées auprès de diverses populations (adultes, enfants, aînés). Ainsi, il est possible de comparer la valeur de 3,16 au Facteur d’ajustement pour la cinétique humaine (FACH), qui constitue le rapport entre un centile élevé (ex. : 95e) de la distribution de la dose interne dans des sous-groupes présumés sensibles et sa médiane chez l’adulte, ou encore à l’intérieur d’une population générale. Toutefois, les données expérimentales humaines sur les polluants environnementaux sont rares. De plus, ces substances ont généralement des propriétés sensiblement différentes de celles des médicaments. Il est donc difficile de valider, pour les polluants, les estimations faites à partir des données sur les médicaments. Pour résoudre ce problème, la modélisation toxicocinétique à base physiologique (TCBP) a été utilisée pour simuler la variabilité interindividuelle des doses internes lors de l’exposition aux polluants. Cependant, les études réalisées à ce jour n’ont que peu permis d’évaluer l’impact des conditions d’exposition (c.-à-d. voie, durée, intensité), des propriétés physico/biochimiques des polluants, et des caractéristiques de la population exposée sur la valeur du FACH et donc la validité de la valeur par défaut de 3,16. Les travaux de la présente thèse visent à combler ces lacunes. À l’aide de simulations de Monte-Carlo, un modèle TCBP a d’abord été utilisé pour simuler la variabilité interindividuelle des doses internes (c.-à-d. chez les adultes, ainés, enfants, femmes enceintes) de contaminants de l’eau lors d’une exposition par voie orale, respiratoire, ou cutanée. Dans un deuxième temps, un tel modèle a été utilisé pour simuler cette variabilité lors de l’inhalation de contaminants à intensité et durée variables. Ensuite, un algorithme toxicocinétique à l’équilibre probabiliste a été utilisé pour estimer la variabilité interindividuelle des doses internes lors d’expositions chroniques à des contaminants hypothétiques aux propriétés physico/biochimiques variables. Ainsi, les propriétés de volatilité, de fraction métabolisée, de voie métabolique empruntée ainsi que de biodisponibilité orale ont fait l’objet d’analyses spécifiques. Finalement, l’impact du référent considéré et des caractéristiques démographiques sur la valeur du FACH lors de l’inhalation chronique a été évalué, en ayant recours également à un algorithme toxicocinétique à l’équilibre. Les distributions de doses internes générées dans les divers scénarios élaborés ont permis de calculer dans chaque cas le FACH selon l’approche décrite plus haut. Cette étude a mis en lumière les divers déterminants de la sensibilité toxicocinétique selon le sous-groupe et la mesure de dose interne considérée. Elle a permis de caractériser les déterminants du FACH et donc les cas où ce dernier dépasse la valeur par défaut de 3,16 (jusqu’à 28,3), observés presqu’uniquement chez les nouveau-nés et en fonction de la substance mère. Cette thèse contribue à améliorer les connaissances dans le domaine de l’analyse du risque toxicologique en caractérisant le FACH selon diverses considérations.

Contributions of local, lateral and contextual habitat variables to explaining variation in fisheries productivity metrics in the littoral zone of a reservoir

Puisque l’altération des habitats d’eau douce augmente, il devient critique d’identifier les composantes de l’habitat qui influencent les métriques de la productivité des pêcheries. Nous avons comparé la contribution relative de trois types de variables d’habitat à l’explication de la variance de métriques d’abondance, de biomasse et de richesse à l’aide de modèles d’habitat de poissons, et avons identifié les variables d’habitat les plus efficaces à expliquer ces variations. Au cours des étés 2012 et 2013, les communautés de poissons de 43 sites littoraux ont été échantillonnées dans le Lac du Bonnet, un réservoir dans le Sud-est du Manitoba (Canada). Sept scénarios d’échantillonnage, différant par l’engin de pêche, l’année et le moment de la journée, ont été utilisés pour estimer l’abondance, la biomasse et la richesse à chaque site, toutes espèces confondues. Trois types de variables d’habitat ont été évalués: des variables locales (à l’intérieur du site), des variables latérales (caractérisation de la berge) et des variables contextuelles (position relative à des attributs du paysage). Les variables d’habitat locales et contextuelles expliquaient en moyenne un total de 44 % (R2 ajusté) de la variation des métriques de la productivité des pêcheries, alors que les variables d’habitat latérales expliquaient seulement 2 % de la variation. Les variables les plus souvent significatives sont la couverture de macrophytes, la distance aux tributaires d’une largeur ≥ 50 m et la distance aux marais d’une superficie ≥ 100 000 m2, ce qui suggère que ces variables sont les plus efficaces à expliquer la variation des métriques de la productivité des pêcheries dans la zone littorale des réservoirs.

Probability Theory. Stochastic Processes And Their Applications Probabilistic Analysis Of Some Queueing And Inventory Models

In this thesis we attempt to make a probabilistic analysis of some physically realizable, though complex, storage and queueing models. It is essentially a mathematical study of the stochastic processes underlying these models. Our aim is to have an improved understanding of the behaviour of such models, that may widen their applicability. Different inventory systems with randon1 lead times, vacation to the server, bulk demands, varying ordering levels, etc. are considered. Also we study some finite and infinite capacity queueing systems with bulk service and vacation to the server and obtain the transient solution in certain cases. Each chapter in the thesis is provided with self introduction and some important references

Face Recognition using Probabilistic Neural Networks

In this paper we address the problem of face detection and recognition of grey scale frontal view images. We propose a face recognition system based on probabilistic neural networks (PNN) architecture. The system is implemented using voronoi/ delaunay tessellations and template matching. Images are segmented successfully into homogeneous regions by virtue of voronoi diagram properties. Face verification is achieved using matching scores computed by correlating edge gradients of reference images. The advantage of classification using PNN models is its short training time. The correlation based template matching guarantees good classification results

Face Recognition using Probabilistic Neural Networks

n this paper we address the problem of face detection and recognition of grey scale frontal view images. We propose a face recognition system based on probabilistic neural networks (PNN) architecture. The system is implemented using voronoi/ delaunay tessellations and template matching. Images are segmented successfully into homogeneous regions by virtue of voronoi diagram properties. Face verification is achieved using matching scores computed by correlating edge gradients of reference images. The advantage of classification using PNN models is its short training time. The correlation based template matching guarantees good classification results.

On Probabilistic Strategies for Robot Tasks

Robots must act purposefully and successfully in an uncertain world. Sensory information is inaccurate or noisy, actions may have a range of effects, and the robot's environment is only partially and imprecisely modeled. This thesis introduces active randomization by a robot, both in selecting actions to execute and in focusing on sensory information to interpret, as a basic tool for overcoming uncertainty. An example of randomization is given by the strategy of shaking a bin containing a part in order to orient the part in a desired stable state with some high probability. Another example consists of first using reliable sensory information to bring two parts close together, then relying on short random motions to actually mate the two parts, once the part motions lie below the available sensing resolution. Further examples include tapping parts that are tightly wedged, twirling gears before trying to mesh them, and vibrating parts to facilitate a mating operation.