Impact of radiofrequency ablation for patients with varicose veins on the budget of the German statutory health insurance system

Objectives: In contrast to other countries, surgery still represents the common invasive treatment for varicose veins in Germany. However, radiofrequency ablation, e.g. ClosureFast, becomes more and more popular in other countries due to potential better results and reduced side effects. This treatment option may cause less follow-up costs and is a more convenient procedure for patients, which could justify an introduction in the statutory benefits catalogue. Therefore, we aim at calculating the budget impact of a general reimbursement of ClosureFast in Germany. Methods: To assess the budget impact of including ClosureFast in the German statutory benefits catalogue, we developed a multi-cohort Markov model and compared the costs of a “World with ClosureFast” with a “World without ClosureFast” over a time horizon of five years. To address the uncertainty of input parameters, we conducted three different types of sensitivity analysis (one-way, scenario, probabilistic). Results: In the Base Case scenario, the introduction of the ClosureFast system for the treatment of varicose veins saves costs of about 19.1 Mio. € over a time horizon of five years in Germany. However, the results scatter in the sensitivity analyses due to limited evidence of some key input parameters. Conclusions: Results of the budget impact analysis indicate that a general reimbursement of ClosureFast has the potential to be cost-saving in the German Statutory Health Insurance.

A proposed impact assessment method for genetically modified plants (AS-GMP Method).

An essential step in the development of products based on biotechnology is an assessment of their potential economic impacts and safety, including an evaluation of the potential impact of transgenic crops and practices related to their cultivation on the environment and human or animal health. The purpose of this paper is to provide an assessment method to evaluate the impact of biotechnologies that uses quantifiable parameters and allows a comparative analysis between conventional technology and technologies using GMOs. This paper introduces amethod to performan impact analysis associatedwith the commercial release and use of genetically modified plants, the Assessment SystemGMPMethod. The assessment is performed through indicators that are arranged according to their dimension criterion likewise: environmental, economic, social, capability and institutional approach. To perform an accurate evaluation of the GMP specific indicators related to genetic modification are grouped in common fields: genetic insert features, GMplant features, gene flow, food/feed field, introduction of the GMP, unexpected occurrences and specific indicators. The novelty is the possibility to include specific parameters to the biotechnology under assessment. In this case by case analysis the factors ofmoderation and the indexes are parameterized to perform an available assessment.

Recognising the capacities of dynamic reconfiguration for the QoS assurance of running systems in concurrent and parallel environments

Recognizing the impact of reconfiguration on the QoS of running systems is especially necessary for choosing an appropriate approach to dealing with dynamic evolution of mission-critical or non-stop business systems. The rationale is that the impaired QoS caused by inappropriate use of dynamic approaches is unacceptable for such running systems. To predict in advance the impact, the challenge is two-fold. First, a unified benchmark is necessary to expose QoS problems of existing dynamic approaches. Second, an abstract representation is necessary to provide a basis for modeling and comparing the QoS of existing and new dynamic reconfiguration approaches. Our previous work [8] has successfully evaluated the QoS assurance capabilities of existing dynamic approaches and provided guidance of appropriate use of particular approaches. This paper reinvestigates our evaluations, extending them into concurrent and parallel environments by abstracting hardware and software conditions to design an evaluation context. We report the new evaluation results and conclude with updated impact analysis and guidance.

Public Economics and the Assessment of Tourism Developments and Policies

Public economics covers both topics in welfare economic of social (as opposed to private) interest and aspects of public finance. This chapter considers the application of two methods of social economic evaluation of tourist developments, namely, social cost-benefit analysis and economic impact analysis. The role of social cost-benefit analysis in the assessment of tourism is illustrated by its application to the evaluation of inbound tourism. This is followed by a discussion of taxes on tourism and subsidies to promote it. The principle focus is on hotel room taxes. The analysis of taxes on tourism involves both public finance and welfare economics issues. The scope for and desirability of applying the user-pays principle to tourism is then examined.

Revised benefits and costs of eradicating the red imported fire ant

The paper revisits estimates of cost/benefit for eradication in Australia provided in 2001 which were based largely on information about a US ecosystem. The study had two major components; spread modelling using a cellular automation model provided by Joe Scanlan and an impact analysis undertaken by the remaining authors. The revised figures provided in this study increased the damage estimate from $2.8 billion to $45 billion and the benefit-cost ratio of eradication efforts improved from 25:1 to 390:1.

