Computational Journalism: from Answering Question to Questioning Answers and Raising Good Questions

Our media is saturated with claims of ``facts'' made from data. Database research has in the past focused on how to answer queries, but has not devoted much attention to discerning more subtle qualities of the resulting claims, e.g., is a claim ``cherry-picking''? This paper proposes a Query Response Surface (QRS) based framework that models claims based on structured data as parameterized queries. A key insight is that we can learn a lot about a claim by perturbing its parameters and seeing how its conclusion changes. This framework lets us formulate and tackle practical fact-checking tasks --- reverse-engineering vague claims, and countering questionable claims --- as computational problems. Within the QRS based framework, we take one step further, and propose a problem along with efficient algorithms for finding high-quality claims of a given form from data, i.e. raising good questions, in the first place. This is achieved to using a limited number of high-valued claims to represent high-valued regions of the QRS. Besides the general purpose high-quality claim finding problem, lead-finding can be tailored towards specific claim quality measures, also defined within the QRS framework. An example of uniqueness-based lead-finding is presented for ``one-of-the-few'' claims, landing in interpretable high-quality claims, and an adjustable mechanism for ranking objects, e.g. NBA players, based on what claims can be made for them. Finally, we study the use of visualization as a powerful way of conveying results of a large number of claims. An efficient two stage sampling algorithm is proposed for generating input of 2d scatter plot with heatmap, evalutaing a limited amount of data, while preserving the two essential visual features, namely outliers and clusters. For all the problems, we present real-world examples and experiments that demonstrate the power of our model, efficiency of our algorithms, and usefulness of their results.

Behaviour of Brent geese Branta bernicla hrota and wigeon Anas penelope feeding on intertidal Zostera spp

Mixed flocks of pale-bellied Brent geese (Branta bernicla hrota) and wigeon (Anas penelope L.) feeding on intertidal Zostera spp were studied during October 1993 with respect to tidal position, feeding method and duration, and competitive: interactions within and between species. Owing to many disturbance incidents affecting the use of the site by wildfowl, only complete data on flow tides were presented. Brent geese fed over a greater period of the tidal cycle than wigeon. Differences in feeding methods indicated that Brent geese exploited the rhizomes, which are energetically more profitable than the shoot on which wigeon fed. Aggressive interactions were recorded within species but there were no records of aggression between species. More subtle competition for space, however, may have occurred during feeding. Brent geese could reach Zostera spp For a short period after increasing depth of water prevented access by wigeon. However, individual wigeon were observed foraging near feeding Brent geese, picking up the scraps oi material discarded by the latter, and small numbers of wigeon may benefit from the presence of the geese. These benefits for some individual wigeon are not considered to compensate for the disadvantages to the latter species population as a whole in feeding on poorer-quality food for a shorter period of the tidal cycle. This disadvantage is likely to have contributed to the decline in the wigeon population on Strangford Lough, Co. Down, while numbers of Brent geese have been maintained at a high level.

Detecting Deception in Movement: The Case of the Side-Step in Rugby

Although coordinated patterns of body movement can be used to communicate action intention, they can also be used to deceive. Often known as deceptive movements, these unpredictable patterns of body movement can give a competitive advantage to an attacker when trying to outwit a defender. In this particular study, we immersed novice and expert rugby players in an interactive virtual rugby environment to understand how the dynamics of deceptive body movement influence a defending player’s decisions about how and when to act. When asked to judge final running direction, expert players who were found to tune into prospective tau-based information specified in the dynamics of ‘honest’ movement signals (Centre of Mass), performed significantly better than novices who tuned into the dynamics of ‘deceptive’ movement signals (upper trunk yaw and out-foot placement) (p<.001). These findings were further corroborated in a second experiment where players were able to move as if to intercept or ‘tackle’ the virtual attacker. An analysis of action responses showed that experts waited significantly longer before initiating movement (p<.001). By waiting longer and picking up more information that would inform about future running direction these experts made significantly fewer errors (p<.05). In this paper we not only present a mathematical model that describes how deception in body-based movement is detected, but we also show how perceptual expertise is manifested in action expertise. We conclude that being able to tune into the ‘honest’ information specifying true running action intention gives a strong competitive advantage.

