Modelos de crescimento e a teoria do desenvolvimento econômico

A teoria econômica recoloca, na atualidade, o tema do crescimento econômico após um longo período dedicado aos problemas de estabilização e equilíbrio fiscal. Na falta de um novo sistema conceitual, os modelos de crescimento estão buscando as categorias centrais de análise nos modelos teóricos do passado, particularmente na teoria do desenvolvimento econômico. Nesse sentido, são retomados conceitos como rendimentos crescentes, big push, economias de escala, que foram desenvolvidos por autores como Allyn Young, P. Rosenstein-Rodan, Ragnar Nurkse e outros expoentes da teoria do desenvolvimento dos anos 50. Nesta pesquisa, pretendo reconstituir os principais modelos de crescimento arquitetados por esses autores, analisar sua influência sobre o Modelo Brasileiro de Desenvolvimento e verificar de que forma essas categorias econômicas estão sendo recuperadas pelos novos modelos de crescimento da atualidade.

Modelagem de previsões econômicas em cenários prospectivos

A estabilidade econômica que o Brasil atualmente experimenta permite resgatar a tradição de construção e análises prospectivas de médio e longo prazos. Isto remete à necessidade de se pensar mais profundamente acerca da possível evolução da economia brasileira, sendo mister o conhecimento de ferramentas de previsão. O objetivo deste trabalho é contribuir com este propósito. Avanços significativos têm sido observados na modelagem de previsões macro econômicas. Para se avaliar como os modelos de previsão estarão se desenvolvendo no futuro próximo, é necessário entender a evolução das abordagens dos modelos de previsão não-estruturais e estruturais. Como dependem da teoria econômica, os modelos estruturais ganham importância e descaso na medida em que a teoria evolui e cai em desuso. A marca registrada das previsões macroeconômicas nos próximos anos será o casamento das melhores abordagens estruturais e não-estruturais, facilitadas por avanços em técnicas numéricas e de simulação. Para ilustrar o trabalho de forma empírica, três cenários para a economia brasileira foram desenvolvidos, utilizando-se como base o arcabouço teórico resumido em uma das seções deste trabalho. Cenários potencialmente têm um valor muito grande na gestão de uma empresa ou de uma instituição. Cenários são a oitava ferramenta gerencial mais utilizada nas empresas em todo o mundo1 e esta dissertação é mais uma contribuição para este rico campo.

Estudo de variáveis organizacionais e psicológicas relacionadas a acidentes de trabalho em uma indústria de construção naval

O objetivo principal deste trabalho consiste na exploração de parâmetros de variáveis organizacionais e psico-sociais relacionadas aos acidentes de trabalho de uma indústria de construção naval do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, através da aplicação de modelos matemáticos inspirados na Teoria das filas. A primeira parte compreende uma revisão das principais pesquisas 8 estudos relacionando diversas variáveis psicológicas, sociais sociológicas, fisiológicas físicas e organizacionais a ocorrência de acidentas de trabalho. A segunda parte do trabalho consiste na análise de 9.657 acidentes ocorri dos em uma indústria de construção naval no ano de 1974 quando são evidenciados os parâmetros que regem as distribuições do numero de acidentes sofridos por operário e do intervalo entre acidentes consecutivos são ainda propostas as equações que deveriam ser empregadas para a previsão das duas variáveis dependentes consideradas. Ao final são apresentadas algumas sugestões e conclusões onde a mais importante refere-se à invariância dos parâmetros quando se consideram diferentes características pessoais dos sujeitos. Tal fato é interpretado como produto do grau de periculosidade muito e levado da organização que esconde ria as influências das variáveis pessoais na ocorrência de acidentes de trabalho.

Bank networks and firm credit: an agent based model approach

Starting from the idea that economic systems fall into complexity theory, where its many agents interact with each other without a central control and that these interactions are able to change the future behavior of the agents and the entire system, similar to a chaotic system we increase the model of Russo et al. (2014) to carry out three experiments focusing on the interaction between Banks and Firms in an artificial economy. The first experiment is relative to Relationship Banking where, according to the literature, the interaction over time between Banks and Firms are able to produce mutual benefits, mainly due to reduction of the information asymmetry between them. The following experiment is related to information heterogeneity in the credit market, where the larger the bank, the higher their visibility in the credit market, increasing the number of consult for new loans. Finally, the third experiment is about the effects on the credit market of the heterogeneity of prices that Firms faces in the goods market.