BER-optimized linear parallel interference cancellers for multicarrier DS-CDMA systems

In this paper, we consider the design and bit-error performance analysis of linear parallel interference cancellers (LPIC) for multicarrier (MC) direct-sequence code division multiple access (DS-CDMA) systems. We propose an LPIC scheme where we estimate and cancel the multiple access interference (MAT) based on the soft decision outputs on individual subcarriers, and the interference cancelled outputs on different subcarriers are combined to form the final decision statistic. We scale the MAI estimate on individual subcarriers by a weight before cancellation. In order to choose these weights optimally, we derive exact closed-form expressions for the bit-error rate (BER) at the output of different stages of the LPIC, which we minimize to obtain the optimum weights for the different stages. In addition, using an alternate approach involving the characteristic function of the decision variable, we derive BER expressions for the weighted LPIC scheme, matched filter (MF) detector, decorrelating detector, and minimum mean square error (MMSE) detector for the considered multicarrier DS-CDMA system. We show that the proposed BER-optimized weighted LPIC scheme performs better than the MF detector and the conventional LPIC scheme (where the weights are taken to be unity), and close to the decorrelating and MMSE detectors.

Low-Complexity Detection and Performance in Multi-Gigabit High Spectral Efficiency Wireless Systems

Recently, we reported a low-complexity likelihood ascent search (LAS) detection algorithm for large MIMO systems with several tens of antennas that can achieve high spectral efficiencies of the order of tens to hundreds of bps/Hz. Through simulations, we showed that this algorithm achieves increasingly near SISO AWGN performance for increasing number of antennas in Lid. Rayleigh fading. However, no bit error performance analysis of the algorithm was reported. In this paper, we extend our work on this low-complexity large MIMO detector in two directions: i) We report an asymptotic bit error probability analysis of the LAS algorithm in the large system limit, where N-t, N-r -> infinity keeping N-t = N-r, where N-t and N-r are the number of transmit and receive antennas, respectively. Specifically, we prove that the error performance of the LAS detector for V-BLAST with 4-QAM in i.i.d. Rayleigh fading converges to that of the maximum-likelihood (ML) detector as N-t, N-r -> infinity keeping N-t = N-r ii) We present simulated BER and nearness to capacity results for V-BLAST as well as high-rate non-orthogonal STBC from Division Algebras (DA), in a more realistic spatially correlated MIMO channel model. Our simulation results show that a) at an uncoded BER of 10(-3), the performance of the LAS detector in decoding 16 x 16 STBC from DA with N-t = = 16 and 16-QAM degrades in spatially correlated fading by about 7 dB compared to that in i.i.d. fading, and 19) with a rate-3/4 outer turbo code and 48 bps/Hz spectral efficiency, the performance degrades by about 6 dB at a coded BER of 10(-4). Our results further show that providing asymmetry in number of antennas such that N-r > N-t keeping the total receiver array length same as that for N-r = N-t, the detector is able to pick up the extra receive diversity thereby significantly improving the BER performance.

X-Codes: A Low Complexity Full-Rate High-Diversity Achieving Precoder for TDD MIMO Systems

We consider a time division duplex multiple-input multiple-output (nt × nr MIMO). Using channel state information (CSI) at the transmitter, singular value decomposition (SVD) of the channel matrix is performed. This transforms the MIMO channel into parallel subchannels, but has a low overall diversity order. Hence, we propose X-Codes which achieve a higher diversity order by pairing the subchannels, prior to SVD preceding. In particular, each pair of information symbols is encoded by a fixed 2 × 2 real rotation matrix. X-Codes can be decoded using nr very low complexity two-dimensional real sphere decoders. Error probability analysis for X-Codes enables us to choose the optimal pairing and the optimal rotation angle for each pair. Finally, we show that our new scheme outperforms other low complexity precoding schemes.

Custo-efetividade do tratamento da infecção pelo vírus da hepatite C em candidatos a transplante renal submetidos à diálise

O estudo tem como objetivo geral avaliar a razão de custo-utilidade do tratamento da infecção pelo vírus da hepatite C (VHC) em pacientes dialisados, candidatos a transplante renal, tendo como esquemas terapêuticos alternativos o interferon-_ em monoterapia; o interferon peguilado em monoterapia; o interferon-_ em terapia combinada com ribavirina e o interferon peguilado em terapia combinada com ribavirina, comparando-os com o nãotratamento. A perspectiva do estudo foi a do Sistema Único de Saúde(SUS), que também serviu de base para estimar o impacto orçamentário da estratégia de tratamento mais custo efetiva. Para o alcance dos objetivos, foi construído um modelo de Makov para simulação de custos e resultados de cada estratégia avaliada. Para subsidiar o modelo, foi realizada uma revisão de literatura, a fim de definir os estados de saúde relacionados à infecção pelo vírus da hepatite C em transplantados e a probabilidade de transição entre os estados. Medidas de utilidade foram derivadas de consultas a especialistas. Os custos foram derivados da tabela de procedimentos do SUS. Os resultados do estudo demonstraram que o tratamento da infecção pelo VHC antes do transplante renal é mais custo-efetivo que o não tratamento, apontando o interferon-a como a melhor opção. O impacto orçamentário para adoção dessa estratégia pelo SUS corresponde a 0,3% do valor despendido pelo SUS com terapia renal substitutiva ao longo do ano de 2007.

