Joint modelling of longitudinal and survival data on breast cancer

Tese de Doutoramento em Ciências (Especialidade em Matemática)

Parameter identification of the fermentative production of fructo-oligosaccharides by Aureobasidium pullulans

In this study, a mathematical model for the production of Fructo-oligosaccharides (FOS) by Aureobasidium pullulans is developed. This model contains a relatively large set of unknown parameters, and the identification problem is analyzed using simulation data, as well as experimental data. Batch experiments were not sufficiently informative to uniquely estimate all the unknown parameters, thus, additional experiments have to be achieved in fed-batch mode to supplement the missing information. © 2015 IEEE.

Perfil neuropsicológico y sesgos cognitivos de adolescentes con diferentes patrones de consumo de alcohol. Neuropsychological profile and cognitive bias in adolescents with different alcohol consumption patterns.

Identificación y caracterización del problema objeto de estudio: Diversas investigaciones señalan que el uso o consumo de alcohol comienza durante la adolescencia. En este periodo del desarrollo típicamente se han reportado deterioros asociados con el consumo de alcohol sobre diversas funciones cognitivas. Sin embargo, los hallazgos no siempre han sido concluyentes. Hipótesis: a) Existe una mayor cantidad de déficits neuropsicológicos (especialmente en los dominios asociados con la toma de decisiones) en los grupos de adolescentes que presentan patrones de consumo elevados o tipo binge y en los adolescentes bajo tratamiento; b) Existen sesgos cognitivos de tipo implícito en los adolescentes expuestos a publicidades referidas a bebidas alcohólicas; y c) Existe mayor presencia de expectativas negativas en el grupo conformado por niños, así como una mayor presencia de expectativas positivas en el grupo conformado por adolescentes. Planteo de Objetivos: se pretende lograr un perfil neuropsicológico de adolescentes de ambos sexos en función de patrones de consumo de alcohol bien diferenciados. Asimismo, se intentará determinar la presencia de sesgos cognitivos hacia estímulos asociados con el alcohol en función de las expectativas hacia el psicotrópico y el tipo de consumo del mismo que presenta la población bajo estudio. Finalmente, se buscará determinar si existen cambios evolutivos en las expectativas hacia el alcohol que pudieran indicar la presencia de mayor vulnerabilidad al consumo de alcohol. Materiales y métodos a utilizar: Se utilizarán pruebas neuropsicológicas (IGT, WCST, otras) y cognitivas (AEQ o similares). Se apelará al uso de diseños ex post facto prospectivos de tipo simple o factoriales, diseños factoriales, estudios instrumentales y estudios descriptivos de poblaciones mediante encuestas. Resultados esperados: 1) Se espera encontrar una mayor cantidad de déficits neuropsicológicos (especialmente en los dominios asociados con la toma de decisiones) en los grupos de adolescentes con patrones de consumo de alcohol elevados y binge, así como en el grupo de adolescentes bajo tratamiento. 2) Se espera encontrar la presencia de sesgos cognitivos implícitos en aquellos adolescentes expuestos a publicidades referidas a bebidas alcohólicas en contraposición a los adolescentes expuestos a publicidades de bebidas no-alcohólicas. 3) Se espera encontrar una mayor presencia de expectativas negativas en el grupo conformado por niños, y una mayor presencia de expectativas positivas en el grupo conformado por adolescentes, con lo que se verificaría el supuesto que señala que las EA se modifican a lo largo del desarrollo. Asimismo, se espera confirmar que las EA cambian en función de la experiencia de consumo de alcohol. Importancia del proyecto: En el ámbito local no se han realizado estudios sistemáticos de esta naturaleza, la información que se obtenga permitirá evaluar el impacto del uso y abuso de alcohol durante la adolescencia así como diseñar y ejecutar mejores estrategias de prevención y de rehabilitación y, al mismo tiempo, facilitará la toma de decisiones en el campo de la planificación de políticas sanitarias dirigidas a los adolescentes.

Modellierung und Simulation polydisperser Wassernebel in der Brandbekämpfung unter Berücksichtigung stochastischer Parameter

Magdeburg, Univ., Fak. für Verfahrens- und Systemtechnik, Diss., 2011

Entwicklung einer Impulsmethode zur Ermittlung thermodynamischer und reaktionskinetischer Parameter in der heterogenen Katalyse

Heterogeneous catalysis, homogeneous catalysis, adsorption equilibrium, reaction kinetics, impulse method, hydrolysis of methyl formate, production of formic acid

mögliche Rolle CGRP-immunreaktiver thalamo-amygdalärer Projektionen bei der durch Emotionen hervorgerufenen Veränderung vegetativer Parameter

CGRP amygdala thalamus fear blood pressure heart rate body temperature telemetry tracing projections

Klinische Parameter und Laborprofile bei der Abklärung des Verdachts auf eine Heparin-induzierte Thrombozytopenie (HIT) Typ II bei Patienten nach herzchirurgischen Eingriffen

Magdeburg, Univ., Med. Fak., Diss., 2012

Anwendung des EM-Algorithmus zur Schätzung der Parameter von Fluoreszenzlebensdauerfunktionen