Interceptive skills in children aged 9-11 years, diagnosed with Autism Spectrum Disorder

Growing evidence suggests that significant motor problems are associated with a diagnosis of Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASD), particularly in catching tasks. Catching is a complex, dynamic skill that involves the ability to synchronise one's own movement to that of a moving target. To successfully complete the task, the participant must pick up and use perceptual information about the moving target to arrive at the catching place at the right time. This study looks at catching ability in children diagnosed with ASD (mean age 10.16 ± 0.9 years) and age-matched non-verbal (9.72 ± 0.79 years) and receptive language (9.51 ± 0.46) control groups. Participants were asked to "catch" a ball as it rolled down a fixed ramp. Two ramp heights provided two levels of task difficulty, whilst the sensory information (audio and visual) specifying ball arrival time was varied. Results showed children with ASD performed significantly worse than both the receptive language (p =.02) and non-verbal (p =.02) control groups in terms of total number of balls caught. A detailed analysis of the movement kinematics showed that difficulties with picking up and using the sensory information to guide the action may be the source of the problem. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.

Mutual Funds and Mispriced Stocks

We find a strong negative predictive relation between the propensity of active mutual funds to hold overpriced stocks and their subsequent performance. High-propensity funds, or overpriced funds, display poor stock picking skills as they further purchase overpriced stocks during episodes of fund inflows. Interestingly, overpriced funds attract considerable capital inflows during high sentiment episodes, after controlling for the effects of past fund performance. The overall evidence is consistent with the notion that overpriced funds, unable to improve their stock picking skills through time, target optimistic investors by engaging in marketing activities and catering to preferences for skewed returns.

QUALITY EVALUATION OF 'SUNBURST' CHERRIES HARVESTED AT DIFFERENT RIPENESS STAGES .

The sweet cherry ‘Sunburst’ is highly appreciated by consumers due to its organoleptic traits. Regional producers tend to harvest cherries sooner in order to increase their profits. With the aim of understanding the consequences of this we have tested the effect of different ripeness stages at the moment of harvesting on fruit quality. Quality parameters tested included external colour (L*, a*, b*), fruit texture, total soluble solids (TSS), and titratable acidity (TA). To evaluate nutritional quality total antioxidant activity was measured too. Once again, and in agreement with results obtained in previous studies, we conclude that there is no advantage in picking less ripe cherries.

Unprepared piano

In Unprepared Piano, a Yamaha disklavier grand piano is connected to a database of music MIDI files appropriated and compiled from all over the web. This library of electronic scores is then “performed” automatically according to a simple set of rules.The musical scores found online contain a wide variety of instrumentations and are not generally intended simply for piano, so our Unprepared Piano is told to perform each piece from beginning to end by randomly picking and choosing from its different parts.

Logística e estão da cadeia de abastecimento

Relatório apresentado ao Instituto Superior De Contabilidade e Administração Do Porto para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Logística Orientado por António Jorge S. T. Duarte

Dimensionar a logística interna da fábrica Toyota Ovar para a produção de nova viatura