Racionalidade e otimização regulatórias: um estudo a partir da teoria das falhas de regulação

A presente dissertação procura investigar o incremento da racionalidade regulatória (ou otimização regulatória) a partir da teoria das falhas de regulação. Hoje, já parece existir um consenso teórico e prático de que a regulação e seu aparato institucional as agências reguladoras constituem fenômeno irreversível. Nesse contexto, as perguntas que se colocam são as seguintes: no plano dos resultados, o Estado Regulador tem alcançado as finalidades a que se propôs? Em caso negativo, que tipo de obstáculos o tem impedido? E mais: que providências devem ser adotadas para superá-los? Responder a tais indagações depende do reconhecimento de que não apenas os mercados são imperfeitos; também a intervenção estatal na economia gera riscos e efeitos negativos. Estudar seus tipos, suas fontes e a maneira como operam é o ponto de partida para se otimizar a regulação. O trabalho propõe uma sistematização das espécies de falhas regulatórias, baseada na proposta de Cass Sunstein, mas adaptada à realidade brasileira. A exposição é precedida de explicações introdutórias sobre o conceito de regulação; as razões para se regular; e características da regulação no Estado Democrático de Direito. Tais características conformam um ideal de racionalidade regulatória, o qual é comprometido pela instauração das falhas de regulação. Reconhecer a existência dos defeitos regulatórios e conhecê-los é já um primeiro passo para se melhorar a regulação. Mas há outros encaminhamentos deveras importantes para a prevenção e correção de falhas regulatórias. Dentre eles, destaca-se um conjunto de reformas institucionais em sentido amplo e estrito, as quais envolvem o sistema de controle pelos Poderes Legislativo, Executivo e Judiciário, e mecanismos procedimentais como a análise de impacto regulatório e a elaboração de agendas regulatórias.

Simplified Formulae for the Estimation of Offshore Wind Turbines Clutter on Marine Radars

The potential impact that offshore wind farms may cause on nearby marine radars should be considered before the wind farm is installed. Strong radar echoes from the turbines may degrade radars' detection capability in the area around the wind farm. Although conventional computational methods provide accurate results of scattering by wind turbines, they are not directly implementable in software tools that can be used to conduct the impact studies. This paper proposes a simple model to assess the clutter that wind turbines may generate on marine radars. This method can be easily implemented in the system modeling software tools for the impact analysis of a wind farm in a real scenario.

Custo-efetividade da Terapia Tripla para pacientes adultos portadores do genótipo 1 da hepatite C crônica.

As ações de prevenção, diagnóstico e tratamento da hepatite C crônica integram as agendas das políticas de saúde do Brasil e do mundo, pois se trata de uma doença com grande número de acometidos, com alto custo tratamento e que ocasiona graves desfechos e incapacidade, o que acaba por onerar seu custo social. Os protocolos clínicos e diretrizes terapêuticas demonstram os esforços de inúmeras entidades no combate da hepatite C, pois informam aos profissionais de saúde, pacientes e familiares e cidadãos em geral, qual seria a melhor forma, comprovada cientificamente, de se proceder frente a uma infecção desta natureza. Realizouse uma análise de custoefetividade, sob a perspectiva do SUS, das estratégias: tratamento e retratamento com a terapia dupla, tratamento com a terapia dupla e retratamento com a terapia tripla e tratamento com a terapia tripla. Através de modelo de simulação baseado em cadeias Markov foi criada uma coorte hipotética de 1000 indivíduos adultos, acima de 40 anos, de ambos os sexos, sem distinção declasse socioeconômica, com diagnóstico confirmado para hepatite C crônica, monoinfectados pelo genótipo 1 do VHC e com ausência de comorbidades. A simulação foi iniciada com todos os indivíduos portando a forma mais branda da doença, tida como a classificação histológica F0 ou F1 segundo a escala Metavir. Os resultados demonstram que as duas opções, ou seja, a terapia dupla/tripla e a terapia tripla estão abaixo do limiar de aceitabilidade para incorporação de tecnologia proposto pela OMS (2012) que é de 72.195 (R$/QALY) (IBGE, 2013; WHO, 2012). Ambas são custoefetivas, visto que o ICER da terapia dupla/tripla em relação alinha de base foi de 7.186,3 (R$/QALY) e o da terapia tripla foi de 59.053,8 (R$/QALY). Entretanto o custo incremental de terapia tripla em relação à dupla/tripla foi de 31.029 e a efetividade incremental foi de 0,52. Em geral, quando as intervenções analisadas encontramse abaixo do limiar, sugerese a adoção do esquema de maior efetividade. A terapia tripla, apesar de ter apresentado uma efetividade um pouco acima da terapia dupla/tripla, apresentou custo muito superior. Assim, como seria coerente a adoção de uma ou da outra para utilização no SUS, visto que este sistema apresenta recursos limitados, indicase a realização de um estudo de impacto orçamentário para obterse mais um dado de embasamento da decisão e assim poder apoiar o protocolo brasileiro existente ou sugerir a confecção de novo documento.