Die Bachelorarbeit behandelt die Schätzung der Parameter von Fluoreszenzlebensdauerfunktionen mit Hilfe des EM-Algorithmus. Dabei wird der Algorithmus sowohl auf simulierte als auch auf gemessene Daten angewandt. Die Schätzung der Parameter erfolgt zunächst global für die gesamte Probe mit Hilfe eines Simplex-Verfahrens, um dann das Verhältnis der Komponenten der Fluoreszenzlebensdauer, also die Wahrscheinlichkeit, mit der ein Photon von einer Komponente stammt, für jedes Pixel eines Bildes durch den EM-Algorithmus zu bestimmen. Die Messungen liegen als Anzahl der gemessenen Photonen in diskreten Zeitintervallen vor, dabei fehlt jedoch die Information, wie viele der Photonen in einem der Intervalle zu einer Komponente gehören. Durch die Nutzung bedingter Erwartungswerte ist der EM-Algorithmus in der Lage, ohne Verzerrung mit diesen unbekannten Daten umzugehen. Weiterhin wird die Schätzung dadurch erschwert, dass die Daten durch Faltung der Fluoreszenzlebensdauerfunktion mit einer so genannten Apparatefunktion zustandekommen und das Modell somit sehr komplex wird. Auch für dieses Problem wird im Laufe der Arbeit eine Lösung vorgestellt.

Optimal experimental design for parameter identification and model selection

Magdeburg, Univ., Fak. für Elektrotechnik und Informationstechnik, Diss., 2014

Untersuchungen zur Perzeption musikalischer Parameter von Cochlea-Implantat-Trägern mit den Sprachkodierungsstrategien ACE und MP3000 im Vergleich zu normalhörenden Probanden

Magdeburg, Univ., Med. Fak., Diss., 2014

Der Anti-Bias-Ansatz und Rassismus : eine kritische Analyse am Beispiel des Projekts "Perspektivwechsel"

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Aging and growth parameter from the Piaractus mesopotamicus (pacu) from the Cuiabá river, Mato Grosso, Brazil

This study has aims to determine the age and to estimate the growth parameters using scales of the species. Individuals of Piaractus mesopotamicus (Holmberg, 1887) used in this study were captured in the commercial fishery conducted in the region, along the year 2006. The model selected to express the growth of the species was the von Bertalanffy Sl= Sl∞*[1-exp-k(t-to)]. To determine if scales are suitable for studying the growth of pacu, we analyzed the relation between standard length (Sl) and the radius of the scales through linear regression. The period of annuli formation was determined analyzing the variations in the marginal increment and evaluating the consistency of the readings through the analysis of the coefficient of variations (CVs) for the average standard lengths of each age (number of rings) observed in the scales. The relationship between Ls of the fish and the radius of the scales showed that scales can be used to study the age and growth of P. mesopotamicus (R= 0.79). CVs were always below 20%, demonstrating the consistency of the readings. Annuli formation occurred in February, probably related to trophic migration that occurs in this month in the region. Equations that represents the growth in length obtained for P. mesopotamicus are Sl=50.00*[1-exp-0.18(t-(-3.00)] for males and Sl=59.23*[1-exp-0.14(t-(-3.36)] for females. The growth parameters obtained in this study were lower compared to other studies previously conducted for the same species and can related to overexploitation that species is submitted by fishing in the region. These values show also that females of pacu attain greater asymptotic length than males that growth faster.

On the design of peer punishment experiments

We discuss how technologies of peer punishment might bias the results that are observed in experiments. A crucial parameter is the “fine-to-fee” ratio, which describes by how much the punished subjects income is reduced relatively to the fee the punishing subject has to pay to inflict punishment. We show that a punishment technology commonly used in experiments embeds a variable fine-to-fee ratio and show that it confounds the empirical findings about why, whom, and how much subjects punish.

Human capital in growth regressions: how much difference does data quality make? An update and further results

We construct estimates of educational attainment for a sample of OECD countries using previously unexploited sources. We follow a heuristic approach to obtain plausible time profiles for attainment levels by removing sharp breaks in the data that seem to reflect changes in classification criteria. We then construct indicators of the information content of our series and a number of previously available data sets and examine their performance in several growth specifications. We find a clear positive correlation between data quality and the size and significance of human capital coefficients in growth regressions. Using an extension of the classical errors in variables model, we construct a set of meta-estimates of the coefficient of years of schooling in an aggregate Cobb-Douglas production function. Our results suggest that, after correcting for measurement error bias, the value of this parameter is well above 0.50.

Effort, reward and self-reported mental health: a simulation study on negative affectivity bias.

Background : In the present article, we propose an alternative method for dealing with negative affectivity (NA) biases in research, while investigating the association between a deleterious psychosocial environment at work and poor mental health. First, we investigated how strong NA must be to cause an observed correlation between the independent and dependent variables. Second, we subjectively assessed whether NA can have a large enough impact on a large enough number of subjects to invalidate the observed correlations between dependent and independent variables.Methods : We simulated 10,000 populations of 300 subjects each, using the marginal distribution of workers in an actual population that had answered the Siegrist's questionnaire on effort and reward imbalance (ERI) and the General Health Questionnaire (GHQ).Results : The results of the present study suggested that simulated NA has a minimal effect on the mean scores for effort and reward. However, the correlations between the effort and reward imbalance (ERI) ratio and the GHQ score might be important, even in simulated populations with a limited NA.Conclusions : When investigating the relationship between the ERI ratio and the GHQ score, we suggest the following rules for the interpretation of the results: correlations with an explained variance of 5% and below should be considered with caution; correlations with an explained variance between 5% and 10% may result from NA, although this effect does not seem likely; and correlations with an explained variance of 10% and above are not likely to be the result of NA biases. [Authors]