O projeto foi realizado na Toyota (divisão fabril de Ovar), no ano letivo 2014/2015, teve por base um estágio extracurricular que foi realizado para que desta forma tomasse contacto com uma realidade concreta e absoluta no contexto empresarial. O estágio serviu, principalmente, como uma experiência na compreensão do funcionamento de uma indústria de automóveis. Este projeto desenvolve-se no âmbito do 2ºano do Mestrado de Logística e apresenta os contributos desenvolvidos no departamento de logística para a reorganização da mesma para a produção de um novo modelo automóvel. Atualmente, a Toyota, para os modelos de automóveis que produz, recebe os componentes em CKD (Completed Knocked Down) provenientes do Japão em lotes de cinco unidades. Estes lotes são armazenados no armazém, de onde só saem quando for dada ordem para serem produzidos. Cada lote tem várias caixas, que são colocadas à vez numa zona comum de abertura. São retidos os componentes das caixas CKD e colocados nos transportadores próprios dos postos correspondentes (supermercado de linha). Isto significa que sempre que é solicitado uma viatura de um determinado lote, são obrigados a produzir as cinco unidades. Isto significa que as restantes unidades do lote terão que ficar em parque aberto a aguardar venda futura, para além de ter um stock desnecessário, estas unidades ficam vulneráveis e sofrem desgaste, pois estão expostas à intempérie, causando graves problemas de qualidade e respetivos custos associados. Recentemente, foi decidida a produção do modelo Land Cruiser 70 na unidade industrial de Ovar, Portugal, o que obrigou a uma reorganização da produção e processos logísticos para a sua produção. Os objetivos que a empresa pretende com a entrada de um novo projeto Land Cruiser 70, são os seguintes: Alterar o sistema de abastecimento, implementando o abastecimento unitário em toda a fábrica para o novo modelo, garantindo o “one by one production”; Definir o funcionamento do processo logístico desde a chegada dos componentes até ficarem disponíveis no supermercado de linha. Para isso será necessário dimensionar armazém e zona de abertura, definir layouts e quantidade de stocks, bem como definir sistemas de comunicação entre abertura e supermercado; Verificar as peças que vão fazer parte do chassi por posto e contabilizar os dolly´s1 necessários; Fazer o layout de abastecimento da linha do chassi; Calcular o tempo de abertura, de abastecimento e de picking do chassi e de triming. Este projeto tem em conta a política de melhoria contínua de forma a conseguir satisfazer o cliente (ser eficaz) utilizando cada vez menos recursos quer físicos quer humanos (ser eficiente, detetar e eliminar os desperdícios). O presente projeto foi inserido na equipa de melhoria contínua da logística, maioritariamente no chassi. Em termos globais, os objetivos propostos neste estágio foram atingidos com êxito.

Sistema de apoio à decisão na localização de peças

A globalização, nas suas diversas dimensões, está a tornar o mundo cada vez mais pequeno, alterando as nossas vidas e transformando a forma como as empresas fazem negócios. Estamos cada vez mais expostos aos traços e práticas das outras culturas à medida que a tecnologia diminui os custos da comunicação global e das viagens. A globalização está a obrigar as empresas a serem mais competitivas ao mesmo tempo que os países reduzem as barreiras ao comércio internacional e ao investimento estrangeiro. A competitividade das empresas obriga-as a serem mais eficientes e eficazes, logo a pensarem os seus processos internos de forma a procurarem a sua otimização e melhorarem a sua produtividade, com a notória consequência na satisfação do cliente. Para a satisfação do cliente é necessário que as operações dentro do sistema de distribuição, nomeadamente as realizadas no armazém, sejam otimizadas. Esta otimização é atingida quando as encomendas dos clientes estiverem completas e prontas a serem despachadas em tempo útil e todos os processos necessários para o efeito tenham ocorrido no menor espaço de tempo possível e com o mínimo de recursos. O planeamento das operações no armazém tem de determinar o tempo e a ordem das operações bem como os recursos necessários de forma a não acontecerem congestionamentos. A Caetano Parts, uma empresa de revenda de peças de substituição automóvel, identificou um congestionamento na localização de peças que chegavam pela primeira vez ao seu armazém, o que suscitou a necessidade do desenvolvimento de uma ferramenta que permitisse proceder à localização destas peças de uma forma mais expedita, permitindo ganhos significativos de tempo na arrumação das peças e consequentemente no tempo gasto na sua procura/separação e posterior envio para os clientes. A ferramenta desenvolvida consiste num programa em Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) cuja conceção, desenvolvimento e descrição das funcionalidades serão abordados ao longo do trabalho. Os testes realizados ao longo do desenvolvimento validaram o correto funcionamento da ferramenta.

