Fast and accurate business process drift detection

Business processes are prone to continuous and unexpected changes. Process workers may start executing a process differently in order to adjust to changes in workload, season, guidelines or regulations for example. Early detection of business process changes based on their event logs – also known as business process drift detection – enables analysts to identify and act upon changes that may otherwise affect process performance. Previous methods for business process drift detection are based on an exploration of a potentially large feature space and in some cases they require users to manually identify the specific features that characterize the drift. Depending on the explored feature set, these methods may miss certain types of changes. This paper proposes a fully automated and statistically grounded method for detecting process drift. The core idea is to perform statistical tests over the distributions of runs observed in two consecutive time windows. By adaptively sizing the window, the method strikes a trade-off between classification accuracy and drift detection delay. A validation on synthetic and real-life logs shows that the method accurately detects typical change patterns and scales up to the extent it is applicable for online drift detection.

Log delta analysis: Interpretable differencing of Business process event logs

This paper addresses the problem of identifying and explaining behavioral differences between two business process event logs. The paper presents a method that, given two event logs, returns a set of statements in natural language capturing behavior that is present or frequent in one log, while absent or infrequent in the other. This log delta analysis method allows users to diagnose differences between normal and deviant executions of a process or between two versions or variants of a process. The method relies on a novel approach to losslessly encode an event log as an event structure, combined with a frequency-enhanced technique for differencing pairs of event structures. A validation of the proposed method shows that it accurately diagnoses typical change patterns and can explain differences between normal and deviant cases in a real-life log, more compactly and precisely than previously proposed methods.

Information Visualization in a Business Decision Support System

Information visualization is a process of constructing a visual presentation of abstract quantitative data. The characteristics of visual perception enable humans to recognize patterns, trends and anomalies inherent in the data with little effort in a visual display. Such properties of the data are likely to be missed in a purely text-based presentation. Visualizations are therefore widely used in contemporary business decision support systems. Visual user interfaces called dashboards are tools for reporting the status of a company and its business environment to facilitate business intelligence (BI) and performance management activities. In this study, we examine the research on the principles of human visual perception and information visualization as well as the application of visualization in a business decision support system. A review of current BI software products reveals that the visualizations included in them are often quite ineffective in communicating important information. Based on the principles of visual perception and information visualization, we summarize a set of design guidelines for creating effective visual reporting interfaces.

A Hub System for Cloud-Computing Based Business-Collaboration: Automating Ontology-Enabled Electronic Business-Service Discovery

The management and coordination of business-process collaboration experiences changes because of globalization, specialization, and innovation. Service-oriented computing (SOC) is a means towards businessprocess automation and recently, many industry standards emerged to become part of the service-oriented architecture (SOA) stack. In a globalized world, organizations face new challenges for setting up and carrying out collaborations in semi-automating ecosystems for business services. For being efficient and effective, many companies express their services electronically in what we term business-process as a service (BPaaS). Companies then source BPaaS on the fly from third parties if they are not able to create all service-value inhouse because of reasons such as lack of reasoures, lack of know-how, cost- and time-reduction needs. Thus, a need emerges for BPaaS-HUBs that not only store service offers and requests together with information about their issuing organizations and assigned owners, but that also allow an evaluation of trust and reputation in an anonymized electronic service marketplace. In this paper, we analyze the requirements, design architecture and system behavior of such a BPaaS-HUB to enable a fast setup and enactment of business-process collaboration. Moving into a cloud-computing setting, the results of this paper allow system designers to quickly evaluate which services they need for instantiationg the BPaaS-HUB architecture. Furthermore, the results also show what the protocol of a backbone service bus is that allows a communication between services that implement the BPaaS-HUB. Finally, the paper analyzes where an instantiation must assign additional computing resources vor the avoidance of performance bottlenecks.

Visualização dos dados estatísticos da Uerj: proposta de dashboards baseados no trabalho de Jacques Bertin

Os painéis de gráficos estatísticos conhecidos como dashboards são utilizados comumente naárea de Business Intelligence (BI) para a visualização de grandes sistemas organizados de dados. A presente dissertação propõe embasar o projeto de dashboards pelas teorias de Jacques Bertin, formuladas nas obras Sémiologie Graphique e La Graphique et le Traitement Graphique de linformation. Considerando este referencial, e ainda parâmetros do design de informação e da visualização de dados, foram desenvolvidos dashboards que apresentam dados sobre a política de reserva de vagas da Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, sistematizados pelo projeto de BI dessa instituição. O objetivo foi não apenas o de atender aos requisitos convencionais de um dashboard, mas sobretudo o de apresentar outras perspectivas informativas. Nesse sentido, investigam-se as especificidades dos métodos de Bertin e sua expansão para o domínio dos sistemas interativos.