Caminhos de sobrevivência institucional: a gestão do núcleo de oficinas e artes profissionalizantes laís aderne

The object of this study is the organizational management, particularly the relational processenvironment organization focused on the survival of the space Department of the Arts and Crafts Mestre Raimundo Cardoso linked to the structural arrangement of the Liceu do Paracuri.. Aimed to understand the ways of organizational survival, from the actors' perception of the Center for Arts Career Workshops and Lais Aderne, with investments that discuss the theoretical models of management, institutional theory, cultural organization and institutionalization of public education requirement of the municipal light LDB. (1996) used a qualitative approach with a view to RICHARDSON (1985). The data generated were analyzed based on the technique of content analysis, the thematic type [categorical] Bardin (1977). The results indicate that the institutionalization of the arrangement of the Liceu do Paracuri emerges meet the legal requirement of the autonomy of municipal educational administration under the aegis of sustainable development, quality of life and basic education from the municipal Hélio Gueiros (1993-1996 ). More specifically the Center for Arts and Crafts Laís Aderne, the unit of analysis, the subjects said that this space is designed as a link between the demands of school and community searching through interdisciplinary activities educate and train manpower mainly potter. They did mention the existence of institutional factors (history, culture, habits, values) represent a strong socio-cultural element to the actors belonging to the core that guides behavior and actions of these individuals, fueled by a sense of hope, inclusion of future artisans in culture ceramist. It made a shared management, the existence of a unique work through cultural revival. However, over the course of time, the core is faced with dilemmas of managing transitions mainly regarding governmental, technological beyond endurance by the craftsmen for the optimization of their work. The conclusion - that the paths chosen for the organizational survival of the core meaning and guiding their actions in the systematization of conduct, representations, memories and traditions through habits and choices of consensus, the viewpoint of the actors

Itinerário educacional de uma aluna cega e a busca pela imagem adaptada

The scope of this study directs an investigation in search of how the blind person learns knowledge at school mediated by the image in context of an inclusive education and how it can be (or is) triggered by the adaptation of images to the tactile seizure of the blind person and his correlative process of reading. To achieve this intent we choose a qualitative approach of research and opted for the modality of case study, based on the empirical field of a public school in the city of Cruzeta, RN and as a the main subject a congenitally blind female student enrolled in high school there, focusing, often, on the discipline of geography in its words mapping. Our procedures for construction of data are directly involved to the documentary analysis of open reflective interview and observation. The base guiding theory of our assessments is located in the current understanding about the human psychological development of its educational process inside an inclusive perspective, of contemporary conceptions about the visual disability as well of image as a cultural product. Accordingly, the human person is a concrete subject, whose development is deeply marked by the culture, historically built by human society. This subject regardless of his specific features, grasping the world in an interactive and immediate way, internalising and producing culture. In this thinking, we believe that the blind person perceives in multiple senses the stimuli of his environment and acts in the world toward his integration into the social environment. The image as a product of culture, historically and socially determined, appears as a sign conventionally used as an icon that in itself concentrates knowledge of which the student who does not realize visually himself and his surroundings cannot be excluded. In this direction, the inclusive educational process must build conditions of access to knowledge for all students without distinction, including access to the interpretation of the images originally intended for the seizure strictly visual to other perceptive models. Based in this theory and adopting principles of content analysis, we circulated inside the interpretation of the data constructed from the analysis of documents, from the subject speeches, from records of the observation made in the classroom and other notes of the field daily. In the search for pictures on the school contents, adapted to the tactile seizure of blind student, was seen little and not systematic in practice and teaching at the school. It showed us the itinerary of the student life marked by a succession of supports, most of the time inappropriate and pioneers in cooling the construction of her autonomy. It also showed us the tensions and contradictions of a school environment, supposedly inclusive, that stumbles in search of its intent, in the attitudinal and cumulative barriers brought, because of its aggravating maintenance. These findings arose of crossing data around of a categorization that gives importance to 1) Concepts regarding the school inclusion, 2) Elements of the school organization, educational proposal and teaching practice, 3) Meaning of the visual image as the object of knowledge, 4) Perception in multiple senses and 5) Development and learning of the blind person before impositions of the social environment. In light of these findings we infer that it must be guaranteed to the disabled person removal of the attitudinal barriers that are against his full development and the construction of his autonomy. In that sense, should be given opportunity to the student with visual disability, similarly to all students, not only access to school, but also the dynamics of a school life efficient, that means the seizure of knowledge in all its modalities, including the imagery. To that end, there is a need of the continued training of teachers, construction of a support network in response to all needs of students, and the opportunity to development of reading skills beyond a perspective eminently focused in the sight

Juízos e valores morais: a perspectiva de investigação dos modelos organizadores do pensamento

As ideias propostas neste estudo teórico têm como objetivo ampliar as perspectivas de investigação sobre juízos e valores morais. Após uma reflexão crítica sobre teorias que contribuíram com importantes conceitos no campo da Psicologia Moral, foram feitos alguns apontamentos que nos parecem promissores nessa área, tendo por referencial teórico-metodológico a Teoria dos Modelos Organizadores do Pensamento. Essa teoria procura destacar que apenas os recursos cognitivos operatórios não são suficientes para explicar como o sujeito apreende e julga a realidade. Nessa perspectiva, conclui-se como fundamental o papel dos conteúdos na organização das representações mentais relacionadas aos juízos e valores morais.

