Emergence of acquired HIV-1 drug resistance has almost been stopped in Switzerland - a 15 year prospective cohort analysis

BACKGROUND  Drug resistance is a major barrier to successful antiretroviral treatment (ART). Therefore, it is important to monitor time trends at a population level. METHODS  We included 11,084 ART-experienced patients from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS) between 1999 and 2013. The SHCS is highly representative and includes 72% of patients receiving ART in Switzerland. Drug resistance was defined as the presence of at least one major mutation in a genotypic resistance test. To estimate the prevalence of drug resistance, data for patients with no resistance test was imputed based on patient's risk of harboring drug resistant viruses. RESULTS  The emergence of new drug resistance mutations declined dramatically from 401 to 23 patients between 1999 and 2013. The upper estimated prevalence limit of drug resistance among ART-experienced patients decreased from 57.0% in 1999 to 37.1% in 2013. The prevalence of three-class resistance decreased from 9.0% to 4.4% and was always <0.4% for patients who initiated ART after 2006. Most patients actively participating in the SHCS in 2013 with drug resistant viruses initiated ART before 1999 (59.8%). Nevertheless, in 2013, 94.5% of patients who initiated ART before 1999 had good remaining treatment options based on Stanford algorithm. CONCLUSION  HIV-1 drug resistance among ART-experienced patients in Switzerland is a well-controlled relic from the pre-combination ART era. Emergence of drug resistance can be virtually stopped with new potent therapies and close monitoring.

Rhinovirus Infections and Associated Respiratory Morbidity in Infants: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND Risk factors promoting rhinovirus (RV) infections are inadequately described in healthy populations, especially infants. OBJECTIVES To determine the frequency of symptomatic and asymptomatic RV infections and identify possible risk factors from host and environment among otherwise healthy infants. METHODS In a prospective birth cohort, respiratory health was assessed in 41 term-born infants by weekly telephone interviews during the first year of life, and weekly nasal swabs were collected to determine RV prevalence. In a multilevel logistic regression model, associations between prevalence and respiratory symptoms during RV infections and host/environmental factors were determined. RESULTS 27% of nasal swabs in 41 infants tested positive for RVs. Risk factors for RV prevalence were autumn months (OR=1.71, p=0.01, 95% CI 1.13-2.61), outdoor temperatures between 5-10 °C (OR=2.33, p=0.001, 95% CI 1.41-3.86), older siblings (OR=2.60, p=0.001, 95% CI 1.50-4.51) and childcare attendance (OR=1.53, p=0.07, 95% CI 0.96-2.44). 51% of RV-positive samples were asymptomatic. Respiratory symptoms during RV infections were less likely during the first three months of life (OR=0.34, p=0.003, 95% CI 0.17-0.69) and in infants with atopic mothers (OR=0.44, p=0.008, 95% CI 0.24-0.80). Increased tidal volume (OR=1.67, p=0.03, 95% CI 1.04-2.68) and outdoor temperatures between 2-5 °C (OR=2.79, p=0.02, 95% CI 1.17-6.61) were associated with more symptoms. CONCLUSIONS RVs are highly prevalent during the first year of life, and most infections are asymptomatic. Frequency of RV infections is associated with environmental factors, while respiratory symptoms during RV infections are linked to host determinants like infant age, maternal atopy, or premorbid lung function.

Association between cardiorespiratory fitness and Alzheimer's mortality: A prospective cohort study

Context. Alzheimer’s disease is a major source of morbidity and mortality in aging societies. Preventive measures, such as increasing cardiorespiratory fitness, to reduce the risk of Alzheimer’s disease mortality have not been sufficiently examined.^ Objective. To examine the association between levels of cardiorespiratory fitness and Alzheimer’s disease mortality.^ Design, Setting, and Patients. A prospective cohort study of 53,911 men and 18,876 women (mean age, 51.4 [SD, 10.0] years; range 20-88) enrolled in the Cooper Center Longitudinal Study who completed a baseline health examination during 1970-2006. The primary exposure, cardiorespiratory fitness, was assessed via a maximal exercise test. Fitness was categorized according to age- and sex-specific tertiles based on the participants’ distribution of maximal treadmill exercise test duration, in metabolic equivalent tasks (METs). The main outcome measure was Alzheimer’s disease mortality, defined as the underlying or contributing cause of death using the National Death Index and death certificates through December 31, 2006.^ Results. There were 175 Alzheimer’s disease deaths during a mean follow up of 37 years and 1,309,170 person-years of exposure. Women in the high fitness category had a 70% reduction in risk of Alzheimer’s mortality compared to women in the low fitness category (HR=0.3; 95% CI, 0.1-0.8; P=.02), while adjusting for potential confounders. Similarly, women in the moderate fitness category had a 70% reduction in risk for AD mortality compared to women in the low fit category (HR=0.3; 95% CI, 0.1-0.7; P=.005). Among men, the relationship between fitness level and AD mortality risk was examined but none were of statistical significance. The adjusted comparison of men in the high fitness category to low fit men yielded an HR of 0.9 (95% CI, 0.6-1.5; P=.79), while moderately fit men compared to low fit men yielded an HR of 1.3 (95% CI, 0.9-1.9; P=.21).^ Conclusions. Higher levels of cardiorespiratory fitness were associated with decreased risk of AD mortality, in women. No statistically significant association was found among men. Physical fitness may be an important protective factor against Alzheimer’s disease death in women, further supporting its clinical and public health values.^