Competitive Intelligence : Aufbau einer Informationsbasis und Entscheidungssystematik zur Definition strategischer Zielmärkte

Im Rahmen der Globalisierung und des daraus resultierenden Wettbewerbs ist es für ein Unternehmen von zentraler Bedeutung, Wissen über die Wettbewerbssituation zu erhalten. Nicht nur zur Erschließung neuer Märkte, sondern auch zur Sicherung der Unternehmensexistenz ist eine Wettbewerbsanalyse unabdingbar. Konkurrenz- bzw. Wettbewerbsforschung wird überwiegend als „Competitive Intelligence“ bezeichnet. In diesem Sinne beschäftigt sich die vorliegende Bachelorarbeit mit einem Bereich von Competitive Intelligence. Nach der theoretischen Einführung in das Thema werden die Ergebnisse von neun Experteninterviews sowie einer schriftlichen Expertenbefragung innerhalb des Unternehmens erläutert. Die Experteninterviews und -befragungen zum Thema Competitive Intelligence dienten zur Entwicklung eines neuen Wettbewerbsanalysekonzeptes. Die Experteninterviews zeigten, dass in dem Unternehmen kein einheitliches Wettbewerbsanalysesystem existiert und Analysen lediglich ab hoc getätigt werden. Zusätzlich wird ein Länderranking vorgestellt, das zur Analyse europäischer Länder für das Unternehmen entwickelt wurde. Die Ergebnisse zeigten, dass Dänemark und Italien für eine Ausweitung der Exportgeschäfte bedeutend sind. Der neu entwickelte Mitbewerberbewertungsbogen wurde auf Grundlage dieser Ergebnisse für Dänemark und Italien getestet.

Entscheidungshilfe bei Internationalisierungsstrategien in der Nutzfahrzeugindustrie durch Competitive Intelligence - am Anwendungsbeispiel Afrika

Die nachhaltige Verschiebung der Wachstumsmärkte in Richtung Emerging Markets (und hier insbesondere in die BRIC-Staaten) infolge der Wirtschaftskrise 2008/2009 hat die bereits weit reichend konsolidierte Nutzfahrzeugindustrie der Triadenmärkte in Nordamerika, Europa und Japan vor eine Vielzahl von Herausforderungen gestellt. Strategische Ziele wie die Festigung und Steigerung von Absatzvolumina sowie eine bessere Ausbalancierung von zyklischen Marktentwicklungen, die die Ertragssicherung und eine weitestgehend kontinuierliche Auslastung existenter Kapazitäten sicherstellen soll, sind in Zukunft ohne eine Marktbearbeitung in den ex-Triade Wachstumsmärkten kaum noch erreichbar. Dies verlangt eine Auseinandersetzung der betroffenen Unternehmen mit dem veränderten unternehmerischen Umfeld. Es gilt neue, bisher größtenteils unbekannte Märkte zu erobern und sich dabei neuen – teilweise ebenfalls wenig bekannten - Wettbewerbern und deren teilweise durchaus unkonventionellen Strategien zu stellen. Die Triade-Unternehmen sehen sich dabei Informationsdefiziten und einer zunehmenden Gesamtkomplexität ausgesetzt, die zu für sie zu nachteiligen und ungünstigen nformationsasymmetrien führen können. Die Auswirkungen, dieser Situation unangepasst gegenüberzutreten wären deutlich unsicherheits- und risikobehaftetere Marktbearbeitungsstrategien bzw. im Extremfall die Absenz von Internationalisierungsaktivitäten in den betroffenen Unternehmen. Die Competitive Intelligence als Instrument zur unternehmerischen Umfeldanalyse kann unterstützen diese negativen Informationsasymmetrien zu beseitigen aber auch für das Unternehmen günstige Informationsasymmetrien in Form von Informationsvorsprüngen generieren, aus denen sich Wettbewerbsvorteile ableiten lassen. Dieser Kontext Competitive Intelligence zur Beseitigung von Informationsdefiziten bzw. Schaffung von bewussten, opportunistischen Informationsasymmetrien zur erfolgreichen Expansion durch Internationalisierungsstrategien in den Emerging Markets wird im Rahmen dieses Arbeitspapieres durch die Verbindung von wissenschaftstheoretischen und praktischen Implikationen näher beleuchtet. Die sich aus dem beschriebenen praktischen Anwendungsbeispiel Competitive intelligence für afrikanische Marktbearbeitung ergebenden Erkenntnisse der erfolgreichen Anwendung von Competitive Intelligence als Entscheidungshilfe für Internationalisierungsstrategien sind wie folgt angelegt: - Erweiterung der Status-quo, häufig Stammmarkt-zentristisch angelegten Betrachtungsweisen von Märkten und Wettbewerbern in Hinblick auf das reale Marktgeschehen oder Potentialmärkte - bias-freie Clusterung von Märkten bzw. Wettbewerbern, oder Verzicht auf den Versuch der Simplifizierung durch Clusterbildung - differenzierte Datenerhebungsverfahren wie lokale vs. zentrale / primäre vs. sekundäre Datenerhebung für inhomogene, unterentwickelte oder sich entwickelnde Märkte - Identifizierung und Hinzuziehung von Experten mit dem entscheidenden Wissensvorsprung für den zu bearbeitenden Informationsbedarf - Überprüfung der Informationen durch Datentriangulation