Estudo de Avarias em Compressores de Ar

As instalações de ar comprimido são uma constante em quase todo o tipo de indústria, já que o ar comprimido assume cada vez mais importância como fonte de energia para a movimentação de dispositivos com cargas moderadas ou médias. O uso cada vez mais frequente da pneumática por via da automação de sistemas e processos de fabrico, é outro fator que tem incrementado fortemente o uso de instalações de ar comprimido. A utilização de ar comprimido tem subjacente um ou mais compressores, responsáveis por captar o ar e criar as condições necessárias de pressão na rede que vai abastecer uma qualquer instalação industrial, ou mesmo comercial, como no caso dos serviços de reparação automóvel, entre outras. Desta forma, cria-se uma forte dependência em torno desta fonte de energia, sendo a avaria do compressor um fator extremamente limitativo do processo produtivo ou dos serviços a prestar. As empresas fabricantes de compressores, cientes deste facto, têm primado pela fiabilidade. No entanto, os utilizadores nem sempre criam as condições ideais para o funcionamento desses compressores, conduzindo a problemas de funcionamento. Neste trabalho pretendeu-se elaborar um estudo que permitisse identificar quais as causas que estão por detrás das avarias mais frequentes de alguns dos modelos mais vendidos pela Ingersoll-Rand no nosso país, através da Comingersoll, analisando as mesmas e tentando encontrar soluções que evitassem essas avarias. O estudo permitiu dissecar as avarias registadas em cinco diferentes modelos nos últimos anos, identificar possíveis causas, perceber a frequência com que ocorrem e sugerir melhorias que pudessem minimizar a ocorrência dessas mesmas avarias.

Materials handling in hospitals: An analysis of how the storage and materials handling system can be improved, using the example of Hospital Santa Maria

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Measuring the impact of short and lending practices using the DGTW benchmarks

Mutual fund managers increasingly lend their holdings and/or use short sales to generate higher returns for their funds. This project presents a first look into the impact these practices on performance using the performance measures: i) Characteristic Selectivity (CS), the ability of the fund's managers to choose stocks that outperform their benchmarks; ii) Characteristic Timing (CT), the ability of the manager to time the market; iii) and Average Style (AS), the returns from funds systematically holding stocks with certain characteristics. These returns are computed through the DGTW benchmarks. The effect of other variables that have also been shown to impact fund’s returns – total net assets under management, investment styles, turnover and expense ratios – will also be analyzed. I find that managers who use short-sales do not exhibit better stock picking abilities than those who do not, while mutual funds that lend do present higher CS returns. In addition, while lending is not significant for the total performance of a fund, the employment of short-sales and of both short-sales and lending has a negative impact on the fund’s performance.

Alpha generation with Twitter’s daily momentum

This thesis does not set out to focus on the dynamics relationship between Twitter and stock prices, but instead tries to understand if using relevant information extracted from tweets has the power to increase investors’ stock picking ability, and generate alpha in portfolio’s choice relative to a benchmark. Despite the short period analyzed, it gives promising results that the sentiment analysis performed by Social Market Analytics Inc. applied to an equity portfolio, is able to generate positive abnormal returns, statistically significant in and out of sample.

NSP work project investment styles

This paper analyzes the Nova Student Portfolio (NSP) with the objective to understand performances of the fund. Each investment style has been analyzed (growth, value and momentum) in order to highlight what style allocation contributed positively and which had a negative impact. The results show that the team mainly invested in value stocks, which contributed positively but that its growth investments had a negative impact on the stock picking performance. The stock selection shows a major influence of the value investment style. A statistical approach shows that the market factor was the one explaining the most the NSP returns.