935 resultados para sequential exploitation


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La « surexploitation » des eaux souterraines est devenue au début des années 2000 une thématique majeure des programmes de développement des régions semi arides et arides de Syrie. Les fondements scientifiques du discours de surexploitation posent cependant question à plus d'un titre. Mobilisant une notion mal définie, le diagnostic de surexploitation réinterprète d'anciennes données soviétiques qui n'ont pas été actualisées. D'autre part, appliqué globalement à des espaces très hétérogènes, il n'apporte aucun élément d'évaluation et de régulation des pratiques d'exploitation. Les mesures de conservation des eaux souterraines qu'il justifie offrent alors un paradoxe. Présentées comme des mesures de restriction de l'exploitation des eaux souterraines, leur application dans les régions semi-arides a conduit à pénaliser les agriculteurs qui font l'usage le plus efficace de la ressource hydrique sans pour autant réduire la consommation en eau.

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"Argent et stupéfiants, stupéfiants et argent" : c'est un binôme bien implanté dans l'imaginaire commun. La production, le transport et la vente de stupéfiants constituent l'un des principaux trafics illicites au niveau international et permettent, à travers le blanchiment de l'argent qui en est issu, de financer beaucoup d'activités illégales. Dans ce cadre, le monde judiciaire montre un intérêt tout particulier à pouvoir démontrer que des sommes d'argent ont été en contact avec des produits stupéfiants et donc de les relier à leur trafic. C'est dans cette optique que l'analyse des contaminations en produits stupéfiants que l'on retrouve sur les billets de banque constitue un outil intéressant. Il s'agit de pouvoir établir que des billets en circulation présentent peu de traces de stupéfiants alors que les billets saisis dans le cadre de la répression du trafic illicite de stupéfiants en présentent en quantité plus importante. Les résultats de cette étude confirment qu'il est possible de mettre en évidence une différence significative entre la population des billets en circulation et la population des billets saisis tant pour les francs suisses que pour les euros. La méthodologie développée pour déterminer si un lot de billets est relié au trafic de produits stupéfiants est ainsi validée et constitue une contribution nouvelle dans la lutte contre le trafic des stupéfiants.

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Wireless “MIMO” systems, employing multiple transmit and receive antennas, promise a significant increase of channel capacity, while orthogonal frequency-division multiplexing (OFDM) is attracting a good deal of attention due to its robustness to multipath fading. Thus, the combination of both techniques is an attractive proposition for radio transmission. The goal of this paper is the description and analysis of a new and novel pilot-aided estimator of multipath block-fading channels. Typical models leading to estimation algorithms assume the number of multipath components and delays to be constant (and often known), while their amplitudes are allowed to vary with time. Our estimator is focused instead on the more realistic assumption that the number of channel taps is also unknown and varies with time following a known probabilistic model. The estimation problem arising from these assumptions is solved using Random-Set Theory (RST), whereby one regards the multipath-channel response as a single set-valued random entity.Within this framework, Bayesian recursive equations determine the evolution with time of the channel estimator. Due to the lack of a closed form for the solution of Bayesian equations, a (Rao–Blackwellized) particle filter (RBPF) implementation ofthe channel estimator is advocated. Since the resulting estimator exhibits a complexity which grows exponentially with the number of multipath components, a simplified version is also introduced. Simulation results describing the performance of our channel estimator demonstrate its effectiveness.

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In this paper, we introduce a pilot-aided multipath channel estimator for Multiple-Input Multiple-Output (MIMO) Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing (OFDM) systems. Typical estimation algorithms assume the number of multipath components and delays to be known and constant, while theiramplitudes may vary in time. In this work, we focus on the more realistic assumption that also the number of channel taps is unknown and time-varying. The estimation problem arising from this assumption is solved using Random Set Theory (RST), which is a probability theory of finite sets. Due to the lack of a closed form of the optimal filter, a Rao-Blackwellized Particle Filter (RBPF) implementation of the channel estimator is derived. Simulation results demonstrate the estimator effectiveness.

