Assessing the Political Viability of Labour Market Reform: The Case of Employment Protection

We analyze the political support for employment protection legislation. Unlike my previous work on the same topic, this paper pays a lot of attention to the role of obsolescence in the growth process. In voting in favour of employment protection, incumbent employees trade off lower living standards (because employment protection maintains workers in less productive activities) against longer job duration. The support for employment protection will then depend on the value of the latter relative to the cost of the former. We highlight two key deeterminants of this trade-off: first, the workers' bargaining power, second, the economy's growth rate-more precisely its rate of creative destruction.

Time Series Input Selection using Multiple Kernel Learning

In this paper we study the relevance of multiple kernel learning (MKL) for the automatic selection of time series inputs. Recently, MKL has gained great attention in the machine learning community due to its flexibility in modelling complex patterns and performing feature selection. In general, MKL constructs the kernel as a weighted linear combination of basis kernels, exploiting different sources of information. An efficient algorithm wrapping a Support Vector Regression model for optimizing the MKL weights, named SimpleMKL, is used for the analysis. In this sense, MKL performs feature selection by discarding inputs/kernels with low or null weights. The approach proposed is tested with simulated linear and nonlinear time series (AutoRegressive, Henon and Lorenz series).

Exploração da Implementação Actual de IPv6 no Kernel do Linux

A presente dissertação visa retratar a exploração do suporte do protocolo internet versão seis (IPv6) no kernel do Linux, conjuntamente com a análise detalhada do estado de implementação dos diferentes aspectos em que se baseia o protocolo. O estudo incide na experimentação do funcionamento em geral do stack, a identificação de inconsistências deste em relação RFC’s respectivos, bem como a simulação laboratorial de cenários que reproduzam casos de utilização de cada uma das facilidades analisadas. O objecto desta dissertação não é explicar o funcionamento do novo protocolo IPv6, mas antes, centrar-se essencialmente na exploração do IPv6 no kernel do Linux. Não é um documento para leigos em IPv6, no entanto, optou-se por desenvolver uma parte inicial onde é abordado o essencial do protocolo: a sua evolução até à aprovação e a sua especificação. Com base no estudo realizado, explora-se o suporte do IPv6 no kernel do Linux, fazendo uma análise detalhada do estudo de implementação dos diferentes aspectos em que se baseia o protocolo. Bem como a realização de testes de conformidade IPv6 em relação aos RFC’s.

Mapping of Environmental Data Using Kernel-Based Methods

Recently, kernel-based Machine Learning methods have gained great popularity in many data analysis and data mining fields: pattern recognition, biocomputing, speech and vision, engineering, remote sensing etc. The paper describes the use of kernel methods to approach the processing of large datasets from environmental monitoring networks. Several typical problems of the environmental sciences and their solutions provided by kernel-based methods are considered: classification of categorical data (soil type classification), mapping of environmental and pollution continuous information (pollution of soil by radionuclides), mapping with auxiliary information (climatic data from Aral Sea region). The promising developments, such as automatic emergency hot spot detection and monitoring network optimization are discussed as well.

Maintaining dendritic cell viability in culture.

When mouse dendritic cells (DCs) are isolated from tissues, purified and placed in a nutritive culture they die more rapidly than would be expected from their normal turnover in vivo. This can distort culture assays of DC function. We therefore tested several approaches to prolonging DC survival in culture. Of several cytokines tested granulocyte-macrophage colony stimulating factor was most effective at preserving the viability of conventional DCs (cDCs) but was ineffective for plasmacytoid DCs (pDCs). Surprisingly, Fms-like tyrosine kinase 3 ligand, crucial for DC development, produced only a marginal improvement in DC survival in culture, and interleukin-3, reported to prevent apoptosis of human pDCs, produced only a minor improvement in survival of mouse DCs. Genetic manipulation of cell death pathways was also tested, to avoid activation effects exerted by cytokine signalling. The isolation of DCs from mice overexpressing Bcl-2 was especially effective in maintaining pDC viability but gave a lesser improvement in cDC viability. DCs isolated from Bim(-/-)Noxa(-/-) mice also showed improved culture survival, but in this case with pDCs showing the least improvement.

Variable Kernel estimates: On the impossibility of tuning the parameters

For the standard kernel density estimate, it is known that one can tune the bandwidth such that the expected L1 error is within a constant factor of the optimal L1 error (obtained when one is allowed to choose the bandwidth with knowledge of the density). In this paper, we pose the same problem for variable bandwidth kernel estimates where the bandwidths are allowed to depend upon the location. We show in particular that for positive kernels on the real line, for any data-based bandwidth, there exists a densityfor which the ratio of expected L1 error over optimal L1 error tends to infinity. Thus, the problem of tuning the variable bandwidth in an optimal manner is ``too hard''. Moreover, from the class of counterexamples exhibited in the paper, it appears thatplacing conditions on the densities (monotonicity, convexity, smoothness) does not help.