Estilos de aprendizagem sob a ótica da Psicologia Evolucionista

Among a variety of learning conceptions, David Kolb´s Experiential Learning Theory proposes four different learning styles: diverging, characterized by orientation towards people and multi-perspective vision; assimilating, concerned with ideas and abstract concepts as well as theory formulation; converging, expert in dealing with technical tasks and problem solving; and accommodating, risk taker and good at getting things done. Interesting correlations have been pointed out between Kolb s learning styles, professional careers and genders. With respect to behaviors, specific cognitive skills and interests, sex differences are widely known, and explained by Evolutionary Psychology as the result of distinct selective pressures acting on each gender. The aim of this research was to assess adolescents learning styles and their relation with interests on school and career choices, analyzing possible gender differences. We distributed questionnaires to 221 senior high school students to research their preferences for school disciplines, professional activities and career choices. The Learning Style Inventory specified the learning style of each individual. Our results showed a high frequency of reflective styles, with predominance of females as diverging and males as assimilating. Concerning school and professional interests, there were correlations between styles oriented towards the abstract and technical interests. Moreover, females preferred disciplines related to languages and interpersonal activities while males preferred disciplines related to science and technical activities. There were more males in exact science and engineering careers, and more females in social science and applied social science. Correlations found between learning styles, school and professional interests corroborate Kolb´s propositions, and the findings about gender differences are supported by Evolutionary Psychology theories

Search for supersymmetry in events with a lepton, a photon, and large missing transverse energy in pp collisions at root s=7 TeV

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Sol-gel transition in SnO2 colloidal suspensions: viscoelastic properties

This paper describes particle aggregation process during gelation of SnO2 hydrosols. The effect of the concentration of SnO2 colloidal particles on the kinetics of gelation of hydrosols containing PVA (poly(vinyl alcohol)) was analysed by dynamic rheological measurements. The complex viscosity and the storage and loss moduli have been measured during the sol-gel transition and the results correlated to mass fractal growth, nearly linear growth models, and scalar percolation theory. The analysis of the experimental results shows that a linear aggregation occurs in the initial step of the gelation followed by a fractal growth to form a three-dimensional network. Near the gel point this physical gel exhibits the typical scaling expected from an electrical percolation analogy. (C) 1999 Elsevier B.V. B.V. All rights reserved.

Generalized soldering of +/- 2 helicity states in D=2+1

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Pauli nonlocality in heavy-ion rainbow scattering: A further test of the folding model

Nonlocal interactions are an intrinsically quantum phenomenon. In this work we point out that, in the context of heavy ions, such interactions can be studied through the refractive elastic scattering of these systems at intermediate energies. We show that most of the observed energy dependence of the local equivalent bare potential arises from the exchange nonlocality. The nonlocality parameter extracted from the data was found to be very close to the one obtained from folding models. The effective mass of the colliding, heavy-ion, system was found to be close to the nucleon effective mass in nuclear matter.

Scaling predictions for radii of weakly bound triatomic molecules

The mean-square radii of the triatomic molecules 4He 3, 4He 2- 6Li, 4He 2- 7Li, and 4He 2- 23Na were calculated using a renormalized three-body model with a pairwise Dirac-δ interaction, having as physical inputs only the values of the binding energies of the diatomic and triatomic molecules. Molecular three-body systems with bound subsystems were considered. The resultant data were analyzed in detail.

Utilização da opção de diferimento na avaliação de implantação de projeto de mecanismo de desenvolvimento limpo em uma empresa de cerâmica vermelha

A evolução da teoria de precificação de opções considera um conjunto de ferramentas necessárias para gerenciar e explorar o valor advindo da incerteza e da volatilidade que ampliam os parâmetros da geração de valor ao acrescentarem os conceitos de flexibilidade gerencial. Dentro deste contexto, o presente estudo teve como objetivo avaliar economicamente a implantação do Mecanismo de Desenvolvimento Limpo em uma empresa de cerâmica vermelha localizada no Arranjo Produtivo de São Miguel do Guamá, nordeste do Pará. A avaliação pretendeu demonstrar o valor da flexibilidade gerencial de Diferimento conforme adaptações realizadas na metodologia proposta por Copeland & Antikarov (2001), a qual adiciona à avaliação tradicional de fluxo de caixa descontado a Opção Real – OR – que a pesquisa considerou; e que fundamentou-se por meio de revisão de literatura para formulação do método. Essa determinação seguiu um roteiro de etapas essenciais para a análise das variáveis que compreendem o modelo e que possibilitou a ordenação dos resultados quanto aos valores da OR considerada e do valor presente incluindo a flexibilidade gerencial; com a aplicação do método na empresa objeto da pesquisa. Finalmente, como resultado deste estudo conclui-se que a Teoria de Opções Reais por meio da Opção de Diferimento ou Adiamento contribui com informações que auxiliam nas decisões gerenciais de investimento em projetos quando comparados à metodologia tradicional de avaliação visto que são consideradas incertezas inerentes ao projeto, tal como o ambiente real.

Propriedade intelectual e Teoria Social Crítica: caso do aprimoramento de sementes e dos direitos dos agricultores

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)