Economic valuation of natural resources: a handbook for coastal resource policymakers

Professionals who are responsible for coastal environmental and natural resource planning and management have a need to become conversant with new concepts designed to provide quantitative measures of the environmental benefits of natural resources. These amenities range from beaches to wetlands to clean water and other assets that normally are not bought and sold in everyday markets. At all levels of government — from federal agencies to townships and counties — decisionmakers are being asked to account for the costs and benefits of proposed actions. To non-specialists, the tools of professional economists are often poorly understood and sometimes inappropriate for the problem at hand. This handbook is intended to bridge this gap. The most widely used organizing tool for dealing with natural and environmental resource choices is benefit-cost analysis — it offers a convenient way to carefully identify and array, quantitatively if possible, the major costs, benefits, and consequences of a proposed policy or regulation. The major strength of benefit-cost analysis is not necessarily the predicted outcome, which depends upon assumptions and techniques, but the process itself, which forces an approach to decision-making that is based largely on rigorous and quantitative reasoning. However, a major shortfall of benefit-cost analysis has been the difficulty of quantifying both benefits and costs of actions that impact environmental assets not normally, nor even regularly, bought and sold in markets. Failure to account for these assets, to omit them from the benefit-cost equation, could seriously bias decisionmaking, often to the detriment of the environment. Economists and other social scientists have put a great deal of effort into addressing this shortcoming by developing techniques to quantify these non-market benefits. The major focus of this handbook is on introducing and illustrating concepts of environmental valuation, among them Travel Cost models and Contingent Valuation. These concepts, combined with advances in natural sciences that allow us to better understand how changes in the natural environment influence human behavior, aim to address some of the more serious shortcomings in the application of economic analysis to natural resource and environmental management and policy analysis. Because the handbook is intended for non-economists, it addresses basic concepts of economic value such as willingness-to-pay and other tools often used in decision making such as costeffectiveness analysis, economic impact analysis, and sustainable development. A number of regionally oriented case studies are included to illustrate the practical application of these concepts and techniques.

Marine eutrophication review. Part 1: Quantifying the effects of nitrogen enrichment on phytoplankton in coastal ecosystems; Part 2: Bibliography with abstracts

Professionals who are responsible for coastal environmental and natural resource planning and management have a need to become conversant with new concepts designed to provide quantitative measures of the environmental benefits of natural resources. These amenities range from beaches to wetlands to clean water and other assets that normally are not bought and sold in everyday markets. At all levels of government — from federal agencies to townships and counties — decisionmakers are being asked to account for the costs and benefits of proposed actions. To non-specialists, the tools of professional economists are often poorly understood and sometimes inappropriate for the problem at hand. This handbook is intended to bridge this gap. The most widely used organizing tool for dealing with natural and environmental resource choices is benefit-cost analysis — it offers a convenient way to carefully identify and array, quantitatively if possible, the major costs, benefits, and consequences of a proposed policy or regulation. The major strength of benefit-cost analysis is not necessarily the predicted outcome, which depends upon assumptions and techniques, but the process itself, which forces an approach to decision-making that is based largely on rigorous and quantitative reasoning. However, a major shortfall of benefit-cost analysis has been the difficulty of quantifying both benefits and costs of actions that impact environmental assets not normally, nor even regularly, bought and sold in markets. Failure to account for these assets, to omit them from the benefit-cost equation, could seriously bias decisionmaking, often to the detriment of the environment. Economists and other social scientists have put a great deal of effort into addressing this shortcoming by developing techniques to quantify these non-market benefits. The major focus of this handbook is on introducing and illustrating concepts of environmental valuation, among them Travel Cost models and Contingent Valuation. These concepts, combined with advances in natural sciences that allow us to better understand how changes in the natural environment influence human behavior, aim to address some of the more serious shortcomings in the application of economic analysis to natural resource and environmental management and policy analysis. Because the handbook is intended for non-economists, it addresses basic concepts of economic value such as willingness-to-pay and other tools often used in decision making such as costeffectiveness analysis, economic impact analysis, and sustainable development. A number of regionally oriented case studies are included to illustrate the practical application of these concepts and techniques.

Achieving Csiszár's source-channel coding exponent with product distributions

We derive a random-coding upper bound on the average probability of error of joint source-channel coding that recovers Csiszár's error exponent when used with product distributions over the channel inputs. Our proof technique for the error probability analysis employs a code construction for which source messages are assigned to subsets and codewords are generated with a distribution that depends on the subset. © 2012 IEEE.