Viability and Management of an Endangered Capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus) Metapopulation in the Jura Mountains, Western Switzerland

The populations of Capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus), the largest European grouse, have seriously declined during the last century over most of their distribution in western and central Europe. In the Jura mountains, the relict population is now isolated and critically endangered (about 500 breeding adults). We developed a simulation software (TetrasPool) that accounts for age and spatial structure as well as stochastic processes, to perform a viability analysis and explore management scenarios for this population, capitalizing on a 24 years-long series of field data. Simulations predict a marked decline and a significant extinction risk over the next century, largely due to environmental and demographic stochasticity (average values of life-history parameters would otherwise allow stability). Variances among scenarios mainly stem from uncertainties about the shape and intensity of density dependence. Uncertainty analyses suggest to focus conservation efforts on enhancing, not only adult survival (as often advocated for long-lived species), but also recruitment. The juvenile stage matters when local populations undergo extinctions, because it ensures connectivity and recolonization. Besides limiting human perturbations, a silvicultural strategy aimed at opening forest structure should improve the quality and surface of available patches, independent of their size and localization. Such measures are to be taken urgently, if the population is to be saved.

Accounting information and the prediction of farm viability

Until recently farm management made little use of accounting and agriculture has been largely excluded from the scope of accounting standards. This article examines the current use of accounting in agriculture and points theneed to establish accounting standards for agriculture. Empirical evidence shows that accounting can make a significant contribution to agricultural management and farm viability and could also be important for other agents involved in agricultural decision making. Existing literature on failureprediction models and farm viability prediction studies provide the starting point for our research, in which two dichotomous logit models were applied to subsamples of viable and unviable farms in Catalonia, Spain. The firstmodel considered only non-financial variables, while the other also considered financial ones. When accounting variables were added to the model, a significant reduction in deviance was observed.

Weighted Kernel regression

In the fixed design regression model, additional weights areconsidered for the Nadaraya--Watson and Gasser--M\"uller kernel estimators.We study their asymptotic behavior and the relationships between new andclassical estimators. For a simple family of weights, and considering theIMSE as global loss criterion, we show some possible theoretical advantages.An empirical study illustrates the performance of the weighted estimatorsin finite samples.

Assesing the political viability of labour market reform: The case of employment protection

We analyze the political support for employment protection legislation.Unlike my previous work on the same topic, this paper pays a lot ofattention to the role of obsolescence in the growth process.In voting in favour of employment protection, incumbent employeestrade off lower living standards (because employment protectionmaintains workers in less productive activities) against longer jobduration. The support for employment protection will then depend onthe value of the latter relative to the cost of the former. Wehighlight two key deeterminants of this trade-off: first, the workers'bargaining power, second, the economy's growth rate-more preciselyits rate of creative destruction.

Additive genetic effects on embryo viability in a whitefish (Salmonidae) influenced by the water mould Saprolegnia ferax

Animals and plants are associated with symbiotic microbes whose roles range from mutualism to commensalism to parasitism. These roles may not only be taxon-specific but also dependent on environmental conditions and host factors. To experimentally test these possibilities, we drew a random sample of adult whitefish from a natural population, bred them in vitro in a full-factorial design in order to separate additive genetic from maternal environmental effects on offspring, and tested the performance of the resulting embryos under different environmental conditions. Enhancing the growth of symbiotic microbes with supplemental nutrients released cryptic additive genetic variance for viability in the fish host. These effects vanished with the concurrent addition of the water mould Saprolegnia ferax. Our findings demonstrate that the heritability of host fitness is environment-specific and critically depends on the interaction between symbiotic microbes.

Genetic and maternal contributions to offspring viability under different environmental conditions in various salmonids