User Profiling and Knowledge Extraction For Tourism

O sector do turismo é uma área francamente em crescimento em Portugal e que tem desenvolvido a sua divulgação e estratégia de marketing. Contudo, apenas se prende com indicadores de desempenho e de oferta instalada (número de quartos, hotéis, voos, estadias), deixando os indicadores estatísticos em segundo plano. De acordo com o “ Travel & tourism Competitiveness Report 2013”, do World Economic Forum, classifica Portugal em 72º lugar no que respeita à qualidade e cobertura da informação estatística, disponível para o sector do Turismo. Refira-se que Espanha ocupa o 3º lugar. Uma estratégia de mercado, sem base analítica, que sustente um quadro de orientações específico e objetivo, com relevante conhecimento dos mercados alvo, dificilmente é compreensível ou até mesmo materializável. A implementação de uma estrutura de Business Intelligence que permita a realização de um levantamento e tratamento de dados que possibilite relacionar e sustentar os resultados obtidos no sector do turismo revela-se fundamental e crucial, para que sejam criadas estratégias de mercado. Essas estratégias são realizadas a partir da informação dos turistas que nos visitam, e dos potenciais turistas, para que possam ser cativados no futuro. A análise das características e dos padrões comportamentais dos turistas permite definir perfis distintos e assim detetar as tendências de mercado, de forma a promover a oferta dos produtos e serviços mais adequados. O conhecimento obtido permite, por um lado criar e disponibilizar os produtos mais atrativos para oferecer aos turistas e por outro informá-los, de uma forma direcionada, da existência desses produtos. Assim, a associação de uma recomendação personalizada que, com base no conhecimento de perfis do turista proceda ao aconselhamento dos melhores produtos, revela-se como uma ferramenta essencial na captação e expansão de mercado.

Escolha de indicadores para um relatório

This dissertation is aimed at helping organizations that implemented a Business Intelligence (BI) system without documenting to identify the reasons for the indicators choice either in the conception phase of the project or other. The example taken to present the methodology is a fictitious case study of an organization named BestBread. The aim of this dissertation is to demonstrate not only the necessary indicators in a report but also to describe why they are needed through a business goal representation. This dissertation approach focus mainly in using two methodologies, a simplified notation of the Business Intelligence model (BIM) and a systematic approach that aims to justify BI indicators through modelling report goals. This approach provides guidance to organizations that already implemented a BI tool by presenting a method to compare intuitive and systematic selection of indicators with the BI system existing indicators. The approach is applicable to define in a report its significant indicators. The steps needed to be executed are the following: 1- Model business goals; 2- Select indicators through an intuitive perspective; 3- Verify the indicators existence identified in the intuitive perspective; 4- Select indicators through a systematic perspective; 5- Verify the indicators existence identified in the systematic perspective; 6- Make a global comparison. The dissertation approach allowed an easier way to identify and explain the purpose of indicators to be used in a report. Also, the methodology presented could help the BI deployment phase to be quicker since users would be able to visualise through the representations the evaluation that the indicators could evoke in their business goals. Therefore, it could improve the use of the BI tool, its acceptance and maybe even users’ satisfaction with the tool.

Sistemas de gestión para el control de la cadena de abastecimiento que apropie características de los cubos OLAP como marco de aplicación en una empresa colombiana del sector de alimentos.

Se basa en un análisis teórico de los sistemas de información como lo es el almacenaje de datos, cubos OLAP e inteligencia de negocios. Seguidamente, se hace un análisis de los sectores económicos de Colombia con un especial interés sobre el sector de alimentos, de esta manera conceptualizar la empresa sobre la cual este trabajo se enfocara. Se encontrará un análisis del caso de éxito Summerwood Corporation, el cual brindará una justificación para la propuesta final presentada a la empresa Dipsa Food, Pyme dedicada a la producción de alimentos no perecederos ubicada en la ciudad de Bogotá D.C –Colombia, la cual tiene gran interés en cuanto al desarrollo de nuevas tecnologías que brinden información fidedigna para la toma de decisiones