Pancreatic stone protein as a postmortem biochemical marker for the diagnosis of sepsis.

Pancreatic stone protein/regenerating protein has recently emerged as an interesting diagnostic and prognostic marker of inflammation and sepsis in the clinical field. Increased blood concentrations have been described in patients with sepsis. Moreover, a high accuracy in predicting fatal outcomes in septic patients admitted to intensive care units has been reported. In this study, we investigated pancreatic stone protein/regenerating protein in postmortem serum in a series of sepsis-related fatalities, local infections and non-infectious cases that underwent medico-legal investigations. Procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, interleukin 6, soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells-1 and pancreatic stone protein/regenerating protein were measured in the postmortem serum collected during autopsy in a group of sepsis-related deaths, local infections and non-septic intensive care unit patients. Statistically significant differences in pancreatic stone protein/regenerating protein concentrations were observed between sepsis and control patients. A significant positive correlation was found between procalcitonin and pancreatic stone protein/regenerating protein values in septic cases. Pancreatic stone protein/regenerating protein is measurable in postmortem serum from femoral blood collected during autopsy. Additionally, as in the clinical field, pancreatic stone protein/regenerating protein can be used as a postmortem biochemical marker for the diagnosis of sepsis.

External dichotomous noise: The problem of the mean-first-passage time

A retarded backward equation for a non-Markovian process induced by dichotomous noise (the random telegraphic signal) is deduced. The mean-first-passage time of this process is exactly obtained. The Gaussian white noise and the white shot noise limits are studied. Explicit physical results in first approximation are evaluated.

Passage times for the decay of an unstable state triggered by colored noise

We study the decay of an unstable state in the presence of colored noise by calculating the moment generating function of the passage-time distribution. The problems of the independence of the initial condition in this non-Markovian process and that of nonlinear effects are addressed. Our results are compared with recent analog simulations.

First-passage time in a bistable potential with colored noise

A precise digital simulation of a bistable system under the effect of colored noise is carried out. A set of data for the mean first-passage time is obtained. The results are interpreted and compared with presently available theories, which are revisited following a new insight. Discrepancies that have been discussed in the literature are understood within our framework.

Insight toward the first-passage time in a bistable potential with highly colored noise

The exponential coefficient in the first-passage-time problem for a bistable potential with highly colored noise is predicted to be (8/27 by all existing theories. On the other hand, we show herein that all existing numerical evidence seems to indicate that the coefficient is actually larger by about (4/3, i.e., that the numerical factor in the exponent is approximately (32/81. Existing data cover values of ¿V0/D up to ~20, where V0 is the barrier height, ¿ the correlation time of the noise, and D the noise intensity. We provide an explanation for the modified coefficinet, the explanation also being based on existing numerical simulations. Whether the value (8/27 predicted by all large-¿ theories is achieved for even larger values of ¿V0/D is unknown but appears questionable (except perhaps for enormously large, experimentally inaccessible values of this factor) in view of currently available results.

Mean first-passage time of continuous non-Markovian processes driven by colored noise

An equation for mean first-passage times of non-Markovian processes driven by colored noise is derived through an appropriate backward integro-differential equation. The equation is solved in a Bourret-like approximation. In a weak-noise bistable situation, non-Markovian effects are taken into account by an effective diffusion coefficient. In this situation, our results compare satisfactorily with other approaches and experimental data.

First-passage times for a marginal state driven by colored noise

The dynamical process through a marginal state (saddle point) driven by colored noise is studied. For small correlation time of the noise, the mean first-passage time and its variance are calculated using standard methods. When the correlation time of the noise is finite or large, an alternative approach, based on simple physical arguments, is proposed. It will allow us to study also the passage times of an unstable state. The theoretical predictions are tested satisfactorily by the use of computer simulations.

First-passage times for non-Markovian processes

First-passage time statistics for non-Markovian processes have heretofore only been developed for processes driven by dichotomous fluctuations that are themselves Markov. Herein we develop a new method applicable to Markov and non-Markovian dichotomous fluctuations and calculate analytic mean first-passage times for particular examples.

First-passage times for non-Markovian processes: Correlated impacts on a free process

We develop a method to obtain first-passage-time statistics for non-Markovian processes driven by dichotomous fluctuations. The fluctuations themselves need not be Markovian. We calculate analytic first-passage-time distributions and mean first-passage times for exponential, rectangular, and long-tail temporal distributions of the fluctuations.