Summary : Due to anthropogenic impacts and natural fluctuations, fish usually have to cope with constantly changing and often hostile environments. Whereas adult fish have various possibilities to counteract unfavourable environmental conditions, embryos have much fewer options. Besides by their developing immune system, they are protected by the egg envelopes and several immune substances provided by their mothers. In addition to this, they may also adjust their hatching timing in reaction to various risks. However, individuals may vary in their defensive potential. This variation may be either based on their genetics and/or on differential maternal investments and may be dependent on the experienced stress. Nevertheless, in fish, the impact of such parental contributions on embryo and/or juvenile viability is still poorly investigated. The main objective of this thesis was to investigate the importance of paternal (i.e. genetic) and maternal (i.e. genetic + egg investment) contributions to offspring viability under different environmental conditions and at different life stages. In order to investigate this, we used gametes of various salmonids for in vitro fertilisation experiments based on full-factorial breeding designs. The individual studies are summarised in the following chapters: In the first chapter, we tested the effectiveness of the embryonic immune system in Lake whitefish (Coregonus palaea). Namely, we investigated paternal and maternal contributions to the embryos' tolerance to different kinds of pathogen exposure. Additionally, we tested whether an early sub-léthal exposure has a positive or a negative effect on an embryo's susceptibility to later pathogen exposures with the same pathogen. We found that pre-challenged embryos were more susceptible to future challenges. Moreover, pathogen susceptibility was dependent on maternal investments and/or the embryos' own genetics, depending on the challenge level. Chapter 2 summarises a similar study with brown trout (Salmo trutta). In addition to the previously described investigations, we analysed if genetic effects on offspring viability are mediated either by parental MHC genotypes or relatedness based on neutral microsatellite markers, and we tested if males signal their genetic quality either by their body size or their melanin-based skin colouration. We found that embryo survival was lower at higher stress levels and dependent on the embryos' genetics. Addirionally, parents with similar and/or, very common MHC genotypes had higher offspring viabilities. Finally, darker males produced more viable offspring. In the first two chapters we investigated the embryos' defensive potential based on their immune system, i.e. their pathogen tolerance. In chapter 3 we investigate whether hatching timing of Lake whitefìsh (C. palaea) is dependent on parental contributions and/or on pathogen pressure, and whether there are parental-environmental interactions. We found that whitefish embryos hatch earlier under increasing pathogen pressure. Moreover, hatching timing was affected by embryo genetics and/or maternally provided resources, but the magnitude of the effect was dependent on the pathogen. pressure. We also found a significant paternal-environmental interaction, indicating that the hatching efficiency of a certain sib group is dependent on the pathogen environment. Chapter 4 describes an analogous study with brown trout (S. trutta), with similar findings. In the former chapters, we only looked at offspring performance during the embryonic period, and only under semi-natural conditions. In chapter 5 we now test the performance and viability of embryonic and juvenile brown trout (S. trutta) under natural conditions. To measure embryo viability, we put them in brood boxes, buried them in the gravel of a natural river, and analysed survival after several months. To investigate juvenile survival and performance, wé reared embryos under different stress levels in the laboratory and subsequently released the resulting hatchlings in to a closed river section. Juvenile size and survival was then determined one year later. Additionally, we investigated if sires differ in their genetic quality, determined by embryo and juvenile survival as well as juvenile size, and if they signal their quality by either body size or melanin-based body darkness. We found hat juvenile size was dependent on genetic effects and on maternal investment, whereas this was neither the case for embryo nor for juvenile survival. Additionally, we found that offspring of darker males grew larger, and larger juveniles had also an increased survival. Finally, we found acarry-over effect of the early non-lethal challenge: exposing embryos to higher stress levels resulted in smaller juveniles. To evaluate the long-term performance of differently treated groups, mark-recapture studies are inevitable. For this purpose, effective mass-marking techniques are essential. In chapter 6 we tested the suitability of the fluorescent pigment spray marking method for the mass marking of European graylings (Thymallus thymallus), with very promising results. Our in vitro fertilisation studies on whitefish may reveal new insights on potential genetic benefits of mate choice, but the mating system of whitefish under natural conditions is still poorly investigated. In order to study this, we installed underwater cameras at the spawning place of a Coregonus suidteri population, recorded the whole mating period and subsequently analysed the recordings. Confirmations of previous findings as well as exciting new observations are listed and discussed in chapter 7. Dus aux impacts anthropogéniques et aux fluctuations naturelles, les poissons doivent faire face à des environnements en perpétuel changement. Ces changements font que les poissons doivent s'adapter à de nouvelles situations, souvent hostiles pour eux. Les adultes ont différentes possibilités d'échapper à un environnement peu favorable, ce