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In this work we study older workers'(50-64) labor force transitions after a health/disability shock. We find that the probability of keeping working decreases with both age and severity of the shock. Moreover, we find strong interactions between age and severity in the 50-64 age range and none in the 30-49 age range. Regarding demographics we find that being female and married reduce the probability of keeping work. On the contrary, being main breadwinner, education and skill levels increase it. Interestingly, the effect of some demographics changes its sign when we look at transitions from inactivity to work. This is the case of being married or having a working spouse. Undoubtedly, leisure complementarities should play a role in the latter case. Since the data we use contains a very detailed information on disabilities, we are able to evaluate the marginal effect of each type of disability either in the probability of keeping working or in returning back to work. Some of these results may have strong policy implications.

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Starting in February 1994, 20 patients (pt) with a median age of 50 years(range 41-63) from 7 European centers have been included. Completedata were obtained in 16 patients so far. CPC were mobilized with chemo(Epirubicine 75 mg/m2 /d, 01 + 02) followed by G-CSF 5 p.gfkg/d for14 days. HD chemo consisted in 3 sequential courses of ICE regimen(UOs. 10 g/m2 , Carbo. 1200 mg/m2 and Etop. 1200 mg/m2 ) underCPC protection and G-CSF 5 p.g/kg/d. Out of the 16 pt, 12 completedfull program (3 cycles). One pt died of septic shock before receivingany ICE course. One pt died during the first ICE of renal insufficiency.Two pt had only 2 courses because of toxicity. Among the 16 pt, responserate (RR) was: 7 CR, 6 PR, 1 PO; 3 pt are not evaluable dueto early withdrawal (overall RR: 13/16 = 81 %). Thirty-nine cycles ofHD chemo were given with a median hematological recovery of 9 days(range 7-12) until neutro. counts> 1.0 x 109 /1 and 9 days (range 717)until thrombo. > 20 x 109 /1. No cumulative, hematological toxicitywas seen. Accrual of patients is still ongoing and updated results will bepresented.

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In this paper we study, as in Jeon-Menicucci (2009), competition between sellerswhen each of them sells a portfolio of distinct products to a buyer having limitedslots. This paper considers sequential pricing and complements our main paper (Jeon-Menicucci, 2009) that considers simultaneous pricing.First, Jeon-Menicucci (2009) find that under simultaneous individual pricing, equilibriumoften does not exist and hence the outcome is often inefficient. By contrast,equilibrium always exists under sequential individual pricing and we characterize it inthis paper. We find that each seller faces a trade-off between the number of slots heoccupies and surplus extraction per product, and there is no particular reason thatthis leads to an efficient allocation of slots.Second, Jeon-Menicucci (2009) find that when bundling is allowed, there alwaysexists an efficient equilibrium but inefficient equilibria can also exist due to purebundling (for physical products) or slotting contracts. Under sequential pricing,we find that all equilibria are efficient regardless of whether firms can use slottingcontracts, and both for digital goods and for physical goods. Therefore, sequentialpricing presents an even stronger case for laissez-faire in the matter of bundling thansimultaneous pricing.

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In experiments with two-person sequential games we analyzewhether responses to favorable and unfavorable actions dependon the elicitation procedure. In our hot treatment thesecond player responds to the first player s observed actionwhile in our cold treatment we follow the strategy method and have the second player decide on a contingent action foreach and every possible first player move, without firstobserving this move. Our analysis centers on the degree towhich subjects deviate from the maximization of their pecuniaryrewards, as a response to others actions. Our results show nodifference in behavior between the two treatments. We also findevidence of the stability of subjects preferences with respectto their behavior over time and to the consistency of theirchoices as first and second mover.

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We present simple procedures for the prediction of a real valued sequence. The algorithms are based on a combinationof several simple predictors. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a bounded stationary and ergodic random process then the average of squared errors converges, almost surely, to that of the optimum, given by the Bayes predictor. We offer an analog result for the prediction of stationary gaussian processes.

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In this work we study older workers (50 64) labor force transitions after a health/disability shock. We find that the probability of keeping working decreases with both age and severity of the shock. Moreover, we find strong interactions between age and severity in the 50 64 age range and none in the 30 49 age range. Regarding demographics we find that being female and married reduce the probability of keeping work. On the contrary, being main breadwinner, education and skill levels increase it. Interestingly, the effect of some demographics changes its sign when we look at transitions from inactivity to work. This is the case of being married or having a working spouse. Undoubtedly, leisure complementarities should play a role in the latter case. Since the data we use contains a very detailed information on disabilities, we are able to evaluate the marginal effect of each type of disability either in the probability of keeping working or in returning back to work. Some of these results may have strong policy implications.