n'est par contre pas le cas des embryons. Les embryons sont protégés d'une part par leur système immunitaire en développement, d'autre part, par la coquille de l'eeuf et différentes substances immunitaires fournies par leur mère. De plus, ils sont capables d'influencer leur propre date d'éclosion en réponse à différents facteurs de stress. Malgré tout, les individus varient dans leur capacité à se défendre. Cette variation peut être basé sur des facteurs génétiques et/ou sur des facteurs maternels, et est dépendante du stress subi. Néanmoins, chez les poissons, l'impact de telles contributions parentales sur la survie d'embryons et/ou juvéniles est peu étudié. L'objectif principal de cette thèse a été d'approfondir les connaissances sur l'importance de la contribution paternelle (c.a.d. génétique) et maternelle (c.a.d. génétique + investissement dans l'oeuf) sur la survie des jeunes dans différentes conditions expérimentales et stades de vie. Pour faire ces analyses, nous avons utilisé des gamètes de divers salmonidés issus de croisements 'full-factorial'. Les différentes expériences sont résumées dans les chapitres suivants: Dans le premier chapitre, nous avons testé l'efficacité du système immunitaire des embryons chez les corégones (Coregonus palea). Plus précisément nous avons étudié la contribution paternelle et maternelle à la tolérance des embryons à différents niveaux de stress pathogène. Nous avons aussi testé, si une première exposition non létale à un pathogène avait un effet positif ou négatif sur la susceptibilité d'un embryon a une deuxième exposition au même pathogène. Nous avons trouvé que des embryons qui avaient été exposés une première fois étaient plus sensibles au pathogène par la suite. Mais aussi que la sensibilité au pathogène était dépendante de l'investissement de la mère et/ou des gènes de l'embryon, dépendamment du niveau de stress. Le deuxième chapitre résume une étude similaire avec des truites (Salmo truffa). Nous avons examiné, si la survie des jeunes variait sous différentes intensités de stress, et si la variance observée était due aux gènes des parents. Nous avons aussi analysé si les effets génétiques sur la survie des juvéniles étaient dus au MHC (Major Histocompatibility Complex) ou au degré de parenté des parents. De plus, nous avons analysé si les mâles signalaient leur qualité génétique par la taille du corps ou par leur coloration noire, due à la mélanine. On a trouvé que la survie des embryons était plus basse quand le niveau de stress était plus haut mais que la variation restait dépendante de la génétique des embryons. De plus, les parents avec des MHC similaires et/ou communs avaient des embryons avec une meilleure survie. Par contre, des parents avec un degré de parenté plus haut produisent des embryons avec une survie plus mauvaise. Finalement nous avons montré que les mâles plus foncés ont des embryons qui survivent mieux, mais que la taille des mâles n'a pas d'influence sur la survie de ces mêmes embryons. Dans les deux premiers chapitres, nous avons étudié le potentiel de défense des embryons basé sur leur système immunitaire, c.a.d. leur tolérance aux pathogènes. Dans le troisième chapitre, nous nous intéressons à la date d'éclosion des corégones (C. palea), pour voir si elle est influencée par les parents ou par la pression des pathogènes, et si il y a une interaction entre ces deux facteurs. Nous avons trouvé que les jeunes naissent plus rapidement lorsque la pression en pathogènes augmente. La date d'éclosion est influencée par la génétique des embryons et/ou l'investissement des parents, mais c'est la magnitude des effets qui est dépendante de la pression du pathogène. Nous avons aussi trouvé une interaction entre l'effet paternel et l'environnement, ce qui indique que la rapidité d'éclosion de certains croisements est dépendante des pathogènes dans l'environnement. Le chapitre 4 décrit une étude analogue avec de truites (S. truffa), avec des résultats sitzimilaires. Dans les précédents chapitres nous nous sommes uniquement concentrés sur les performances des jeunes durant leur stade embryonnaire, et seulement dans des conditions semi naturelles. Dans le chapitre 5 nous testons la performance et la viabilité des embryons et de juvéniles de truites (S. truffa) dans des conditions naturelles. Nous avons trouvé que la taille des juvéniles était dépendante d'effets génétiques et de l'investissement maternel, mais ceci n'était ni les cas pour les survie des embryons et des juvéniles. De plus, nous avons trouvé que les jeunes des mâles plus foncés devenaient plus grands et que les grands ont un meilleur taux de survie. Finalement nous avons trouvé un 'carry-over effect' d'une première exposition non létale à un pathogène: exposer des embryons à des plus hauts niveaux de stress donnait des juvéniles plus petits. Pour évaluer la performance à long terme de groupes traités dé manières différentes, une méthode de marquage-recapture est inévitable. Pour cette raison, des techniques de marquage en masse sont nécessaires. Dans le chapitre 6, nous avons testé l'efficacité de la technique `fluorescent pigment spray marking' pour le marquage en masse de l'Ombre commun (Thymallus thymallus), avec des résultats très prometteurs. Les études de fertilisations in vitro avec les corégones nous donnent une idée du potentiel bénéfice génétique que représente la sélection d'un bon partenaire, même si le système d'accouplement des corégones en milieu naturel reste peu connu. Pour combler cette lacune, nous avons installé des caméras sous-marines autour de la frayère d'une population de corégones (C. suidteri), nous avons enregistré toute la période de reproduction et nous avons analysé les données par la suite. Ainsi, nous avons été capables de confirmer bien des résultats trouvés précédemment, mais aussi de faire de nouvelles observations. Ces résultats sont reportés dans le septième chapitre, où elles sont comparées avec des observations antérieures.